• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.65-71
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• 2002

Objective : To estimate the status of HIV infection and AIDS incidence using a back-calculation model in Korea. Methods : Back-calculation is a method for estimating the past infection rate using AIDS incidence data. The method has been useful for obtaining short-term projections of AIDS incidence and estimating previous HIV prevalence. If the density of the incubation periods is known, together with the AIDS incidence, we can estimate historical HIV infections and forecast AIDS incidence in any time period up to time t. In this paper, we estimated the number of HIV infections and AIDS incidence according to the distribution of various incubation periods Results : The cumulative numbers of HIV infection from 1991 to 1996 were $708{\sim}1,426$ in Weibull distribution and $918{\sim}1,980$ in Gamma distribution. The projected AIDS incidence in 1997 was $16{\sim}25$ in Weibull distribution and $13{\sim}26$ in Gamma distribution. Conclusions : The estimated cumulative HIV infections from 1991 to 1996 were $1.4{\sim}4.0$ times more than notified cumulative HIV infections. Additionally, the projected AIDS incidence in 1997 was less than the notified AIDS cases. The reason for this underestimation derives from the very low level of HIV prevalence in Korea, further research is required for the distribution of the incubation period of HIV infection in Korea, particularly for the effects of combination treatments.

• 한국연초학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.19-23
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• 1983

Potato virus Y (PVY) distribution, areas where the virus occurred, and incidence, Percentage of plants infected, on burley tobacco in Korea was surveyed in 1982. Most of the fields Investigated were infected with PVY. The virus incidence was 12.5%. District)union and incidence generally were sporadic, but Onyang, Hongseung and Iksan area virus incidence was higher than that of other areas. For strain identification, approximately 95% was nonnecrotic (PVY-VB) and 5olo necrotic strain (PVY-VN) .

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권13호
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• pp.5299-5303
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• 2014

Background: To explore etiology for providing scientific clues for the prevention of lung cancer. Materials and Methods: Data for lung cancer incidence and meteorological geographic factors from 25 counties in Zhejiang province of China during 2011 were studied. Stepwise multiple regression and correlation analysis were performed to analyze the geographic distribution and epidemiology of lung cancer. Results: 8,291 new cases (5,998 in males and 2,293 females) of lung cancer during 2011 in Zhejiang province were reported in the 25 studied counties. Reported and standardized incidence rates for lung cancer were 58.0 and 47.0 per 100,000 population, respectively. The incidence of lung cancer increased with age. Geographic distribution analysis shows that the standardized incidence rates of lung cancer in northeastern Zhejiang province were higher than in the southwestern part, such as in Nanhu, Fuyang, Wuxing and Yuyao counties, where the rates were more than 50 per 100,000 population. In the southwestern Zhejiang province, for instance, in Yueqing, Xianju and Jiande counties, the standardized incidence rates of lung cancer were lower than 37 per 100,000 population. Spearman correlation tests showed that forest coverage rate, air quality index (AQI), and annual precipitation level are associated with the incidence of lung cancer. Conclusions: Lung cancer in Zhejiang province shows obvious regional differences. High incidence appears associated with low forest coverage rate, poor air quality and low annual precipitation. Therefore, increasing the forest coverage rate and controlling air pollution may play an important role in lung cancer prevention.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제2권4호
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• pp.263-268
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• 2001

Shanmugam(1991) generalized the Poisson distribution to capture a restriction on the incidence rate $\theta$ (i.e. $\theta$ ＜ $\beta$, an unknown upper limit), and named it incidence rate restricted Poisson (IRRP) distribution. Using Neyman's C($\alpha$) concept, Shanmugam then devised a hypothesis testing procedure for $\beta$ when $\theta$ remains unknown nuisance parameter. Shanmugam's C ($\alpha$) based .results involve inverse moments which are not easy tools, This article presents an alternate testing procedure based on likelihood ratio concept. It turns out that likelihood ratio test statistic offers more power than the C($\alpha$) test statistic. Numerical examples are included.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권16호
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• pp.6889-6894
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• 2015

Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common cancer in the world, with a wide variation in incidence rates across different geographical areas. In Iran GC is the most common cancer in males and it is reported to be the third most prevalent after breast and colorectal in females. A geographical information system (GIS) allows investigation of the geographical distribution of diseases. The purpose of the present study was to explore the relationship between gastric cancer and effective climatic factors using GIS. The dispersion distribution and the relationship between environmental factors effective on cancer were measured using Arc GIS. Of all cases, 672 (73.8%) were in males with a sex ratio of 3 to1. The highest incidence by cities was seen in Namin with 137.5 per 100,000. The results of this study showed that the distribution of GC around the Sabalan volcanic mountain was significantly higher than other places in the same province. These results can be considered as a window to future comprehensive research on gastric cancer.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제51권1호
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• pp.33-40
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• 2018

Objectives: The aim of this study was to determine the factors associated with the spatial distribution of the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in the neighborhoods of Tehran, Iran using Bayesian spatial models. Methods: This ecological study was implemented in Tehran on the neighborhood level. Socioeconomic variables, risk factors, and health costs were extracted from the Equity Assessment Study conducted in Tehran. The data on CRC incidence were extracted from the Iranian population-based cancer registry. The $Besag-York-Molli{\acute{e}}$ (BYM) model was used to identify factors associated with the spatial distribution of CRC incidence. The software programs OpenBUGS version 3.2.3, ArcGIS 10.3, and GeoDa were used for the analysis. Results: The Moran index was statistically significant for all the variables studied (p<0.05). The BYM model showed that having a women head of household (median standardized incidence ratio [SIR], 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06 to 2.53), living in a rental house (median SIR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.71 to 0.96), not consuming milk daily (median SIR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.55 to 0.94) and having greater household health expenditures (median SIR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.68) were associated with a statistically significant elevation in the SIR of CRC. The median (interquartile range) and mean (standard deviation) values of the SIR of CRC, with the inclusion of all the variables studied in the model, were 0.57 (1.01) and 1.05 (1.31), respectively. Conclusions: Inequality was found in the spatial distribution of CRC incidence in Tehran on the neighborhood level. Paying attention to this inequality and the factors associated with it may be useful for resource allocation and developing preventive strategies in at-risk areas.

• Journal of the Optical Society of Korea
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.6-12
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• 2012

We present the optical models and calculation results of thin-film organic solar cells (OSCs) at oblique incidence of light, using the transfer matrix method. The simple expression for the optical power dissipation is derived at oblique incidence for s- and p-polarized light. The spatial distribution of the electric field intensity, the optical power density, and the optical power dissipation are calculated in both s- and p-polarized light with respect to the incidence angle. We identify how the light absorption efficiency for p-polarized light becomes relatively larger than that for s-polarized light as the incidence angle increases.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.357-371
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• 2007

경쟁위험(competing risk) 하에서의 누적 발생함수(cumulative incidence function)는 일반적으로 비모수적 방법으로 추정된다. 그러나 관심 있는 원인에 의한 사건이 다른 원인에 의한 사건보다 상대적으로 적게 발생하는 경우에 비모수적 방법으로 추정된 누적발생함수는 이산성으로 인해 다소 정확하지 않게 된다. 이와 같은 경우에 Bryant와 Diagnam(2004)는 관심 있는 원인에 대한 원인특정적 위험함수(cause-specific hazard function)를 모수적으로 모형화하고 다른 원인에 의한 사건은 비모수적으로 추정하는 준모수적 방법을 제안했다. 본 연구에서는 준모수적 누적발생함수 추정량을 재표현하고 와이블분포모형과 대수 정규분포모형으로 확장하였다. 또한 대수 정규분포 원인특정적 위험모형일 경우 누적 발생함수에 대한 비모수적 추정량, 와이블분포 준모수적 추정량과 대수 정규분포 준모수적 추정량의 효율성을 비교하며 준모수적 추정량의 성능과 모형 오설정이 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다.

• 한국식물병리학회지
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.338-343
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• 1995

Incidence of blast caused by Pyricularia grisea on five new cultivars and four elite lines (C/L) of rice was investigated at different locations, Icheon, Chuncheon, Jecheon and Naju, 1992 to 1994. Disease indices of leaf blast on the tested C/L except Juanbyeo and Keumnambyeo ranged from 0 to 6 in the blast nursery. Under the field conditions, percentages of diseased leaf area of Kuemnambyeo were 6.5% in Jecheon and 2.8% in Icheon in 1993. The incidence of panicle blast on the C/L except Suweon 394 and Milyang 117 differed depending on the locations and years. In case of Unjangbyeo, panicle blast was rarely observed n the fields in Icheon and Naju, but the disease incidences were 21.8% in Jecheon in 1993 and 16.4% in Chuncheon in 1994. Race distribution of the blast fungus was variable according to the locations. The major race in the Jecheon site was KI-197, which was recently identified.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.59-73
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• 2014

This paper presents the results of wind tunnel studies and numerical studies on a '+' plan shaped tall building. The experiment was carried out in an open circuit wind tunnel on a 1:300 scale rigid model. The mean wind pressure coefficients on all the surfaces were studied for wind incidence angle of $0^{\circ}$ and $45^{\circ}$. Certain faces were subjected to peculiar pressure distribution due to irregular formation of eddies caused by the separation of wind flow. Moreover, commercial CFD packages of ANSYS were used to demonstrate the flow pattern around the model and pressure distribution on various faces. k-${\varepsilon}$ and SST viscosity models were used for numerical study to simulate the wind flow. Although there are some differences on certain wall faces, the numerical result is having a good agreement with the experimental results for both wind incidence angle.