• Title/Summary/Keyword: Korean Population

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Development a Estimate Model of Migration Using Cohort-Survival Model (집단 생잔 모형을 이용한 인구이동모델 개발)

  • Han, Yi-Cheol;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Jung, Nam-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.456-460
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a estimation model of migration with only population data using the cohort-survival model which has been used for forecasting future population. The fluctuation of population can be bisected to the natural change which can be occurred by birth and death and the social change which means migration. The factors of the social change are usually very important for establishing rural policies. However, researches using migration data has limitations because the usage of them are restricted. For verifying a estimation model of migration, comparing estimated population in 2000 year and migration quantity between 1996 and 2000 of 25 gu with real values, using population data and death ratio from 1995 to 2000 of the 25 gu in Seoul. Result shows a reliable data that R-square of forecating population model is 0.9755 and migration is 0.9180. So these model are worth to estimate a population and migration quantity to restricted migration data.

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데모그라피의 역사적 배경과 한국인구의 지역적 편향분포의 지니 계수적 해석

  • 구자흥;이성철
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.103-116
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    • 2003
  • Now we have faced to two fundamental population problems: The one is over-population problem in proportion to the nation's total area, 99,434 $km^2$, and the other is unbalanced population distributions in the provincial districts of administration (16th local governments). For example, the population density of Seoul city is 16,335 persons, and the nations population density of South Korea is 464 persons for 1 km$^2$. At the first part of this study, we introduced the origins and historical back grounds of Formal Demorgraphy. And the second part, we suggest some useful indicators of urbanization of rural populations in terms of Gini's Coefficients of Concentration. As the result, we can show that the ecological Gini's Coefficients of Concentration, during the periods covered by this study, have been increasing extraordinary: 0.349, 0.433, 0.532, 0.581, 0.633 and 0.626 in 1970, 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000 A.D. respectively. However, the trend of urbanization (concentration of population) of Korean population has been the relative equilibrium state of 0.63 from 1995 to 2000 A.D.

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A Comparative Analysis on the Change between Spatial Structure and Social Conditions of Rural Region - Focused in Asan City - (지역공간구조와 농촌지역 인문사회적 변화의 관계 연구 - 충남 아산시를 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Young-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to show the relation of the change between spacial structure and social conditions of rural area. The spacial structure change of Asan city was analyzed using Space Syntax, and multiple regression analysis (dependent variables: connectivity, global integration, local integration / independent variables: population, household, farm population, farm population of 65years old and over, farm household, part-time farm households, cultivated land) was accomplished. As th result, that the increase of connectivity is related to the increase of population and farm population of 65years old and over and the decrease of farm population, and the increase of local integration is related to the increase of farm population of 65years old and over was showed. However, that global integration is not related to change of social conditions was proved.

A Study on the Analysis of Population Dynamics and the Model of population Relocation (人口過程의 分析과 人口配置計劃의 모델模索)

  • 박찬계;함종욱
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.10
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 1981
  • Regional relocation of population in Korea is required strongly from natural and environmental sides for substantial growth of economy and the rigorous revival national economy against especially internationalization. This paper aimed for analysed the population distribution by regional and special characteristics of the inter-migration and showed the direction of population policy through the model building. Relocation methods of population by region has been examined through the process from the approach method by Haurin's production function to the approach by the utility function. The examination of the development model is done efficiently, how utility these approach models are depends on that scientific and composite plan for population problems against forced policy should be taken precedence.

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On Two Mathematical Models and Their Appli-cations for the Estmation of Population (산業社會의 人口移動推定을 위한 數理模型의 適용: 특히 1975년도 Census人口에 立脚한 將來人口推計)

  • J.H.Koo;C.K.Im;B.M.Jun;K.W.Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 1978
  • This study aims to find out a suitable mathematical models for the estimation of population size and improve it for the estimation of social increase of population at urban areas. This study shows that Model (I) is obtained by the generalization of Kabak's Wild Life Management Model together with some other useful results as follows: a) By the transition matrix P, it is known that the interregional migrations have shown greater rise than those of five years ago. b) The invariant population vector $\alpha$ predicts that the Kyonggi area will have a share of 48%, the Choongcheong area of 10%, the Honam area of 12%, and the Youngnam area of 17% of the total population of Korea. c) The estimated population of the Special City of Seoul (Metropolitan) will be above ten millon in 1983. d) The estimated optmum population of Korea will be 53,850,000 in 2000 A.D.

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Comparative Studies on Genetic Variabilities of Second Chromosomes in Sasang Natural and Experimental Populations of Drosophila melanogaster (자연과 실험집단내 Drosophila melanogaster 제 2 염색체의 유전적 변이성에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Son, Seong-Gon;Choe, Yeong-Hyeon;Lee, Won-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 1994
  • The genetic variabilities of second chromosomes concealed Sasang natural and experimental populations of Drosophila melanogaster have been analyzed. The experimental population was composed of D. melanognter which had the lethal-free second chromosome collected from Sasang natural population in 1982. The results were as follow; The mean frequencies of deleterious genes were estimated % be 33.33% in Sasang natural population and 31.72% in experimental population. The allelism rates in lethal genes isolated from the natural and experimental populations were calculated to be about 0.95% and 12.28%, respectively. The allelism rates between lethal genes isolated from the natural population and those of the experimental population were calculated to be about 0.01%. The mean values of elimination by frequencies of deleterious genes and allelism rates were 0.0011 in the natural population and 0.0124 in the experimental population. The frequencies of phenotypic sterility of males in the natural and experimental populations were estimated to be 1.49% and 1.36%, respectively. The frequencies of genotypic sterility of females and males were estimated to be 0.90% and 1.80% in the natural population, and that of males was 2.38% in the experimental population.

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Geographic Variations of Three Fulvia mutica Populations

  • Kang, Seo-Kyeong;Yoon, Jong-Man
    • The Korean Journal of Malacology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2013
  • In the present study, the seven primers BION-33, BION-34, BION-37, BION-41, BION-44, BION-45 and BION-42 generated the total number of loci, average number of loci per lane and specific loci in Hongseong, Yeosu and Goheung population of F. mutica, respectively. 7 primers generated 19 specific loci in the Hongseong population, 29.3 in the Yeosu population and 23.1 in the Goheung population, respectively. Especially, the decamer primer BION-37 generated 7 unique loci to each population, which were identifying each population, approximately 700 bp in Hongseong population. In this study, the dendrogram obtained by the seven primers indicates three genetic clusters: cluster 1 (HONGSEONG 01-HONGSEONG 07), cluster 2 (YEOSU 08-YEOSU 14) and cluster 3 (GOHEUNG 15-GOHEUNG 21). Among the twenty one cockles, the shortest genetic distance that displayed significant molecular differences was between individuals 17 and 19 from the Goheung population (genetic distance = 0.051), while the longest genetic distance among the twenty-one cockle individuals that displayed significant molecular differences was between individuals HONGSEONG no. 03 and YEOSU no. 12 (genetic distance = 0.616). Relatively, individuals of YEOSU population were fairly closely related to that of GOHEUNG population. Ultimately, PCR fragments revealed of in this study may be useful as a DNA marker the three geographic populations to distinguish.