• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kim's model

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Development of the Plywood Demand Prediction Model

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.2
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    • pp.140-143
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    • 2008
  • This study compared the plywood demand prediction accuracy of econometric and vector autoregressive models using Korean data. The econometric model of plywood demand was specified with three explanatory variables; own price, construction permit area, dummy. The vector autoregressive model was specified with lagged endogenous variable, own price, construction permit area and dummy. The dummy variable reflected the abrupt decrease in plywood consumption in the late 1990's. The prediction accuracy was estimated on the basis of Residual Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error and Theil's Inequality Coefficient. The results showed that the plywood demand prediction can be performed more accurately by econometric model than by vector autoregressive model.

Model-Based Simulation Analysis of Wicking Behavior in Hygroscopic Cotton Fabric

  • Hong, Cheol-Jae;Kim, Byung-Jick
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.66-78
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    • 2016
  • Hygroscopic knitted cotton fabric was found to spontaneously absorb water showing a significantly wide concentration gradient in the absorption direction. A semi-empirical diffusion model was introduced to describe how the wicking behavior compared to the classical capillary model (Washburn's equation), which has been widely used in the textiles industry. The capillary sorption curve and the permeability coefficient, which are key variables for the model equations, were measured using an electronic balance. The concentration profile as a function of the wicking distance and the elapsed time was derived, based on the diffusion model. From the concentration profile, the wicking distance detectable by the human eye or a digital camera with the aid of an image-analysis system, could be described realistically as a function of the time. The classical capillary model could be modified by introducing the tortuous correction factor to match the diffusion model. Wicking models and data-processing techniques in the work could provide useful tools for objectively evaluating the textile's wicking performances.

A Time Prediction Model of Cursor Movement with Path Constraints (궤도상을 이동하는 커서 이동시간의 예측 모델)

  • Hong, Seung-Kweon;Kim, Sung-Il
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.334-340
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    • 2005
  • A mouse is an important input device that is used in most of all computer works. A mouse control time prediction model was proposed in this study. Especially, the model described the time of mouse control that made a cursor to move within path constraints. The model was developed by a laboratory experiment. Cursor movement times were measured in 36 task conditions; 3 levels of path length, 3 levels of path width and 4 levels of target's width. 12 subjects participated in all conditions. The time of cursor movement with path constraints could be better explained by the combination of Fitts' law with steering law($r^2=0.947$) than by the other models; Fitts' law($r^2=0.740$), Steering law($r^2=0.633$) and Crossman's model($r^2=0.897$). The proposed model is expected to be used in menu design or computer game design.

Comparison of TERGM and SAOM : Statistical analysis of student network data (TERGM과 SAOM 비교 : 학생 네트워크 데이터의 통계적 분석)

  • Yujin Han;Jaehee Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to find out what attributes are valid for the edge between students through longitudinal network analysis, and the results of TERGM (temporal exponential random graph model) and SAOM (stochastic actor-oriented model) statistical models were compared. The TERGM model interprets the research results based on the edge formation of the entire network, and the SAOM model interprets the research results on the surrounding networks formed by specific actors. The TERGM model expressed the influence of a previous time through a time term, and the SAOM model considered temporal dependence by implementing a network that evolves by an actor's opportunity as a ratio function.

Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Prediction of GloSea5 Model: Part 2. Stratospheric Sudden Warming (GloSea5 모형의 계절내-계절 예측성 검정: Part 2. 성층권 돌연승온)

  • Song, Kanghyun;Kim, Hera;Son, Seok-Woo;Kim, Sang-Wook;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Hyun, Yu-Kyung
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.123-139
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    • 2018
  • The prediction skills of stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) events and its impacts on the tropospheric prediction skills in global seasonal forecasting system version 5 (GloSea5), an operating subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) model in Korea Meteorological Administration, are examined. The model successfully predicted SSW events with the maximum lead time of 11.8 and 13.2 days in terms of anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) and mean squared skill score (MSSS), respectively. The prediction skills are mainly determined by phase error of zonal wave-number 1 with a minor contribution of zonal wavenumber 2 error. It is also found that an enhanced prediction of SSW events tends to increase the tropospheric prediction skills. This result suggests that well-resolved stratospheric processes in GloSea5 can improve S2S prediction in the troposphere.

Probabilistic Evaluation on Prediction of the Strains by Single Surface Constitutive Model (확률론에 의한 Single Surface 구성모델의 변형률 예측능력 평가)

  • Jeong, Jin Seob;Song, Young Sun;Kim, Chan Kee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 1993
  • A probabilistic approach for evaluation of prediction of the strains using Lade's single surface constitutive model was employed, based on first-order approximate mean and variance. Several experiments such as isotropic compression and drained triaxial compression tests were conducted to examine the variabilities of soil parameters for Lade's model. By taking into account the results of the experimental data such as mean values and standard deviations of soil parameter's, a new probabilistic approach, which explains the uncertainty of computed strains, is applied. The magnitude of the COV for each parameter and the correlation coefficient between the two parameters can be effectively used for reducing the number of the parameters for the model. It is concluded that Lade's single surface constitutive model is surperior model for the prediction of the strain, because the COV of strains is under the "0.51".

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Brian Ascalon Roley's American Son: Utopian Dream of Model Minority and the Violent Reality (브라이언 롤리의 『미국인 아들』: 모범적 소수민에 대한 유토피아적 환상과 폭력적 현실)

  • Kim, Min Hoe
    • English & American cultural studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.27-54
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    • 2017
  • Brian Ascalon Roley's American Son, one of the outstanding Filipino American novels after the LA riots, critically deals with a racial issue of his community which has been intermingled with the myth of model minority. Gabe and Thomas, considered as obedient Filipino younger immigrants, are asked to achieve the American dream as a way to place themselves at the center of the mainstream white society. However, they recognize that they cannot be accepted as a suitable subject for the invincible racism deeply rooted in the society. While Tomas refuses to become a model minority by identifying himself with the Mexican, Gabe is expected to become an idealistic subject of model minority by his mother since he complies with the rules of the mainstream society. However, he accepts his brother's violent way of life in that violence is necessary to protect his family from the racial discrimination in America. Though he is his mother's hope for model minority, he recognizes the only condition to achieve her expectation is the American society where there is no racism at all. However, by taking the case of Gabe and Thomas, Roley suggests that the younger generation of Filipino American immigrants have no choice but to accept violence to survive in the American society because racism always threatens their life.

An Empirical Study on China's International Trade by Cross-Border e-Commerce (온라인 해외직구가 중국무역에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구)

  • Jie-Xiao;Cheol-Ho Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.211-224
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    • 2021
  • Based on the perspective of international trade and cross-border e-commerce development, this paper explores the impact of cross-border e-commerce on international trade. This paper first describes the current situation of China's cross-border e-commerce and proposes a theoretical model of the influence of China's cross-border e-commerce on its international trade based on the research and summary of a large number of relevant documents. This paper establishes an extended gravity model based on the proposed theoretical model. Relevant data of 13 trading partner countries were used as sample data, and OLS regression analysis and heterogeneity analysis were conducted on gravity model by using Eviews 11.0. Then, in order to study the influence of each variable on import and export trade volume, import and export trade volume were respectively taken as explained variables and further studied by OLS regression analysis. To test the robustness of the model, the empirical analysis results show that cross-border e-commerce does promote the volume of China's international trade.

Mechanism for Fairness Service of Web Server

  • Rhee, Yoon-Jung;Park, Nam-Sup;Hyun, Eun-Sil;Kim, Jeong-Beom;Lee, Young-Ji;Yun, Ma-Ru;Hyeok Kang;Kim, Young-Jun;Kim, Tai-Yoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.355-357
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    • 2001
  • HTTP/1.1 standard reduces latencies and overhead from closing and re-establishing connections by supporting persistent connections as a default, which encourage multiple transfers of objects over one connection. HTTP/1.1, however, does not define explicitly connection-closing time but specifies a certain fixed holding time model. This model may induce wasting server’s resource when server maintains connection with the idle-state client that requests no data for a certain time. This paper proposes the mechanism of a heuristic connection management supported by the client-side under persistent HTTP, in addition to HTTP/1.1’s fixed holding time model on server-side. The client exploits the tag information within transferred HTML page so that decides connection-closing time. As a result, the mechanism allows server to use server’s resource more efficiently without server’s efforts.