• Title/Summary/Keyword: Intercept Model

Search Result 142, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

The Effects of the Number, Ratio of Advanced Courses, and Variety in Science Elective Subjects on the Growth of High School Science Course Students' Attitude Towards Science (고등학교에서 과학 선택 과목의 수, 심화(II) 과목 비율, 교과 다양성이 이과 학생의 과학에 대한 태도 성장에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Geon;Hong, Hun-Gi
    • Journal of Science Education
    • /
    • v.46 no.1
    • /
    • pp.80-92
    • /
    • 2022
  • We fitted latent growth models of attitude towards science using the Korea Education & Employment Panel 2004-2007 data with 343 high school students. The growth model show better fit indices compared to the no growth model. The intercept and slope showed significant variances, and thus, we added control variables of the number, ratio of advanced courses, and variety in science elective subjects, and the achievement percentile for middle school. In the conditional growth model, the previous achievement has significant positive effects on the intercept and the ratio of the advanced courses and variety of science subjects show significantly positive effects on the slope. Based on the results, it supports the 2022 Revised Science Curricular that high school credit system should provide students with basic 'Physics,' 'Chemistry,' 'Biology,' and 'Earth Science,' credits in 'general electives', various integrated subjects in 'converged electives', and highly advanced subjects in 'career electives.'

The Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates with the Markov Regime Switching Models (마코프 국면전환을 고려한 이자율 기간구조 연구)

  • Rhee, Yu-Na;Park, Se-Young;Jang, Bong-Gyu;Choi, Jong-Oh
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.203-211
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study examines a cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) model where parameters are subject to switch across the regimes in the term structure of interest rates. To employ the regime switching framework, the Markov-switching vector error correction model (MS-VECM) is allowed to the regime shifts in the vector of intercept terms, the variance-covariance terms, the error correction terms, and the autoregressive coefficient parts. The corresponding approaches are illustrated using the term structure of interest rates in the US Treasury bonds over the period of 1958 to 2009. Throughout the modeling procedure, we find that the MS-VECM can form a statistically adequate representation of the term structure of interest rate in the US Treasury bonds. Moreover, the regime switching effects are analyzed in connection with the historical government monetary policy and with the recent global financial crisis. Finally, the results from the comparisons both in information criteria and in forecasting exercises with and without the regime switching lead us to conclude that the models in the presence of regime dependence are superior to the linear VECM model.

Variables Affecting Circulation of Library Collections: Using Latent Growth Model (도서관 대출권수에 영향을 미치는 변수에 관한 연구 - 잠재성장모형을 이용하여 -)

  • Sungjae, Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
    • /
    • v.56 no.4
    • /
    • pp.455-472
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze variables affecting the number of circulated books which is one of the indicators representing the library use behavior. For the analysis, 2015-2019 data for public libraries was acquired from the National Library Statistics System. The Latent Growth Model estimating a latent intercept and a latent slop based on the individual library trajectories was applied. The results are as followed; first, the circulation rate tends to be decreased. Second, the most affecting factor on the library circulation decrease was the collection budget. This study suggests increasing a collection budget in order to prevent the library circulation decrease while the library is operating in a daily routine.

Trajectories of Drinking problems of the elderly: A Longitudinal Multi-level Growth Curve Model for Change (노인의 음주문제 발달궤적의 예측요인 : 다수준 성장곡선 모형의 적용)

  • Ahn, Jun Hee;Jang, Soo Mi
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
    • /
    • v.43 no.1
    • /
    • pp.389-411
    • /
    • 2012
  • A new era of research has focused on examining the growth of change in drinking problems among the elderly. Thus, the purpose of the present study was two fold: (1) to investigate trajectories of drinking problems(CAGE) among the Korean elderly(age$${\geq_-}65$$); and (2) to identify the predicting factors for the intercept and the slope of alcohol problems using multi-level growth curve model. Data come from three waves(1st wave(2006)~3rd wave(2008) of the Korea Welfare Panel(KWP) study. The results indicated that the levels of drinking problems decreased over time and that age, gender, marital status, religion, poverty, self-rated health, and social relationship satisfaction were associated with the baseline CAGE. Further analysis showed that social relationship satisfaction affected the declining slope of drinking problems over time. Specifically, among those who satisfied social relationship, there was a sharp decline of CAGE over time. Overall findings highlight the importance of developing and implementing effective alcohol prevention programs for the elderly in the community settings to mitigate the harmful effects of various psycho-social stressors. Especially, programs to maintain and form healthy social support network are suggested as critical interventions for prevention as well as recovery of alcohol problems in late life.

An Empirical Analysis of Building Energy Consumption Considering Building and Local Factors in Seoul (건물과 지역요인을 고려한 서울시 건물에너지 소비 실증분석)

  • Lee, Sujin;Kim, Kijung;Lee, Seungil
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.5
    • /
    • pp.129-138
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study aims to empirically examine the relationship between building energy consumption and building and local factors in Seoul. Building energy issue is an important topic for low carbon and eco-friendly city development. Building physical, socio-economic and environmental factors effect to increasing or decreasing energy consumption. However, there are different characteristic in each area, and this kind of variable has a hierarchical structure. The multi-level model was used to consider the hierarchical structure of the variables. In this study, a multi-level model was applied to confirm the difference between areas. Spatial area is Seoul, Korea and the temporal scope is August, summer season. As the result, in Model 1 (Null Model), ICC is 0.817. This shows that the energy consumption differs by 8.174% due to factors at the Dong level. Model 2 (Random Intercept Model) suggests that building's physical factors and Average age, Household size and Land price in Dong level have significant effects on Building energy consumption. In Model 3 (Random Coefficient Model), random effect variables have intercepts and slopes to vary across groups. This study provides a perspective for policy makers that the building energy reduction policies to be applied for buildings should be differently applied on area. Furthermore, not only physical factors but also socio-economic and environmental factors are important when making energy reduction policy.

Design of Target Tracking Algorithm for Multi-target Superposition (중첩된 다중표적 추적 알고리즘 설계)

  • Son, Hyeon-Seung;Ju, Yeong-Hun;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
    • /
    • 2007.04a
    • /
    • pp.382-385
    • /
    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 다중 표적의 중첩이라는 상황에 대한 새로운 해결 방식을 소개한다. 비선형 표적의 위치와 속도에 대한 추적을 중심으로 표적과 비표적의 중첩이 일어나는 순간 이후 분리되었을 때 추적중인 표적을 지속적으로 유지할 수 있는 방법에 대해 이야기 하고자 한다. 이 논문에서 제안된 알고리즘은 예측 명중위치 개념과 최대 잡음수준을 이용한 칼만필터 기반의 적응 상호작용 다중모델 기법으로 측정된 위치값과 예측된 명중위치 사이의 차이를 고려한 변형된 칼만필터 개념을 이용한다. 이 논문에서는 비선형 표적의 가속도를 시변 변수인 표적의 추가적인 잡음으로 두고 각각의 가속도 간격의 정도에 따라 얻어지는 모든 잡음에 대한 변수에 의해 각각의 하부 모델들을 특성화시켰다. 제안된 알고리즘은 표적의 운동특성에 따라 적응적으로 기법을 선택할 수 있는 선택적 방식을 구현하고자 한다. 표적의 기동중에 나타나는 가속도를 효과적으로 다루기 위하여 잡음의 크기가 급격히 증가하는 경우 그 증가분을 가속도로 인식하여 기동표적 관계식에 이용한다. 그리고 제안된 알고리즘의 수행 가능성을 보여주기 위하여 몇 가지 예를 제시하였다.

  • PDF

Grain Size Dependence of Ionic Conductivity of Polycrystalline Doped Ceria

  • Hong, Seong-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Ceramics
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.122-127
    • /
    • 1998
  • Conductivities of polycrystalline ceria doped with several rare earth oxides were measured by AC admittance and DC four probe method. The conductions were separated into grain and grain boundary contributions using the complex admittance technique as well as grain size dependence of conductivity. The grain size dependence of polycrystalline conductivity, which can be adequately described by the so-called brick layer model, appears to give a more reliable measure of the grain conductivity compared to the complex admittance method. Polycrystalline resistivity(1/conductivity) increases linearly with the reciprocal of grain size. The intercept of resistivity vs. inverse grain size plot gives a measure of the grain resistivity and the slope gives a measure of the grain boundary resistivity. It was also noted that errors involved in the analysis of experimental data may be different between the complex admittance method and the impedance method. A greater resolution of the spectra was found in the complex admittance method, insofar as the present work is concerned, suggesting that the commonly used equivalent circuit may require re-evaluation.

  • PDF

Supply Function Nash Equilibrium Considering Stochastic Demand Function (확률적 수요함수를 고려한 공급함수의 전략변수 내쉬균형 연구)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.57 no.1
    • /
    • pp.20-24
    • /
    • 2008
  • A bid-based pool(BBP) model is representative of energy market structure in a number of restructured electricity markets. Supply function equilibrium(SFE) models of interaction better match what is explicitly required in the bid formats of typical BBP markets. Many of the results in the SFE literature involve restrictive parametrization of the bid cost functions. In the SFE models, two parameters, intercept and slope, are available for strategic bidding. This paper addresses the realistic competition format that players can choose both parameters arbitrarily. In a fixed demand function, equilibrium conditions for generation company's profit maximization have a degree of freedom, which induces multi-equilibrium. So it is hard to choose a convergent equilibrium. However, consideration of stochastic demand function makes the equilibrium conditions independent each other based on the amount of variance of stochastic demand function. This variance provides the bidding players with incentives to change the slope parameter from an equilibrium for a fixed demand function until the slope parameter equilibrium.

The Identification of Pulse Repetition Intervals Modulation using Markov Models Approach (마코프 모델을 이용한 펄스반복주기 변조형태 인식)

  • 김용우;양해원
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
    • /
    • v.52 no.6
    • /
    • pp.372-377
    • /
    • 2003
  • Many of modem radars use modulated pulse repetition intervals for the purpose of anti-aliasing and ECCM. The interception, analysis and identification of radar signals is a major function of a radar intercept receiver. In this paper, we discuss the identification of pulse repetition intervals modulation of radar signals which is one of the major parameters for the analysis of radar. We proposed a new algorithm based on Markov models approach. This approach is shown to be reliable and robust to the missing pulses, as well as to require only relatively few pulse data.

A Study on the Mission Effect of a Sea-based BMD system (해상기반 탄도미사일 방어체계의 임무효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyoung Haing;Choi, Jeong Hwan
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.118-126
    • /
    • 2016
  • North Korea has continued developing ballistic missiles with various ranges. Even through the recent launch long-range missiles, it can be inferred that North Korea's Missile technology has reached a level where it can even threaten the US. moreover, through the three times nuclear tests, North Korea is known to have succeeded at gaining 10~20KT of explosive power as well as the minimization and lightening of nuclear warhead. Considering the short length of war zone in Korean peninsula and the possibility of nuclear equipment, if be the most severe threat across the whole peninsula. Since the midcourse phase flight takes the longest time, ROK should establish the ability to intercept at this middle phase. From this perspective, this paper describes mission effect of a sea-based BMD system through empirical threat and flight characteristic analysis using MIT model that was not suggested in original research.