• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kriging system

Search Result 130, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Shape Optimization of a Segment Ball Valve Using Metamodels

  • Lee, Jin-Hwan;Lee, Kwon-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.7
    • /
    • pp.553-558
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study presents the optimization design process of a segment ball valve that involves the reduction of the flow resistance coefficient and the satisfaction of the strength requirement. Numerical analysis of fluid flow and structural analysis have been performed to predict the flow resistance coefficient and the maximum stress of a segment ball valve. In this study, a segment ball valve incorporating the advantages of a ball valve and a butterfly valve has been devised. In general, ball valves are installed in a pipe system where tight shut off is required. Butterfly valves having smaller end-to-end dimension than ball valve can be installed in narrow spaces in a pipe system. The metamodels for the shape design of a segment ball valve are built by the response surface method and the Kriging interpolation model.

A Study on the Interpolation of Missing Rainfall : 1. Methodologies and Weighting Factors (결측 강우량 보정방법에 관한 연구: 1. 방법론 및 가중치 산정)

  • Kim Eung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.684-689
    • /
    • 2006
  • Rainfall is the most basic input data to analyze the hydrologic system. When we measure the rainfall data, the rainfall data can be missing due to various reasons. Therefore, various interpolation methods are available for compensating the missing data. However, the interpolation methods were used without considering their applicability and accuracy. This study compares the interpolation methods such as the arithmetic mean method, normal ratio method, modified normal ratio method, inverse distance method, linear programming, Kriging method to estimate the existing rainfall correction method.

  • PDF

On State Estimation Using Remotely Sensed Data and Ground Measurements -An Overview of Some Useful Tools-

  • Seo, Dong-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-67
    • /
    • 1991
  • An overview is given on stochastic techniques with which remotely sensed data may be used together with ground measurements for purposes of state estimation and prediction. They can explicitly account for spatiotemporal differences in measurement characteristics between ground measurements and remotely sensed data, and are suitable for highly variant space or space-time processes, such as atmosperic processes, which may be viewed as (containing) a random process. For state estimation of static ststems, optimal linear estimation is described. As alternatives, various co-kriging estimation techniques are also described, including simple, ordinary, universal, lognormal, disjunctive, indicator, and Bayesian extersion to simple and lognormal. For illustrative purposes, very simple examples of optimal linear estimation and simple co-kriging are given. For state estimation and prediction of dynamic system, distributed-parameter kalman filter is described. Issues concerning actual implemention are given, and with application potential are described.

Spatial Distribution Analysis of Metallic Elements in Dustfall using GIS (GIS를 이용한 강하분진 중 금속원소의 공간분포분석)

  • 윤훈주;김동술
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.13 no.6
    • /
    • pp.463-474
    • /
    • 1997
  • Metallic elements in dustfall have been known as notable air pollutants directly or indirectly influencing human health and wealth. The first aim of this study was to obtain precise spatial distribution patterns of 5 elements (Pb, Zn, K, Cr, and Al) in dustfall around Suwon area. To predict isometric lines of metal fluxes deposited on unsupervised random sites, the study has applied both spatial statistics as a receptor model and a GIS (geographic information system). Total of 31 sampling sites were selected in the study area (roughly 3 by 3 km grid basis) and dustfall samples were then collected monthly basis by the British deposit gauges from Dec., 1995 to Nov., 1996. The metallic elements in the dustfall were then analyzed by an atomic absorption spectrometer (AAS). On the other hand, a base map overlapped by 7 layers was constructed by using the AutoCAD R13 and ARC/INFO 3.4D. Four different spatial interpolation and expolation techniques such as IDW (inverse distance weighted averaging), TIN (triangulated irregular network), polynomial regression, and kriging technique were examined to compare spatial distribution patterns. Each pattern obtained by each technique was substantally different as varing pollutant types, land of use types, and topological conditions, etc. Thus, our study focused intensively on uncertainty analysis based on a concept of the jackknife and the sum of error distance. It was found that a kriging technique was the best applicalbe in this study area.

  • PDF

The analysis of groundwater table variations in Sylhet region, Bangladesh

  • Zafor, Md. Abu;Alam, Md. Jahir Bin;Rahman, Md. Azizur;Amin, Mohammad Nurul
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.369-376
    • /
    • 2017
  • The trend analysis of the study was acquired by selecting multiyear monthly groundwater table data and monitors the wells in each sub-district under the study area. The intention of this research was to analyze the outcome of the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test at greater than the significance level which is 95% of groundwater level in Sylhet. The aptitude is effective at two conjunctures where the confidence bounds are 95% and it meets the estimate line of Sen's. To calculate and assess the spatial differences in the inanition of groundwater table, geostatistical methods was applied based on data from 27 groundwater wells during the period from January 1975 to December 2011 which were obtained from a secondary source, Bangladesh Water Development Board. The geographic information system was used to assess the spatial change in order to find the level of groundwater. Cross-validation errors were found within an advisable level in estimating the groundwater depth with different interpolation models of ordinary kriging methods. Finally, surface maps were generated with the best-fitted model. The southeast region was found highly vulnerable from groundwater level point of view. Northern region was detected highest hazard prone area for diverge groundwater using kriging method.

A Study for the Best Estimation of Geotechnical Parameters on the Slope Analysis (사면해석에 있어서 지반변수의 최적추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Du-Jun;Jeong, Dae-Suk;Baek, Yeong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 1993.06b
    • /
    • pp.19-44
    • /
    • 1993
  • The purpose of this paper is to study the design and the construction for the most economic and safe slope stability analysis. The approach to the purpose Iies in analyzing the characteristic on direction and distance by the sample value for the geotechnical parameters using the semi-variogram concept. Based on the result, we derive the Kriging system equation from the stochastical concept and solve the equation to find the weighting factor which is applied both the point estimation and the block estimation in the particular position. Comparing and analyzing the various methods. we find the best reliability, which is more accurate than any other.

  • PDF

A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS METHOD FOR ESTIMATING GROUNDWATER CONTAMINANT CONCENTRATION

  • LEE, YOUNG CHEON
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-103
    • /
    • 2004
  • A practical estimation method for groundwater contaminant concentration is introduced. Using geostatistical techniques and symmetry, experimental variograms show significant improved correlation compared with those from conventional techniques. Numrical experiments are performed using a field data set.

  • PDF

Probabilistic study on buildings with MTMD system in different seismic performance levels

  • Etedali, Sadegh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.81 no.4
    • /
    • pp.429-441
    • /
    • 2022
  • A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.

Use of Space-time Autocorrelation Information in Time-series Temperature Mapping (시계열 기온 분포도 작성을 위한 시공간 자기상관성 정보의 결합)

  • Park, No-Wook;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.432-442
    • /
    • 2011
  • Climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation tend to vary both in space and in time simultaneously. Thus, it is necessary to include space-time autocorrelation into conventional spatial interpolation methods for reliable time-series mapping. This paper introduces and applies space-time variogram modeling and space-time kriging to generate time-series temperature maps using hourly Automatic Weather System(AWS) temperature observation data for a one-month period. First, temperature observation data are decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. For trend component modeling, elevation data which have reasonable correlation with temperature are used as secondary information to generate trend component with topographic effects. Then, space-time variograms of residual components are estimated and modelled by using a product-sum space-time variogram model to account for not only autocorrelation both in space and in time, but also their interactions. From a case study, space-time kriging outperforms both conventional space only ordinary kriging and regression-kriging, which indicates the importance of using space-time autocorrelation information as well as elevation data. It is expected that space-time kriging would be a useful tool when a space-poor but time-rich dataset is analyzed.

  • PDF

Finite element model updating of long-span cable-stayed bridge by Kriging surrogate model

  • Zhang, Jing;Au, Francis T.K.;Yang, Dong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.74 no.2
    • /
    • pp.157-173
    • /
    • 2020
  • In the finite element modelling of long-span cable-stayed bridges, there are a lot of uncertainties brought about by the complex structural configuration, material behaviour, boundary conditions, structural connections, etc. In order to reduce the discrepancies between the theoretical finite element model and the actual static and dynamic behaviour, updating is indispensable after establishment of the finite element model to provide a reliable baseline version for further analysis. Traditional sensitivity-based updating methods cannot support updating based on static and dynamic measurement data at the same time. The finite element model is required in every optimization iteration which limits the efficiency greatly. A convenient but accurate Kriging surrogate model for updating of the finite element model of cable-stayed bridge is proposed. First, a simple cable-stayed bridge is used to verify the method and the updating results of Kriging model are compared with those using the response surface model. Results show that Kriging model has higher accuracy than the response surface model. Then the method is utilized to update the model of a long-span cable-stayed bridge in Hong Kong. The natural frequencies are extracted using various methods from the ambient data collected by the Wind and Structural Health Monitoring System installed on the bridge. The maximum deflection records at two specific locations in the load test form the updating objective function. Finally, the fatigue lives of the structure at two cross sections are calculated with the finite element models before and after updating considering the mean stress effect. Results are compared with those calculated from the strain gauge data for verification.