• Title/Summary/Keyword: Learning Evaluation Model

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Performance Evaluation of Multilinear Regression Empirical Formula and Machine Learning Model for Prediction of Two-dimensional Transverse Dispersion Coefficient (다중선형회귀경험식과 머신러닝모델의 2차원 횡 분산계수 예측성능 평가)

  • Lee, Sun Mi;Park, Inhwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.172-172
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    • 2022
  • 분산계수는 하천에서 오염물질의 혼합능을 파악할 수 있는 대표적인 인자이다. 특히 하수처리장 방류수 혼합예측과 같이 횡 방향 혼합에 대한 예측이 중요한 경우, 하천의 지형적, 수리학적 특성을 고려한 2차원 횡 분산계수의 결정이 필요하다. 2차원 횡 분산계수의 결정을 위해 기존 연구에서는 추적자실험결과로부터 경험식을 만들어 횡 분산계수 산정에 사용해왔다. 회귀분석을 통한 경험식 산정을 위해서는 충분한 데이터가 필요하지만, 2차원 추적자 실험 건수가 충분치 않아 신뢰성 높은 경험식 산정이 어려운 상황이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 SMOTE기법을 이용하여 횡분산계수 실험데이터를 증폭시켜 이로부터 횡 분산계수 경험식을 산정하고자 한다. 또한 다중선형회귀분석을 통해 도출된 경험식의 한계를 보완하기 위해 다양한 머신러닝 기법을 적용하고, 횡 분산계수 산정에 적합한 머신러닝 기법을 제안하고자 한다. 기존 추적자실험 데이터로부터 하폭 대 수심비, 유속 대 마찰유속비, 횡 분산계수 데이터 셋을 수집하였으며, SMOTE 알고리즘의 적용을 통해 회귀분석과 머신러닝 기법 적용에 필요한 데이터그룹을 생성했다. 새롭게 생성된 데이터 셋을 포함하여 다중선형회귀분석을 통해 횡 분산계수 경험식을 결정하였으며, 새로 제안한 경험식과 기존 경험식에 대한 정확도를 비교했다. 또한 다중선형회귀분석을 통해 결정된 경험식은 횡 분산계수 예측범위에 한계를 보였기 때문에 머신러닝기법을 적용하여 다중선형회귀분석에 대한 예측성능을 평가했다. 이를 위해 머신러닝 기법으로서 서포트 벡터 머신 회귀(SVR), K근접이웃 회귀(KNN-R), 랜덤 포레스트 회귀(RFR)를 활용했다. 세 가지 머신러닝 기법을 통해 도출된 횡 분산계수와 경험식으로부터 결정된 횡 분산계수를 비교하여 예측 성능을 비교했다. 이를 통해 제한된 실험데이터 셋으로부터 2차원 횡 분산계수 산정을 위한 데이터 전처리 기법 및 횡 분산계수 산정에 적합한 머신러닝 절차와 최적 학습기법을 도출했다.

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Dam Inflow Prediction and Evaluation Using Hybrid Auto-sklearn Ensemble Model (하이브리드 Auto-sklearn 앙상블 모델을 이용한 댐 유입량 예측 및 평가)

  • Lee, Seoro;Bae, Joo Hyun;Lee, Gwanjae;Yang, Dongseok;Hong, Jiyeong;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.307-307
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화와 댐 상류 토지이용 변화 등과 같은 다양한 원인에 의해 댐 유입량의 변동성이 증가하면서 댐 관리 및 운영조작 의사 결정에 어려움이 발생하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 댐 유입량의 변동 특성을 반영하여 댐 유입량을 정확하고 효율적으로 예측할 수 있는 방안이 필요한 실정이다. 머신러닝 기술이 발전하면서 Auto-ML(Automated Machine Learning)이 다양한 분야에서 활용되고 있다. Auto-ML은 데이터 전처리, 최적 알고리즘 선택, 하이퍼파라미터 튜닝, 모델 학습 및 평가 등의 모든 과정을 자동화하는 기술이다. 그러나 아직까지 수문 분야에서 댐 유입량을 예측하기 위한 모델을 개발하는데 있어서 Auto-ML을 활용한 사례는 부족하고, 특히 댐 유입량의 예측 정확성을 확보하기 위해 High-inflow and low-inflow 의 변동 특성을 고려한 하이브리드 결합 방식을 통해 Auto-ML 기반 앙상블 모델을 개발하고 평가한 연구는 없다. 본 연구에서는 Auto-ML의 패키지 중 Auto-sklearn을 통해 홍수기, 비홍수기 유입량 변동 특성을 반영한 하이브리드 앙상블 댐 유입량 예측 모델을 개발하였다. 소양강댐을 대상으로 적용한 결과, 하이브리드 Auto-sklearn 앙상블 모델의 댐 유입량 예측 성능은 R2 0.868, RMSE 66.23 m3/s, MAE 16.45 m3/s로 단일 Auto-sklearn을 통해 구축 된 앙상블 모델보다 전반적으로 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 특히 FDC (Flow Duration Curve)의 저수기, 갈수기 구간에서 두 모델의 유입량 예측 경향은 큰 차이를 보였으며, 하이브리드 Auto-sklearn 모델의 예측 값이 관측 값과 더욱 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 홍수기, 비홍수기 구간에 대한 앙상블 모델이 독립적으로 구축되는 과정에서 각 모델에 대한 하이퍼파라미터가 최적화되었기 때문이라 판단된다. 향후 본 연구의 방법론은 보다 정확한 댐 유입량 예측 자료를 생성하기 위한 방안 수립뿐만 아니라 다양한 분야의 불균형한 데이터셋을 이용한 앙상블 모델을 구축하는데도 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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FubaoLM : Automatic Evaluation based on Chain-of-Thought Distillation with Ensemble Learning (FubaoLM : 연쇄적 사고 증류와 앙상블 학습에 의한 대규모 언어 모델 자동 평가)

  • Huiju Kim;Donghyeon Jeon;Ohjoon Kwon;Soonhwan Kwon;Hansu Kim;Inkwon Lee;Dohyeon Kim;Inho Kang
    • Annual Conference on Human and Language Technology
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    • 2023.10a
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    • pp.448-453
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    • 2023
  • 대규모 언어 모델 (Large Language Model, LLM)을 인간의 선호도 관점에서 평가하는 것은 기존의 벤치마크 평가와는 다른 도전적인 과제이다. 이를 위해, 기존 연구들은 강력한 LLM을 평가자로 사용하여 접근하였지만, 높은 비용 문제가 부각되었다. 또한, 평가자로서 LLM이 사용하는 주관적인 점수 기준은 모호하여 평가 결과의 신뢰성을 저해하며, 단일 모델에 의한 평가 결과는 편향될 가능성이 있다. 본 논문에서는 엄격한 기준을 활용하여 편향되지 않은 평가를 수행할 수 있는 평가 프레임워크 및 평가자 모델 'FubaoLM'을 제안한다. 우리의 평가 프레임워크는 심층적인 평가 기준을 통해 다수의 강력한 한국어 LLM을 활용하여 연쇄적 사고(Chain-of-Thought) 기반 평가를 수행한다. 이러한 평가 결과를 다수결로 통합하여 편향되지 않은 평가 결과를 도출하며, 지시 조정 (instruction tuning)을 통해 FubaoLM은 다수의 LLM으로 부터 평가 지식을 증류받는다. 더 나아가 본 논문에서는 전문가 기반 평가 데이터셋을 구축하여 FubaoLM 효과성을 입증한다. 우리의 실험에서 앙상블된 FubaoLM은 GPT-3.5 대비 16% 에서 23% 향상된 절대 평가 성능을 가지며, 이항 평가에서 인간과 유사한 선호도 평가 결과를 도출한다. 이를 통해 FubaoLM은 비교적 적은 비용으로도 높은 신뢰성을 유지하며, 편향되지 않은 평가를 수행할 수 있음을 보인다.

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Development and Effectiveness of Problem Solving based Safety Education Program using Physical Computing

  • Jooyoun Song;YeonKyoung Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we developed a problem-solving based safety education program using physical computing for middle school students and applied it to verify the impact on self-efficacy and interest. The safety education program developed in this study includes four stages of the creative problem-solving model: problem identification, planning, implementation, and evaluation, and learning activities using Arduino, a physical computing tool. After implementing the education program with 77 third-year middle school students, both self-efficacy and interest of middle school students increased significantly. Based on the research results, the effectiveness of the safety education program that used physical computing and problem-solving steps was confirmed, and practical implications were presented to promote the activation of physical computing education in the school field.

Students' Performance Prediction in Higher Education Using Multi-Agent Framework Based Distributed Data Mining Approach: A Review

  • M.Nazir;A.Noraziah;M.Rahmah
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.10
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 2023
  • An effective educational program warrants the inclusion of an innovative construction which enhances the higher education efficacy in such a way that accelerates the achievement of desired results and reduces the risk of failures. Educational Decision Support System (EDSS) has currently been a hot topic in educational systems, facilitating the pupil result monitoring and evaluation to be performed during their development. Insufficient information systems encounter trouble and hurdles in making the sufficient advantage from EDSS owing to the deficit of accuracy, incorrect analysis study of the characteristic, and inadequate database. DMTs (Data Mining Techniques) provide helpful tools in finding the models or forms of data and are extremely useful in the decision-making process. Several researchers have participated in the research involving distributed data mining with multi-agent technology. The rapid growth of network technology and IT use has led to the widespread use of distributed databases. This article explains the available data mining technology and the distributed data mining system framework. Distributed Data Mining approach is utilized for this work so that a classifier capable of predicting the success of students in the economic domain can be constructed. This research also discusses the Intelligent Knowledge Base Distributed Data Mining framework to assess the performance of the students through a mid-term exam and final-term exam employing Multi-agent system-based educational mining techniques. Using single and ensemble-based classifiers, this study intends to investigate the factors that influence student performance in higher education and construct a classification model that can predict academic achievement. We also discussed the importance of multi-agent systems and comparative machine learning approaches in EDSS development.

A Method for Generating Malware Countermeasure Samples Based on Pixel Attention Mechanism

  • Xiangyu Ma;Yuntao Zhao;Yongxin Feng;Yutao Hu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.456-477
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    • 2024
  • With information technology's rapid development, the Internet faces serious security problems. Studies have shown that malware has become a primary means of attacking the Internet. Therefore, adversarial samples have become a vital breakthrough point for studying malware. By studying adversarial samples, we can gain insights into the behavior and characteristics of malware, evaluate the performance of existing detectors in the face of deceptive samples, and help to discover vulnerabilities and improve detection methods for better performance. However, existing adversarial sample generation methods still need help regarding escape effectiveness and mobility. For instance, researchers have attempted to incorporate perturbation methods like Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM), Projected Gradient Descent (PGD), and others into adversarial samples to obfuscate detectors. However, these methods are only effective in specific environments and yield limited evasion effectiveness. To solve the above problems, this paper proposes a malware adversarial sample generation method (PixGAN) based on the pixel attention mechanism, which aims to improve adversarial samples' escape effect and mobility. The method transforms malware into grey-scale images and introduces the pixel attention mechanism in the Deep Convolution Generative Adversarial Networks (DCGAN) model to weigh the critical pixels in the grey-scale map, which improves the modeling ability of the generator and discriminator, thus enhancing the escape effect and mobility of the adversarial samples. The escape rate (ASR) is used as an evaluation index of the quality of the adversarial samples. The experimental results show that the adversarial samples generated by PixGAN achieve escape rates of 97%, 94%, 35%, 39%, and 43% on the Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Convolutional Neural Network and Recurrent Neural Network (CNN_RNN), and Convolutional Neural Network and Long Short Term Memory (CNN_LSTM) algorithmic detectors, respectively.

Using ChatGPT as a proof assistant in a mathematics pathways course

  • Hyejin Park;Eric D. Manley
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.139-163
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the capabilities of ChatGPT as a tool for supporting students in generating mathematical arguments that can be considered proofs. To examine this, we engaged students enrolled in a mathematics pathways course in evaluating and revising their original arguments using ChatGPT feedback. Students attempted to find and prove a method for the area of a triangle given its side lengths. Instead of directly asking students to prove a formula, we asked them to explore a method to find the area of a triangle given the lengths of its sides and justify why their methods work. Students completed these ChatGPT-embedded proving activities as class homework. To investigate the capabilities of ChatGPT as a proof tutor, we used these student homework responses as data for this study. We analyzed and compared original and revised arguments students constructed with and without ChatGPT assistance. We also analyzed student-written responses about their perspectives on mathematical proof and proving and their thoughts on using ChatGPT as a proof assistant. Our analysis shows that our participants' approaches to constructing, evaluating, and revising their arguments aligned with their perspectives on proof and proving. They saw ChatGPT's evaluations of their arguments as similar to how they usually evaluate arguments of themselves and others. Mostly, they agreed with ChatGPT's suggestions to make their original arguments more proof-like. They, therefore, revised their original arguments following ChatGPT's suggestions, focusing on improving clarity, providing additional justifications, and showing the generality of their arguments. Further investigation is needed to explore how ChatGPT can be effectively used as a tool in teaching and learning mathematical proof and proof-writing.

A Study on the Data Driven Neural Network Model for the Prediction of Time Series Data: Application of Water Surface Elevation Forecasting in Hangang River Bridge (시계열 자료의 예측을 위한 자료 기반 신경망 모델에 관한 연구: 한강대교 수위예측 적용)

  • Yoo, Hyungju;Lee, Seung Oh;Choi, Seohye;Park, Moonhyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2019
  • Recently, as the occurrence frequency of sudden floods due to climate change increased, the flood damage on riverside social infrastructures was extended so that there has been a threat of overflow. Therefore, a rapid prediction of potential flooding in riverside social infrastructure is necessary for administrators. However, most current flood forecasting models including hydraulic model have limitations which are the high accuracy of numerical results but longer simulation time. To alleviate such limitation, data driven models using artificial neural network have been widely used. However, there is a limitation that the existing models can not consider the time-series parameters. In this study the water surface elevation of the Hangang River bridge was predicted using the NARX model considering the time-series parameter. And the results of the ANN and RNN models are compared with the NARX model to determine the suitability of NARX model. Using the 10-year hydrological data from 2009 to 2018, 70% of the hydrological data were used for learning and 15% was used for testing and evaluation respectively. As a result of predicting the water surface elevation after 3 hours from the Hangang River bridge in 2018, the ANN, RNN and NARX models for RMSE were 0.20 m, 0.11 m, and 0.09 m, respectively, and 0.12 m, 0.06 m, and 0.05 m for MAE, and 1.56 m, 0.55 m and 0.10 m for peak errors respectively. By analyzing the error of the prediction results considering the time-series parameters, the NARX model is most suitable for predicting water surface elevation. This is because the NARX model can learn the trend of the time series data and also can derive the accurate prediction value even in the high water surface elevation prediction by using the hyperbolic tangent and Rectified Linear Unit function as an activation function. However, the NARX model has a limit to generate a vanishing gradient as the sequence length becomes longer. In the future, the accuracy of the water surface elevation prediction will be examined by using the LSTM model.

The Influence of Project Learning on Academic Achievement in Technology Education of an Academic High School (일반계 고등학교 기술교과교육에서 프로젝트 학습이 학업성취도에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Eul-Gu;Kim, Ki-Soo;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.248-266
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of the research was to find out the difference in students' academic achievement in Technology Education between students with a lecture, those who perform a content-related project after a lecture, and those who carry out a content-related project without a lecture. The results of this study are as follows. First, taking advantage of both a lecture and project-based lesson led to better achievement than using only a project in Technology Education subject of an academic high school in academic achievement in 'knowledge' area. I infer that it is because they reviewed what they had learned in a lecture and the preparation and practice of the project caused them to memorize it. Second, there was not a meaningful difference in academic achievement in 'understanding' area among the group with a lecture, the one with both a lecture and a project, and the one with only a project. However, considering the comparison of averages and the p-value of F-test, I can deduce that the test outcome influences students with a lecture and a project positively in terms of academic achievement. Third, there was not a meaningful difference in the academic achievement in 'adaptation' area among the group with a lecture, the one with a lecture and a project, and the one with a project. I can conclude that those results are because the difficulty level of evaluation was high and they produced a model just by copying textbook contents.

Subnet Generation Scheme based on Deep Learing for Healthcare Information Gathering (헬스케어 정보 수집을 위한 딥 러닝 기반의 서브넷 구축 기법)

  • Jeong, Yoon-Su
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2017
  • With the recent development of IoT technology, medical services using IoT technology are increasing in many medical institutions providing health care services. However, as the number of IoT sensors attached to the user body increases, the healthcare information transmitted to the server becomes complicated, thereby increasing the time required for analyzing the user's healthcare information in the server. In this paper, we propose a deep learning based health care information management method to collect and process healthcare information in a server for a large amount of healthcare information delivered through a user - attached IoT device. The proposed scheme constructs a subnet according to the attribute value by assigning an attribute value to the healthcare information transmitted to the server, and extracts the association information between the subnets as a seed and groups them into a hierarchical structure. The server extracts optimized information that can improve the observation speed and accuracy of user's treatment and prescription by using deep running of grouped healthcare information. As a result of the performance evaluation, the proposed method shows that the processing speed of the medical service operated in the healthcare service model is improved by 14.1% on average and the server overhead is 6.7% lower than the conventional technique. The accuracy of healthcare information extraction was 10.1% higher than the conventional method.