• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interest Prediction

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Mobile health service user characteristics analysis and churn prediction model development (모바일 헬스 서비스 사용자 특성 분석 및 이탈 예측 모델 개발)

  • Han, Jeong Hyeon;Lee, Joo Yeoun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 2021
  • As the average life expectancy is rising, the population is aging and the number of chronic diseases is increasing. This has increased the importance of healthy life and health management, and interest in mobile health services is on the rise thanks to the development of ICT(Information and communication technologies) and the smartphone use expansion. In order to meet these interests, many mobile services related to daily health are being launched in the market. Therefore, in this study, the characteristics of users who actually use mobile health services were analyzed and a predictive model applied with machine learning modeling was developed. As a result of the study, we developed a prediction model to which the decision tree and ensemble methods were applied. And it was found that the mobile health service users' continued use can be induced by providing features that require frequent visit, suggesting achievable activity missions, and guiding the sensor connection for user's activity measurement.

Height Prediction Mechanism for Smart Surveillance Systems (지능형 보안 감시 시스템을 위한 높이 예측 메커니즘)

  • Shim, Jaeseok;Lim, Yujin
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.3 no.7
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    • pp.241-244
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    • 2014
  • Wireless Sensor Network(WSN) has been attracting lots of interest in recent years for smart surveillance systems. WSN-based surveillance systems need to figure out the occurrence or existence of events or objects and to find out where the events have occurred or the objects are present. In our surveillance system, it is needed to give an alarm only when the detected object is human (not pets or rodents) for reducing false alarms and improving the system reliability. In this paper, we propose a height prediction mechanism to determine if the detected object is human using Heron's formula. Finally, we verify the performance of our proposed mechanism through various experiments.

Evaporator Thermal Performance Prediction on Automotive Air Conditioning System (자동차 공조장치용 증발기의 전열 성능 예측)

  • Kim, J.S.;Kang, J.K.
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.297-305
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    • 1991
  • Recently, automotive air conditioning system manufacturers have been made a great efforts on the system compactness and high efficiency. This growing interest comes improvements in evaporator thermal performance, one of the most important factors affecting the performance of air conditioning system. In order to improve design of compact type evaporator, this study executes performs to develop a computer program for evaporator thermal performance prediction of automotive air conditioning system. The brief summaries of this study are as follows: 1) To predict the overall thermal performance of serpentine type evaporator, the new simulating method is developed. 2) The calculations are performed as functions of oil mass concentration and refrigerant two-phase distribution at inlet manifold of evaporator. 3) The validity of this simulating program is confirmed by comparing the predicted thermal performance results to experimental results of practical available evaporator. 4) Based on these results, suggestions are made to improve the thermal performance of evaporator.

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Experimental vs. theoretical out-of-plane seismic response of URM infill walls in RC frames

  • Verderame, Gerardo M.;Ricci, Paolo;Di Domenico, Mariano
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.69 no.6
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    • pp.677-691
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, interest is growing in the engineering community on the experimental assessment and the theoretical prediction of the out-of-plane (OOP) seismic response of unreinforced masonry (URM) infills, which are widespread in Reinforced Concrete (RC) buildings in Europe and in the Mediterranean area. In the literature, some mechanical-based models for the prediction of the entire OOP force-displacement response have been formulated and proposed. However, the small number of experimental tests currently available has not allowed, up to current times, a robust and reliable evaluation of the predictive capacity of such response models. To enrich the currently available experimental database, six pure OOP tests on URM infills in RC frames were carried out at the Department of Structures for Engineering and Architecture of the University of Naples Federico II. Test specimens were built with the same materials and were different only for the thickness of the infill walls and for the number of their edges mortared to the confining elements of the RC frames. In this paper, the results of these experimental tests are briefly recalled. The main aim of this study is comparing the experimental response of test specimens with the prediction of mechanical models presented in the literature, in order to assess their effectiveness and contribute to the definition of a robust and reliable model for the evaluation of the OOP seismic response of URM infill walls.

A Study on Fine Dust Modeling for Air Quality Prediction (미세먼지 확산 모델링을 이용한 대기질 예측 시스템에 대한 연구)

  • Yoo, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1136-1140
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    • 2020
  • As air pollution caused by fine dust becomes serious, interest in the spread of fine dust and prediction of air quality is increasing. The causes of fine dust are very diverse, and some fine dust naturally occurs through forest fires and yellow dust, but most of them are known to be caused by air pollutants from burning fossil fuels such as petroleum and coal or from automobile exhaust gas. In this paper, the CALPUFF model recommended by the US EPA is used, and CALPUFF diffusion modeling is performed by generating a wind field through the CALMET model as a meteorological preprocessing program that generates a three-dimensional wind field, which is a meteorological element required by CALPUFF. Through this, we propose a fine dust diffusion modeling and air quality prediction system that reflects complex topography.

Solar radiation forecasting using boosting decision tree and recurrent neural networks

  • Hyojeoung, Kim;Sujin, Park;Sahm, Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.709-719
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    • 2022
  • Recently, as the importance of environmental protection has emerged, interest in new and renewable energy is also increasing worldwide. In particular, the solar energy sector accounts for the highest production rate among new and renewable energy in Korea due to its infinite resources, easy installation and maintenance, and eco-friendly characteristics such as low noise emission levels and less pollutants during power generation. However, although climate prediction is essential since solar power is affected by weather and climate change, solar radiation, which is closely related to solar power, is not currently forecasted by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Solar radiation prediction can be the basis for establishing a reasonable new and renewable energy operation plan, and it is very important because it can be used not only in solar power but also in other fields such as power consumption prediction. Therefore, this study was conducted for the purpose of improving the accuracy of solar radiation. Solar radiation was predicted by a total of three weather variables, temperature, humidity, and cloudiness, and solar radiation outside the atmosphere, and the results were compared using various models. The CatBoost model was best obtained by fitting and comparing the Boosting series (XGB, CatBoost) and RNN series (Simple RNN, LSTM, GRU) models. In addition, the results were further improved through Time series cross-validation.

A Study of Factors Influencing the Range of 81mm HE shells One-Shot systems based on CART Regression analysis (CART 회귀분석 기반 일회성 시스템 81mm 고폭탄 사거리에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Myung Sung Kim;Jun Hyeok Choi;Young Min Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2023
  • For one-shot systems such as 81mm high-explosive ammunition, research on performance prediction is insignificant due to research manpower infrastructure and lack of interest and difficulties in securing field data, which can only be done by special task workers. In order to evaluate the actual range of ammunition, the storage ammunition reliability evaluation checks the range by firing actual ammunition through a functional test. Test evaluation is a method of extracting a sample from the population, launching it, and recording the results accordingly. As a result of these tests, the range, which is an indicator of ammunition performance, can be measured differently according to meteorological factors such as temperature, atmospheric pressure, and humidity according to the location of the test site. In this study, various environmental factors generated at the test site and storage period analyze the correlation with the range, which is the performance of ammunition, and analyze the priority of importance for each factor and the numerical standards that environmental factors affect range. Through this, a new approach to one-shot system performance prediction was presented.

Comparison of estimating vegetation index for outdoor free-range pig production using convolutional neural networks

  • Sang-Hyon OH;Hee-Mun Park;Jin-Hyun Park
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.1254-1269
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to predict the change in corn share according to the grazing of 20 gestational sows in a mature corn field by taking images with a camera-equipped unmanned air vehicle (UAV). Deep learning based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) has been verified for its performance in various areas. It has also demonstrated high recognition accuracy and detection time in agricultural applications such as pest and disease diagnosis and prediction. A large amount of data is required to train CNNs effectively. Still, since UAVs capture only a limited number of images, we propose a data augmentation method that can effectively increase data. And most occupancy prediction predicts occupancy by designing a CNN-based object detector for an image and counting the number of recognized objects or calculating the number of pixels occupied by an object. These methods require complex occupancy rate calculations; the accuracy depends on whether the object features of interest are visible in the image. However, in this study, CNN is not approached as a corn object detection and classification problem but as a function approximation and regression problem so that the occupancy rate of corn objects in an image can be represented as the CNN output. The proposed method effectively estimates occupancy for a limited number of cornfield photos, shows excellent prediction accuracy, and confirms the potential and scalability of deep learning.

Research on Stock price prediction system based on BLSTM (BLSTM을 이용한 주가 예측 시스템 연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2020
  • Artificial intelligence technology, which is the core of the 4th industrial revolution, is making intelligent judgments through deep learning techniques and machine learning that it is impossible to predict if it is applied to stock prediction beyond human capabilities. In US fund management companies, artificial intelligence is replacing the role of stock market analyst, and research in this field is actively underway. In this study, we use BLSTM to reduce errors that occur in unidirectional prediction of the existing LSTM method, reduce errors in predictions by predicting in both directions, and macroscopic indicators that affect stock prices, namely, economic growth rate, economic indicators, interest rate, analyze the trade balance, exchange rate, and volume of currency. To help stock investment by accurately predicting the target price of stocks by analyzing the PBR, BPS, and ROE of individual stocks after analyzing macro-indicators, and by analyzing the purchase and sale quantities of foreigners, institutions, pension funds, etc., which have the most influence on stock prices.

Developing Stock Pattern Searching System using Sequence Alignment Algorithm (서열 정렬 알고리즘을 이용한 주가 패턴 탐색 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Hyong-Jun;Cho, Hwan-Gue
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.354-367
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    • 2010
  • There are many methods for analyzing patterns in time series data. Although stock data represents a time series, there are few studies on stock pattern analysis and prediction. Since people believe that stock price changes randomly we cannot predict stock prices using a scientific method. In this paper, we measured the degree of the randomness of stock prices using Kolmogorov complexity, and we showed that there is a strong correlation between the degree and the accuracy of stock price prediction using our semi-global alignment method. We transformed the stock price data to quantized string sequences. Then we measured randomness of stock prices using Kolmogorov complexity of the string sequences. We use KOSPI 690 stock data during 28 years for our experiments and to evaluate our methodology. When a high Kolmogorov complexity, the stock price cannot be predicted, when a low complexity, the stock price can be predicted, but the prediction ratio of stock price changes of interest to investors, is 12% prediction ratio for short-term predictions and a 54% prediction ratio for long-term predictions.