• 제목/요약/키워드: L-moment method

검색결과 142건 처리시간 0.03초

L 및 LH-모멘트법과 지역빈도분석에 의한 가뭄우량의 추정(I) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Drought Rainfall by Regional Frequency Analysis using L and LH-Moments(I) - On the Method of L-Moments -)

  • 이순혁;윤성수;맹승진;류경식;주호길
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2003
  • This study is mainly conducted to derive the design drought rainfall by the consecutive duration using probability weighted moments with rainfall in the regional drought frequency analysis. It is anticipated to suggest optimal design drought rainfall of hydraulic structures for the water requirement and drought frequency of occurrence for the safety of water utilization through this study. Preferentially, this study was conducted to derive the optimal regionalization of the precipitation data that can be classified by the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions all over the regions except Cheju and Ulreung islands in Korea. Five homogeneous regions in view of topographical and climatological aspects were accomplished by K-means clustering method. Using the L-moment ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, generalized extreme value distribution was confirmed as the best fitting one among applied distributions. At-site and regional parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moments. Design drought rainfalls using L-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the at-site and regional analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design drought rainfall derived by at-site and regional analysis in the observed an simulated data were computed and compared. In has shown that the regional frequency analysis procedure can substantially more reduce the RRMSE. RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than those of at-site analysis in the prediction of design drought rainfall. Consequently, optimal design drought rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

복합진자 모형의 뉴튼.오일러 알고리즘 비교 (Comparison of Newton's and Euler's Algorithm in a Compound Pendulum)

  • 하종규
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2006
  • The Primary type of swinging motion in human movement is that which is characteristic of a pendulum. The two types of pendulums are identified as simple and compound. A simple pendulum consist of a small body suspended by a relatively long cord. Its total mass is contained within the bob. The cord is not considered to have mass. A compound pendulum, on the other hand, is any pendulum such as the human body swinging by hands from a horizontal bar. Therefore a compound pendulum depicts important motions that are harmonic, periodic, and oscillatory. In this paper one discusses and compares two algorithms of Newton's method(F = m a) and Euler's method (M = $I{\times}{\alpha}$) in compound pendulum. Through exercise model such as human body with weight(m = 50 kg), body length(L = 1.5m), and center of gravity ($L_c$ = 0.4119L) from proximal end swinging by hands from a horizontal bar, one finds kinematic variables(angle displacement / velocity / acceleration), and simulates kinematic variables by changing body lengths and body mass. BSP by Clauser et al.(1969) & Chandler et al.(1975) is used to find moment of inertia of the compound pendulum. The radius of gyration about center of gravity (CoG) is $k_c\;=\;K_c{\times}L$ (단, k= radius of gyration, K= radius of gyration /segment length), and then moment of inertia about center of gravity(CoG) becomes $I_c\;=\;m\;k_c^2$. Finally, moment of inertia about Z-axis by parallel theorem becomes $I_o\;=\;I_c\;+\;m\;k^2$. The two-order ordinary differential equations of models are solved by ND function of numeric analysis method in Mathematica5.1. The results are as follows; First, The complexity of Newton's method is much more complex than that of Euler's method Second, one could be find kinematic variables according to changing body lengths(L = 1.3 / 1.7 m) and periods are increased by body length increment(L = 1.3 / 1.5 / 1.7 m). Third, one could be find that periods are not changing by means of changing mass(m = 50 / 55 / 60 kg). Conclusively, one is intended to meditate the possibility of applying a compound pendulum to sports(balling, golf, gymnastics and so on) necessary swinging motions. Further improvements to the study could be to apply Euler's method to real motions and one would be able to develop the simulator.

연성진동하는 L형 단면 보의 크랙 검출 방법에 대한 연구 (Study on Method of Crack Detection of L-beams with Coupled Vibration)

  • 손인수;조정래;안성진
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.78-86
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims to investigate the natural frequency of a cracked cantilever L-beams with a coupled bending and torsional vibrations. In addition, a theoretical method for detection of the crack position and size in a cantilever L-beams is presented based on natural frequencies. Based on the Euler-Bernoulli beam theory, the equation of motion is derived by using extended Hamilton's Principle. The dynamic transfer matrix method is used for calculation of a exact natural frequencies of L-beams. In order to detect the crack of L-beams, the effect of spring coefficients for bending moment and torsional force is included. In this study, the differences between the actual data and predicted positions and sizes of crack are less than 0.5% and 6.7% respectively.

고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정(II) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques(l ) - On the method of L-moments-)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among applied distributions. Regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the legions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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L-모멘트 및 LH-모멘트 기법에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도(II)-LH-모멘트법을 중심으로 (Derivatio of Optimal Design Flood by L-Moments and LH-Moments(II) - On the method of LH-Moments -)

  • 이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1999
  • Derivatio of reasonable design floods was attempted by comparative analysis of design floods derived by Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distribution using methods of L-moments and LH-moments for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong. Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems, LH-coefficient of variation, LH-skewness and Lh-kurtosis were calcualted by KH-moment ration respectively. Paramenters were estimated by the Method of LH-Moments, Design floods obtained by Method of LH-Moments using different methods for plotting positionsi n GEV distribution and design floods were compared with those obtained using the Method of L-Moments by the Relative Mean Errors(RME) and Relative Absolute Errors(RAE). The results was found that design floods derived by the method of L-Moments and LH-Moments using Cunnane plotting position formula in the GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by methods of L-moments and LH-moments using the other formula for plotting positions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Relative Absolute Errors. In viewpoint of the fact that hydrqulic structures including dams and levees are genrally using design floods with the return period of two hundred years or so, design floods derived by LH-Moments are seemed to be more reasonable than those of L-Moments in the GEV distribution.

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L-모멘트법에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도 (Derivation of Optimal Design Flood by L-Moments)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진;정연수;김동주;류경식
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1998년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.318-324
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Generalized Extreme-value(GEV) distribution for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. L-coefficient of variation, L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of Moments and L-Moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in GEV distribution were compared by the relative mean and relative absolute error. It was found that design floods derived by the method of L-moments using weibull plotting position formula in GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by method of moments using different formulas for plotting positions in view of relative mean and relative absolute error.

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2경간 연속교의 과재하중 해석방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Overload of a Two-Span Continuous Bridige)

  • 한상철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 1993
  • Residual Deformation Analysis(RDA) is a new method for ratings of the continuous bridges. The RDA makes it possible to expand the inelastic steel girder bridge design method set forth in the American Association of State Highway Officals'(AASHTO) Guide Specifications for Alternate Load Factor Design Procedures for Steel Beam Bridges Using Braced Compact Sections(1986) into an inelastic rating method. It is a method to assess the residual moments and deformations that are set up in a beam that has been loaded into the post-elastic range This method combines classical elastic conjugate beam theory with linear moment-rotation relationships for midspan inelastic positive moment. The limit state is inelastic serviceability limit. which is defined as the ratio of the span to midspan inelastic deflection(C=L/D).

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Mixture of Cumulants Approximaton 법에 의한 발전 시물레이션에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Probabilistic Production Cost Simulation by the Mixture of Cumulants Approximation)

  • 송길영;김용하
    • 대한전기학회논문지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1991
  • This paper describes a new method of calculating expected energy generation and loss of load probability (L.O.L.P) for electric power system operation and expansion planning. The method represents an equivalent load duration curve (E.L.D.C) as a mixture of cumulants approximation (M.O.N.A). By regarding a load distribution as many normal distributions-rather than one normal distribution-and representing each of them in terms of Gram-Charlier expansion, we could improve the accuracy of results. We developed an algorithm which automatically determines the number of distribution and demarcation points. In modeling of a supply system, we made subsets of generators according to the number of generator outage: since the calculation of each subset's moment needs to be processed rapidly, we further developed specific recursive formulae. The method is applied to the test systems and the results are compared with those of cumulant, M.O.N.A. and Booth-Baleriaux method. It is verified that the M.O.C.A. method is faster and more accure than any other method.

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확률가중모멘트의 차수 변화에 따른 홍수량 변동 특성 분석 (Analysis on Characteristics of Variation in Flood Flow by Changing Order of Probability Weighted Moments)

  • 맹승진;황주하
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.1009-1019
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라 수위관측소들 중에서 관측 유량이 검증된 총 19개 유역을 선정하고 관측된 홍수량을 사용하여 적정 설계홍수량을 유도함으로써 우리나라의 설계홍수량 특성을 분석하였다. 대상유역별로 관측개시 년도에서부터 분석 시작년을 기준으로 1년씩 증가 시키는 점진적 구성 방식으로 연최대홍수량에 대한 빈도분석을 실시하기 위해, 변동특성을 이동평균법에 의해 분석하였다. 19개 대상유역에 대한 연최대홍수량 계열 구성기간별로 기본통치를 산정하고 독립성, 동질성 및 Outiler 검정을 실시하였다. Gumbel, Generalized Extreme Value, Generalized Logistic 및 Generalized Pareto 분포의 적합도 검정을 LH-모멘트비도와 Kolmogorov-Smirnov 검정에 의해 수행하였다. 적정 확률분포로 선정된 GEV 분포의 매개변수를 확률가중모멘트의 치수 변화에 의한 L, L1, L2, L3 및 L4-모멘트법에 의해 추정하고 대상유역 및 연최대홍수량 계열 구성 기간별 설계홍수량을 유도하였다. 본 연구에서 사용한 변동률 분석에 따라 최근 지구온난화에 따른 우리나라 기후 변화를 고려한 적절한 수리구조물의 설계 조건변경시기는 2002년 전후로 하여야 할 것이다.

3변수 및 4변수 Kappa 분포에 의한 설계홍수량 추정 (Estimation of Design Floods Using 3 and 4 Parameter Kappa Distributions)

  • 맹승진;김병준;김형산
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2009
  • This paper is to induce design floods through L-moment with 3 and 4 parameter Kappa distributions including test of independence by Wald-Wolfowitz, homogeneity by Mann-Whitney and outlier by Grubbs-Beck on annual maximum flood flows at 9 water level gaging stations in Han, Nakdong and Geum Rivers of South Korea. After analyzing appropriateness of the data of annual maximum flood flows by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, 3 and 4 Kappa distributions were applied and the appropriateness was judged. The parameters of 3 and 4 Kappa distributions were estimated by L-moment method and the design floods by water level gaging station was calculated. Through the comparative analysis using the relative root mean square errors (RRMSE) and relative absolute errors (RAE) calculated by 3 and 4 parameter Kappa distributions with 4 plotting position formulas, the result showed that the design floods by 4 parameter Kappa distribution with Weibull and Cunnane plotting position formulas are closer to the observed data than those obtained by 3 parameter Kappa distribution with 4 plotting position formulas and 4 parameter Kappa distribution with Hazen and Gringorten plotting position formulas.