• 산학경영연구
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2008

본 논문에서는 우리나라 국채선물의 상장 시점부터 2005년 말까지 일별자료를 이용하여 개인투자자, 기관투자자 및 외국인투자자로 구별한 각 투자자 유형별로 거래량과 수익률, 그리고 거래량과 가격변동성 간의 관계를 분석하였다. 수익률에 대한 거래량 변수들의 영향은 투자자유형에 따라 차이를 보이지 않았지만, 주가지수선물시장의 결과와 달리 거래량이 수익률과 강한 음의 관계를 보여주어 시장의 주요 참여자인 기관투자가들의 이자율위험회피를 위한 헤져역할을 짐작케 하였다. 거래량 변수와 변동성 간의 관계는 투자자 유형에 따라 다르게 나타났다. 특히 순매수량 변수는 개인의 경우에는 변동성에 유의한 음의 영향을, 기관투자가의 경우 유의한 양의 영향을 미치고, 외국인의 경우에는 유의적이지 않는 등 투자자 유형에 따라 각각 상이하였다. 기관투자자의 결과는 주가지수선물시장에 관한 기존의 연구결과와 대체로 일치하였다. 매수에 의한 변동성 증가가 매도에 의한 변동성의 증가보다 더 큰 영향을 미친다는 거래량-변동성간에 비대칭성이 존재한다는 증거는 찾을 수 없었다. 이 결과는 주가지수선물 시장을 대상으로 한 국내외의 타 연구 결과와 차이점으로 보인다. 거래량과 수익률간의 음의 상관관계나 거래량과 변동성의 비대칭적 관계의 유무 등 기존 연구와 차이점에 대한 원인을 분석하기 위해서는 향후 기관투자가들의 투자행태에 관한 분석 특히 헤져로서의 역할에 관한 분석이 필요한 것으로 여겨진다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.107-117
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• 2014

본 연구에서는 투자자 거래 정보를 활용한 포트폴리오 투자전략을 제안했다. 포트폴리오를 구성하는 과정에서 군집분석을 활용하여 기대수익이 높은 종목을 선정하고, 유전자 알고리즘으로 포트폴리오를 최적화하여 투자성과를 높이고자 했다. 2007년 4월부터 2013년 6월까지의 국내 주식시장을 대상으로 한 실증분석을 통하여, 본 연구에서 제안한 포트폴리오 투자전략의 유용성과 우수성을 확인 했다. 본 연구의 결과는 특정 투자 주체의 매매행태를 분석하여 투자 의사결정에 이용할 수 있으며, 이를 통하여 높은 투자성과를 얻을 수 있음을 보여준다. 또한 인공지능 기법이 투자 의사결정에 유용하게 사용될 수 있음을 시사한다.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.25-41
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• 2004

There have been many studies to build a model that can help investors construct optimal portfolio. Most of the previous models, however, are based upon the path-breaking Markowitz model (1959) which is a quantitative model. One of the most important problems with that kind of quantitative model is that, in reality, most of the investors use not only quantitative, but also qualitative information when they select their optimal portfolio. Since collecting both types of information from the markets are time consuming and expensive, making a set of target assets smaller, without suffering heavy loss in the rate of return, would attract investors. To extract only desired assets among all available assets, we need knowledge that identifies investors' preference for the risk of the assets. This study suggests two-layer decision-making rules capable of identifying an investor's risk preference and an architecture applying them to a quantitative portfolio model based on risk and expected return. Our knowledge-based portfolio system is to build an investor's preference-oriented portfolio. The empirical tests using the data from Korean capital markets show the results that our model contributes significantly to the construction of a better portfolio in the perspective of an investor's benefit/cost ratio than that produced by the existing portfolio models.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제44권
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• pp.239-255
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• 2009

The purpose of this article is to examine the Utilization of Umbrella Clauses in Investor-State Contract Disputes. To accomplish the purpose, this article analyzes the ICSID case of SGS v. Pakistan and SGS v. Philippines. Umbrella clauses have become a regular feature of international investment agreements and have been included to provide additional protection to investors by covering the contractual obligations in investment agreements between host countries and foreign investors. In particular, two recent ICSID decisions, SGS v. Pakistan and SGS v. Philippines, have brought to the forefront the question of whether the umbrella clause applies to obligations arising under otherwise independent investment contracts between the investor and the host State. In focusing on the SGS decisions, this article will give some useful guidelines to Government and Academia under currently prevailing environment of the Free Trade Agreement("FTA") in Korea.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.75-83
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• 2014

Purpose - The oil price affects company value, which is the present value of the expected cash flow, by affecting the discount rate and cash flow. This study examines the nonlinear relationships between oil price and stock price using the AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index as the threshold. Research design, data, and methodology - Data comprise daily closing values of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Composite Index, and Hang Seng Index of ChinaWest Texas Intermediate crude oil spot price and AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index from May 25, 2007 to May 24, 2012. The Threshold Error Correction Model is used. Results - The results demonstrate different relationships between the stock price index and oil price under different investor sentiments; however, the stock price index and oil price could adjust to a long-term equilibrium the long-term causality tests between them were all significant. Conclusions - The relationship between the WTI and HANG SENG Index is more significant than the Shanghai Composites Index and Shenzhen Composite Index, when using the AlphaShares Chinese Volatility Index (ASC-VIX) as the investor sentiment variable and threshold.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.525-541
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• 2012

This study aims to investigate the possibility of Investor-State Dispute under Korea US FTA in relation to Korean environmental impact assessment scheme. The study analyzes the Investor-State Dispute case between Bilcon of Delaware and the government of Canada. The case study shows that Bilcon challenged Canada with violations of NAFTA 1102, 1103 and 1105, arguing that Canada treated Bilcon in an arbitrary and discriminatory manner. The study analyzes two different scenarios that Korea could face with arbitration for alleged breach of its obligations under the Korea US FTA in relation to EIA scheme. From analyzing the case study in relation to two different scenarios, the study finds that problems previously identified and associated with EIA scheme in Korea could directly or indirectly cause Investor-State Dispute Settlement process between Korea and American investors. The study concludes that the risk of violating Korea US FTA related with Korean EIA could be reduced by creating Korean EIA scheme in a transparent and unarbitrary manner which guarantees fair public participation and elaborating the concrete meaning of sustainable development in EIA law.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.55-79
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• 2013

As arbitration becomes an increasingly popular mode of resolving disputes, neighboring industries begin to take notice. This interest is reflected in the increasing utilization of third party funding in international arbitration claims. In this regard, the third party funding industry appears particularly interested in investor-state arbitration claims because they typically involve considerable claim amounts and substantial legal fees. To examine this trend more closely, this paper, firstly, examines the investor-state arbitration more precisely in Chapter II. In Chapter III, this study continues to examine some legal issues which can arise as a result of a conflict of interest between the parties to the funding agreement including, inter alia, 1) a dispute in which the funder terminates the agreement during the arbitration proceedings, 2) a dispute in relation to a funder's intervention in arbitration proceedings, and 3) a dispute on the responsibility for adverse costs orders, if any. This paper further identifies major legal issues which can arise in relation to 1) disclosure of existence of the funding agreement, 2) attorney-client privilege. Lastly, in Chapter IV, this paper provides some lessons from an in-depth case study on third party funding agreements and solutions to avoid and to solve prospective disputes in the future.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.71-89
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• 2019

When the host states do not comply with the investor-state arbitral awards voluntarily, it is difficult for the successful claimants to seek the enforcement of arbitral awards against the host state because of the doctrine of state immunity. This raises a question whether the investors might be able to seize the assets of the state-owned enterprises, as well as those of the host states. The investors might consider the properties held by state-owned enterprises as an attractive target especially when it has been established that the host state is responsible for the act of its state-owned enterprise. In such case, the investor might argue that the close relationship between the state-owned enterprise and the host state has already been recognized so that the commercial assets of the state-owned enterprise could be subject to attachment. On the other hand, the host state might argue that the state-owned entity exists separately from the state, and thus its assets cannot be equated with those of the host state. Moreover, even if this argument is not accepted and, as a result, the properties of the state-owned entity is equated with those of the host state, the host state might still be able to argue that non-commercial assets of the state-owned enterprise are immune from execution.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.761-768
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• 2021

The Islamic capital market in Indonesia is currently developing rapidly marked by the massive growth of sharia stock investors. It is followed by the development of an online sharia trading platform by stock brokerage companies so that investors can transact online sharia shares. From the number of existing stock investors, however, there are still very few Islamic stock investors who repurchase shares after the previous purchase. This really attracted the attention of researchers to investigate the repurchase intention of sharia share in the Indonesia stock market. 415 samples who are Islamic stock investors in the Indonesia stock market have filled out distributed questionnaires. Then, the data was processed using SEM Amos. The results of this study found that perceived enjoyment, perceived ease to use, and expectation have a positive and significant effect on investor satisfaction. Then, perceived enjoyment and expectation have a positive and significant effect on repurchase intention, while perceived ease to use has a negative and insignificant effect on repurchase intention, but has a positive effect through the mediating variable investor satisfaction. Investor satisfaction has a positive and significant effect on repurchase intention, and investor satisfaction is a good mediator for the exogenous variables in this study.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.61-67
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• 2021

The covid-19 pandemic scenario caused the most extensive economic shocks the world has experienced in decades. Maintaining financial performance and economic stability is essential during the pandemic period. In these conditions, where movement is severely restricted, media consumption is considered to be increasing. The social media platform is one of the media online used by the public as a source of information and also expressing their sentiment, including individual investors in the capital market as social media users. Twitter is one of the social media microblogging platforms used by individual investors to share their opinion and get information. This study aims to determine whether microblogging sentiment investors can predict the capital market during pandemics. To analyze microblogging sentiment investors, we classified sentiment using the phyton text mining algorithm and Naïve Bayesian text classification into level positive, negative, and neutral from November 2019 to November 2020. This study was on 68 listed companies on the Indonesia stock exchange. A Vector Autoregression and Impulse Response is applied to capture short and long-term impacts along with a causal relationship. We found that microblogging sentiment investor has a significant impact on stock returns and volatility and vice-versa. Also, the response due to shocks is convergent, and microblogging investors in Indonesia are categorized as a "news-watcher" investor.