• 통상정보연구
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.395-414
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• 2008

The objective of this study is to introduce the concepts and theories of conditional heteroscedastic volatility models and the news impact curves and apply them to the Korea inbound tourism market. Three volatility models were introduced and used to estimate the conditional volatility of monthly arrivals of inbound tourists into Korea and news impact curves according to the three models. Results of this study are as follows. As the proportion of American tourists occupied a large amount of Korea inbound tourism market, the markets' forecasting is very important. The news impact curves which used EGARCH model (1,1) and TGARCH model(1,1), with data on these tourists to Korea showed an asymmetry effect of volatility. It was common that bad news means that it was estimated more sensitively than good news. From these results, we will notice that American tourists who visited Korea only for tourism are affected by good news. The result suggests that the Korea government and tourism industry should pay more attention to changes in the tourism environment following bad news because conditional volatility increases more when a negative shock occurs than when a positive shock occurs.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.221-254
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• 2010

본 논문은 FTA 체결을 통한 한국 관광산업에 대한 경제적 효과가 한국 관광기업의 경영성과에 어떠한 영향을 미치는 가에 대한 실증연구이다. 즉, 한국의 수도권 및 경남권에서 경영활동을 수행하고 있는 관광기업들의 기본적인 현황과 문제점을 파악하고, 이어 FTA환경이라는 기회와 위협의 요인을 어떻게 적응하여 경영성과를 제고할 것인가에 대한 연구인 것이다. 즉, FTA 환경에 대한 이해/준비를 체계화하고 영향력을 구체적으로 분석하기 위해 FtA의 경제적 효과를 직접과 간접으로 분류하여 경영성과에 미치는 영향력을 살펴본다. 직접효과는 다시 Inbound와 Outbound 효과로 세분하였다. 종속변수인 경영성과는 매출, 이윤, 경영만족도로 분류하였으며, 독립변수인 Inbound 효과는 외국 관광소비자의 한국 방문 증대 가능성, Outbound 효과는 국내 관광소비자의 외국 방문의 증대 가능성을 의미한다. 간접효과는 직접효과 이외의 경제적 효과를 뜻하는 것이다. 이들 변수 간의 원인 관계를 실증적으로 분석하기 위해 최종적으로 구조방정식모델링 기법을 사용하였다. 실증분석은 SPSS 12.0 for windows 를 이용하여 상관분석, 신뢰성과 타당성 분석을 실행하였고, 가설검정을 위한 최종 추리통계분석인 구조 방정식 모델링을 통한 경로분석은 AMOS 11.0 for windows 통계프로그램을 활용하였다.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.89-97
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• 2015

The volume of transfer passengers now faces a crisis because the number of Chinese and Japanese passengers, the majority of transfer through Korea, is decreasing. This paper is analyzing the their air travel behaviors as well as characteristics of their transfer behaviors at airport. According to the research, it is suggested that transfer passengers perceive the importance of duty-free stores but their satisfaction of using duty-free stores during their transfer at Icheon airport was proven to be low. Considering the characteristics of transfer service quality at Incheon airport, waiting time of transfer is important but not satisfactory for them. Moreover, information of free transfer tour to city downtown and paid-in transfer tour for medical tourism is not known very well among North East Asian passengers. Thus, it is necessary to do detailed research of North East Asian transfer passengers, who have transferred through Incheon airport more than twice a year, to find out their exact needs of transfer tour in Korea.