• 제목/요약/키워드: Kriging method

검색결과 397건 처리시간 0.025초

산악지역에 GCM 자료를 이용하기 위한 공간 축소방법 개발 (Spatial Downscaling Method for Use of GCM Data in A Mountainous Area)

  • 김수전;강나래;김연수;이종소;김형수
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 강수의 공간적 편차가 큰 산악지역에서 축소기법을 적용하기 위한 방법론을 마련하고 이를 이용하여 미래 강수특성의 변화를 추정하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 한반도내 산악지역이라고 할 수 있는 남한강유역을 대상유역으로 선정하였고 일반적인 축소기법 중의 하나인 신경망과 고도자료를 부가자료로 활용하여 유역의 지형적 특성을 반영할 수 있는 SKlm 기법을 연계하여 신경망-SKlm 모형(ANN-SKlm : Artificial Neural Network - Simple Kriging with varying local means)을 구축하였다. 유역내 6개의 기상관측소 지점의 월강수량을 이용하여 신경망-SKlm 기법과 기존 강수량의 공간분포 방법인 Thiessen 및 Ordinary Kriging 을 적용하여 비교 평가하였다. 유역내에 보다 밀도있게 구성되어 있는 25개 강우관측소 지점을 대상으로 각 기법을 평가한 결과 고도자료를 부가자료로 사용하는 SKlm 기법이 가장 우수한 결과를 나타내었다.

페널티 적용 최대 우도 평가를 통한 기저 스크리닝 기반 크리깅 모델 개선 (Improvement of Basis-Screening-Based Dynamic Kriging Model Using Penalized Maximum Likelihood Estimation)

  • 김민근;김재승;한정우;이근호
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.391-398
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문에서는 기저 스크리닝 기반 크리깅 모델(BSKM: Basis Screening based Kriging Model) 생성의 정확도를 높이기 위해 페널티를 적용한 최대 우도 평가 방법(PMLE : Penalized Maximum Likelihood Estimation)에 대해서 소개한다. BSKM에서 사용하는 기저함수의 최대 차수와 종류는 그 중요도에 따라서 결정하게 되며, 이때 중요도의 지표는 기저함수에 대한 교차 검증 오차(CVE : Cross Validation Error)로 택한다. 크리깅 모델(KM : Kriging Model) 구성시 최적의 기저함수 조합은 우선 최대 기저함수 차수를 선택하고 개별 기저함수의 중요도를 평가를 하게 된다. 최적 기저함수 조합은 크리깅 모델의 CVE가 최소가 될 때까지 개별 기저함수의 중요도가 높은 순으로 기저함수를 하나씩 추가하며 찾는다. 이 과정에서 KM은 반복적으로 생성해야 하며, 동시에 데이터 사이의 상관관계를 나타내는 하이퍼 매개변수(Hyper-parameters)도 최대 우도 평가방법을 통해 계산하여야 한다. 하이퍼 매개변수의 값에 따라 선택되는 최적의 기저함수 조합이 달라지기 때문에 KM의 정확도에 막대한 영향을 미치게 된다. 정확한 하이퍼 매개변수를 계산하기 위해서 PMLE 방법을 적용하였으며, Branin-Hoo 함수 문제에 적용하여 BSKM 의 정확성이 개선될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

GIS를 활용한 해양환경관리에 관한 연구 I - LDI 알고리즘 적용을 위한 보간법에 관한 연구 - (A Study on the GIS for The Sea Environmental Management I - Focus on the Study of A Interpolation on The Application of LDI Algorism -)

  • 이형민;박기학
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.443-452
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    • 2006
  • Today, satellite remote sensing (RS) and geographic information systems (GIS) plays an important role as an advanced science and technology. This study was developed a Line Density Algorithm which was clarify and describe the thermal front by using NOAA SST (sea surface temperature) and GIS spatial analysis for systemic and effective management of fish raising industry and sea environmental pollution by land reclamation program. Before this, a study about a interpolation method was carry out which was very important for estimate the hidden value between a special point. For this study Inverse Distance Weighted interpolation, Spline interpolation, Kriging interpolation methods were choose and SST data from 2001 to 2004 in spring (March, April, May) were analyzed. According to the study Kriging interpolation method was the very adaptive method from a practical point of view and excellent in description and precision then others. Finally, the result of this study will be use for develope the Line Density Index Algorism.

The analysis of groundwater table variations in Sylhet region, Bangladesh

  • Zafor, Md. Abu;Alam, Md. Jahir Bin;Rahman, Md. Azizur;Amin, Mohammad Nurul
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2017
  • The trend analysis of the study was acquired by selecting multiyear monthly groundwater table data and monitors the wells in each sub-district under the study area. The intention of this research was to analyze the outcome of the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test at greater than the significance level which is 95% of groundwater level in Sylhet. The aptitude is effective at two conjunctures where the confidence bounds are 95% and it meets the estimate line of Sen's. To calculate and assess the spatial differences in the inanition of groundwater table, geostatistical methods was applied based on data from 27 groundwater wells during the period from January 1975 to December 2011 which were obtained from a secondary source, Bangladesh Water Development Board. The geographic information system was used to assess the spatial change in order to find the level of groundwater. Cross-validation errors were found within an advisable level in estimating the groundwater depth with different interpolation models of ordinary kriging methods. Finally, surface maps were generated with the best-fitted model. The southeast region was found highly vulnerable from groundwater level point of view. Northern region was detected highest hazard prone area for diverge groundwater using kriging method.

Estimation of geomechanical parameters of tunnel route using geostatistical methods

  • Aalianvari, Ali;Soltani-Mohammadi, Saeed;Rahemi, Zeynab
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.453-458
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    • 2018
  • Geomechanical parameters are important factors for engineering projects during design, construction and support stages of tunnel and dam projects. Geostatistical estimation methods are known as one of the most significant approach at estimation of Geomechanical parameters. In this study, Azad dam headrace tunnel is chosen to estimate Geomechanical parameters such as Rock Quality Designation (RQD) and uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) by ordinary kriging as a geostatistical method. Also Rock Mass Rating (RMR) distribution is presented along the tunnel. Main aim in employment of geostatistical methods is estimation of points that unsampled by sampled points.To estimation of parameters, initially data are transformed to Gaussian distribution, next structural data analysis is completed, and then ordinary kriging is applied. At end, specified distribution maps for each parameter are presented. Results from the geostatistical estimation method and actual data have been compared. Results show that, the estimated parameters with this method are very close to the actual parameters. Regarding to the reduction of costs and time consuming, this method can use to geomechanical estimation.

확률강우량의 공간분포 추정을 위한 KED 기법의 적용 (Application of KED Method for Estimation of Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall)

  • 서영민;여운기;이승윤;지홍기
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제43권8호
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    • pp.757-767
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 확률강우량에 대한 공간분포 추정시 신뢰도를 향상시키는데 있어서 외부변수 사용의 유효성을 평가하기 위하여 확률강우량과 단일 보조변수로서 지형특성인자들과의 상관관계를 고려한 KED 기법을 적용하였으며, 그 결과 강우공간분포 및 유역평균강우량의 추정에 있어서 확정론적 공간보간기법 및 크리징 기법과 대체로 비슷한 결과를 나타내는 것으로 분석되었으며, KED 및 크리징 기법에 대한 교차검증 결과 보조변수로서 표고를 사용한 KED 기법이 가장 좋은 결과를 나타내고는 있으나 다른 기법들과 비교했을 때 큰 차이를 보이지 않는 것으로 분석되었다.

망간단괴광상의 유망광구선정을 위한 지구통계학적 연구 (A Geostatistical Study for the Selection of Prospective Areas of Polymetallic Nodule Deposits)

  • 박찬영;전효택;강정극
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.575-587
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study is to develop geostatistical methods for selection of prospective areas of polymetallic nodule deposits in KODOS (Korea Deep Ocean Study) area of the North-East Pacific Ocean. In this study $110{\times}165$ grid system was used, and each node represents the center of an estimated block of $1km{\times}1km$. The ordinary kriging was applied to SeaBeam2000 data in order to evaluate the bathymetry. A structural analysis (variogram) of the bathymetry data was carried out for constructing digital terrain model (DTM) and the maximum slopes of the bathymetry were calculated by DTM data. The above method can be used to solve the problem that is resulted from the lack of theory of a change of support model for the maximum slope of the bathymetry. The ordinary kriging and the indicator kriging were used to evaluate the nodule abundance, and the different two kriging methods were compared to evaluate the accuracy for the estimation of the nodule abundance. It has been shown that indicator kriging was better estimation tool than the ordinary kriging. The overlay map is presented for the selection of potentially minable sites by combining the two indicator maps of the nodule abundance and the maximum slope of bathymetry. This overlay map could be utilized to establish follow-up survey and to investigate the potentially minable sites in the KODOS area.

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임의 추출방식 크리깅을 이용한 평균면적우량의 추정 (A Random Sampling Method in Estimating the Mean Areal Precipitation Using Kriging)

  • 이상일
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 1993
  • 크리깅을 이용하여 평균면적우량을 추정함에 있어 새로운 방법을 개발하였다. 이 방법은 크리깅 방정식에 나타나는 2중 및 4중 수치적분에 필요한 점들을 대상지역의 경계만 주면 임의로 추출하여 사용한다는 것이 기존의 방법과는 상이하다. 이로 인해 대상지역을 소구역으로 나누고, 각각의 중심점을 계산해야 했던 기존 방식의 난점을 극복하였으며, 따라서 본 연구에서 개발된 방법은 복잡한 경계를 갖는 지역의 경우 더욱 유용하다. 경계가 주어지면 그 안에서 점들을 임의로 추출하는 과정을 복소함수론에 기초한 알고리듬을 통하여 설명하였다. Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션의 결과, 개발된 방법에 의한 평균면적유량의 추정에 따른 오차는 추출점 수의 제곱근에 반비례하였다.

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짝비교 기법을 활용한 보조지하수관측망 위치선정 기준 수립에 관한 연구

  • 김정우;김규법;원종호;이진용;이명재;이강근
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2003년도 총회 및 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.259-262
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    • 2003
  • In the Republic of Korea, Ministry of Construction & Transportation and Korea Water Resources Corporation manage the national groundwater monitoring network at the 169 stations and will organize the supplementary groundwater monitoring network at the 10,000 stations by 2011 year. The method that organizes the monitoring network was developed using the Analytic Hierarchy Process with pairwise comparison. Several estimation factors for the estimating every district were selected to reflect each district conditions. Their weighting value was decided by pairwise comparison and questions to the experts about groundwater The optimal number of groundwater monitoring well was calculated through the developed method. To verify this method, groundwater was monitored in Jeonju city by way showing the example. The study area In Jeonju city needs 7 stations for the supplementary groundwater monitoring network. The results monitored in 7 stations inferred the groundwater level around the study area by Kriging. The mean of residual between inferred groundwater level value from Kriging and actual groundwater level is rather low. Furthermore, the mean and standard deviation of residual between inferred groundwater level change and actual groundwater change is much lower. The Fact that 7 monitoring stations are sufficient for observing the groundwater condition in the study area makes it possible for suggested monitoring number to be proper.

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근사화 기법을 이용한 Load/Unload 용 헤드 슬라이더 최적설계 (Head Slider Design Using Approximation Method For Load/Unload Applications)

  • 손석호;윤상준;박노철;박영필;최동훈
    • 정보저장시스템학회논문집
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we present the optimization of a head slider using kriging method in order to reduce lift-off force during unloading process with satisfying reliable flying attitude in steady state. To perform an optimization process efficiently, a simplified lift-off force model, which is a function of air bearing suction force and flying attitudes, is created by kriging method. The EMDIOS, which is the process integration and design optimization software developed by iDOT, is used to automatically wrap the analysis with the optimization and efficiently implements the repetitive works between analyzer and optimizer. An optimization problem is formulated to reduce the lift-off force during unloading process while satisfying the flying attitude in reliable range over the entire recording band and reducing the probability of contact between slider and disk. The simulation result shows that the amplitude of lift-off force of optimized L/UL slider is reduced about 62%, compared with that of initial slider model. It is demonstrated by the dynamics L/UL simulation that the optimum slider incorporated with the suspension is not only smoothly loaded onto disk but also properly unloaded onto the ramp.

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