• 제목/요약/키워드: Initial Estimation

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An Optimization Approach for Localization of an Indoor Mobile Robot (최적화 기법을 사용한 실내 이동 로봇의 위치 인식)

  • Han, Jun Hee;Ko, Nak Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a method that utilizes optimization approach for localization of an indoor mobile robot. Bayesian filters which have been widely used for localization of a mobile robot use many control parameters to take the uncertainties in measurement and environment into account. The estimation performance depends on the selection of these parameter values. Also, the performance of the Bayesian filters deteriorate as the non-linearity of the motion and measurement increases. On the other hand, the optimization approach uses fewer control parameters and is less influenced by the non-linearity than the Bayesian methods. This paper compares the localization performance of the proposed method with the performance of the extended Kalman filter to verify the feasibility of the proposed method. Measurements of ranges from beacons of ultrasonic satellite to the robot are used for localization. Mahalanobis distance is used for detection and rejection of outlier in the measurements. The optimization method sets performance index as a function of the measured range values, and finds the optimized estimation of the location through iteration. The method can improve the localization performance and reduce the computation time in corporation with Bayesian filter which provides proper initial location for the iteration.

Cost Estimating method for the Public Office building at the early stage (공공건축물의 초기공사비 산정방법 연구)

  • Koo, Won-Yong;Kim, Jung-Gon;Lee, Jun-Seok;Park, Hyeong-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.261-266
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    • 2007
  • In this research, we studied an estimating method in client's sight to estimate the total construction cost which is based on the historical cost data at the early stage of the office buildings as a public phase. It is very difficult to analyze the estimation accurately and logically. When a client estimates a project, he/she has to consider there are many issues at the planning step, according as office buildings become gradually diversified as well as their roles continuously extended. Therefore, those are usually make problems for wasting the budget in accordance with the cost estimation errors. Moreover, many kinds of public construction projects, especially such as school, office, sports complex, and the others, have been invested the private finances defined as BTL(Build Transfer Lease) method that are required to manage the detailed process more strictly from initial planning. In order to make an effective planning, the long-term users amount and the building life cycle at the beginning of project should be considered previously and then it may enable to achieve an appropriate project plan. But actually considering overall variables in a building planning is impossible. Accordingly, suggesting a regression model based on the historical cost data from many similar types of office building to support client's role known as estimating the total cost at the early stage. And then performing the test against the proposed model to research the reasonability as using the historical cost data of Japan office buildings.

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Lightweight Design of an Outer Tie Rod Using Meta-Model Based Optimization Technique (메타모델기반최적화를 이용한 아우터타이로드의 경량화 설계)

  • Kim, Young-Jun;Park, Soon-Hyeong;Lee, Kwon-Hee;Park, Young-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.7754-7760
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    • 2015
  • The outer tie rod is one of the part of steering system, the optimization process was executed to find the lightweight design. The inner tie rod was considered in the optimum design of an outer tie rod. it could be closer to the test condition than in the case of considering outer tie rod only. The aluminum forging material was considered as a weight reduction proposal. The target of optimization was the shape of the minimum weight to resist at the load of buckling. RSM and Kriging interpolation method were applied as a optimization method to consider the nonlinear shape optimization problem. Then, 16.3%, 16.6% of weight reduction was obtained from the result comparing with that of the initial model. The results of meta model optimization was compared with that of finite element method. The error values of buckling load estimation were 2.6%, 2.04%. and those of weight estimation were 0.17%, 0.13%. Therefore, it seemed that the result of Kriging model could be obtained closer to optimum value than that of RSM model.

Estimation of Typhoon Center Using Satellite SAR Imagery (인공위성 SAR 영상 기반 태풍 중심 산정)

  • Jung, Jun-Beom;Park, Kyung-Ae;Byun, Do-Seong;Jeong, Kwang-Yeong;Lee, Eunil
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.502-517
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    • 2019
  • Global warming and rapid climate change have long affected the characteristics of typhoons in the Northwest Pacific, which has induced increasing devastating disasters along the coastal regions of the Korean peninsula. Synthetic Aperature Radar (SAR), as one of the microwave sensors, makes it possible to produce high-resolution sea surface wind field around the typhoon under cloudy atmospheric conditions, which has been impossible to obtain the winds from satellite optical and infrared sensors. The Geophysical Model Functions (GMFs) for sea surface wind retrieval from SAR data requires the input of wind direction, which should be based on the accurate estimation of the center of the typhoon. This study estimated the typhoon centers using Sentinel-1A images to improve the problem of typhoon center detection method and to reflect it in retrieving the sea surface wind. The results were validated by comparing with the typhoon best track data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), and also by using infrared images of Himawari-8 satellite. The initial center position of the typhoon was determined by using VH polarization, thereby reducing the possibility of error. The detected center showed a difference of 23.76 km on average with the best track data of the four typhoons provided by the KMA and JMA. Compared to the typhoon center estimated by Himawari-8 satellite, the results showed an average spatial variation of 11.80 km except one typhoon located near land with a large difference of 58.73 km. This result suggests that high-resolution SAR images can be used to estimate the center and retrieve sea surface wind around typhoons.

Eliminating Method of Estimated Magnetic Flux Offset in Flux based Sensorless Control of PM Synchronous Motor using High Pass filter with Variable Cutoff Frequency (모터 운전 주파수에 동기화된 차단주파수를 갖는 HPF(High pass filter)를 적용한 영구자석 동기전동기의 자속기반 센서리스 제어의 추정 자속 DC offset 제거 기법)

  • Kang, Ji-Hun;Cho, Kwan-Yuhl;Kim, Hag-Wone
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.455-464
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    • 2019
  • The sensorless control based on the flux linkage of PM synchronous motors has excellent position estimation characteristics at low speeds. However, a limitation arises because the integrator of flux estimator is saturated by the DC offset generated during the analog to digital conversion(ADC) process of the measured current. In order to overcome this limitation, HPF with a low cutoff frequency is used. However, the estimation performance is deteriorated (Ed- the verb deteriorate already includes the meaning of 'problem') at high speed due to the low cutoff frequency, and increasing the cutoff frequency of the HPF induces further problems of phase leading and initial starting failure at low speeds. In this paper, the cutoff frequency of HPF was synchronized to the operation frequency of the motor: at low speeds the cutoff frequency was set to low in order to reduce the phase leading of the estimated flux, and at high speeds it was set to high to raise the DC offset removal performance. As a result, the operating range was increased by 200%. Furthermore, a phase compensation algorithm is proposed to reduce the phase leading of the HPF to less than 1.5 degrees over the full operating range. The proposed sensorless control algorithm was verified by experiment with a PM synchronous motor for a washing machine.

Estimation Method of the Amount of Demolition Waste through Automated Calculation of Volumetric Spaces using Drones (드론 활용 체적산출 자동화를 통한 해체 폐기물량 예측기법에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Jung-Rim;Kim, Hye-Ri;Park, Won-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.681-688
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the process of drone photography, automatic volume calculation, total floor area conversion, and waste calculation was constructed as a QGIS plug-in to predict the demolition waste (DW) generated in an aged area where drawing information or building information is uncertain. Through a case study, the high consistency between the automatically calculated volume using the drone and the BIM volume based on the field measurement was confirmed. Field application was carried out for the planned demolition work site, and the consistency between the drone-based volume and the actual measurement-BIM-based volume was reconfirmed. The waste generation unit was applied and the amount of DW was calculated by setting the floor height and building type, and the entire process was completed within 6 hours. Although the difference between building information and building objects through drones occurred according to the setting of temporary structures, loads, and floor heights, it was found that the actual amount of DW was generated more than the initial estimate. It is expected that measures to improve the accuracy of volume and floor area conversion will be required through case studies in the future.

Estimation of Change in Soil Carbon Stock of Pinus densiflora Forests in Korea using KFSC Model under RCP 8.5 Climate Change Scenario (한국형 산림토양탄소모델(KFSC Model)을 이용한 RCP 8.5 기후변화 시나리오 하에서의 국내 소나무림 토양탄소 저장량 장기 변화 추정 연구)

  • Park, Chan-woo;Lee, Jongyeol;Yi, Myongjong;Kim, Choonsig;Park, Gwan Soo;Kim, Rae Hyun;Lee, Kyeong Hak;Son, Yowhan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.77-93
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    • 2013
  • Global warming accelerates both carbon (C) input through increased forest productivity and heterotrophic C emission in forest soils, and a future trend in soil C dynamics is uncertain. In this study, the Korean forest soil carbon model (KFSC model) was applied to 1,467,458 ha of Pinus densiflora forests in Korea to predict future C dynamics under RCP 8.5 climate change scenario (RCP scenario). Korea was divided into 16 administrative regions, and P. densiflora forests in each region were classified into six classes by their stand ages : 1 to 10 (I), 11 to 20 (II), 21 to 30 (III), 31 to 40 (IV), 41 to 50 (V), and 51 to 80-year-old (VI+). The forest of each stand age class in a region was treated as a simulation unit, then future net primary production (NPP), soil respiration (SR) and forest soil C stock of each simulation unit were predicted from the 2012 to 2100 under RCP scenario and constant temperature scenario (CT scenario). As a result, NPP decreased in the initial stage of simulation then increased while SR increased in the initial stage of simulation then decreased in both scenarios. The mean NPP and SR under RCP scenario was 20.2% and 20.0% higher than that under CT scenario, respectively. When the initial age class was I, IV, V or VI+, predicted soil C stock under CT scenario was higher than that under RCP scenario, however, the countertrend was observed when the initial age class was II or III. Also, forests having a lower site index showed a lower soil C stock. It suggested that the impact of temperature on NPP was higher when the forests grow faster. Soil C stock under RCP scenario decreased at the end of simulation, and it might be derived from exponentially increased SR under the higher temperature condition. Thus, the difference in soil C stock under two scenarios will be much larger in the further future.

Overview of Research Trends in Estimation of Forest Carbon Stocks Based on Remote Sensing and GIS (원격탐사와 GIS 기반의 산림탄소저장량 추정에 관한 주요국 연구동향 개관)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Min;Lee, Jung-Bin;Kim, Eun-Sook;Park, Hyun-Ju;Roh, Young-Hee;Lee, Seung-Ho;Park, Key-Ho;Shin, Hyu-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.236-256
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    • 2011
  • Forest carbon stocks change due to land use change is an important data required by UNFCCC(United Nations framework convention on climate change). Spatially explicit estimation of forest carbon stocks based on IPCC GPG(intergovernmental panel on climate change good practice guidance) tier 3 gives high reliability. But a current estimation which was aggregated from NFI data doesn't have detail forest carbon stocks by polygon or cell. In order to improve an estimation remote sensing and GIS have been used especially in Europe and North America. We divided research trends in main countries into 4 categories such as remote sensing, GIS, geostatistics and environmental modeling considering spatial heterogeneity. The easiest way to apply is combination NFI data with forest type map based on GIS. Considering especially complicated forest structure of Korea, geostatistics is useful to estimate local variation of forest carbon. In addition, fine scale image is good for verification of forest carbon stocks and determination of CDM site. Related domestic researches are still on initial status and forest carbon stocks are mainly estimated using k-nearest neighbor(k-NN). In order to select suitable method for forest in Korea, an applicability of diverse spatial data and algorithm must be considered. Also the comparison between methods is required.

A Data-based Sales Forecasting Support System for New Businesses (데이터기반의 신규 사업 매출추정방법 연구: 지능형 사업평가 시스템을 중심으로)

  • Jun, Seung-Pyo;Sung, Tae-Eung;Choi, San
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2017
  • Analysis of future business or investment opportunities, such as business feasibility analysis and company or technology valuation, necessitate objective estimation on the relevant market and expected sales. While there are various ways to classify the estimation methods of these new sales or market size, they can be broadly divided into top-down and bottom-up approaches by benchmark references. Both methods, however, require a lot of resources and time. Therefore, we propose a data-based intelligent demand forecasting system to support evaluation of new business. This study focuses on analogical forecasting, one of the traditional quantitative forecasting methods, to develop sales forecasting intelligence systems for new businesses. Instead of simply estimating sales for a few years, we hereby propose a method of estimating the sales of new businesses by using the initial sales and the sales growth rate of similar companies. To demonstrate the appropriateness of this method, it is examined whether the sales performance of recently established companies in the same industry category in Korea can be utilized as a reference variable for the analogical forecasting. In this study, we examined whether the phenomenon of "mean reversion" was observed in the sales of start-up companies in order to identify errors in estimating sales of new businesses based on industry sales growth rate and whether the differences in business environment resulting from the different timing of business launch affects growth rate. We also conducted analyses of variance (ANOVA) and latent growth model (LGM) to identify differences in sales growth rates by industry category. Based on the results, we proposed industry-specific range and linear forecasting models. This study analyzed the sales of only 150,000 start-up companies in Korea in the last 10 years, and identified that the average growth rate of start-ups in Korea is higher than the industry average in the first few years, but it shortly shows the phenomenon of mean-reversion. In addition, although the start-up founding juncture affects the sales growth rate, it is not high significantly and the sales growth rate can be different according to the industry classification. Utilizing both this phenomenon and the performance of start-up companies in relevant industries, we have proposed two models of new business sales based on the sales growth rate. The method proposed in this study makes it possible to objectively and quickly estimate the sales of new business by industry, and it is expected to provide reference information to judge whether sales estimated by other methods (top-down/bottom-up approach) pass the bounds from ordinary cases in relevant industry. In particular, the results of this study can be practically used as useful reference information for business feasibility analysis or technical valuation for entering new business. When using the existing top-down method, it can be used to set the range of market size or market share. As well, when using the bottom-up method, the estimation period may be set in accordance of the mean reverting period information for the growth rate. The two models proposed in this study will enable rapid and objective sales estimation of new businesses, and are expected to improve the efficiency of business feasibility analysis and technology valuation process by developing intelligent information system. In academic perspectives, it is a very important discovery that the phenomenon of 'mean reversion' is found among start-up companies out of general small-and-medium enterprises (SMEs) as well as stable companies such as listed companies. In particular, there exists the significance of this study in that over the large-scale data the mean reverting phenomenon of the start-up firms' sales growth rate is different from that of the listed companies, and that there is a difference in each industry. If a linear model, which is useful for estimating the sales of a specific company, is highly likely to be utilized in practical aspects, it can be explained that the range model, which can be used for the estimation method of the sales of the unspecified firms, is highly likely to be used in political aspects. It implies that when analyzing the business activities and performance of a specific industry group or enterprise group there is political usability in that the range model enables to provide references and compare them by data based start-up sales forecasting system.

Study on Applicability of Frequency Domain-Based Fatigue Analysis for Wide Band Gaussian Process I : Rayleigh PDF (광대역 정규 프로세스에 대한 주파수 영역 기반 피로해석법의 적용성에 관한 연구 I : 레일리 PDF)

  • Choung, Joon-Mo;Kim, Kyung-Su;Nam, Ji-Myung;Koo, Jeong-Bon;Kim, Min-Soo;Shim, Yong-Lae;Urm, Hang-Sub
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.350-358
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    • 2012
  • This paper deals with accuracy of accumulated fatigue damage estimation using stochastic fatigue analysis method based on Rayleigh PDF. From full scale measurement data on an 8100TEU container vessel, zero-order spectral moments for wave- and vibration-induced energy spectral densities are determined on the probability level of 99%. 80 simulation cases in total are prepared according to the variation of ratio of zero-order spectral moments and center frequency of vibration ESD. By using inverse Fourier transformation and rainflow cycle counting for the combined ESD of wave and vibration, exact fatigue damages are derived. Fatigue damages in frequency domain based on Rayleigh PDF show large conservativeness compared to exact fatigue damages in times domain. The main cause of the excessive conservativeness is analyzed by two aspects: ratio of zero crossing and peak frequencies and ratio of initial zero order spectral moments and zero order spectral moments from rainflow stress range distributions. Finally, a guideline of applicability of Rayleigh PDF is proposed for wide band processes.