• 제목/요약/키워드: LHS(Latin-hypercube sampling)

검색결과 42건 처리시간 0.024초

지진하중을 받는 RC 박스터널의 확률론적 취약도 평가기법 (A probabilistic fragility evaluation method of a RC box tunnel subjected to earthquake loadings)

  • 허정원;리 타이손;강충현;곽기석;박인준
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.143-159
    • /
    • 2017
  • 지진하중으로 초래되는 지하터널 구조물의 손상에 대한 위험도를 예측하기 위해 이 논문에서 확률론적 취약도 평가절차를 개발하였다. 특히 지진취약도 평가에 필수 요소인 취약도곡선의 유도를 위하여 단순화된 방법론을 정립하는 데 중점을 두었다. 지반-구조물상호작용(SSI) 효과를 고려한 구조물의 동적응답거동을 추정하기 위해서 지중구조물에 대한 지반응답가속도법(GRAMBS)을 제안기법에 적용하였다. 또한, 푸시오버 해석을 통해 터널의 손상상태를 정의하고 라틴하이퍼큐브 샘플링(LHS) 기법을 사용하여 설계변수와 관련된 불확실성을 고려하였다. 적용된 기법의 개념을 보다 상세하게 설명하기 위하여 설계스펙트럼을 만족하도록 생성된 다수의 인공지진운동에 대해 수치해석을 수행하고 취약도곡선을 개발하였다. 두 매개변수 대수정규분포 함수로 지진 취약도곡선을 표현하는데, 여기서 두 매개변수인 중앙값과 대수표준편차는 최우추정(MLE)법을 사용하여 산정하였다.

신뢰도 물리모델을 이용한 인간신뢰도분석 연구 (Human Reliability Analysis Using Reliability Physics Models)

  • Moo-sung Jae
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.123-130
    • /
    • 2002
  • 본 논문은 사고관리방안 수행에 있어서 발생되는 인적오류의 정량적 평가방법을 개발하여 공동범람 사고관리방안의 예제문제에 적용한 연구결과를 기술하고있다. PSA에서 사용되었던 기존의 인간오류평가 방법론인 THERP, HCR, SLIM-MAUD 방법의 특징을 검토하여 장단점을 기술하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 인간오류평가 방법론은 신뢰도물리모델을 이용하는 새로운 HRA 분석방법이다. 불확실성 분석을 위하여 MAAP 코드와 LHS 코드가 사용되었다. 본 연구를 통하여 제안하는 방법은 매우 유연하여 중대사고관리방안과 관련한 다양한 인간오류행위에 대한 평가에 사용될 수 있음을 보여주었다.

Thermal Hydraulic Design Parameters Study for Severe Accidents Using Neural Networks

  • Roh, Chang-Hyun;Chang, Soon-Heung
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국원자력학회 1997년도 추계학술발표회논문집(1)
    • /
    • pp.469-474
    • /
    • 1997
  • To provide tile information ell severe accident progression is very important for advanced or new type of nuclear power plant (NPP) design. A parametric study, therefore was performed to investigate the effect of thermal hydraulic design parameters ell severe accident progression of pressurized water reactors (PWRs), Nine parameters, which are considered important in NPP design or severe accident progression, were selected among the various thermal hydraulic design parameters. The backpropagation neural network (BPN) was used to determine parameters, which might more strongly affect the severe accident progression, among mile parameters. For training. different input patterns were generated by the latin hypercube sampling (LHS) technique and then different target patterns that contain core uncovery time and vessel failure time were obtained for Young Gwang Nuclear (YGN) Units 3&4 using modular accident analysis program (MAAP) 3.0B code. Three different severe accident scenarios, such as two loss of coolant accidents (LOCAs) and station blackout(SBO), were considered in this analysis. Results indicated that design parameters related to refueling water storage tank (RWST), accumulator and steam generator (S/G) have more dominant effects on the progression of severe accidents investigated, compared to tile other six parameters.

  • PDF

Comparison of residual strength-grounding damage index diagrams for tankers produced by the ALPS/HULL ISFEM and design formula method

  • Kim, Do Kyun;Kim, Han Byul;Mohd, Mohd Hairil;Paik, Jeom Kee
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.47-61
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study compares the Residual ultimate longitudinal strength - grounding Damage index (R-D) diagrams produced by two analysis methods: the ALPS/HULL Intelligent Supersize Finite Element Method (ISFEM) and the design formula (modified Paik and Mansour) method - used to assess the safety of damaged ships. The comparison includes four types of double-hull oil tankers: Panamax, Aframax, Suezmax and VLCC. The R-D diagrams were calculated for a series of 50 grounding scenarios. The diagrams were efficiently sampled using the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) technique and comprehensively analysed based on ship size. Finally, the two methods were compared by statistically analysing the differences between their grounding damage indices and ultimate longitudinal strength predictions. The findings provide a useful example of how to apply the ultimate longitudinal strength analysis method to grounded ships.

민감도 분석을 통한 종합병원 병동부의 에너지 절감 외피 설계요소 도출 (A Study on Envelope Design Variables for Energy Conservation of General Hospital Ward Area by Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 오지현;권순정;김선숙
    • 의료ㆍ복지 건축 : 한국의료복지건축학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.7-14
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose: Since the large hospitals are one of the most intensive energy users among building types in Korea, it is important to investigate and apply appropriate energy conservation measures. There are many researches on energy conservation measures for HVAC system in hospitals, but only few useful guidelines for envelope design variables were existed. The building envelope is one of the important factors to building energy consumption and patients' comfort. The purpose of this study is to suggest the most influential envelope design variables for each end-use energy demand. Methods: 100 samples were generated by LHS(Latin Hypercube Sampling) method. After energy performance simulation, global sensitivity analysis was performed by the regression method. DesignBuilder, Simlab 2.2 and JEPlus were used in this process. Results: The most influencing variables are SHGC, SHGC and VT for heating, cooling, and lighting, respectively. However, the most influencing variable for total energy demand is WWR(Window to Wall Ratio). The analysis was conducted based on the coefficient of variance results. Implications: The six envelop design variables were ranked according to the end-use energy demand.

Multiple failure criteria-based fragility curves for structures equipped with SATMDs

  • Bakhshinezhad, Sina;Mohebbi, Mohtasham
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • 제17권5호
    • /
    • pp.463-475
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this paper, a procedure to develop fragility curves of structures equipped with semi-active tuned mass dampers (SATMDs) considering multiple failure criteria has been presented while accounting for the uncertainties of the input excitation, structure and control device parameters. In this procedure, Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method has been employed to generate 30 random SATMD-structure systems and nonlinear incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) has been conducted under 20 earthquakes to determine the structural responses, where failure probabilities in each intensity level have been evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. For numerical analysis, an eight-story nonlinear shear building frame with bilinear hysteresis material behavior has been used. Fragility curves for the structure equipped with optimal SATMDs have been developed considering single and multiple failure criteria for different performance levels and compared with that of uncontrolled structure as well as structure controlled using passive tuned mass damper (TMD). Numerical analysis has shown the capability of SATMDs in significant enhancement of the seismic fragility of the nonlinear structure. Also, considering multiple failure criteria has led to increasing the fragility of the structure. Moreover, it is observed that the influence of the uncertainty of input excitation with respect to the other uncertainties is considerable.

다성분 에어로졸계의 동특성 묘사를 위한 전산 코드의 개발 -불확실성 및 민감도 해석- (Development of Computer Code for Simulation of Multicomponent Aerosol Dynamics -Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis-)

  • Na, Jang-Hwan;Lee, Byong-Whi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.85-98
    • /
    • 1987
  • 중대사고시 LMFBR의 에어로졸(aerosol) 동특성을 살피기 위해 전산코드인 MCAD (Multicomponent Aerosol Dynamics)가 개발되었다. 사고경과에 따른 두 방사능원의 상대적인 충돌확률을 적용하여 에어로졸계를 모사할 수 있다. Brownian 확산과 중력작용에 의한 결합 및 제거과정을 고려했으며, 입자형태를 묘사하기 위해 밀도보정과 형태요소(shape factor)를 동시에 고려하였다. ORNL의 NSPP-300 계열 실험자료와 기존의 코드를MCAD의 입증에 이용하였다. 그 결과 MCAD의 계산치와 실험치 및 기존의 코드 계산값이 일치함을 보여준다. 여러 입력자료의 불화실한 값들을 정의하고, 그들값의 한계로 설정하기 위하여 불확실성 및 민감도해석을 수행하였다. 14개의 입력자료를 선택하여 실험계획법과 Latin hypercube sampling에 의한 입력자료를 조합하여 그 회귀 (regression) 정도를 반응표면 계획법(Response surface method)에 의해 구하였다. 각 변수들의 중요성 및 시간경과에 따른 그들의 상대적인 등위를 결정하기 위하여 단계식 회귀방법 (Stepwise regression method)을 고려했다. LHS에 의한 회귀모형에 Monte Carlo Method를 적용하여 계산값 및 변수들에의 신뢰도를 향상시켰다.

  • PDF

단상 BLDC 전동기의 코깅토크 저감을 위한 고정자 형상 최적설계 (Optimal Design of Stator Shape for Cogging Torque Reduction of Single-phase BLDC Motor)

  • 박용운;소지영;정동화;유용민;조주희;안강순;김대경
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제62권11호
    • /
    • pp.1528-1534
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper proposes the optimal design of stator shape for cogging torque reduction of single-phase brushless DC (BLDC) motor with asymmetric notch. This method applied size and position of asymmetric notches to tapered teeth of stator for single-phase BLDC motor. Which affects the variation of the residual flux density of the permanent magnet. The process of optimal design included the extraction of the sampling point by using Latin Hypercube Sampling(LHS), and involved the creation of an approximation model by using kriging method. Also, the optimum point of the design variables were discovered by using the Genetic Algorithm(GA). Finite element analysis was used to calculate the characteristics analysis and cogging torque. As a result of finite element analysis, cogging torque were reduced approximately 39.2% lower than initial model. Also experimental result were approximately 38.5% lower than initial model. The period and magnitude of the cogging torque were similar to the results of FEA.

지반강성의 변동성이 원전구조물의 지반-구조물 상호작용 응답에 미치는 영향 분석 (Evaluation of Soil Stiffness Variability Effects on Soil-Structure Interaction Response of Nuclear Power Plant Structure)

  • 김재민;노태용;허정원;김문수;현창헌
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.63-74
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study investigated the influence of probabilistic variability in stiffness and nonlinearity of soil on response of nuclear power plant (NPP) structure subjected to seismic loads considering the soil-structure interaction (SSI). Both deterministic and probabilistic methods have been employed to evaluate the dynamic responses of the structure. For the deterministic method, $SRP_{min}$ method given in USNRC SRP 3.7.2(2013) (envelope of responses using three shear modulus profiles of lower bound($G_{LB}$), best estimate($G_{BE}$) and upper bound($G_{UB}$)) and $SRP_{max}$ method (envelope of responses by more than three ground profiles within range of $G_{LB}{\leq}G{\leq}G_{UB}$) have been considered. The probabilistic method uses the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) that can capture probabilistic feature of soil stiffness defined by the median and the standard deviation. These analysis results indicated that 1) number of samples shall be larger than 60 to apply the probabilistic approach in SSI analysis and 2) in-structure response spectra using equivalent linear soil profiles considering the nonlinear behavior of soil medium can be larger than those based on low-strain soil profiles.

전역 민감도 분석을 이용한 건물 에너지 성능평가의 합리적 개선 (Rational Building Energy Assessment using Global Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 유영서;이동혁;김선숙;박철수
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
    • /
    • 제36권5호
    • /
    • pp.177-185
    • /
    • 2020
  • The building energy performance indicator, called Energy Performance Index (EPI), has been used for the past decades in South Korea. It has a list of design variables assigned with weighting factors (a, b). Unfortunately, the current EPI method is not performance-based but very close to a prescriptive rating. With this in mind, this study aims to propose a new performance-based EPI method. For this purpose, a global sensitivity analysis method, Sobol, is employed. The Sobol method is suitable for complex nonlinear models and can decompose all the output variance due to every input. The Sobol sensitivity index of each variable is defined as 0 to 1 (0 to 100%), and the sum of all sensitivity indices is equal to 1 (100%). In this study, an office building was modeled using EnergyPlus and then the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) was conducted to generate a surrogate model to EnergyPlus. The sensitivity index was suggested to replace weight (a) in the existing EPI. In addition, the discrete weight (b) in the existing EPI was replaced by a set of continuous regression functions. Due to the introduction of the sensitivity index and the continuous regression functions, the new proposed approach can provide far more accurate outcome than the existing EPI (R2: 0.83 vs. R2: 0.01 for cooling, R2: 0.66 vs. R2: 0.01 for total energy). The new proposed approach proves to be more rational, objective and performance-based than the existing EPI method.