• 제목/요약/키워드: Investment Model

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The Two-Stage Least Squares Regression of the Interplay between Education and Local Roads on Foreign Direct Investment in the Philippines

  • DIZON, Ricardo Laurio;CRUZ, Zita Ann Escabarte
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate the interplay between education and local roads on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the Philippines, using economic growth as an instrument. The study used the quantitative research design applying both descriptive and inferential statistics. A combination of Two Stage Least Square Regression Model and three approaches in Panel Regression Model such as Pooled Least Square, Fixed Effect Model, and Random Effect Model were utilized in order to study the effects of education and local roads on foreign direct investment of the Philippines. Based on Fixed Effect regression results, higher education graduates and local road investments, as conditioned by economic growth, were significant factors in order to increase the foreign direct investment in the Philippines. Accordingly, a unit increase in higher education graduates, as conditioned by economic growth, leads to 8.758 unit increases in the foreign direct investment. While, a unit increased in local road investments, as conditioned by economic growth, leads to a 0.002 decrease in foreign direct investment. The regression results of the study suggest that the Foreign Direct Investment in the regions such as CAR, I, II, IV-B, V, VIII, IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, and ARMM are higher compared to Region IV-A.

외환 시장 포트폴리오 선정 모형과 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가 (Development and Evaluation of a Portfolio Selection Model and Investment Algorithm in Foreign Exchange Market)

  • 최재호;정종빈;김성문
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we develop a portfolio selection model that can be used to invest in markets with margin requirements such as the foreign exchange market. An investment algorithm to implement the proposed portfolio selection model based on objective historical data is also presented. We further conduct empirical analysis on the performance of a hypothetical investment in the foreign exchange market, using the proposed portfolio selection model and investment algorithm. Using 7 currency pairs that recorded the highest trading volume in the foreign exchange market during the most recent 10 years, we compare the performance of 1) the Dollar Index, 2) a 1/N Portfolio which equally allocates capital to all N assets considered for investment, and 3) a hypothetical investment portfolio selected and managed according to the portfolio selection model and investment algorithm proposed in this paper. Performance is compared in terms of accumulated returns and Sharpe ratios for the 10-year period from January 2003 to December 2012. The results show that the hypothetical investment portfolio outperforms both benchmarks, with superior performance especially during the period following financial crisis. Overall, this paper suggests that a mathematical approach for selecting and managing an optimal investment portfolio based on objective data can achieve outstanding performance in the foreign exchange market.

국가 R&D 투자 배분에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링 (System Dynamics Modeling for the Allocation of National R&D Investment)

  • 김동환;안승구
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.153-176
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    • 2011
  • This paper is a summary of how we constructed a national R&D investment model. Although a national R&D investment is an important decision making for the government as well as industries, currently there were little efforts on making a model reflecting governmental decision making on the individual size of national R&D. We constructed a simple national R&D model through discussion with 3 researchers who have rich experience of governmental investment of national R&D. In this paper, we tried to show how our simple R&D model can reflect the perception on the R&D efficiency that changes as the industry reach to its saturation level.

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실물 옵션을 이용한 최적 투자 의사결정 시기 선택 모형 (Optimal Investment Decision Timing Model Using Real Options Approach)

  • 이재한;이동주;안재현
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2001
  • Net Present Value (NPV) criterion has been the most widely used criterion to evaluate investment opportunities. However, the analysis based on the NPV criterion falls to consider the managerial flexibility of deferring decisions until major uncertainty is resolved. Recently, real options method attracted a lot of attention as a Powerful approach to address the problem. If investment decision is deferred, the value of the investment opportunity increases but opportunity cost increases at the same time. Therefore, it is important to decide the optimal timing how long the decision can be deferred. In this paper, we developed a model deciding the optimal decision timing. Using the real options approach, the model derived the optimal deferring time until a decision is made. Then, the model was applied to a Korean mobile telecommunications company who wants to invest on the wireless resale business. We believe that this model would be very useful to overcome the problem of NPV decision criterion. With this approach, we can make contingent decisions based on the observation of uncertainly resolutions.

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ASEAN+3회원국에 대한 해외직접투자 결정요인 분석 (An Analysis of Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to ASEAN+3 Member Nations)

  • 손용정
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2009
  • This study analysed determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to ASEAN+ 3 member nations using panel data for which cross-sectional data are combined with time series data. The data for the analysis included the amount of FDI, GDP, and indexes of economic independence. This study collected data from six nations(Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam) whose data were easily available, China and Japan from 2003 to 2007 and analysed them. The results are summarized as follows: Using the pooled OLS method, we found Model 2 had the highest explanatory power whose adjusted R-squared was 89.4%, which accounted for about 89% of foreign investment. Using the fixed effect model, Model 2 had the highest explanatory power whose adjusted R-squared was 96.8%, which accounted for about 97% of foreign investment. Using the probability effect model, Model 5 had the highest explanatory power, but in respect to its statistical significance, only GDP was 1% significant and the rest variables had no significance.

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외국인투자가 탄소배출량에 미치는 영향분석: 패널 VAR 모형을 이용한 분석 (Analysis of the Influence of Foreign Direct Investment on Carbon Emissions: Analysis Using Panel VAR Model)

  • 류승우;이양기;김능우
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between foreign investment and carbon emissions in the Korean electricity sector, the causal relationship between the foreign investment invested in the electric power sector in the 16 regional regions and the carbon emissions in the region, The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of foreign investment on these sectors and the carbon footprint of these sectors using Panel Random Effect Analysis, Panel VAR and OLS models. A panel analysis of foreign investment and regional carbon emissions showed that there was a causal relationship. Based on this analysis, OLS analysis showed that 7 out of 16 metropolitan areas were foreign investment And carbon emissions were significant. In the remaining six regions except Gwangju, there was a causal relationship between foreign investment in the local power sector and the reduction of carbon emissions. After categorizing the electric power industry by device, process, purpose and number of employees, causality also appeared in relation to foreign investment in these sectors and their carbon emissions. Through this study, the authors suggest that foreign investment can be a way to solve not only the financial burden of carbon emission problem, but also the development of national economy and industry through the inflow of capital and advanced new technology.

기술이전하에서의 연구개벌투자에 관한 동적게임 (A Dynamic Game of R & D Investment Under Technology Transfer)

  • 오형식
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1986
  • The problem of strategic R & D investment is formulate as a differential game model and solved explicity for a special case. It is shown that, at equilibrium, an increase in the intensity of market competition or a decrease in the role of technology transfer results in an increase in the initial rate of investment by competing tfirms. The increased initial investment rate may enhance the rate of technology development. This dynamic model can be used to propose non cooperative R & D investment policies in technologically competitive situation.

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Predicting the Effectiveness of National Energy R&D Investment in Korea: Application of System Dynamics

  • 오영민
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2014
  • Korea government established the energy technology development plan (2011-2020) and declared to be a leader of the green energy technologies. The plan aims for 10% market share in the green energy industry, 12% energy efficiency improvement, and 15% greenhouse gas reduction. In order to achieve these goals, the government has tried to calculate the whole scale of national energy R&D investment, annual budget and specific expenditures for new technologies by computer simulation. The simulation modules include the R&D investment model, GDP model, energy consumption and $CO_2$ emission model by System Dynamics. Based on these simulation modules, I tested various scenarios for effectiveness of energy R&D investments until 2020. The results show that Korea should increase national energy R&D investment to 2.3 billion U.S. dollars, and switch the investment from electricity and nuclear power to the renewable energy.

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기업 정보기술 투자의 통합 성과모형에 대한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Integrated Performance Model for the Effect of Information Technology Investment)

  • 김효근;유지현;이현주
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.119-140
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    • 2003
  • The business value of IT has been the focus of the academic and business field in recent years, along with the massive IT investment. Unfortunately, those studies have not been able to demonstrate strong linkages between the IT investment and performance. The impact of IT investment on performance is an important research topic that needs to consider the role of key contextual factors and intermediate factors. This study develops an integrated model for IT investment, with the mediating effects of production/coordination performance towards firm performance. In addition, the model is moderated by some factors like ISP(Information Systems Planning), Business Planning alignment, top management support, IT education and training, and process innovation. The empirical result, based on the moderating regression analysis, indicates that the relationship between IT Investment and production/coordination performance is significantly positive depending on moderating factors. However, production/coordination performance is partially related to firm performance.

Real Options Analysis of Groundwater Extraction and Management with Water Price Uncertainty

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.639-666
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    • 2018
  • This paper analyses the investment options of groundwater development project under water price uncertainty. The optimal investment threshold price which trigger the investment are calibrated base on monopolistic real options model. Stochastic dynamic model is set to reflect the uncertainty of water price which follows the GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) process. Our finding from non-cooperative investment decision model is that uncertainty of water price could deter the groundwater investment by considering the existence of option values. For policy markers, it is easy to manage 'charges for utilization of groundwater' rather than 'performance guarantee ratio' when managing groundwater investment with pricing policy. And it is necessary to make comprehensive and well-designed policies considering the characteristics of regional groundwater reservoir and groundwater developers.