• Title/Summary/Keyword: Influence Diagram

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Applied Neural Net to Implementation of Influence Diagram Model Based Decision Class Analysis (영향도에 기초한 의사결정유형분석 구현을 위한 신경망 응용)

  • Park, Kyung-Sam;Kim, Jae-Kyeong;Yun, Hyung-Je
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents an application of an artificial neural net to the implementation of decision class analysis (DCA), together with the generation of a decision model influence diagram. The diagram is well-known as a good tool for knowledge representation of complex decision problems. Generating influence diagram model is known to in practice require much time and effort, and the resulting model can be generally applicable to only a specific decision problem. In order to reduce the burden of modeling decision problems, the concept of DCA is introduced. DCA treats a set of decision problems having some degree of similarityz as a single unit. We propose a method utilizing a feedforward neural net with supervised learning rule to develop DCA based on influence diagram, which method consists of two phases: Phase l is to search for relevant chance and value nodes of an individual influence diagram from given decision and specific situations and Phase II elicits arcs among the nodes in the diagram. We also examine the results of neural net simulation with an example of a class of decision problems.

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Influence Diagram Approach for Strategic Decision Structuring Process

  • Kim, Gi-Hyo;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 1985
  • The influence diagram is a new conceptual tool that can be used for structuring a strategic decision problem in decision analysis. It has a graphical representation of probabilistic dependence among variables in the decision problem. In this formal procedures for constructuring the influence diagram and for translating it into the corresponding decision tree are studied. An example that shows the power of the infuence diagram is shown.

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A Study on the Development of Intelligent Decision Systems Using Influence Diagram

  • Kim, Jae-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.77-104
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    • 1995
  • Intelligent Decision System support the decision analysis process in the managerial problems with decision analytic knowledge as well as domain specific knowledge. Influence Diagram has been one of the major knowledge representation in the intelligent decision system. In the development of intelligent decision system, knowledge acquisition is also known to be difficult. This paper suggests a developing tool using an influence diagram and Verbal Protocol Analysis which facilitates knowledge acquision for intelligent decision system. An ennvironmental decision making problem is used as an illustrative example and validation of the suggested developing tool is discussed. The suggested tool is very flexible to be expanded or applied to similar problems.

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Forecasting Accidents by Transforming Event Trees into Influence disgrams

  • Yang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.72-75
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    • 2006
  • Event trees are widely used graphical tool to denote the accident inintiation and escalation to more severe accident. But they have some drawbacks in that they do not have efficient way of updating model parameters and also they can not contain the information about dependency or independency among model parameters. A tool that can cure such drawbacks is an influence diagram. We introduce influence diagrams and explain how to update model parameters and obtain predictive distributions. We show that an event tree can be converted to a statistically equivalent influence diagram, and bayesian prediction can be made more effectively through the use of influence diagrams.

The influence of infection ratio on Gradual Reduction of Drug Dose for the treatment of AIDS patients (AIDS환자 치료를 위한 점진적 약물감소기법에 감염속도상수가 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Kang-Hyun;Jo, Nam-Hoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.174-182
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we study the influence of infection ratio on gradual reduction of drug dose for the five state HIV infection model that explicitly includes the population of the virus. We first compute all equilibrium points of the model and investigate the stabilities of them. As a result, a bifurcation diagram is obtained which shows a change in the equilibrium points, or in their stability properties, as the drug effect $\eta$ is varied from 0 to 1(alternatively, drug dose is changed from 1 to 0). Based on the bifurcation diagram, we show that the gradual reduction of drug dose can be applied for the treatment of AIDS patients. Moreover, we analyze the influence of the variation of infection ratio on the gradual reduction treatment. Computer simulation results are also presented to validate the proposed results.

Anti-air Unit Learning Model Based on Multi-agent System Using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 멀티 에이전트 기반 대공방어 단위 학습모형)

  • Choi, Myung-Jin;Lee, Sang-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we suggested a methodology that can be used by an agent to learn models of other agents in a multi-agent system. To construct these model, we used influence diagram as a modeling tool. We present a method for learning models of the other agents at the decision nodes, value nodes, and chance nodes in influence diagram. We concentrated on learning of the other agents at the value node by using neural network learning technique. Furthermore, we treated anti-air units in anti-air defense domain as agents in multi. agent system.

Expanding the classic moment-curvature relation by a new perspective onto its axial strain

  • Petschke, T.;Corres, H.;Ezeberry, J.I.;Perez, A.;Recupero, A.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.515-529
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    • 2013
  • The moment-curvature relation for simple bending is a well-studied subject and the classical moment-curvature diagram is commonly found in literature. The influence of axial forces has generally been considered as compression onto symmetrically reinforced cross-sections, thus strain at the reference fiber never has been an issue. However, when dealing with integral structures, which are usually statically indeterminate in different degrees, these concepts are not sufficient. Their horizontal elements are often completely restrained, which, under imposed deformations, leads to moderate compressive or tensile axial forces. The authors propose to analyze conventional beam cross-sections with moment-curvature diagrams considering asymmetrically reinforced cross-sections under combined influence of bending and moderate axial force. In addition a new diagram is introduced that expands the common moment-curvature relation onto the strain variation at the reference fiber. A parametric study presented in this article reveals the significant influence of selected cross-section parameters.

Analyzing a Class of Investment Decisions in New Ventures : A CBR Approach (벤쳐 투자를 위한 의사결정 클래스 분석 : 사례기반추론 접근방법)

  • Lee, Jae-Kwang;Kim, Jae-Kyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 1999
  • An application of case-based reasoning is proposed to build an influence diagram for identifying successful new ventures. The decision to invest in new ventures in characterized by incomplete information and uncertainty, where some measures of firm performance are quantitative, while some others are substituted by qualitative indicators. Influence diagrams are used as a model for representing investment decision problems based on incomplete and uncertain information from a variety of sources. The building of influence diagrams needs much time and efforts and the resulting model such as a decision model is applicable to only one specific problem. However, some prior knowledge from the experience to build decision model can be utilized to resolve other similar decision problems. The basic idea of case-based reasoning is that humans reuse the problem solving experience to solve a new decision. In this paper, we suggest a case-based reasoning approach to build an influence diagram for the class of investment decision problems. This is composed of a retrieval procedure and an adaptation procedure. The retrieval procedure use two suggested measures, the fitting ratio and the garbage ratio. An adaptation procedure is based on a decision-analytic knowledge and decision participants knowledge. Each step of procedure is explained step by step, and it is applied to the investment decision problem in new ventures.

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The influence of load pulse shape on pressure-impulse diagrams of one-way RC slabs

  • Wang, Wei;Zhang, Duo;Lu, Fangyun
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.363-381
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    • 2012
  • This study is aimed at providing an efficient analytical model to obtain pressure- impulse diagram of one-way reinforced concrete slabs subjected to different shapes of air blast loading using single degree of freedom method (SDOF). A tri-linear elastic perfectly plastic SDOF model has been used to obtain the pressure-impulse diagram to correlate the blast pressure and the corresponding concrete flexural damage. In order to capture the response history for the slab, a new approximately SDOF method based on the conventional SDOF method is proposed and validated using published test data. The influences of pulse loading shape on the pressure-impulse diagram are studied. Based on the results, a pressure-impulse diagram generation method using SDOF and an analytical equation for the pressure-impulse diagram is proposed to different damage levels and different blast loading shapes.

A Study on the Development of Life Cycle Cost Analysis Methodology in HVAC system for Decision Maker (의사 결정자를 위한 HVAC 시스템의 LCC 분석 방법론 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Soon-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to development of life cycle cost analysis methodology of HVAC system for decision maker. The results of this study are as follows; maintenance/management, equipment construction, planning/design, and demolition/sell phases (1) To develop the cost breakdown structure for LCC in HVAC system, this study apply the method of additional pertinent level, title, CBS number, block number and variable index. (2) LCC analysis order of HVAC system compose four phase. (3) Life cycle costing influence diagram can bring us to make the most efficient decision through a visual graphical diagram that is shown relationship among variables and that decision maker traces easily from life cycle cost analysis situation.