• 제목/요약/키워드: K-factor estimate

검색결과 1,115건 처리시간 0.026초

Stability of Construction Cost-variability Factor Rankings from Professionals' Perspective: Evidence from Dar es Salaam -Tanzania

  • Shabani, Neema;Mselle, Justine;Sanga, Samwel Alananga;Kanuti, Arbogasti Isidori
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the stability of professionals' cost variability factor-rankings across different levels of cost-variability and response scenarios. Descriptive statistics are used to examine the stability of factor-ranking for 20 cost variability factors and a Multinomial Logistic (MNL) regression model was implemented to examine the stability of cost variability factors across three cost variability levels. The finding on the descriptive statistics indicated that professionals' factors-rankings are stable only for external factors. The MNL regression results on factor-stability suggested that 8 out of the 20 evaluated factors were unstable determinant of lower cost variability levels. These factors are "risk associated with the project", "personal bias and poor professionalism of the estimators", "limited time available to complete the project", "lack of skills and experience by estimator" "geographical location of projects", "incomplete & rush designs for estimate", "unforeseen or unexpected site constraints", "high class bidders for the contractors". Similarly lack of experience and large size projects were observed to be unstable as well. These observations suggest that professionals' view on pre-tender cost variability factor-ranking yields unstable factor rankings hence should not be relied upon as the only mechanisms to mitigate cost related risks in construction projects.

서비스양을 고려한 수가 결정모형에 의한 추정 환산지수와 실제 환산지수의 비교 (Comparison Actual Conversion Factor with Estimated Conversion Factor by Fee Adjustment Model Reflecting Health Service Volume)

  • 한기명;조민호;이수진;전기홍
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.343-348
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    • 2013
  • Background: Price control alone may not successfully restrain growth in health expenditures. This study aimed to propose fee adjustment model suitable for Korea reflecting health service volume and to clarify applicability of the model by comparing actual conversion factor with estimated conversion factor from simulation of this model. Methods: Fee adjustment model was developed based on Alberta's fee adjustment formula in Canada and 7 alternatives were assessed according to diversely applied parameters of the model. Results: Estimated conversion factors of the tertiary care hospital and the hospital were lower than actual conversion factors, since the utilization of heath service has been increased. However, there was no big difference between estimated conversion factors and actual conversion factors of the general hospital and the clinic. Eventually this fee adjustment model could estimate proper conversion factor reflecting health service volume. Conclusion: This model may be applicable to the mechanism as determining conversion factor between insurer and provider via negotiation and controling growth in health expenditures.

The Single Cigarette Economy in India - a Back of the Envelope Survey to Estimate its Magnitude

  • Lal, Pranay;Kumar, Ravinder;Ray, Shreelekha;Sharma, Narinder;Bhattarcharya, Bhaktimay;Mishra, Deepak;Sinha, Mukesh K.;Christian, Anant;Rathinam, Arul;Singh, Gurbinder
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권13호
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    • pp.5579-5582
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    • 2015
  • Background: Sale of single cigarettes is an important factor for early experimentation, initiation and persistence of tobacco use and a vital factor in the smoking epidemic in India as it is globally. Single cigarettes also promote the sale of illicit cigarettes and neutralises the effect of pack warnings and effective taxation, making tobacco more accessible and affordable to minors. This is the first study to our knowledge which estimates the size of the single stick market in India. Materials and Methods: In February 2014, a 10 jurisdiction survey was conducted across India to estimate the sale of cigarettes in packs and sticks, by brands and price over a full business day. Results: We estimate that nearly 75% of all cigarettes are sold as single sticks annually, which translates to nearly half a billion US dollars or 30 percent of the India's excise revenues from all cigarettes. This is the price which the consumers pay but is not captured through tax and therefore pervades into an informal economy. Conclusions: Tracking the retail price of single cigarettes is an efficient way to determine the willingness to pay by cigarette smokers and is a possible method to determine the tax rates in the absence of any other rationale.

Abundance Estimation of the Chesapeake Bay Blue Crab, Callinectes sapidus

  • ZHANG Chang Ik;AULT Jerald S.
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.708-719
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    • 1995
  • This study is to estimate abundance of the Chesapeake Bay blue crab stock. Using 823 dredge tows which were conducted during the 1991 winter survey, blue crab abundance was estimated on the basis of newly developed methods which account for unequal dredge tow distances, size- and sex-specific heterogeneous overwintering spatial distributions, wintertime exploitation, the time period of quasi-hibernation, and dredge capture efficiency. The estimate of total abundance before correction by gear efficiency was 131.8 million crabs $(95\%\;C.I.\;=\;118.2\;million\;crabs\;to\;145.4\;million\;crabs),$ Dredge capture efficiency was estimated to be 0.474. Thus, the estimate of total abundance was calculated as 278.1 million crabs after correction by the efficiency factor.

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국내 봄배추 재배지의 아산화질소 배출계수 개발에 관한 연구 (A Revised Estimate of N2O Emission Factor for Spring Chinese cabbage fields in Korea)

  • 김건엽;박우균;정현철;이선일;최은정;김필주;서영호;나운성
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.326-332
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    • 2015
  • 우리나라 밭토양에서 국가고유의 온실가스 배출계수를 개발하기 위하여 2010년부터 2012년까지 봄 배추를 대상으로 재배기간 동안에 $N_2O$를 포집분석한 결과는 다음과 같다. 봄 배추 밭에서의 $N_2O$ 배출량은 정식 후 생육초기인 1개월 정도까지 높게 유지되다가 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 또한 생육초기에 수원지역의 $N_2O$ 배출량이 춘천지역보다 높았는데, 이는 수원의 강수량이 상대적으로 높은데 기인한다고 볼수 있다. 질소비료 시용량이 많을수록 $N_2O$ 배출량이 증가하는 경향을 보였으며, 회귀분석한 결과를 보면 99.8%의 상관성이 보였다. 본 연구에서 3년 동안의 봄 배추 재배기간 중 $N_2O$ 배출량을 분석하여 산정한 국가고유 $N_2O$ 배출계수는 0.0056kg Kg $N_2O-N/kg$ N이였다. 이러한 연구결과는 국가고유 $N_2O$ 배출계수를 등록과 더불어 국가 온실가스 배출량 산정에 적용하여 국가 및 지자체의 온실가스 배출량 감축에도 기여할 것이다.

Lightscape를 이용한 광선반의 시뮬레이션 평가 연구 (A Study on the Computer Simulation Estimate of Light Shelf Using Lightscape)

  • 조일식;김기세;윤종호;이진숙
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2003
  • One of the promising optical daylighting systems is light shelf type daylighting system, Two types of lighting performance analysis methods are 1) Ray-Tracing method and 2) Radiosity method. The purpose of this paper is to compare two methods in terms of advantages and disadvantages by further looking at the detail algorithm. Also. model verification with Lightscape simulations has been conducted. Effectiveness of light penetration factor in terms of daylighting factor has been investigated and quantified. In summer time. the performance of the light shelf was twice better than the case without it.

Steel beam의 진동감쇠 특성평가 (Estimation of Vibration-damping Properties for Steel Beam)

  • 신수현;남효덕;정성수;이용봉
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집 Vol.16
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    • pp.439-442
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    • 2003
  • The test method of ASTM E 756 and JIS G 0602 to estimate vibration-damping properties is presented. Measurement method depending on specimen support, exciting method and calculation method for loss factor is used. Half-power bandwidth method and vibration decay method is used in the calculation method for loss factor, and Young's modulus is decided by geometric character and density for specimen and resonance frequency. Vibration measurement sensor is compared by using non-contact displacement detector, velocity detector and accelerometer. The cause of measurement error is also presented.

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일강우를 고려한 SATEEC R모듈 개발 (Development of SATEEC R Module using Daily Rainfall Data)

  • 장춘화;류지철;강현우;금동혁;김영석;박화용;김기성;임경재
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.983-990
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    • 2011
  • Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been used to estimate potential long-term soil erosion in the fields. However, the USLE does not estimate sediment yield due to lack of module considering sediment delivery ratio (SDR) for watershed application. For that reason, the Sediment Assessment Tool for Effective Erosion Control (SATEEC) system was developed and applied to compute the sediment yield at watershed scale. However, the R factor of current SATEEC Ver. 2.1 was estimated based on 5-day antecedent rainfall, it is not related with fundamental concept of R factor. To compute R factor accurately, the energy of rainfall strikes should be considered. In this study, the R module in the SATEEC system was enhanced using formulas of Williams, Foster, Cooley, CREAMS which could consider the energy of rainfall strikes. The enhanced SATEEC system ver. 2.2 was applied to the Imha watershed and monthly sediment yield was estimated. As a result of this study, the $R^2$ and NSE values are 0.591 and 0.573 for calibration period, and 0.927 and 0.911 for validation period, respectively. The results demonstrate the enhanced SATEEC System estimates the sediment yield suitably, and it could be used to establish the detailed environmental policy standard using USLE input dataset at watershed scale.

Interval estimate of physiological fluctuation of peak latency of ERP waveform based on a limited number of single sweep records

  • Nishida, Shigeto;Nakamura, Masatoshi;Suwazono, Shugo;Honda, Manabu;Nagamine, Takashi;Shibasaki, Hiroshi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1994년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automatic Control Conference, 9th (KACC) ; Taejeon, Korea; 17-20 Oct. 1994
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    • pp.1.1-5
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    • 1994
  • In the single sweep record of event-related potential (ERP), the peak latency of P300, which is one of the most prominent positive peaks in the ERP record, might fluctuate according to the recording conditions. The fluctuation of the peak latency (measurement fluctuation) is the summation of the fluctuation caused by physiological factor (physiological fluctuation) and one by noise of background EEG (noise fluctuation). We propsed a method for estimating the interval of the physiological fluctuation based on a limited number of single sweep records. The noise fluctuation was estimated by using the relationship between the signal-to-noise (SN) ratio and the noise fluctuation based on the P300 model and the background EEG model. The interval estimate of the physiological fluctuation were obtained by subtracting the interval estimate of the noise fluctuation from that of the measurement fluctuation. The proposed method was tested by using simulation data of ERP and applied to actual ERP and data of normal subjects, and gave satisfactory results.

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인자분석을 이용한 광주지역 미세먼지(PM10)의 특성 연구 (Characteristics of PM10 in Gwangju Using Factor Analysis)

  • 이세행;서광엽;윤상훈;양윤철;김선정;조영관;배석진
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to estimate air quality trends in the study area by surveying monthly and seasonal concentration trends. To do this, the mass concentration of $PM_{10}$ samples and the metals, ions, and total carbon in the $PM_{10}$ were analyzed. The mean concentration of $PM_{10}$ was $33.9{\mu}g/m^3$. The composition of $PM_{10}$ was 39.2% ionic species, 5.1% metallic species, and 26.6% carbonic species (EC and OC). Ionic species, especially sulfate, ammonium, and nitrate, were the most abundant in the $PM_{10}$ and had a high correlation coefficient with $PM_{10}$. Seasonal variation of $PM_{10}$ showed a similar pattern to those of ionic and metallic species. with high concentration during the winter and spring seasons. $PM_{10}$ showed high correlation with the ionic species $NO_3{^-}$ and $NH_4{^+}$. In addition, $NH_4{^+}$ was highly correlated with $SO{_4}^{2-}$ and $NO_3{^-}$. We obtained four factors through factor analysis and determined the pollution sources using the United States Environmental Protection Agency(U.S. EPA) pollution profile. The first factor accounted for 51.1% of $PM_{10}$ from complex sources, that is, soil, motor vehicles, and secondary particles: the second factor indicated marine sources; the third factor, industry-related sources; and the last factor, heating-related sources. However, the pollution profile used in this study may be somewhat different from the actual situation in Korea because it was from US EPA. Therefore, to more accurately estimate the pollutants present, it is necessary to create a pollution profile for Korea.