• Title/Summary/Keyword: L-모멘트

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Variation Trends of Design Rainfall according to Change of the Number of Years for Observed Data (관측년수변화에 따른 설계강우량의 변동추이)

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Hwang, Man-Ha;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.567-570
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 GEV분포형에 패해 L-모멘트법을 적용하여 추정된 지점빈도 설계강우량의 변동추이가 관측년수변화에 따라 어떠한 변동추이를 나타내는지를 규명함으로써 향후 수리시설물의 설계방향모색에 도움이 되고자 한다. 현재 우리나라는 수리시설물의 설계나 관리시에 PMP, PMF 또는 빈도별 설계수문량 등을 이용하고 있다. 그러나, 이러한 수문량들은 매년 관측되는 수문관측치들에 의해서 매번 변하고 있으며 또한 이러한 변화의 양상과 크기는 각 지점별로 매우 다양하게 나타나고 있다. 이로인해, 수리시설물의 설계 및 관리시 관측 지점별로 매우 상이한 설계수문량을 제시하기도 하며 특정관측자료로 인해 설계수문량이 급변하는 등 많은 혼란을 초래하고 있는 실정이다. 따라서, 현재 관측지점별로 나타나고 있는 설계수문량의 변화양상을 분석함으로써 추후에 변화될 설계수문량의 양상 예측이 가능할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 우리나라 전역에 걸쳐 기록년수가 가장 긴 강릉, 서울, 인천, 추풍령, 포항, 대구, 전주, 울산, 광주, 부산, 목포 및 여수기상대의 총 12개소를 선정하여 해당 기상대의 24시간 최대강우량을 대상으로 지점빈도분석을 실시한다. 지점빈도분석시 적용된 분포형과 매개변수추정법은 최근 가장 많이 사용되고 있는 GEV분포형과 L-모멘트법을 적용한다. 또한. 최종결론은 설계수문량의 양상을 형태별로 분류하고 형태에 따른 특성들과 예상되는 현상들에 대해 기술하고자 한다.

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Analysis on Characteristics of Variation in Flood Flow by Changing Order of Probability Weighted Moments (확률가중모멘트의 차수 변화에 따른 홍수량 변동 특성 분석)

  • Maeng, Seung-Jin;Hwang, Ju-Ha
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.1009-1019
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    • 2009
  • In this research, various characteristics of South Korea's design flood have been examined by deriving appropriate design flood, using data obtained from careful observation of actual floods occurring in selected main watersheds of the nation. 19 watersheds were selected for research in Korea. The various characteristics of annual rainfall were analyzed by using a moving average method. The frequency analysis was decided to be performed on the annual maximum flood of succeeding one year as a reference year. For the 19 watersheds, tests of basic statistics, independent, homogeneity, and outlier were calculated per period of annual maximum flood series. By performing a test using the LH-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, among applied distributions of Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) distribution was found to be adequate compared with other probability distributions. Parameters of GEV distribution were estimated by L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment method based on the change in the order of probability weighted moments. Design floods per watershed and the periods of annual maximum flood series were derived by GEV distribution. According to the result of the analysis performed by using variation rate used in this research, it has been concluded that the time for changing the design conditions to ensure the proper hydraulic structure that considers recent climate changes of the nation brought about by global warming should be around the year 2002.

Optimum Yaw Moment Distribution with ESC and AFS Under Lateral Force Constraint on AFS (AFS 횡력 제한조건 하에서 ESC와 AFS를 이용한 최적 요 모멘트 분배)

  • Yim, Seongjin;Lee, Jungjae;Cho, Sung Ik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents an integrated chassis control with electronic stability control (ESC) and active front steering (AFS) under lateral force constraint on AFS. The control yaw moment is calculated using a sliding mode control. The tire forces generated by ESC and AFS are determined using weighted pseudo-inverse based control allocation (WPCA) in order to generate the control yaw moment. On a low friction road, AFS is not effective when the lateral tire forces of front wheels are easily saturated. To solve problem, the lateral force of AFS is limited to its maximum and the braking of ESC is applied with WPCA. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method, a simulation was performed on the vehicle simulation package, $CarSim^{(R)}$. From the simulation, it was verified that the proposed method could enhance the maneuverability and lateral stability if the lateral force of AFS exceeds its maximum.

Derivation of Design Flood by L-Moments and LH-Moments in GEV distributiion (L-모멘트 및 LH-모멘트에 의한 GEV 분포모형의 실계홍수량의 유도)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진;정연수;김동주;류경식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10c
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    • pp.479-485
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to derived design floods by Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distributiion for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum , Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequency for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the test of Independence, Homogeneity , detection of Outliers. Coefficient of variation , skewness and kurtosis were calculated by the L-Moment, and LH-Moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the Method of L-Method of LH-Moment. Design floods obtained by Method of L-Moments and LH-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in GEV distributions and were compared with those obatined using the Method of L-Moments and LH-Moments by the Relative Mean Errors and Realtive Absoulte Errors. It was found that desgin floods derived by the method of L-Moments and LH-Moments using Cunnane plotting position foumula in the GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by methods of L-moments and LH-moments using the other formula for poltting postions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Relative Absoulte Errors. In view of the fact that hydraulic structures indcluding dams and levees are generally usiong design floods with the return period of two hundred years or so, design floods derived by LH-Moments are seemed to be more reasonable than those of L-Moments in the GEV distribution.

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Analytical study on resisting moment of concrete pole installed in sloped ground (콘크리트 전주의 경사지 저항 모멘트에 관한 해석 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Geun;Lee, Seung-Ryun;Yi, Gyu-Sei;Yoon, Ki-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.842-847
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    • 2007
  • In this study, for the purpose of estimating the resisting moment of sloped ground based on level ground fall down safety equation in design specification, compute it depends on penetration depth of concrete pile applying modulus of foundation about the angle of internal friction, cohesion, unit weight of soil, classes of the ground, sandy or clay soil, and verify established study using L-Pile Plus13.8. Also, select four cases that characteristics of soil depending on the soil grade is considered and compute the 12m length concrete pile's resisting moment of the ground those angle is changing from $0^{\circ}{\sim}35^{\circ},\;step\;5^{\circ}$. In the result, identify that the resisting moment of ground decreases depending on ground slope. Thus, increasing of penetration depth is required.

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Adaptive Algorithms for Yaw Moment Distribution with ESC and ARS (적응 알고리즘을 이용한 ESC와 ARS 기반 요 모멘트 분배)

  • Yim, Seongjin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.997-1003
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents an application of adaptive algorithms for yaw moment distribution with electronic stability control (ESC) and active rear steering (ARS) in integrated chassis control (ICC). Integrated chassis control consists of upper- and lower-level controllers. In the upper-level controller, the control yaw moment is computed with sliding mode control required to stabilize a vehicle. In the lower-level controller, adaptive algorithms are applied to determine the required brake pressure of ESC and the necessary steering angle of ARS, in order to generate the control yaw moment. Simulation is performed using the vehicle simulation package CarSim to validate the proposed method.

A Development of Regional Frequency Model Based on Hierarchical Bayesian Model (계층적 Bayesian 모형 기반 지역빈도해석 모형 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Oon-Ki;Lee, Jeong-Ju
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to develop a new regional frequency analysis model based on hierarchical Bayesian model that allows us to better estimate and quantify model parameters as well as their associated uncertainties. A Monte-carlo experiment procedure has been set up to verify the proposed regional frequency analysis. It was found that the proposed hierarchical Bayesian model based regional frequency analysis outperformed the existing L-moment based regional frequency analysis in terms of reducing biases associated with the model parameters. Especially, the bias is remarkably decreased with increasing return period. The proposed model was applied to six weather stations in Jeollabuk-do, and compared with the existing L-moment approach. This study also provided shrinkage process of the model parameters that is a typical behavior in hierarchical Bayes models. The results of case study show that the proposed model has the potential to obtain reliable estimates of the parameters and quantitatively provide their uncertainties.