• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inefficient Market

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Optimal Portfolio Models for an Inefficient Market

  • GINTING, Josep;GINTING, Neshia Wilhelmina;PUTRI, Leonita;NIDAR, Sulaeman Rahman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2021
  • This research attempts to formulate a new mean-risk model to replace the Markowitz mean-variance model by altering the risk measurement using ARCH variance instead of the original variance. In building the portfolio, samples used are closing prices of Indonesia Composite Stock Index and Indonesia Composite Bonds Index from 2013 to 2018. This study is a qualitative study using secondary data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Indonesia Bonds Pricing Agency. This research found that Markowitz's model is still superior when utilized in daily data, while the mean-ARCH model is appropriate with wider gap data like monthly observation. The Historical return has also proven to be more appropriate as a benchmark in selecting an optimal portfolio rather than a risk-free rate in an inefficient market. Therefore Mean-ARCH is more appropriate when utilized under data that have a wider gap between the period. The research findings show that the portfolio combination produced is inefficient due to the market inefficiency indicated by the meager return of the stock, while bears notable standard deviation. Therefore, the researcher of this study proposed to replace the risk-free rate as a benchmark with the historical return. The Historical return proved to be more realistic than the risk-free rate in inefficient market conditions.

Estimating the Behavior of an Actual Market System with a Stream of Relations and Simulation Experiments

  • Tae Ho Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.589-610
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    • 1997
  • When a modeling process is applied to an actual commodity market in the real world, interactions over closely related commodities through the marketing channel should also be formulated into the model to reflect the information that exists in the whole market system, otherwise unreliable estimates and test statistics may be produced by ignoring those effects. Single-equation type model in this case tends to yield inefficient estimates, and sometimes biased and inconsistent, which will mislead us. A system of equation method to examine the structure of the imported commodity market system is developed and its emtirical results are analyzed, then followed by some policy experiments and its implications.

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Measuring Efficiency of HMR Franchise Restaurants Using DEA (DEA를 이용한 가정식사대용식 프랜차이즈 매장 효율성 측정)

  • Choi, Sung-sik;Woo, Dae-IL
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2015
  • Home Meal Replacement (HMR) products are ready-to-eat or pre-cooked food products that are consumed at daily home. HMR market has grown rapidly due to societal changes: increases in female social activities, silver population, and one-person households. Consumption channels of HMR can be classified into take-out, delivery, and retail. In Korean HMR market, retail sector is largely growing, but companies are focusing their business on the home delivery sector. Moreover, franchise companies are expanding their areal coverage in the HMR market based on their multi-unit strategy. However, more research on the HMR market is needed as existing studies are limited in conceptualization, classification, and processed food from malls or home-shopping channels. Therefore, we conducted the efficiency analysis on Gukseonsaeng, one of franchises that applied the take-out channel, using DEA method. According to the research on 29 franchisees of Gukseonsaeng, 77.9% of input appeared inefficient for technical efficiency, while 53.3% of input appeared inefficient for scale efficiency. Thus, we found that franchises of Gukseonsaeng are structured in increasing returns to scale (IRS), so enhancing efficiency by expanding scales need to be implemented.

An Empirical Study on Asia Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency (아시아 외환시장의 효율성 분석)

  • 장맹렬;송봉윤
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.111-139
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the unbiasedness hypothesis cannot be rejected for JPY. It means that Japanese forward exchange market is efficient. This implies that there would not be an unusual profit from speculation. However, the unbiasedness hypothesis can be rejected for THB, HKD, IDR. It means that Asian forward exchange market is inefficient. This implies that there would be an unusual profit from all available information. This suggests that forward exchange rates cannot be an unbiased estimator of future spot exchange rate. This result explains that the actual pricing for forward rate is not based on the international financial market's pricing mechanism of interest rate parity theory, but rather depends upon that simple market expectations and aspirations.

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A Study on the Improvement of Architectural Design Contract Phase in the Overseas Construction Market through the Analysis of Inefficient Factors (효율성 저해요인 분석을 통한 건축설계분야의 해외건설 계약단계 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Jae-Bok;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2010
  • Following the successful entry of Korean builders into overseas construction markets, Korean architects have also become active abroad, and have expanded their market share centered on the Southeast Asia and Middle Eastern areas through Design-Build contracts. However, there have also been However, conflict can arise among the project applicants in the contract stage due to the special characteristics of overseas construction. This sometimes leads to the failure of a project. Using statistics and case studies, this study identified problems in the overseas construction market. It analyzed inefficient factors of the architectural design contract phase in the overseas through a survey and an interview of specialists. Based on the results, this study suggested a master architect system, and some resolutions to the problems of organizing an internal evaluation system. It is expected that the results can be used as practical data for companies that want to advance into the overseas market.

A Study on Market Efficiency with the Indexes of SSEC and SZSEC of China

  • DUAN, Guo Xi;TANIZAKI, Hisashi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies market efficiency from a weak form aspect using opening and closing prices of the Shanghai stock exchange composite index (SSEC) and Shenzhen stock exchange composite index (SZSEC) under the expected return theory. Classical methods (autocorrelation and runs test) are used to examine the features of stock returns, and little evidence against mutual independence of returns is found. We predict daily returns of SSEC and SZSEC with AR(p) and VAR(p) models (in this paper, p = 5 is taken as a one-week lag) and perform a virtual experiment on two indexes based on the predicted value of daily returns from AR(p) or VAR(p) model. From the results of AR(p) and VAR(p) for two indexes, we attempt to find out how the market efficiency level changes when the information from the other market is under consideration as we check the market efficiency level in one market. We find that SSEC in 2014-2016 and SZSEC in 2015-2016 are inefficient from the result of autocorrelation, that SSEC in 2016 and SZSEC in 2013 are not efficient from the result of runs test, that the stock market is efficient except 2005, 2009, 2010 and 2017 in SSEC and 2005, 2016 and 2017 in SZSEC and that SSEC is more influenced by SZSEC but SSEC influences SZSEC less from the result of the virtual experiment.

The Speculative Efficiency of Frozen Shrimp Futures Market (새우 선물시장의 투기 효율성에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.63-78
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to examine the speculative efficiency of shrimp futures market. Testing for the speculative efficiency hypothesis is carried out using Johansen's the maximum-likelihood cointegration method and Fama(1984) regressison model. Analysis data are obtained Kansai Commodities Exchange in Osaka and are daily data of frozen shrimp futures and cash prices for all trading days in the time period from September 6, 2002, frozen shrimp futures is introduced, to May 10, 2007. The empirical results are summarized as follows:First, there exists the cointegrating relationship between realized spot India 16/20, Indonesia 16/20, vietnam 16/20 prices and futures prices of the 14 day to maturity. Second, shrimp futures contract prices do not behave as unbiased predictor s of future spot shrimp prices. This indicates that the shrimp futures market is inefficient.

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Supervised Learning-Based Collaborative Filtering Using Market Basket Data for the Cold-Start Problem

  • Hwang, Wook-Yeon;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.421-431
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    • 2014
  • The market basket data in the form of a binary user-item matrix or a binary item-user matrix can be modelled as a binary classification problem. The binary logistic regression approach tackles the binary classification problem, where principal components are predictor variables. If users or items are sparse in the training data, the binary classification problem can be considered as a cold-start problem. The binary logistic regression approach may not function appropriately if the principal components are inefficient for the cold-start problem. Assuming that the market basket data can also be considered as a special regression problem whose response is either 0 or 1, we propose three supervised learning approaches: random forest regression, random forest classification, and elastic net to tackle the cold-start problem, comparing the performance in a variety of experimental settings. The experimental results show that the proposed supervised learning approaches outperform the conventional approaches.

Development Process Improvement of Open-market System by using Agile Methodology (민첩방법론을 활용한 오픈마켓 시스템 개발 프로세스 개선)

  • Lee, Yong-Hee;Lee, Gun-Ho
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.17D no.3
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2010
  • This study improves the productivity of software development of open-market systems using agile methodology. The current processes of an open-market system are analyzed and inefficient processes are identified which are changed by applying the agile practice principles in Lean software. This study analyzes the process lead times and defects after the processes are changed to see the improvement effect.

Impacts of Corruption Control on Economic Growth in Relationship with Stock Market and Trade Openness

  • PHAM, Van Thi Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to investigate the dual effects of corruption control on economic growth in relationship with the stock market and trade openness in developing countries. The study used difference S-GMM method on the dynamic panel data model in the period (2002-2017) with data collected from the World Bank. The study discovers the dominant impacts of corruption control in the relationship with the stock market on economic growth. At the same time, the study also confirms the overwhelming impact of corruption control in the relationship between trade openness and economic growth in the developing countries. In addition, the study shows that inefficient stock markets in developing countries will not promote economic growth. Meanwhile, the long-standing credit market has a positive impact on economic growth. With the strong development of stock market and trade openness in the period (2002-2017), control on corruption in developing countries does not get better in time with the increase in demand. The findings of this study suggest a number of solutions to strengthen corruption control, leading to the increased efficiency on the stock market and as well as encouraging the positive effects of trade openness to contribute to promoting economic growth in developing countries.