• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interest Prediction

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Design, Analysis and Experiment of Potato Gun with a Spherical Projectile (구형 탄환을 이용한 감자총의 설계, 해석 및 시험)

  • Kang, Hong-Jae;Kim, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Young-Sik;Son, So-Eun;Choi, Han-Ul;Choi, Jeong-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.796-804
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    • 2013
  • The "Potato Gun," a simple heat engine, is fabricated, tested and analyzed as a part of engineering education program of combustion and propulsion classes. Combustor pressure is predicted by the chemical equilibrium analysis of a constant volume combustor. Then, the internal ballistics, the conversion of thermal energy into the mechanical energy of a projectile, is predicted though the expansion process. The trajectory of a projectile is estimated by considering the aerodynamic effect around the spherical projectile. The energy conversion efficiency and the equivalence ratio of the fuel-air mixture could be estimated by the comparison of the experimental results and the theoretical prediction. The present work would be an example of attracting the interest of students for the application of the engineering principles at undergraduate level by recycling the waste materials.

3-D Numerical Study on a Oblique Jet Impingement for Fluid flows and Heat Transfer Characteristics Using ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}-\bar {{\upsilon}'^ 2}$ Model (${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}-\bar {{\upsilon}'^ 2}$ 모델을 이용한 경사진 충돌제트의 유동장 및 열전달 특성에 대한 3차원 수치해석적 연구)

  • Choi, Bong-Jun;Lee, Jung-Hee;Choi, Young-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2000.04b
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    • pp.789-794
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    • 2000
  • The Paper studies the flow and heat transfer characteristics to a jet impinging at different oblique angles, to a plane surface by numerical methods. The flowfield and heat transfer rate associated with the oblique Impingement of an axisymmetric jet are of interest as a result of its presence in numerous technological Problems. For the computation of heat transfer rate, the standard ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}$ and ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}-\bar {{\upsilon}'^ 2}$ turbulent model were adapted. The accuracy of the numerical calculations was compared with various experimental data reported in the literature. ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}-\bar {{\upsilon}'^ 2}$ model showed better agreement with experimental data than standard ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}$ model in prediction of the turbulent intensity and the heat transfer rate. In the case of computation of flowfield, the study carries on the ${\alpha}=45$ deg, h/D=4.95. The jet Reynolds number based on the nozzle diameter(D), was 48,000. For the computation of heat transfer rate, the Re=20,000, the jet orifice-to-plate spacings(L/D) are 4, 6 and 10, and the angle between the axis of the jet orifice and the plate surface is set at 30, 45, 60, or 90 deg. For the smaller spacings, the near-peak Nusselt numbers are not significantly effected by the initial decreases in the Jet angle. The overall shape of the local Nusselt number x-axis profile is influenced by both the jet orifice-to-plate spacing and the jet angle.

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Correlation of Experimental and Analytical Inelastic Responses of A 1:12 Scale 10-Story Reinforced Concrete Frame with Non-seismic Details (비내진 상세를 가진 1:12축소 10층 R.C.골조의 비선형 거동에 대한 실험과 해석의 상관성)

  • Lee, Han-Seon;Kang, Kyi-Yong
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 1999
  • The pushover analysis technique is now attracting the world-wide interest for the prediction of elastic and inelastic behavior of structures in the seismic evaluation of existing buildings. However, the reliability of this analysis technique has not been fully checked by the test results in the case of structures with nonseismic details. The objective of this study is to verify the correlation between the experimental and analytical responses of a 1:12 scale 10-story reinforced concrete frame with non-seismic details by using DRAIN-2DX program and the test results performed previously. It is concluded from this comparison that the overall responses such as the relations between story shear versus interstory drift and the local deformations such as plastic rotations can be predicted with quite high reliability.

A Study for the Development of Motion Picture Box-office Prediction Model (영화 흥행 결정 요인과 흥행 성과 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong;Hong, Jeong-Han
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.859-869
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    • 2011
  • Interest has increased in academic research regarding key factors that drive box-office success as well as the ability to predict the box-office success of a movie from a commercial perspective. This study analyzed the relationship between key success factors of a movie and box office records based on movies released in 2010 in Korea. At the pre-production investment decision-making stage, the movie genre, motion picture rating, director power, and actor power were statistically significant. At the stage of distribution decision-making process after movie production, among other factors, the influence of star actors, number of screens, power of distributors, and social media turned out to be statistically significant. We verified movie success factors through the application of a Multinomial Logit Model that used the concept of choice probabilities. The Multinomial Logit Model resulted in a higher level of accuracy in predicting box-office success compared to the Artificial Neural Network and Discriminant Analysis.

A study comparison of mortality projection using parametric and non-parametric model (모수와 비모수 모형을 활용한 사망률 예측 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.701-717
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    • 2017
  • The interest of Korean society and government on future demographic structures is increasing due to rapid aging. Korea's mortality rate is decreasing, but the declined gap is variable. In this study, we compare the Lee-Carter, Lee-Miller, Booth-Maindonald-Smith model and functional data model (FDM) as well as Coherent FDM using non-parametric smoothing technique. We are then examine a reasonable model for projecting on mortality declined rate trend in terms of accuracy of mortality rate by ages and life expectancy. The possibility of using non-parametric techniques for the prediction of mortality in Korea was also examined. Based on the analysis results, FDM and Coherent FDM, which uses the non-parametric technique and reflects the trend of recent data, are excellent. As a result, FDM and Coherent FDM are good fit, and predictability is also excellent assuming no significant future changes.

Assessment and Analysis of Maintenance Level According to Actual Prediction on the Main Infrastructures of North Korea (북한 주요 인프라 실태 예측에 의한 유지관리 수준 분석 및 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2018
  • After the North-South Korean summit and PyeongChang Winter Olympics, it is recently expected that the North-South economic cooperation plan will be discussed in earnest. And it will be growing interest of the major infrastructure facilities such as roads and railways, and so on North-South Korean. Moreover, most of North Korean facilities have problems related to the safety and functionality of them such as aging, deterioration, and poor maintenance. This study asserts the necessity and importance of infrastructure maintenance in the Korean Peninsula. Therefore, Results of this study, it is appeared that very vulnerable to road, railroad, power/communication, water sewage and needed urgently for improvement. Accordingly, The purpose of this study is to investigate the current status for the whole facilities including the main infrastructure of the North Korean and to evaluate on the maintenance level of infrastructure based on face to face interview refugees of North Korean.

On validation of fully coupled behavior of porous media using centrifuge test results

  • Tasiopoulou, Panagiota;Taiebat, Mahdi;Tafazzoli, Nima;Jeremic, Boris
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.37-65
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    • 2015
  • Modeling and simulation of mechanical response of infrastructure object, solids and structures, relies on the use of computational models to foretell the state of a physical system under conditions for which such computational model has not been validated. Verification and Validation (V&V) procedures are the primary means of assessing accuracy, building confidence and credibility in modeling and computational simulations of behavior of those infrastructure objects. Validation is the process of determining a degree to which a model is an accurate representation of the real world from the perspective of the intended uses of the model. It is mainly a physics issue and provides evidence that the correct model is solved (Oberkampf et al. 2002). Our primary interest is in modeling and simulating behavior of porous particulate media that is fully saturated with pore fluid, including cyclic mobility and liquefaction. Fully saturated soils undergoing dynamic shaking fall in this category. Verification modeling and simulation of fully saturated porous soils is addressed in more detail by (Tasiopoulou et al. 2014), and in this paper we address validation. A set of centrifuge experiments is used for this purpose. Discussion is provided assessing the effects of scaling laws on centrifuge experiments and their influence on the validation. Available validation test are reviewed in view of first and second order phenomena and their importance to validation. For example, dynamics behavior of the system, following the dynamic time, and dissipation of the pore fluid pressures, following diffusion time, are not happening in the same time scale and those discrepancies are discussed. Laboratory tests, performed on soil that is used in centrifuge experiments, were used to calibrate material models that are then used in a validation process. Number of physical and numerical examples are used for validation and to illustrate presented discussion. In particular, it is shown that for the most part, numerical prediction of behavior, using laboratory test data to calibrate soil material model, prior to centrifuge experiments, can be validated using scaled tests. There are, of course, discrepancies, sources of which are analyzed and discussed.

Analysis on Winter Atmosphereic Variability Related to Arctic Warming (북극 온난화에 따른 겨울철 대기 변동성 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Baek-Min;Jung, Euihyun;Lim, Gyu-Ho;Kim, Hyun-Kyung
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2014
  • The "Barents Oscillation (BO)", first designated by Paul Skeie (2000), is an anomalous recurring atmospheric circulation pattern of high relevance for the climate of the Nordic Seas and Siberia, which is defined as the second Emperical Orthogonal Function (EOF) of monthly winter sea level pressure (SLP) anomalies, where the leading EOF is the Arctic Oscillation (AO). BO, however, did not attracted much interest. In recent two decades, variability of BO tends to increase. In this study, we analyzed the spatio-temporal structures of Atmospheric internal modes such as Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Barents Oscillation (BO) and examined how these are related with Arctic warming in recent decade. We identified various aspects of BO, not dealt in Skeie (2000), such as upper-level circulation and surface characteristics for extended period including recent decade and examined link with other surface variables such as sea-ice and sea surface temperature. From the results, it was shown that the BO showed more regionally confined spatial pattern compared to AO and has intensified during recent decade. The regional dipolelar structure centered at Barents sea and Siberia was revealed in both sea-level pressure and 500 hPa geopotential height. Also, BO showed a stronger link (correlation) with sea-ice and sea surface temperature especially over Barents-Kara seas suggesting it is playing an important role for recent Arctic amplification. BO also showed high correlation with Ural Blocking Index (UBI), which measures seasonal activity of Ural blocking. Since Ural blocking is known as a major component of Eurasian winter monsoon and can be linked to extreme weathers, we suggest deeper understanding of BO can provide a missing link between recent Arctic amplification and increase in extreme weathers in midlatitude in recent decades.

Prediction of age-related osteoporosis using fractal analysis on panoramic radiographs

  • Koh, Kwang-Joon;Park, Ha-Na;Kim, Kyoung-A
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.231-235
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was performed to evaluate the trabecular pattern on panoramic radiographs to predict age-related osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. Materials and Methods: Thirty-one postmenopausal osteoporotic women and 25 postmenopausal healthy women between the ages of 50 and 88 were enrolled in this study. The bone mineral density (BMD) of the lumbar vertebrae and femur were calculated using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and panoramic radiographs were obtained. Fractal dimension (FD) was measured using the box counting method from 560 regions of interest ($51{\times}51$ pixels) in 6 sites on the panoramic radiographs. The relationships between age and BMD and between FD and BMD were assessed, and the intraobserver agreement was determined. Results: There was a significant difference in the FD values between the osteoporotic and normal groups (p<0.05). There was a significant difference in the FD values at three sites in the jaws (p<0.05). Age was significantly correlated with the BMD measurements, with an odds ratio of 1.25. However, the FD values were not significantly correlated with the BMD measurements, with an odds ratio of 0.000. The intraobserver agreement showed relatively higher correlation coefficients at the upper premolar, lower premolar, and lower anterior regions than the other sites. Conclusion: Age was an important risk factor for predicting the presence of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. The lower premolar region was the most appropriate site for evaluating the FD value on panoramic radiographs. However, further investigation might be needed to predict osteoporosis using an FD value on panoramic radiographs.

A Study of Coping Strategies and Adaptation of Mothers of Handicapped Children (장애아모의 스트레스 대처전략과 적응에 관한 연구)

  • Yee, Sam-Yean
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.38
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    • pp.180-205
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    • 1999
  • The first purpose of this study was to examine a relationship between coping strategies and adaptation in mothers of handicapped children. The second purpose was to assess the relative contribution of coping strategies to maternal adaptation, controlling other variables that previously have been found to be important in determining maternal adaptation. Finally, the unique effect of coping strategies as predictors of maternal adaptation was examined. The subjects consisted of 92 mothers of handicapped children. They were asked to complete several self-report measures that were used to assess the variables of interest. The results indicated that coping was significantly related to maternal adaptation. Specifically, the use of confrontive coping, accepting responsibility, and escape-avoidance coping strategy were related to poorer maternal adaptation. On the other hand, painful problem solving and positive reappraisal strategy were related to better maternal adaptation. The step-wise regression results further indicated that coping strategies were significantly predict maternal adaptation. Specifical1y confrontive coping, accepting responsibility, and positive reappraisal coping strategy contributed significantly to the prediction of maternal adaptation compared to the other variables. Finally, the confrontive coping, accepting responsibility, positive reappraisal strategies turned out to contribute substantially to maternal adaptation even after several other variables were statistically controlled in conservative way. Implications of the findings for social work interventions was discussed.

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