• 제목/요약/키워드: Latin hypercube

검색결과 189건 처리시간 0.025초

Statistical Approach for Derivation of Quantitative Acceptance Criteria for Radioactive Wastes to Near Surface Disposal Facility

  • Park Jin Beak;Park Joo Wan;Lee Eun Yong;Kim Chang Lak
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.387-398
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    • 2003
  • For reference human intrusion scenarios constructed in previous study, a probabilistic safety assessment to derive the radionuclide concentration limits for the low- and intermediate- level radioactive waste disposal facility is conducted. Statistical approach by the Latin Hypercube Sampling method is introduced and new assumptions about the disposal facility system are examined and discussed. In our previous study of deterministic approach, the post construction scenarios appeared as most limiting scenario to derive the radionuclide concentration limits. Whereas, in this statistical approach, the post drilling and the post construction scenarios are mutually competing for the scenario selection according to which radionuclides are more important in safety assessment context. Introduction of new assumption shows that the post drilling scenario can play an important role as the limiting scenario instead of the post-construction scenario. When we compare the concentration limits between the previous and this study, concentrations of radionuclides such as Nb-94, Cs-137 and alpha-emitting radionuclides show elevated values than the case of the previous study. Remaining radionuclides such as Sr-90, Tc-99 I-129, Ni-59 and Ni-63 show lower values than the case of the previous study.

Enhanced-Precision LHSMC of Electrical Circuit Considering Low Discrepancy

  • Park, Eun-Suk;Oh, Deok-Keun;Kim, Ju-Ho
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2015
  • The Monte-Carlo (MC) technique is very efficient solution for statistical problem. Various MC methods can easily be applied to statistical circuit performance analysis. Recently, as the number of process parameters and their impact, has increasingly affected circuit performance, a sufficient sample size is required in order to consider high dimensionality, profound nonlinearity, and stringent accuracy requirements. Also, it is important to identify the performance of circuit as soon as possible. In this paper, Fast MC method is proposed for efficient analysis of circuit performance. The proposed method analyzes performance using enhanced-precision Latin Hypercube Sampling Monte Carlo (LHSMC). To increase the accuracy of the analysis, we calculate the effective dimension for the low discrepancy value on critical parameters. This will guarantee a robust input vector for the critical parameters. Using a 90nm process parameter and OP-AMP, we verified the accuracy and reliability of the proposed method in comparison with the standard MC, LHS and Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC).

분위수의 점근적 분산을 이용한 신뢰성 설계 (Reliability Design using Asymptotic Variance of Inverse Cumulative Distribution Function)

  • 조형진;백석흠;홍순혁;조석수;주원식
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1682-1685
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    • 2005
  • System algorithms estimated by deterministic input may occur the error between predicted and actual output. Especially, actual system can't predict the exact outputs due to uncertainty and tolerance of input parameters. A single output to a set of inputs has a limited value without the variation. Hence, we should consider various scatters caused by the load assessment, material characteristics, stress analysis and manufacturing methods in order to perform the robust design or estimate the reliability of structure. The system design with uncertainty should perform the probabilistic structural optimization with the statistical response and the reliability. This method calculated the probability distributions of the characteristics such as stress by combining stress analysis, response surface methodology and Monte-Carlo Method and got the probabilistic sensitivity. The sensitivity of structural response with respect to inconstant design variables was estimated by fracture probability. Therefore, this paper proposed the probabilistic reliability design method for fracture of uncorved freight end beam and the design criteria by fracture probability.

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충격 흡수기의 설계 파라미터 불확실성이 현가 장치 성능에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Design Parameter Uncertainty of the Shock Absorber on the Performance of Suspension System)

  • 이춘태
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.949-958
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    • 2020
  • 차량을 구성하는 엔진, 미션, 현가, 제동, 조향장치 등 다양한 장치 중에서 현가 장치는 타이어와 차체 사이에 설치되어 노면에 의한 차량의 진동을 억제하여 승차감을 향상시키고 차륜과 노면 사이에 적절한 접지력을 유지시켜 차량의 조정안정성을 향상시키는 등 차량역학적인 측면에서 많은 영향을 미치는 장치 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 차량용 현가 장치의 충격 흡수기를 실제 특성과 유사한 상세 모델로 모델링하고, 충격 흡수기의 주요 설계변수의 불확실성을 통계적으로 고려하여 설계변수의 불확실성이 현가 장치의 동적 특성에 미치는 영향에 대하여 연구하였다.

Choosing an optimal connecting place of a nuclear power plant to a power system using Monte Carlo and LHS methods

  • Kiomarsi, Farshid;Shojaei, Ali Asghar;Soltani, Sepehr
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권7호
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    • pp.1587-1596
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    • 2020
  • The location selection for nuclear power plants (NPP) is a strategic decision, which has significant impact operation of the plant and sustainable development of the region. Further, the ranking of the alternative locations and selection of the most suitable and efficient locations for NPPs is an important multi-criteria decision-making problem. In this paper, the non-sequential Monte Carlo probabilistic method and the Latin hypercube sampling probabilistic method are used to evaluate and select the optimal locations for NPP. These locations are identified by the power plant's onsite loads and the average of the lowest number of relay protection after the NPP's trip, based on electricity considerations. The results obtained from the proposed method indicate that in selecting the optimal location for an NPP after a power plant trip with the purpose of internal onsite loads of the power plant and the average of the lowest number of relay protection power system, on the IEEE RTS 24-bus system network given. This paper provides an effective and systematic study of the decision-making process for evaluating and selecting optimal locations for an NPP.

크리깅 모델을 이용한 순차적 근사최적화 (Sequential Approximate Optimization Using Kriging Metamodels)

  • 신용식;이용빈;류제선;최동훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제29권9호
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    • pp.1199-1208
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    • 2005
  • Nowadays, it is performed actively to optimize by using an approximate model. This is called the approximate optimization. In addition, the sequential approximate optimization (SAO) is the repetitive method to find an optimum by considering the convergence of an approximate optimum. In some recent studies, it is proposed to increase the fidelity of approximate models by applying the sequential sampling. However, because the accuracy and efficiency of an approximate model is directly connected with the design area and the termination criteria are not clear, sequential sampling method has the disadvantages that could support an unreasonable approximate optimum. In this study, the SAO is executed by using trust region, Kriging model and Optimal Latin Hypercube design (OLHD). Trust region is used to guarantee the convergence and Kriging model and OLHD are suitable for computer experiment. finally, this SAO method is applied to various optimization problems of highly nonlinear mathematical functions. As a result, each approximate optimum is acquired and the accuracy and efficiency of this method is verified by comparing with the result by established method.

신경회로망기법을 사용한 타원형 딤플유로의 냉각성능 최적화 (Optimization of a Cooling Channel with Staggered Elliptical Dimples Using Neural Network Techniques)

  • 김현민;문미애;김광용
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2010
  • The present analysis deals with a numerical procedure for optimizing the shape of elliptical dimples in a cooling channel. The three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) analysis is employed in conjunction with the SST model for predictions of the turbulent flow and the heat transfer. Three non-dimensional geometric design variables, such as the ellipse dimple diameter ratio, ratio of the dimple depth to the average diameter, and ratio of the distance between dimples to the pitch are considered in the optimization. Twenty-one experimental points within design space are selected by Latin Hypercube Sampling. Each objective function values at these points are evaluated by RANS analysis and producing optimal point using surrogate model. The linear combination of heat transfer coefficient and friction loss related terms with a weighting factor is defined as the objective function. The results show that the optimized elliptical dimple shape improves considerably the heat transfer performance than the circular dimple shape.

집속효율 향상을 위한 외장유동노즐 가속 구간의 최적설계 연구 (Optimal Design of Sheath Flow Nozzle Acceleration Section for Improving the Focusing Efficiency)

  • 이진우;진정민;김윤제
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.763-772
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    • 2019
  • There is a need to use sheath flow nozzle to detect bioaerosol such as virus and bacteria due to their characteristics. In order to enhance the detection performance depending on nozzle parameters, numerical analysis was carried out using a commercial code, ANSYS CFX. Eulerian-lagrangian approach method is used in this simulation. Multiphase flow characteristics between primary fluid and solid were considered. The detection performance was evaluated based on the results of flow field in nozzle chamber such as focusing efficiency and swirl strength. In addition, Latin hypercube sampling(LHS) of design of experiment(DOE) was used for generating a near-random sampling. Then, the acceleration section is optimized using response surface method(RSM). Results show that the optimized model achieved a 6.13 % in a focusing efficiency and 11.47 % increase in swirl strength over the reference model.

워게임 메타모델 수립을 위한 실험계획 및 모델링 방법에 관한 비교 연구 (Comparisons of Experimental Designs and Modeling Approaches for Constructing War-game Meta-models)

  • 유권태;염봉진
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2007
  • 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션 모델은 일반적으로 복잡할 뿐더러 운용 시 많은 시간이 소요된다. 따라서 분석의 편의를 위해 좀 더 간단한 메타모델을 수립할 필요가 있다. 본 논문에서는 워게임 모델 JANUS를 사용하여 전차 전투 상황을 묘사하고 이에 대한 메타모델을 수립하였다. 메타모델을 수립하기 위해, 데이터 수집방법으로는 8가지의 실험계획법을, 모델링 방법으로는 2차 반응표면분석과 인공신경망을 고려하였다. 수립된 메타모델의 상대적 성능은 예측치의 평균제곱오차를 기준으로 비교하였다. 본 논문에서 고려한 전투상황에 대해서는 대체적으로 2차 반응표면 모형이 인공신경망 모형보다 더 높은 정확도를 보였으며, 실험계획법으로는 직교배열이나 최대최소거리 기준을 적용한 라틴 하이퍼큐브 계획법이 우수한 성능을 보였다.

SAMPLING BASED UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF 10 % HOT LEG BREAK LOCA IN LARGE SCALE TEST FACILITY

  • Sengupta, Samiran;Dubey, S.K.;Rao, R.S.;Gupta, S.K.;Raina, V.K
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.690-703
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    • 2010
  • Sampling based uncertainty analysis was carried out to quantify uncertainty in predictions of best estimate code RELAP5/MOD3.2 for a thermal hydraulic test (10% hot leg break LOCA) performed in the Large Scale Test Facility (LSTF) as a part of an IAEA coordinated research project. The nodalisation of the test facility was qualified for both steady state and transient level by systematically applying the procedures led by uncertainty methodology based on accuracy extrapolation (UMAE); uncertainty analysis was carried out using the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method to evaluate uncertainty for ten input parameters. Sixteen output parameters were selected for uncertainty evaluation and uncertainty band between $5^{th}$ and $95^{th}$ percentile of the output parameters were evaluated. It was observed that the uncertainty band for the primary pressure during two phase blowdown is larger than that of the remaining period. Similarly, a larger uncertainty band is observed relating to accumulator injection flow during reflood phase. Importance analysis was also carried out and standard rank regression coefficients were computed to quantify the effect of each individual input parameter on output parameters. It was observed that the break discharge coefficient is the most important uncertain parameter relating to the prediction of all the primary side parameters and that the steam generator (SG) relief pressure setting is the most important parameter in predicting the SG secondary pressure.