• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life Estimation

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Comparison of parameter estimation methods for normal inverse Gaussian distribution

  • Yoon, Jeongyoen;Kim, Jiyeon;Song, Seongjoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2020
  • This paper compares several methods for estimating parameters of normal inverse Gaussian distribution. Ordinary maximum likelihood estimation and the method of moment estimation often do not work properly due to restrictions on parameters. We examine the performance of adjusted estimation methods along with the ordinary maximum likelihood estimation and the method of moment estimation by simulation and real data application. We also see the effect of the initial value in estimation methods. The simulation results show that the ordinary maximum likelihood estimator is significantly affected by the initial value; in addition, the adjusted estimators have smaller root mean square error than ordinary estimators as well as less impact on the initial value. With real datasets, we obtain similar results to what we see in simulation studies. Based on the results of simulation and real data application, we suggest using adjusted maximum likelihood estimates with adjusted method of moment estimates as initial values to estimate the parameters of normal inverse Gaussian distribution.

A study on the quantitation of asbestos by the visual estimation and point counting method (시야평가법과 포인트계수법에 의한 석면정량평가 연구)

  • Choi, Yun-Ho;Kim, Tae-Hwa;Bae, Yong-Soo;Kim, Tae-Hyun;Kim, Hyeon-Ja;Jang, Eun-Ah;Hwang, Beom-Goo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2014
  • While variety of cases of studies about asbestos analysis methods are released internationally, the results of Asbestos Containing Materials (ACM) according to differences in the method of the analysis is becoming an issue. In this study, homogeneity ensured ACM samples were analyzed by visual estimation method and point counting method, and the result cound be used not only to improve the reliability on asbestos analysis of the institutions and analysts but also to obtain the basic data of Polarizing Light Microscope (PLM) analysis by comparing and evaluating. Asbestos analysis were divided into qualitative and quantitative analysis method. The quantitative analysis was performed by visual estimation method and point counting method (total 400 points) of EPA 600-R-93-116 method by using PLM. Firstly, The following was the result of homogeneity of the samples by ANOVA (Analysis of variance) and the results were satisfied. The results of qualitative analysis showed that the samples were chrysotile and amosite, and about the results of quantitative analysis, asbestos concentration determined by point counting method tend to be lower than concentrations determined by visual estimation method and also, pont counting method was a little more complicated and time-consuming.

Estimation and Validation of the Leaf Areas of Five June-bearing Strawberry (Fragaria × ananassa) Cultivars using Non-destructive Methods (일계성 딸기 5품종의 비파괴적 방법을 사용한 엽면적 추정 및 검증)

  • Jo, Jung Su;Sim, Ha Seon;Jung, Soo Bin;Moon, Yu Hyun;Jo, Won Jun;Woo, Ui Jeong;Kim, Sung Kyeom
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2022
  • Non-destructive estimation of leaf area is a more efficient and convenient method than leaf excision. Thus, several models predicting leaf area have been developed for various horticultural crops. However, there are limited studies on estimating the leaf area of strawberry plants. In this study, we predicted the leaf areas via nonlinear regression analysis using the leaf lengths and widths of three-compound leaves in five domestic strawberry cultivars ('Arihyang', 'Jukhyang', 'Keumsil', 'Maehyang', and 'Seollhyang'). The coefficient of determination (R2) between the actual and estimated leaf areas varied from 0.923 to 0.973. The R2 value varied for each cultivar; thus, leaf area estimation models must be developed for each cultivar. The leaf areas of the three cultivars 'Jukhyang', 'Seolhyang', and 'Maehyang' could be non-destructively predicted using the model developed in this study, as they had R2 values over 0.96. The cultivars 'Arihyang' and 'Geumsil' had slightly low R2 values, 0.938 and 0.923, respectively. The leaf area estimation model for each cultivar was coded in Python and is provided in this manuscript. The estimation models developed in this study could be used extensively in other strawberry-related studies.

Evaluation of Geostatistical Approaches for better Estimation of Polluted Soil Volume with Uncertainty Evaluation (지구통계 기법을 활용한 토양 오염범위 산정 및 불확실성 평가)

  • Kim, Ho-Rim;Kim, Kyoung-Ho;Yun, Seong-Taek;Hwang, Sang-Il;Kim, Hyeong-Don;Lee, Gun-Taek;Kim, Young-Ju
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2012
  • Diverse geostatistical tools such as kriging have been used to estimate the volume and spatial coverage of contaminated soil needed for remediation. However, many approaches frequently yield estimation errors, due to inherent geostatistical uncertainties. Such errors may yield over- or under-estimation of the amounts of polluted soils, which cause an over-estimation of remediation cost as well as an incomplete clean-up of a contaminated land. Therefore, it is very important to use a better estimation tool considering uncertainties arising from incomplete field investigation (i.e., contamination survey) and mathematical spatial estimation. In the current work, as better estimation tools we propose stochastic simulation approaches which allow the remediation volume to be assessed more accurately along with uncertainty estimation. To test the efficiency of proposed methods, heavy metals (esp., Pb) contaminated soil of a shooting range area was selected. In addition, we suggest a quantitative method to delineate the confident interval of estimated volume (and spatial extent) of polluted soil based on the spatial aspect of uncertainty. The methods proposed in this work can improve a better decision making on soil remediation.

An analysis of Mathematical Knowledge for Teaching of statistical estimation (통계적 추정을 가르치기 위한 수학적 지식(MKT)의 분석)

  • Choi, Min Jeong;Lee, Jong Hak;Kim, Won Kyung
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.317-334
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    • 2016
  • Knowledge and data interpretation on statistical estimation was important to have statistical literacy that current curriculum was said not to satisfy. The author investigated mathematics teachers' MKT on statistical estimation concerning interpretation of confidence interval by using questionnaire and interview. SMK of teachers' confidence was limited to the area of textbooks to be difficult to interpret data of real life context. Most of teachers wrongly understood SMK of interpretation of confidence interval to have influence upon PCK making correction of students' wrong concept. SMK of samples and sampling distribution that were basic concept of reliability and confidence interval cognized representation of samples rather exactly not to understand importance and value of not only variability but also size of the sample exactly, and not to cognize appropriateness and needs of each stage from sampling to confidence interval estimation to have great difficulty at proper teaching of statistical estimation. PCK that had teaching method had problem of a lot of misconception. MKT of sample and sampling distribution that interpreted confidence interval had almost no relation with teachers' experience to require opportunity for development of teacher professionalism. Therefore, teachers were asked to estimate statistic and to get confidence interval and to understand concept of the sample and think much of not only relationship of each concept but also validity of estimated values, and to have knowledge enough to interpret data of real life contexts, and to think and discuss students' concepts. So, textbooks should introduce actual concepts at real life context to make use of exact orthography and to let teachers be reeducated for development of professionalism.

DALY Estimation Approaches: Understanding and Using the Incidence-based Approach and the Prevalence-based Approach

  • Kim, Young-Eun;Jung, Yoon-Sun;Ock, Minsu;Yoon, Seok-Jun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2022
  • Disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) estimates may vary according to factors such as the standard life expectancy, age weighting, time preference and discount rate, calculation of disability weights, and selection of the estimation method. DALY estimation methods are divided into the following 3 approaches: the incidence-based approach, the pure prevalence-based approach, and the hybrid approach. These 3 DALY estimation approaches each reflect different perspectives on the burden of disease using unique characteristics, based on which the selection of a suitable approach may vary by the purpose of the study. The Global Burden of Disease studies, which previously estimated DALYs using the incidence-based approach, switched to using the hybrid approach in 2010, while the National Burden of Disease studies in Korea still mainly apply the incidence-based approach. In order to increase comparability with other international burden of disease studies, more DALY studies using the prevalence-based approach need to be conducted in Korea. However, with the limitations of the hybrid approach in mind, it is necessary to conduct more research using a disease classification system suitable for Korea. Furthermore, more detailed and valid data sources should be established before conducting studies using a broader variety of DALY estimation approaches. This review study will help researchers on burden of disease use an appropriate DALY estimation approach and will contribute to enhancing researchers' ability to critically interpret burden of disease studies.

A Study on the Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling Considering LCA and LCC (LCA 및 LCC를 고려한 환경친화적 리모델링의 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gwan-Ho;Kim, Nam-Gyu;Rhee, Eon-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2003
  • This study aims to presents Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling that analyze the value of environment through expense, using the method of life cycle cost and life cycle assessment simultaneously. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Evaluation Model developed in this study can convert economical value of environment into cost by integrating. In addition, the model can apply as a useful tool to estimation of economical design alternative as well as quantification of environmental loads and costs. Evaluation Model presented In this study observe energy consumption and the environmental load emission with qualification, it can forecast effect of environmental cost that cost estimation is expected to be added to energy cost rate by being possible. Synthetically, when Estimation Model and computer program that developed in this study is applies to the construction industry; reasonable management of environmental load is convenient at each step of Green Remodeling. In addition, at preliminary design phase, practical use may be possible by reasonable yardstick about various alternatives and improvement of design alternatives likewise by grasping environmental effect.

Fatigue crack growth and remaining life estimation of AVLB components

  • Chen, Hung-Liang Roger;Choi, Jeong-Hoon
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.651-674
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    • 2006
  • The fatigue cracks initiate and propagate in the Armored Vehicle Launch Bridge (AVLB) components, especially like the splice doubler angle, splice plate, and bottom chord, due to the cyclic loading by repeated AVLB-launchings and tank-crossings. In this study, laboratory fatigue tests were conducted on six aluminum 2014-T6, four aluminum 7050-T76511, and four ASTM A36 steel compact-tension specimens to evaluate the crack growth behavior of the materials used for the components. The experimental results provide the relationship (Paris Law) between crack growth rate, da/dn, and stress intensity range, ${\Delta}K$, whose material dependent constants C and m can later be used in the life estimation of the components. Finite Element Method (FEM) was used to obtain the stress intensity factor, K, of the components with cracks. Because of the complexity of loading conditions and component geometry, several assumptions and simplifications are made in the FEM modeling. The FEM results, along with the results obtained from laboratory fatigue tests, are then utilized to estimate critical crack length and remaining life of the components.

On the Estimation of Parameters in ALT under Generalized Exponential Distribution

  • Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.923-931
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    • 2005
  • The two parameter generalized exponential distribution was recently introduced by Gupta and Kundu (1999). It is observed that the generalized exponential distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze skewed data set. This paper develops the accelerated life test model using generalized exponential distribution and considers maximum likelihood estimation of parameters under the tampered random variable model. To show the performance of proposed maximum likelihood estimates, some simulation will be performed. Using a real data set, an example will be given.

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The Estimation of MRLF for Whole Line on LTRC Model

  • Shin, Im-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, for whole line ($0,\;{\infty}$), the estimation procedure of mean residual life function using product-limit estimator is studied with asymptotic properties. And also, the small sample properties of proposed estimator of MRLF are investigated through Monte Carlo study and compared with Kaplan-Meier type estimator.

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