• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.352-359
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• 2018

연구목적: 본 연구는 급속히 진행되는 온난화로 인해 발생되는 예측 불가한 기상이변에 대한 사전 대응방안뿐 아니라 재난재해 위기 시 및 복구 중에도 도시의 기능을 유지하도록 하는 사후 회복과 안정성 방안을 제안하고자 한다. 연구방법: 기술적 관점과 사회적 관점에서 리질리언스 이론을 살펴보고 네덜란드의 리질리언트 정책과 전략을 통해 워터프론트 공간의 리질리언트 계획방안을 모색한다. 연구결과: 기후변화로 인한 해수면 상승과 홍수에 유연하게 대응하기 위한 지역 특성에 따른 예방계획 및 재해 후 도시기능 유지방안과 재해재난 위험을 고려한 공간계획 수립 및 홍수위험수준을 고려한 계획방안은 워터프론트 이용을 위한 토지이용과 사회적 성장 동반, 지역특성을 고려한 재난재해 취약성을 고려한 계획, 재난재해위험을 고려한 물관리 계획 등이다. 결론: 도시공간을 창출함에 있어 기존의 공간계획방식을 넘어 이상기후에 대응한 새로운 도시개발방식이 필요하며, 특히 기후변화에 가장 취약한 워터프론트의 공간적 특성에 따른 리질리언스 전략이 요구된다.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.94-101
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• 2008

Warming trends during winter seasons in East Asian regions are expected to accelerate in the future according to the climate projection by the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Warmer winters may affect short-term cold hardiness of deciduous fruit trees, and yet phenological observations are scant compared to long-term climate records in the regions. Dormancy depth, which can be estimated by daily temperature, is expected to serve as a reasonable proxy for physiological tolerance of flowering buds to low temperature in winter. In order to delineate the geographical pattern of short-term cold hardiness in grapevines, a selected dormancy depth model was parameterized for "Campbell Early", the major cultivar in South Korea. Gridded data sets of daily maximum and minimum temperature with a 270m cell spacing ("High Definition Digital Temperature Map", HDDTM) were prepared for the current climatological normal year (1971-2000) based on observations at the 56 Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) stations and a geospatial interpolation scheme for correcting land surface effects (e.g., land use, topography, and site elevation). To generate relevant datasets for climatological normal years in the future, we combined a 25km-resolution, 2011-2100 temperature projection dataset covering South Korea (under the auspices of the IPCC-SRES A2 scenario) with the 1971-2000 HD-DTM. The dormancy depth model was run with the gridded datasets to estimate geographical pattern of change in the cold-hardiness period (the number of days between endo- and forced dormancy release) across South Korea for the normal years (1971-2000, 2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100). Results showed that the cold-hardiness zone with 60 days or longer cold-tolerant period would diminish from 58% of the total land area of South Korea in 1971-2000 to 40% in 2011-2040, 14% in 2041-2070, and less than 3% in 2071-2100. This method can be applied to other deciduous fruit trees for delineating geographical shift of cold-hardiness zone under the projected climate change in the future, thereby providing valuable information for adaptation strategy in fruit industry.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제41권11호
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• pp.302-309
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• 2017

Background: Large-scale land-use change is being caused by various socioeconomic problems. Land-use change is necessarily accompanied by changes in the regional carbon balance in terrestrial ecosystems and affects climate change. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the correlation between environmental factors altered by land-use change and the carbon balance. To address this issue, we studied the characteristics of soil carbon flux and soil moisture content related to rainfall events in mountain pastures converted from deciduous forest in Korea. Results: The average soil moisture contents (SMC) during the study period were 23.1% in the soil respiration (SR) plot and 25.2% in the heterotrophic respiration (HR) plot. The average SMC was increased to 2.1 and 1.1% in the SR and HR plots after rainfall events, respectively. In addition, saturated water content was 29.36% in this grassland. The soil water content was saturated under the consistent rainfall of more than $5mm\;h^{-1}$ rather than short-term heavy rainfall event. The average SR was increased to 28.4% after a rainfall event, but the average HR was decreased to 70. 1%. The correlation between soil carbon flux rates and rainfall was lower than other environmental factors. The correlation between SMC and soil carbon flux rates was low. However, HR exhibited a tendency to be decreased when SMC was 24.5%. In addition, the correlation between soil temperature and respiration rate was significant. Conclusions: In a mountain pasture ecosystem, rainfall induced the important change of soil moisture content related to respiration in soil. SR and HR were very sensitive to change of SMC in soil surface layer about 0-10-cm depth. SR was increased by elevation of SMC due to a rainfall event, and the result was assumed from maintaining moderate soil moisture content for respiration in microorganism and plant root. However, HR was decreased in long-time saturated condition of soil moisture content. Root has obviously contributed to high respiration in heavy rainfall, but it was affected to quick depression in respiration under low rainfall. The difference of SMC due to rainfall event was causative of a highly fluctuated soil respiration rate in the same soil temperature condition. Therefore, rainfall factor or SMC are to be considered in predicting the soil carbon flux of grassland ecosystems for future climate change.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.336-342
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• 2014

본 연구는 우리나라의 광역지자체의 산림지 온실가스 배출량을 시범산정하기 위해 수행되었다. 온실가스 배출량은 국가 온실가스 인벤토리 산정 지침에 따라 산정하였으며, 이를 위해 임업통계연보 및 산림관련 활동 자료 및 배출계수를 이용하였다. 그 결과 산림지의 2011년 총 배출량은 -58,711Gg $CO_2eq.$, 벌채, 연료재 수집, 산불에 의한 배출량은 19,896Gg $CO_2eq.$로 나타났다. 2011년을 기준으로 산림지에서는 온실가스를 흡수하는 것으로 나타났고, 순 배출량은 -38,815Gg $CO_2eq.$로 나타났다. 광역지자체 별로는 강원도에서 온실가스를 가장 많이 흡수하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 산정결과는 현재 중복산정을 최대한 배제하고자 많은 통계를 활용하지 않은 것으로, 향후 활동자료 및 배출계수 등을 보완하여 산정할 필요가 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.685-693
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• 2017

본 연구는 인구와 주요시설들이 집중되어 있는 도시지역에 국지성 폭우가 발생했을 경우, 용도지역별로 침수 피해에 대한 위험도를 등급화하여 효율적으로 대처하기 위해 연구하였다. 창원시를 대상으로 토지이용의 제도적 기반이 되는 용도지역과 재산 가치를 추정할 수 있는 공시지가, 그리고 건축물의 피해 면적과 밀도를 추정하기 위한 용적률 등에 대한 자료를 확보하여 Fuzzy모형을 통해 동일한 침수면적이 발생했을 경우 사회 경제적 피해에 대한 민감도를 파악함으로써 용도지역별로 피해 정도를 위험등급화를 하였다. 분석결과 창원시의 5개 구(마산합포구, 마산회원구, 성산구, 의창구, 진해구)에서 용도지역별 침수피해 순위는 상업지역, 주거지역, 공업지역, 녹지지역 순으로 동일하게 나타났으며, 이는 상업지역이 공시지가와 용적률이 가장 높아 침수 피해에 대한 재산 피해가 높기 때문으로 판단된다. 하지만 마산회원구와 성산구의 세부적인 분석결과에서 앞선 결과와는 상이한 것을 볼 수 있었는데, 지역의 환경 및 특성에 따라 용도지역별로도 침수위험등급이 달라질 수 있음을 보여주고 있다. 본 연구에서 도출된 결과물은 향후 도시계획과 연계하여 토지이용계획 수립 시 도시 침수피해를 줄이기 위한 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 뿐 아니라, 도시 지역 개발 계획 수립 시 침수 피해 정도를 사전에 예측할 수 있다. 또한, 기후변화와 도시화라는 이슈와 함께 폭우 발생 시 도시 내수침수 저감에 기여하기 위한 대책으로 토지이용 부문이라는 새로운 대책을 제시했다는 점에서 큰 의의가 있다고 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.167-176
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• 2009

Land cover changes associated with urbanization have driven climate change and pollution, which alter properties of ecosystems at local, regional, and continental scales. Thus, the relationships among urban ecological variables such as community composition, structure, health, soil and functioning need to be better understood to restore and improve urban ecosystems. In this study, we discuss urban ecosystem management and research from a futuristic perspective based on analyses of vegetation structure, composition, and successional trends, as well as the chemical properties of soils and the distribution of heat along an urban-rural gradient. Urban thermo-profile analysis using satellite images showed an obvious mitigating effect of vegetation on the Seoul heat island. Community attributes of Quercus mongolica stands reflected the effects of urbanization, such as pronounced increases in disturbance-related and pollution-tolerant species, such as Styrax japonica and Sorbus alnifolia. Retrogressive successional trends were detected in urban sites relative to those in rural sites. Changes in the urban climate and biotic environment have the potential to significantly influence the practice and outcomes of ecological management, restoration and forecasting because of the associated changes in future bio-physical settings. Thus, for management (i.e., creation and restoration) of urban green spaces, forward-thinking perspectives supported by historical information are necessary.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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• pp.486-486
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• 2018

During the post green revolution era, wheat and rice were the main crops of concern to cater the food security issues of Pakistan. The use of semi dwarf high yielding varieties along with extensive use of fertilizers and surface and ground water lead to substantial increase in crop production. However, the higher crop productivity came at the cost of over exploitation of the precious land and water resources, which ultimately has resulted in the dwindling production rates, loss of soil fertility, and qualitative and quantitative deterioration of both surface and ground water bodies. Recently, during the past two decades, severe climate changes are further pushing the Pakistan's wheat-rice system towards its limits. This necessitates a careful analysis of the current crop water requirements and water footprints (both green and blue) to project the future trends under the most likely climate change phenomenon. This was done by using the FAO developed CROPWAT model v 8.0, coupled with the statistically-downscaled climate projections from the 8 Global Circulation Models (GCMs), for the two future time slices, 2030s (2021-2050) and 2060s (2051-2080), under the two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs): 4.5 and 8.5. The wheat-rice production system of Punjab, Pakistan was considered as a case study in exploration of how the changing climate might influence the crop water requirements and water footprints of the two major crops. Under the worst, most likely future scenario of temperature rise and rainfall reduction, the crop water requirements and water footprints, especially blue, increased, owing to the elevated irrigation demands originating from the accelerated evapotranspiration rates. A probable increase in rainfall as envisaged by some GCMs may partly alleviate the adverse impacts of the temperature rise but the higher uncertainties associated with the predicated rainfall patterns is worth considering before reaching a final conclusion. The total water footprints were continuously increasing implying that future climate would profoundly influence the crop evapotranspiration demands. The results highlighted the significance of the irrigation water availability in order to sustain and improve the wheat-rice production system of Punjab, Pakistan.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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• pp.106-106
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• 2018

Ecosystem service valuation is a crucial step for the sustainable management of watershed. In the context of various ecosystem services provided by watershed, this study, particularly deals with water yield computation in Bagmati Basin of Nepal. The water availability per population in Bagmati Basin is lowest compared to other basins in Nepal. Also, the rate of urbanization is rapidly growing over a decade. In this regard, the objectives of this study are 1) to compute the total water yield of the basin along with computation on a sub-watershed scale, and 2) Study the impacts of land use change on water yield based on CLUE-S model. For the study, Integrated Valuation of Environmental Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST), a popular model for ecosystem service assessment based on Budyko hydrological method is used to compute water yield. As well, CLUE-S model is used to study land use change, which is further related to study variation on water yield. The sub-watershed wise outcome of the study is expected to provide the guidelines for the effective and economic management of a watershed on a regional scale.

• 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국대기환경학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.421-422
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• 2003

Greenhouse gases (GHGs) such as carbon dioxide ($CO_2$), methane (CH$_4$), nitrous oxide ($N_2$O), chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), sulphur hexafluoride (SF$_{6}$), together with water vapour ($H_2O$) and ozone play an important role in determining the earth's climate. The primary cause of the enhancement of GHGs is the global use of fossil fuels to generate heat, power, and electricity for a growing world population, as well as the changes in the land use, especially for agriculture. In addition, biomass buring and biofuel emissions play major roles in the GHG emissions in the Asian region because they produce large amounts of carbon monoxide (CO), nonmethane volatile organic compounds(NMVOC), black carbon(BC) and other gases. (omitted)d)

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.463-478
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• 1997

본 연구에서는 간척사업이 주변의 환경에 미친 영향을 파악하여 간척사업 과정상의 시행착오의 원인을 규명하고, 지속가능한 개발을 위한 합리적인 방법을 모색하고자 하였다. Landsat TM 자료와 문헌자료의 분석 및 현지답사를 통하여 간척사업으로 인한 토지이용과 산업구조, 수질, 생태계, 기후 등의 환경 변화를 분석하였다. 서산 A${\cdot}$B지구와 사화지구 등 대규모 간척사업은 새로운 농경지와 산업용지를 창출하였으나, 그 주변지역의 토지이용과 환경에 많은 영향을 미쳤다. 즉, 갯벌과 삼림 면적이 감소하고 주변지역의 도시화현상으로 인구 및 산업구조의 변화를 초래하였고, 산업화로 인한 오염부하량의 증가는 수질 악화와 생태계 훼손의 원인이 되어 사회적 문제를 야기하였으며, 일부 기후요서의 변화를 가져왔다. 수질오염의 가장 큰 원인은 환경영향평가의 범위를 사업지구만으로 한정하였으며, 환경현황조사에서 사업지구의 계절별 강수패턴 및 유입하천의 규모 등에 관한 특성을 간과한데 기인하다. 지속가능한 개발을 위하여서는 사업시행 전에 합리적인 환경기초자료의 구축과 적절한 환경영향권의 설정, 그리고 사업완료 후의 엄격한 환경평가와 환경변화에 관한 지속적인 자료의 축적이 필요하다.