• 제목/요약/키워드: Interest Prediction

검색결과 465건 처리시간 0.029초

가황 천연고무의 피로수명에 미치는 최대 변형률과 노화도 영향 (Effects of Maximum Strain and Aging Conditions on the Fatigue Life of Vulcanized Natural Rubber)

  • 우창수;김완두;김완수;권재도
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2004
  • The interest of the fatigue life of rubber components such as engine mounts is increasing according to the extension of warranty period of the automotive components. Automotive engine mounts get damaged due to thermal and mechanical loadings. This paper discusses a fatigue life prediction of the 3-dimensional dumbbell specimens for natural rubber compound considering the effects of maximum strain and heat aging temperature. Displacement controlled fatigue life tests were performed using specimens with different levels of maximum strain and various hardness. The basic mechanical properties test and the fatigue test of aged rubber specimen under normal and elevated temperature were executed. A procedure to predicted the fatigue life of vulcanized natural rubber material based on the maximum strain method was proposed, and then this curve was in good agreement with fatigue test data less than 200% error range.

다구찌 방법과 실험계획법을 이용한 소음기의 설계 방법 (Design of Muffler using Taguchi Method and Experimental Design)

  • 오재응;차경준;이규태;진정언
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 1999
  • Recently, the regulations from the govemment and the concems of the people give rise to the interest in exhaust noise of passenger car as much as other vehicles. The exact analysis of various mufflers is needed to reduce the level of exhaust noise. In this paper, we propose a design to improve the mufflers capacity by reducing noise of exhaust system combining Taguchi method and fractional factorial design. In order to measure the performance of a muffler, the performance prediction software which is developed by the Dept. of Automotive Engineering at Hanyang University is used. From the current muffler system we select control factors such as lenght and radius of each component that are thought to be effective on capacity of muffler. Factors are arranged using L18, L27 table of orthogonal array and the fractional factorial design for analysis. We find some significant interaction effects using 1/3 fractional factorial design and accomplish the reduction of noise from the muffler.

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Prediction of Safety Critical Software Operational Reliability from Test Reliability Using Testing Environment Factors

  • Jung, Hoan-Sung;Seong, Poong-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 1999
  • It has been a critical issue to predict the safety critical software reliability in nuclear engineering area. For many years, many researches have focused on the quantification of software reliability and there have been many models developed to quantify software reliability. Most software reliability models estimate the reliability with the failure data collected during the test assuming that the test environments well represent the operation profile. User's interest is however on the operational reliability rather than on the test reliability. The experiences show that the operational reliability is higher than the test reliability. With the assumption that the difference in reliability results from the change of environment, from testing to operation, testing environment factors comprising the aging factor and the coverage factor are developed in this paper and used to predict the ultimate operational reliability with the failure data in testing phase. It is by incorporating test environments applied beyond the operational profile into testing environment factors. The application results show that the proposed method can estimate the operational reliability accurately.

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퍼지 전문가 시스템을 이용한 고장 예측 및 진단 (Fault Prediction and Diagnosis Using Fuzzy Expert System)

  • 최성운;이영석
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 1999
  • As the loss from break-downs and errors, which became more frequent with the growth of elaborateness, complexity and in scale of the plant and equipments, are enormous, the improvement in the reliability, maintenance, safety, and qualify become to have interest. The fault diagnosis is a systematic and unified method to find errors, which is based on the interpretation that data, subconsciously, have noises. But, as most of the methods are inferences based on binomial logic, the uncertainty is not correctly reflected. In this study, we suggest, to manage the uncertainty in the system efficiently on the point of predictive maintenance, We should use fuzzy expert system, which make the decision considering uncertainty possible by taking linguistical variable and fixed quantity by using the fuzzy theory concepts on the basis of an expert's direct observation and experience.

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Leidenfrost 현상에 관한 최근 기술현황분석 (Description and Discussion of the Current State of the Knowledge about the Leidenfrost Phenomenon)

  • Moon Ki Chung;Young Whan LEE
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.204-218
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    • 1982
  • 본 보고서의 목적은 비등열전달 분야에서 많이 연구되고 있는 Leidenfrost현상에 관한 최근 기술 현황을 검토, 기술하는데 있다. 냉각재 상실사고후 고온표면의 냉각현상에 관계되는 물리적 구조를 이해하는 것은 원자로 안전성 측면에서 중요하므로 이 분야에 많은 관심을 갖게 된다. 조사된 참고 문헌의 이론적 및 실험적 결과를 토대로 높은 압력에서 Leidenfrost온도 해석에 상당한 차이가 있으므로 이 분야에 계속적인 연구가 필요하다는 것을 알았다.

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Chaotic Dynamics in Tobacco's Addiction Model

  • Bae, Youngchul
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.322-331
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    • 2014
  • Chaotic dynamics is an active area of research in biology, physics, sociology, psychology, physiology, and engineering. This interest in chaos is also expanding to the social scientific fields such as politics, economics, and argument of prediction of societal events. In this paper, we propose a dynamic model for addiction of tobacco. A proposed dynamical model originates from the dynamics of tobacco use, recovery, and relapse. In order to make an addiction model of tobacco, we try to modify and rescale the existing tobacco and Lorenz models. Using these models, we can derive a new tobacco addiction model. Finally, we obtain periodic motion, quasi-periodic motion, quasi-chaotic motion, and chaotic motion from the addiction model of tobacco that we established. We say that periodic motion and quasi-periodic motion are related to the pre-addiction or recovery stage, respectively. Quasi-chaotic and chaotic motion are related to the addiction stage and relapse stage, respectively.

Chaotic Phenomena in Addiction Model for Digital Leisure

  • Bae, Youngchul
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.291-297
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    • 2013
  • Chaotic dynamics have been studied by many researchers in the fields of biology, physics, and engineering. Interest in chaos is also expanding to the social sciences such as politics, economics, and others, including the prediction of societal events. The concept of leisure has developed from a passive concept correlated with relaxation, entertainment, and ideology formation into a positive concept that assumes a more active role. As information and communications technology develops, digital leisure activity is expected to continue spreading. This expansion of digital leisure function correctly, as well as. Traditional leisure activity functions correctly more, whereas digital leisure activity is predicted to function incorrectly more often. In this paper, we propose a mathematical addiction model of digital leisure that deals with its dysfunctions such as addiction to digital leisure, including computer games, internet search, internet chatting, and social media. Herein, to solve addiction to digital leisure, we propose a model derived from a nicotine addiction.

Predicting Nonlinear Processes for Manufacturing Automation: Case Study through a Robotic Application

  • Kim, Steven H.;Oh, Heung-Sik
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.249-260
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    • 1997
  • The manufacturing environment is rife with nonlinear processes. In this context, an intelligent production controller should be able to predict the dynamic behavior of various subsystems as they react to transient environmental conditions, the varying internal condition of the manufacturing plant, and the changing demands of the production schedule. This level of adaptive capability may be achieved through a coherent methodology for a learning coordinator to predict nonlinear and stochastic processes. The system is to serve as a real time, online supervisor for routine activities as well as exceptional conditions such as damage, failure, or other anomalies. The complexity inherent in a learning coordinator can be managed by a modular architecture incorporating case based reasoning. In the interest of concreteness, the concepts are presented through a case study involving a knowledge based robotic system.

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소수력발전용 용적형수차의 성능해석과 최적설계법에 관한 연구 (Performance Analysis and Optimum Design Method of Positive Displacement Turbine for Small Hydropower)

  • 최영도
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.514-521
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    • 2007
  • There has been considerable interest recently in the topic of renewable energy. This is primarily due to concerns about environmental impacts. Moreover, fluctuating and rising oil prices, increases in demand, supply uncertainties and other factors have led to increased calls for alternative energy sources. Small hydropower, especially using water supply system, attracts high attentions because of relatively lower cost and smaller space requirements to construct the plant. Moreover. newly developed positive displacement turbine has high acceptability for the system. Therefore, the purpose of this study is focused on the examination of the performance characteristics and proposition of a optimum design method of the turbine for the improvement of the performance. The results show that newly proposed optimum design method for the turbine has high accuracy of performance prediction and good applicability for the performance improvement of the turbine.

포아송 확률 모형을 이용한 축구 경기 결과 예측 (Forecasting the Results of Soccer Matches Using Poisson Model)

  • 성현;장우진
    • 산업공학
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2007
  • As the sales of the Sports Toto, the Korean lottery on sports games, have increased significantly in recent five years, interest in predicting the various results of sports matches has also been raised. Dixon and Coles (1997) proposed a bivariate Poisson model to predict the results of English soccer league matches. In this paper, we pay attention to the physical condition of players that may affect soccer match results and revise Dixon and Coles' model to consider probable fatigue due to the players' short rest followed by their frequent matches. We observed the fatigue effect in the match results, and found positive betting returns available when using our prediction model. Furthermore, the validity of probability-based odds in European and Korean betting markets is analyzed.