• 제목/요약/키워드: Importance sampling

검색결과 448건 처리시간 0.021초

AHP를 이용한 웹 사이트 신뢰성 평가 모델 개발 (Development of Web Credibility Evaluation Model Using AHP)

  • 김영기
    • 한국도서관정보학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.51-69
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 선행 연구에서 제시된 웹정보의 신뢰성 평가 요인과 지표들을 바탕으로 계층적 분석방법(Analytic Hierarchy Process: AHP)을 이용하여 지표들의 가중치를 산출하고 민감도 분석을 통해 웹정보의 신뢰성을 평가하기 위한 모델을 개발하고자 하였다. AHP를 이용한 분석 도구로는 Expert Choice 2000을 사용하였으며, 평가지표의 가중치 산출을 위한 대상자는 비확률 표준추출방법(non-probability sampling) 중 판단표본추출방법(judgement sampling)을 사용하여 25명의 전문가로 구성된 설문대상자를 추출하였다. 한편 민감도 분석은 평가요인들의 가중치를 달리 했을 때 하위지표들의 글로벌 가중치에 대한 민감성을 분석한 것으로, 본 연구에서는 평가 영역의 가중치를 네 가지 경우로만 제한된 변화에 대해서 하위지표들의 글로벌 가중치와 우선순위의 변동을 살펴보았다. 분석결과 1차 지표 간의 상대적 중요도 분석에서는 진실성 요인의 중요도가 0.606으로 압도적으로 높게 나타났으며, 2차 지표에서는 콘덴트의 믿음성(0.857), 유용성(0.460), 시의성(0.417)이, 그리고 3차 지표에서는 '정보의 출처에 관한 정보 제공', '기사의 인용이나 참고문헌 제공', '이용자의 의견이나 리뷰제공' 등의 요인의 가중치가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 한편 영역별 가중치를 달리했을 때 AHP 결과와 민감도 분석의 결과에서 하위지표들의 가중치와 우선순위의 반전이 나타났지만, 안전성 요인의 가중치를 0.5로 상향조정한 민감도 분석 D를 제외하면 대체적으로 AHP 결과에서 글로벌 가중치의 우선순위가 높을수록 민감도 분석에서도 우선순위가 높아지는 경향을 발견할 수 있었다.

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Evaluation of a Land Use Change Matrix in the IPCC's Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry Area Sector Using National Spatial Information

  • Park, Jeongmook;Yim, Jongsu;Lee, Jungsoo
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2017
  • This study compared and analyzed the construction of a land use change matrix for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) land use, land use change, and forestry area (LULUCF). We used National Forest Inventory (NFI) permanent sample plots (with a sample intensity of 4 km) and permanent sample plots with 500 m sampling intensity. The land use change matrix was formed using the point sampling method, Level-2 Land Cover Maps, and forest aerial photographs (3rd and 4th series). The land use change matrix using the land cover map indicated that the annual change in area was the highest for forests and cropland; the cropland area decreased over time. We evaluated the uncertainty of the land use change matrix. Our results indicated that the forest land use, which had the most sampling, had the lowest uncertainty, while the grassland and wetlands had the highest uncertainty and the least sampling. The uncertainty was higher for the 4 km sampling intensity than for the 500 m sampling intensity, which indicates the importance of selecting the appropriate sample size when constructing a national land use change matrix.

간호이미지 개선을 위한 간호전문직의 중요도에 대한 일반인의 인식유형 (A Factor Analysis on the Degree of Importance of Professional Nursing for Advancing Nursing Image)

  • 오미정
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.80-99
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    • 2000
  • This study was designed to find the characteristics and patterns in subjectivity of an attitude on the degree of importance of professional nursing for advancing nursing image. Q-methodology was used as a research design and the research procedures were as follows. Q-sampling has been derived from the literature review and interview. Its credibility and validity were also tested by nursing professors. Total of 34 statements were selected. P-sampling has been drawn and 32 samples were selected. Based on 9 point scale. the selected respondents rated their operant definition on the degree of importance of professional nursing for advancing nursing image. The results of above procedures were analyzed by PCQ program. The attitude about the degree of importance of professional nursing for advancing nursing image were analyzed based on the typical array. extreme comments. and the demographic information of study subjects. The results revealed that there were four types of attitude about the degree of importance of professional nursing for advancing nursing image. The four types were named as follows; 1) The first type. agree of problem-solving perspectives. was consisted of 8 subjects. They emphasized that the nurse should solve a patient's problem promptly and precisely for advancing nursing image. 2) The second type. agree of kindness perspectives. was consisted of 5 subjects. They insisted that the nurse should be kind to patient and his family for advancing nursing image. 3) The third type. agree of love and service perspectives. was consisted of 4 subjects. They emphasized nursing spirit based on love and service for advancing nursing image. 4) The fourth type. agree of professional knowledge perspectives. was consisted of 6 subjects. They emphasized that the nurse should construct of professional nursing knowledge for advancing nursing image. As a result. this study discovered three types of the degree of importance of professional nursing for advancing nursing image. By identifying the nature of each of four types. this study can be useful to develop efficient strategies for advancing nursing image.

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A novel reliability analysis method based on Gaussian process classification for structures with discontinuous response

  • Zhang, Yibo;Sun, Zhili;Yan, Yutao;Yu, Zhenliang;Wang, Jian
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제75권6호
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    • pp.771-784
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    • 2020
  • Reliability analysis techniques combining with various surrogate models have attracted increasing attention because of their accuracy and great efficiency. However, they primarily focus on the structures with continuous response, while very rare researches on the reliability analysis for structures with discontinuous response are carried out. Furthermore, existing adaptive reliability analysis methods based on importance sampling (IS) still have some intractable defects when dealing with small failure probability, and there is no related research on reliability analysis for structures involving discontinuous response and small failure probability. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel reliability analysis method called AGPC-IS for such structures, which combines adaptive Gaussian process classification (GPC) and adaptive-kernel-density-estimation-based IS. In AGPC-IS, an efficient adaptive strategy for design of experiments (DoE), taking into consideration the classification uncertainty, the sampling uniformity and the regional classification accuracy improvement, is developed with the purpose of improving the accuracy of Gaussian process classifier. The adaptive kernel density estimation is introduced for constructing the quasi-optimal density function of IS. In addition, a novel and more precise stopping criterion is also developed from the perspective of the stability of failure probability estimation. The efficiency, superiority and practicability of AGPC-IS are verified by three examples.

Serviceability reliability analysis of cable-stayed bridges

  • Cheng, Jin;Xiao, Ru-Cheng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.609-630
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    • 2005
  • A reliability analysis method is proposed in this paper through a combination of the advantages of the response surface method (RSM), finite element method (FEM), first order reliability method (FORM) and the importance sampling updating method. The accuracy and efficiency of the method is demonstrated through several numerical examples. Then the method is used to estimate the serviceability reliability of cable-stayed bridges. Effects of geometric nonlinearity, randomness in loading, material, and geometry are considered. The example cable-stayed bridge is the Second Nanjing Bridge with a main span length of 628 m built in China. The results show that the cable sag that is part of the geometric nonlinearities of cable-stayed bridges has a major effect on the reliability of cable-stayed bridge. Finally, the most influential random variables on the reliability of cable-stayed bridges are identified by using a sensitivity analysis.

Bayesian analysis of an exponentiated half-logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kang, Suk Bok;Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.1455-1464
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of unknown parameters in an exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on a progressively type-II censored sample. We obtain approximate confidence intervals for the MLEs by using asymptotic variance and covariance matrices. Using importance sampling, we obtain Bayes estimators and corresponding credible intervals with the highest posterior density and Bayes predictive intervals for unknown parameters based on progressively type-II censored data from an exponentiated half logistic distribution. For illustration purposes, we examine the validity of the proposed estimation method by using real and simulated data.

RELTSYS: A computer program for life prediction of deteriorating systems

  • Enright, Michael P.;Frangopol, Dan M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.557-568
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    • 2000
  • As time-variant reliability approaches become increasingly used for service life prediction of the aging infrastructure, the demand for computer solution methods continues to increase. Effcient computer techniques have become well established for the reliability analysis of structural systems. Thus far, however, this is largely limited to time-invariant reliability problems. Therefore, the requirements for time-variant reliability prediction of deteriorating structural systems under time-variant loads have remained incomplete. This study presents a computer program for $\underline{REL}$iability of $\underline{T}$ime-Variant $\underline{SYS}$tems, RELTSYS. This program uses a combined technique of adaptive importance sampling, numerical integration, and fault tree analysis to compute time-variant reliabilities of individual components and systems. Time-invariant quantities are generated using Monte Carlo simulation, whereas time-variant quantities are evaluated using numerical integration. Load distribution and post-failure redistribution are considered using fault tree analysis. The strengths and limitations of RELTSYS are presented via a numerical example.

Structural reliability estimation using Monte Carlo simulation and Pearson's curves

  • Krakovski, Mikhail B.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.201-213
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    • 1995
  • At present Level 2 and importance sampling methods are the main tools used to estimate reliability of structural systems. But sometimes application of these techniques to realistic problems involves certain difficulties. In order to overcome the difficulties it is suggested to use Monte Carlo simulation in combination with two other techniques-extreme value and tail entropy approximations; an appropriate Pearson's curve is fit to represent simulation results. On the basis of this approach an algorithm and computer program for structural reliability estimation are developed. A number of specially chosen numerical examples are considered with the aim of checking the accuracy of the approach and comparing it with the Level 2 and importance sampling methods. The field of application of the approach is revealed.

이단계 Latin Hypercube 추출법과 그 응용 (Two-stage Latin hypercube sampling and its application)

  • 임미정;권우주;이주호
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 1995
  • 본 논문에서는 컴퓨터 모델을 이용하여 복잡한 시스템을 모형화할 때 결과값의 분포를 보다 정확히 추정하기 위한 입력변수의 추출방법으로서 McKay 등(1979)이 제안한 Latin Hypercube 추출법을 개선한 이단계 Latin Hypercube 추출법을 제시하고 모의 실험을 통하여 새로운 표본추출법이 기존의 표본추출법들보다 더 효율적임을 보였다.

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의류제품유형과 상황에 따른 점포속성중요도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Importance Degree of Store Attribute According to Fashion Product Types and Task Situations)

  • 신정혜;박재옥;권영아
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제30권9_10호
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    • pp.1366-1377
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    • 2006
  • The purposes of this study was to find out 1) the difference in the importance degree of store attribute according to interaction between fashion product types and task situations, 2) the difference in the importance degree of store attribute according to the patronized store types on the basis of fashion product types. The subjects were female adults who lived in Seoul. The sampling method was quota sampling. The data was obtained from 391 questionnaires. The data were analyzed using frequency, one-way ANOVA, Duncan test, and two-way ANOVA by means of SPSS. The results were as follows; 1. According to fashion product types and task situations, there were significant differences in factors of product features, services, physical environments of the store, and price. 2. According to interaction between fashion product types and task situations, there were significant differences in factors of product features, services, physical environments of the store, and price. 3. There were significant differences in factors of product features, services, physical environments of the store, and location of store according to patronized store types, when a consumer purchased a suit, casual wear and inner wear.