• Title/Summary/Keyword: International trade policy

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The Effect of Initial Margin on Long-run and Short-run Volatilities in Japan

  • Kim, Sangbae;Jung, Taehun
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.311-332
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    • 2013
  • This paper examines the effect of initial margin requirements on long-run and short-run volatilities in the Japanese stock market using the Component GARCH model. Our empirical results show that when we do not divide the margin requirement into positive and negative changes, increasing margin requirement is effective for reducing long-run volatility, while not effective in short-run volatility. However, separating the positive and negative changes in margin requirements reveals the fact that the negative changes in margin requirements decrease long-run volatilities, while the higher margin requirements increase short-run volatilities in the Japanese stock market. This suggests that if the Japanese financial authorities intend to increase margin level to reduce volatility, unexpectedly, short-run volatility would be even higher.

ANALYSIS OF M/M/c RETRIAL QUEUE WITH THRESHOLDS, PH DISTRIBUTION OF RETRIAL TIMES AND UNRELIABLE SERVERS

  • CHAKRAVARTHY, SRINIVAS R.;OZKAR, SERIFE;SHRUTI, SHRUTI
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.1_2
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    • pp.173-196
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    • 2021
  • This paper treats a retrial queue with phase type retrial times and a threshold type-policy, where each server is subject to breakdowns and repairs. Upon a server failure, the customer whose service gets interrupted will be handed over to another available server, if any; otherwise, the customer may opt to join the retrial orbit or depart from the system according to a Bernoulli trial. We analyze such a multi-server retrial queue using the recently introduced threshold-based retrial times for orbiting customers. Applying the matrix-analytic method, we carry out the steady-state analysis and report a few illustrative numerical examples.

Finding Loopholes in Sanctions: Effects of Sanctions on North Korea's Refined Oil Prices

  • KIM, KYOOCHUL
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2020
  • The international community's sanctions against North Korea, triggered by North Korea's nuclear tests and by missile development in the country, are considered the strongest sanctions in history, banning exports of North Korea's major items and limiting imports of machinery and oil products. Accordingly, North Korea's trade volume decreased to the level of collapse after the sanctions, meaning that the sanctions against North Korea were considered to be effective. However, according to this paper, which analyzed the price fluctuations of refined petroleum products in North Korea through the methodology of an event study, the market prices of oil products were only temporarily affected by the sanctions and remained stable over the long run despite the restrictions on the volumes of refined petroleum products introduced. This can be explained by evidence that North Korea has introduced refined oil supplies that are not much different from those before the sanctions through its use of illegal transshipments even after the sanctions. With regard to strategic materials such as refined oil, the North Korean authorities are believed to be desperately avoiding sanctions by, for instance, finding loopholes in the sanctions to meet the minimum level of demand.

Forecasting KOSPI Return Using a Modified Stochastic AdaBoosting

  • Bae, Sangil;Jeong, Minsoo
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.403-424
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    • 2021
  • AdaBoost tweaks the sample weight for each training set used in the iterative process, however, it is demonstrated that it provides more correlated errors as the boosting iteration proceeds if models' accuracy is high enough. Therefore, in this study, we propose a novel way to improve the performance of the existing AdaBoost algorithm by employing heterogeneous models and a stochastic twist. By employing the heterogeneous ensemble, it ensures different models that have a different initial assumption about the data are used to improve on diversity. Also, by using a stochastic algorithm with a decaying convergence rate, the model is designed to balance out the trade-off between model prediction performance and model convergence. The result showed that the stochastic algorithm with decaying convergence rate's did have a improving effect and outperformed other existing boosting techniques.

East and West Meet in Africa: Effects on Clothing and Textile Businesses in Kenya's Liberalized Economy

  • Wanduara, M.W.;Oigo, E.B.;Nguku, E.K.
    • The International Journal of Costume Culture
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.101-103
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    • 2010
  • Liberalization may be described as the opening up of the economy to the outside world by relaxing government trade and economic policy restrictions to allow imports. In Kenya, this took place in the early 1990s and it had negative and positive effects on businesses manufacturing and retailing clothing and textiles. This case study narrates what has happened over the last 20 years to businesses in Nairobi, Kenya dealing in clothing and textiles. Some of the original businesses have closed down and been replaced by new ones. More small scale Kenyan businesses have been started dealing in clothing imports from the East and West selling both new and second hand clothes. There has been increased employment in the small scale clothing and textiles sector in garment making and retailing. All in all, liberalization has forced large and medium scale textile manufacture to change strategy so that they target selling to the export market more than to the local market.

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Community Development and Community Leadership (지역사회 개발과 지역사회 리더십)

  • Lee, Sung
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1998
  • Rural communities have been isolated from social and economic changes underway in the broader society. Trends towed an urbanized society have depopulated many rural areas (Flora, et al, 1992). The South Korean government has targeted efforts toward an urban centered economic development policy, which has neglected the rural areas. The South Korean government also has indoctrinated rural community development with a quick-fix approach. Self-directed economic organizations based in rural South Korea began to emerge in the late 1980s. Since the 1980s, South Korean agricultural sectors have been overshadowed by globalism. McMichael (1996) stated that rural communities have two options. A immunity should either End its niche (i.e. the commodities or products that can have advantages in the international trade market) or protest against globalism to survive if rural communities fail to find a niche under globalism. South Korean neat communities did not have enough natural resources nor enough money to invest for their rural community economic development programs. These limitations made it difficult for South Korean coral communities to compete in a global economic environment. Israel, Coleman, and Ilvento (1993) stated that local leadership is a critical component in the ability of communities to respond to lang-standing problems and emerging needs. Swinth and Alexander (1990) asserted that rural leaders are critical actors in rural community development. Whether rural communities succeed in finding their niche or not, the role of rural community leaders is important for rural communities to find ways to cope in the international agriculture market.

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The Role of Private Participation in FTA Negotiation : A Case of U.S., Mexico and Japan (FTA협상에서 민간참여의 역할 : 미국, 멕시코, 일본 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hong-Youl;Chung, Yong-Kyun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.363-390
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates the role of private participation in FTA Negotiation in case of US, Mexico and Japan. We utilize Putnam(1988)'s two stage negotiation model, Schelling Conjecture and Principal-Agent(P-A) theory to understand the role of private sector in FTA Negotiation. Those theories are useful to understand the behavior and interaction of key players such as private sector, congress and government in FTA negotiation. Putnam(1988)'s two stage negotiation model divides the FTA negotiation process into two processes: the external negotiation with foreign country and domestic negotiation with domestic interest group. Principal-Agent(P-A) theory provides the theoretical foundation of Putnam's two stage negotiation model, which is that principal's interest is not identical to the interest of Agent. We showed that the private sector and congress play an important role in FTA negotiation in United States. In case of Mexico, the private sector and government occupy the dominant position in FTA negotiation. In particular, the cooperation of industry and government has been successfully established via COECE in Mexico. In contrast to these countries, the role of private participation in trade policy is relatively low in Japan and Korea.

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Sensitivity Analysis of JLSP Inventory Model with Ordering Cost inclusive of a Freight Cost under Trade Credit in a Two-stage Supply Chain

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.300-306
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the distributor's inventory model in a two-stage supply chain consisting of the supplier, the distributor and the end customer. The supplier will allow a credit period before the distributor settles the account with him in order to stimulate the demand for the product he produces. It is also assumed that the distributor pays the shipping cost for the order and hence, the distributor's ordering cost consists of a fixed ordering cost and the shipping cost that depend on the order quantity. The availability of the delay in payments from the supplier enables discount of the distributor's selling price from a wider range of the price option in anticipation of increased customer's demand. As a result, the availability of a credit transaction leads to an increase in inventory levels. On the other hand, in the case of deteriorating products in which the utility of the product perish over time, the deterioration rate with time plays a role in reducing inventory levels. In this regard, we analyze the effect of the length of the credit period and the degree of product deterioration on the distributor's inventory level. For the analysis, we formulate the distributor's annual net profit and analyze the effect of the length of credit period and deterioration rate of the product on inventory policy numerically.

A study on the market-based fisheries resource management for the sustainable fishery (지속적 어업을 위한 시장기반 수산자원관리 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Yeong;Zhang, Chang-Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.416-429
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    • 2010
  • The market-based fisheries resources management system was reviewed and the improvement scheme was studied for seeking the sustainability of marine ecosystems and their fisheries resources. A demand-side policy is currently emerging to the management of fisheries resources by reducing over-exploitation, based on the consumer's selection. The role of consumers in the sustainable fishery was studied by comparing the social responsibility and consumer's activity between Korea and foreign countries and international NGO groups, based on the FAO guideline. The adoption of the Marine Stewardship Council (MSC)'s eco-labelling certificate was suggested by expanding the existing environment-friendly certification system in Korea. This new system will contribute to the protection of young immature fish and spawners in coastal and offshore fisheries as well as to the international trade of seafood in terms of fish products from well-managed fisheries. It is noted that the consumer's activities in the markets as regulators will contribute to the ecosystem health and sustainability.

Strategies for Establishing of the Systemic Collecting and Sharing of Food Risk Information (체계적인 식품 위해 정보 수집.공유 체계 구축 방안)

  • Choi, Sung-Rak
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.456-462
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    • 2007
  • Food safety has been a growing consumer concern over the last few decades, and remains a priority for consumers, the food industry, and regulatory agencies alike. Although consumer concern for food safety has increased, consumer confidence has decreased. The emphasis on food safety is related to that of preliminary risk management. The ability to collect and provide food risk information is a key element in enhancing the way food safety authorities protect consumers from risk. This review aims to investigate the current situations of international organizations, as well as several countries' systems for collecting and providing food risk information. Through the comparison and analysis of each system, this review proposes strategies to establish a systematic collecting of information and provision of infrastructure in Korea. To develop an information collection system suited to Korea's situation, it is necessary for Korea to strengthen interactions and cooperation with other trade partners through the enlargement of international networks. Such efforts on food risk communication should be made by providing high quality and clear information.

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