• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제28권12호
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• pp.267-279
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• 2023

이 논문은 우리나라 대외 무역 및 곡물 수입 안정화 정책 수립에 있어서 중요한 역할을 하는 중국의 곡물 수출입 관련 법 제도를 분석하고자 한다. 본 연구의 결과로는 「대외무역법」에 근거한 중국의 대외무역제도는 대외무역관리기관에 대한 권한 위임의 범위와 책임이 명확하지 않은 것이 특징이다. 우리나라는 「대외무역법」과 그 시행령 및 관리규정에서 대외무역관리의 권한 위임에 대한 범위와 책임을 명확히 규정하고 있지만, 중국의 개정 「대외무역법」에서는 대외무역관리에 대한 권한 위임이 명확하게 명시되지 않아 지방정부나 기타 행정기관의 자의적 판단에 의한 개입의 여지가 있다. 전반적으로 중국의 곡물 수출입 관련 법 제도는 WTO 규정에 부합하는 제도적 틀을 갖추고 있는 것으로 평가된다. 하지만 법률 또는 법규의 모호성과 제도의 운영과정에서 나타나는 불합리성과 투명하지 않은 절차 등은 유의해야 하는 항목으로 여겨진다. 따라서, 향후 중국과의 교역 과정에서의 발생할 수 있는 불합리한 상황에 대한 사전 예방 중요할 것이다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제48권1호
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• pp.55-81
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• 2023

본 연구의 목적은 한국 무역의 주요 이슈와 동향을 분석하고 향후 무역규범 연구에 대한 시사점을 도출하는데 있다. 분석자료로서 Korean Journal Citation Index 데이터베이스에서 2000년부터 2022년 7월까지 'Trade Rules'로 검색된 영문 키워드로 총 476개의 학술지를 분석하였다. 분석 방법으로는 동시발생네트워크와 텍스트마이닝 방법의 하나인 토픽트렌드 분석이 있다. 분석 결과, 최근 한국 무역을 대표하는 키워드는 연구 저널 수가 급증한 카테고리인 Topic 4(투자조약), Topic 7(무역안보), Topic 8(중국 보호무역주의), Topic 11(무역결제) 4가지로 나타났다. 이들 주제의 주요 배경은 기존의 국제무역 체제를 위협하는 미국과 중국 간의 무역마찰이며, 중국의 보호주의, 무역 안보 시스템의 변화, 새로운 투자 협정, 지불 방법의 변화에 대한 상세한 연구는 가까운 장래에 도전 과제가 될 것이다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.313-324
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• 2022

The Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) involves various bilateral trade agreements and regional agreements signed between China and other countries. This study examines the impact of Chinese OFDI in ASEAN-5 countries through ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA) namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand from 2000 to 2016. This study attempts to address three research objectives. The first is to examine the motives for China's investment in ASEAN-5. The second is to explore the different impacts of China's investment across countries. The third is to investigate whether the OFDI conducted by state-owned enterprises (SOEs) will produce different impacts on the firm's efficiency score. Using the DEA approach, this study finds evidence that the overall Chinese OFDI is relatively efficient. We find that the estimated efficiency score of this OFDI has improved in pre- and post ACFTA where a higher overall efficiency score was reported when comparing pre- and post ACFTA signing for both SOEs and NSOEs. Finally, China's parent firms' efficiencies showed higher scores among NSOEs compared to SOEs after the signing of ACFTA for all ASEAN countries except Malaysia. We highlight that the country's institutional infrastructure, earlier investment presence, and diplomatic ties help in shaping an effective trade agreement.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.137-152
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• 2023

Purpose - Although many existing studies on the US-China hegemonic conflict and decoupling have been published, most of them are qualitative and use descriptive analysis methods. Papers that quantitatively analyzed decoupling mainly estimate the effect of a tariff increase. However, this paper quantitatively analyzed the ripple effect by focusing on decoupling technology spillover between the United States and China. And, for the first time, it was suggested that the blocking of technology spillover could give a fatal blow to the East Asian economy as well as China. Design/methodology - The United States is pursuing decoupling with China, primarily in goods trade and blocking technology transfer. This paper sets up various scenarios and uses three computational general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyze the overall ripple effects of decoupling. A paper using the three CGE models for decoupling ripple effect analysis has not yet been published. Findings - Decoupling will hit the economies of regions with close economic ties to China more than others. According to simulation results of this study, the Chinese economy may suffer severe damage that is difficult to recover from, and the economies of Asian countries are predicted to deteriorate to the point of being choked. Originality/value - Existing papers that assessed the effect of decoupling mostly focus on estimating the effect itself through tariff hikes. This paper is meaningful in that it comprehensively analyzed decoupling by adding the effect of technology spillover blockade. In addition, another meaning can be found in that it quantified for the first time that it will deal a huge blow to the extent of choking the East Asian economy as well as China.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2011

본 논문은 금융위기 이후 대중 수출증가가 경기회복에 주도적 역할을 하고, 우리경제의 중국경제 의존도가 크게 상승하는 상황에서 J-curve 효과가 우리나라 대중국 항만 수출입 흐름에 적용되는가를 월별자료를 이용하여 2000년부터 2010년까지의 기간에 대해 실증분석 하였다. 오차수정모형을 추정한 결과 단기적인 조정역할은 실질실효환율이 수행하는 것으로 나타났으며, 분산분해 결과 대중국 항만 무역수지에 대한 영향력이 국내경기보다 실질실효 환율과 세계경기가 더 크게 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 이와 더불어 수준변수로 구성된 VAR과 오차수정항을 포함한 VECM을 이용한 충격반응 분석을 실시한 결과 대중국 항만 무역수지는 환율 충격에 대하여 시차를 두고 반응을 보이는 것으로 나타나 J-curve 효과가 존재함을 알 수 있었다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.233-272
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• 2021

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement, signed in November 2020, comes shortly after the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) entered into force and the US-China Trade War escalated. We use a computable general equilibrium model to assess the long-term effects of these three developments on income, trade, economic structure, factor returns and employment across the world, and especially in Asia-Pacific countries. The results suggest that RCEP could generate income gains that will be almost twice as large as those of the CPTPP, and that the two agreements together will largely offset the substantial negative effects of the US-China Trade War for the world as a whole. All three policy developments, but especially RCEP, will deepen East Asian production networks and will raise productivity and increase wages and employment in much of East Asia. At the sectoral level, regional trade in non-durable and durable manufactures will experience the most growth.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.25-43
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• 2020

This study mainly measures the level of trade facilitation in member countries along the "the Belt and Road" and discusses the impact of trade facilitation on bilateral trade. Based on the research results of domestic and foreign scholars, this study made a new systematic measuring system which covering 4 indicators and 15 subordinate indicators, to obtain the trade facilitation index. Based on the extended gravity model, this paper conducts a panel data, for more than 50 major trading members along the "the Belt and Road" during 2010~2017 as an example to empirically study the relationship between the trade facilitation level of major trading members and the volume of China's import and export trade. The results show that the level of trade facilitation among member countries is not high and the trade facilitation variable has positive value, indicating that the trade facilitation variable has positive effect on increasing bilateral trade. If the trade facilitation increases by 1% respectively, the bilateral trade level will increase by 0.98% separately. Finally, according to the regression results of four aspects of the trade facilitation index system, e-business development plays the most significant role in promoting trade facilitation.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.103-114
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• 2003

The purpose of this study is to examine Japonica rice farming of China. Asian rice is divided into Japonica and Indica species. Japonica rice represents only less than 20% of Chinese rice output, but it can compete with Korea rice in both price and quality. The rise of income level has expanded the scale of production of Japonica rice in China. China’s adhesion to the World Trade Organization (WTO) has forced Chinese policy makers to face their obligations and responsibilities such as abolishing subsidies on agricultural exports. But being member of the WTO entry also helps China exercise and enhance its influential place in the global economy. Because of geographical proximity and the fact that Korea is ranked second among countries with which China still has a trade deficit, China may seek and plead for an opening of the protected Korean rice market to stabilize prices and prevent excess supply of Chinese rice. Though Korean rice farmers feel that prices are still low, Chinese rice remains far cheaper than Korean rice with the price gap is still on the rise. In anticipation of such fierce competition, Korea must carefully review its current policies and closely follow the evolution of rice production, marketing, and trade in China. This study also suggests some of the possible research using more recent data that should be conducted in the future.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제70권
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• pp.67-80
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• 2016

As China, the world's work shop was transformed into consumption market intermediary products and expensive consumer goods are more in highly demand recently. These will tend to diffuse especially to the west coastal cities of China. The economic growth of China needs to develop hub port facilities more and more in these days. We don't need to explain value of hub port in international trade. Furthermore If we are to retain access convenience of merchant vessel we really must maintain hub ports in Korea. This paper aims to vitalize Pyeongtaek port in times of the Pan Yellow Sea in readiness for an increase of trade between Korean, China, and Japan absorbing economic effects. The Rise of China leads to increase of trade of Korea that make necessary to develop a big and wide port to Pan Yellow Sea times. There is a lot of competition to be a hub port to become a center of international trade in the Pan Yellow Sea market. We need to improve the surrounding environment or facilities and industry clusters flexibly of Pyeongtaek port. It will guide to cost cutting and to raise business efficiency. Ultimately Pyeongtaek port should maintain and make advance its competitiveness especially in the Pan Yellow Sea times.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.35-58
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• 2020

Purpose - This study examines the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) location choice for Chinese firms, focusing on the agglomeration effect for firms of the same nationality. Design/methodology - The empirical data are China's inward FDI from the top 19 economies (excluding tax havens and Taiwan) in terms of FDI during 1997-2015 and China's outward FDI from the top 18 economies (excluding tax havens). This study uses a random effects generalized least squares model for panel data analysis. Findings - The results confirm that both host countries' costs and market conditions and the degree of agglomeration affect these countries' attractiveness for FDI inflows. Specifically, agglomeration has a significant effect on China's inward and outward FDI. This study confirms that the agglomeration of firms of the same nationality has predictive power for multinational enterprises' FDI location choices. The host countries' real GDP and trade openness also positively affect FDI inflows. Interestingly, however, China's production cost has a positive effect. Thus, inward FDI aimed at entering the Chinese market is increasing in recent years relative to the previous efficiency-seeking FDI. Inward FDI in China is therefore the market-entry type, whereas outward FDI by Chinese firms is the market-oriented type. Originality/value - These results suggest that the effects of the potential determinants of Chinese outward FDI are similar to those of inward FDI as China's trade liberalization progresses.