• Title/Summary/Keyword: International oil prices

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Long Term Trend of Uranium Production and Price

  • Hye-Jin Son;Su-Hyun Kang;Jong-Pil Jung;Chang-Lak Kim
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.295-301
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    • 2023
  • To broaden the utilization of nuclear energy, uranium as a fuel should be mined indispensably. Mining accounts for the largest portion of the cost of producing the uranium assembly. Therefore, this study analyzes the trends of uranium prices, which have a significant impacts on the mining cost. Uranium production contributing to the price fluctuations is explained in five periods from 1945 to the present. Moreover, the series of events affecting uranium prices from the 1970s until the present are verified. Among them, the most recent incidents considered in this study are the following: COVID-19 pandemic, Kazakhstan unrest, and Russia-Ukraine war. European countries have started to reconsider the transition to nuclear power to reduce their dependence on Russian oil and gas, which has contributed to the surge in uranium prices. Based on the results of this study, various international issues have been closely associated with the nuclear power industry and uranium, affecting the production of uranium and its price.

Relationship between Baltic Dry Index and Crude Oil Market (발틱 운임지수와 원유시장 간의 상호관련성)

  • Choi, Ki-Hong;Kim, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2018
  • This study uses daily price data on three major types of crude oil (Brent, Dubai, and WTI) and BDI from January 2, 2009 to June 29, 2018, to compare the relationship between crude oil prices and BDI for rate of change and volatility. Unlike previous studies, the correlation between BDI and crude oil prices was analyzed both the rate of change and variability, VARs, Granger Causality Test, and the GARCH and DCC models were employed. The correlation analysis, indicated that the crude oil price change rate and volatility affect the BDI change rate and that BDI volatility affects the crude oil price change rate and volatility. The relationship between oil prices and BDI is identified, but their correlation is low, which is likely a result of lower dependence on crude oil as demand for natural gas increases worldwide and demand for renewable energy decreases. These trends could result in lower correlations over time. Therefore, focusing on the changing demand for raw materials in future investments in international shipping(real economy) and oil markets and macroeconomic analysis is necessary.

Long-term International Oil Trade Model for the Analysis of Oil Price and Economic Growth (세계원유가격 및 경제성장분석을 위한 장기국제원유무역모형)

  • Kim, Se-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 1985
  • Since energy consumption of developing countries is expected to grow rapidly over the coming decades, the oil-importing developing countries are likely to encounter chronic balance-of-payments difficulties. To analyze the quantitative impacts of this problem, we develop a computable model of international trade. This paper presents four alternative cases - varying the assumptions with respect to energy supplies. This shows that relatively small difference in supplies can lead to 100% differences in the energy prices projected for 1990.

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Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Prices by Industry (국제유가 충격이 산업별 주가에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Yun-Jung;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.233-260
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we analyzed how oil price fluctuations affect stock price by industry using the non-parametric quantile causality test method. We used weekly data of WTI spot price, KOSPI index, and 22 industrial stock indices from January 1998 to April 2021. The empirical results show that the effect of changes in oil prices on the KOSPI index was not significant, which can be attributed to mixed responses of diverse stock prices in several industries included in the KOSPI index. Looking at the stock price response to oil price by industry, the 9 of 18 industries, including Cloth, Paper, and Medicine show a causality with oil prices, while 9 industries, including Food, Chemical, and Non-metal do not show a causal relationship. Four industries including Medicine and Communication (0.45~0.85), Cloth (0.15~0.45), and Construction (0.5~0.6) show causality with oil prices more than three quantiles consecutively. However, the quantiles in which causality appeared were different for each industry. From the result, we find that the effects of oil price on the stock prices differ significantly by industry, and even in one industry, and the response to oil price changes is different depending on the market situation. This suggests that the government's macroeconomic policies, such as industrial and employment policies, should be performed in consideration of the differences in the effects of oil price fluctuations by industry and market conditions. It also shows that investors have to rebalance their portfolio by industry when oil prices fluctuate.

Commodity Prices, Tax Purpose Recognition and Bitcoin Volatility: Using ARCH/GARCH Modeling

  • JALAL, Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din;SARGIACOMO, Massimo;SAHAR, Najam Us
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.251-257
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates the role of commodity prices and tax purpose recognition on bitcoin prices. Since the introduction of bitcoin in 2008, emphasis has focused on economists, policy-makers and analysts drastically increasing bitcoin's accessibility and commodity values (Dumitrescu & Firică, 2014). This study employs GARCH and EGARCH from ARCH/GARCH family on daily nature data. We measure the volatile behavior of bitcoin by employing auto-regressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with the aim to explore the relationship between major commodities and bitcoin volatility. We focus on major commodities like gold, silver, platinum, and crude oil to be regressed with bitcoin. The daily prices of commodities were retrieved from www.investing.com and bitcoin prices from www.coindesk.com for the period from 29April 2013 to 16 October 2018. Results confirmed the currency's long-term volatile behavior, which is due to its composition and market dynamics, whereas the existence of asymmetric information effect is not confirmed. Tax recognition by other countries may in future help in controlling the volatility as bitcoin is not a country-specific security. But, only silver impacts on volatility in comparison to oil prices and platinum, which is due to its similar features with gold. Eventually, bitcoin can be used for risk diversification and money making.

Global Energy Trend and Evolution of NOCs

  • Kim, Hee-Jip
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2007
  • High oil prices and high demand supporting IOC move to frontier and NOC evolution. Most frontier area reserves are in NOC territory. IOCs need to be able to manage relationships with NOCs in order to be successful. They need to tune into what NOC priorities are. NOCs have different priorities depending on whether they are resource rich or resource poor. IOCs need to recognize $NOCs^{\circ}{\emptyset}$ priorities and differentiate themselves by using them when talking to NOCs.

Comparative Economic Analysis on SOx Scrubber Operation for ECA Sailing Vessel

  • Jee, Jae-hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.262-268
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    • 2020
  • The IMO (International Maritime Organization) has mandated the restriction of SOx emissions to 0.5 % for all international sailing vessels since January 2020. And, a number of countries have designated emission control areas for stricter environmental regulations. Three representative methods have been suggested to cope with these regulations; using low-sulphur oil, installing a scrubber, or using LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) as fuel. In this paper, economic analysis was performed by comparing the method of installing a scrubber with the method of using low-sulphur oil without installing additional equipment. We suggested plausible layouts and compared the pros and cons of dif erent scrubber types for retrofitting. We selected an international sailing ship as the target vessel and estimated payback time and benefits based on navigation route, fuel consumption, and installation and operation costs. Two case of oil prices were analyzed considering the uncertainty of fuel oil price fluctuation. We found that the expected payback time of investment varies from 1 year to 3.5 years depending on the operation ratio of emission control areas and the fuel oil price change.

Asymmetry Analysis on Petroleum Product Prices : An International Comparison (석유제품가격 비대칭성의 국제비교연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Kwan;Kang, Seung-Jin;Heo, Eunnyeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.663-688
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    • 2011
  • Since the liberalization of petroleum product prices in 1997, there has been persistent suspicion with regard to asymmetry in the movement of petroleum product prices in Korea. In particular, academics and consumer groups suggest that prices decided by refining companies and gas stations have moved asymmetrically compared with international petroleum product prices. The primary aim of this study is to determine, using the Error Correction Model, to perform multi-country asymmetry analysis including the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy and Japan. We shows that comparison of domestic prices with international prices in the six countries mentioned above revealed a fairly low level of asymmetry in those countries, although some asymmetry was found in some countries at various times within the period of analysis. To explain the different degrees of asymmetry between countries, this study looked at asymmetry in the United States, Germany and Italy and sought correlations between each country's oil industry structure and its level of competition.

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The Impact of Import Oil Price Increase on the Cost Structure of the Korean Logistics Industry (수입원유가격의 상승이 국내 물류산업의 비용구조에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Yoon, Jae-Ho;Park, Myong-Sup
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.41
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    • pp.169-183
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    • 2009
  • This study has been conducted under the background of the high rocketed international oil price in the mid of the 2008 year. Korean logistics industry then suffered from a harsh labor strike which paralyzed temporarily Korean exports and imports activities mainly due to the rising motor fuel prices. The theme of this study started from the highly practical question: what would be the impact of the soaring crude oil price on the cost structure of the Korean logistics industry? For this practical question this study conducted an input-output analysis utilizing the 2003 year benchmark input-output table, published by the Bank of Korea in 2007.

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The Asymmetric Response of Gasoline Prices to International Crude Oil Price Changes Considering Inventories (재고를 고려한 국제원유가격변동에 따른 휘발유 가격의 비대칭성 연구)

  • Bae, Jeeyoung;Kim, Soohyeon;Kim, Moonjung;Oh, Soomin;Heo, Eunnyeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.643-670
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed the impact of crude oil inventory while gasoline price adjusts to international crude oil price(WTI) fluctuations. We mainly focused on asymmetric relationship between crude oil and petroleum product prices and added oil inventory as an variable, using the error correction model which is based on Borenstein et al.(1997). This paper selected the sample period from January 1988 to December 2012, analyzed the asymmetry of each intervals and the influence of crude oil inventory to the degree of asymmetry changes, both full period and five years period respectively. The results showed that when considering crude oil inventory, existence and degrees of time amount asymmetry varies.