• 제목/요약/키워드: Importance Estimation

검색결과 585건 처리시간 0.025초

Conclusions and Suggestions on Low-Dose and Low-Dose Rate Radiation Risk Estimation Methodology

  • Sakai, Kazuo;Yamada, Yutaka;Yoshida, Kazuo;Yoshinaga, Shinji;Sato, Kaoru;Ogata, Hiromitsu;Iwasaki, Toshiyasu;Kudo, Shin'ichi;Asada, Yasuki;Kawaguchi, Isao;Haeno, Hiroshi;Sasaki, Michiya
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.14-23
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    • 2021
  • Background: For radiological protection and control, the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) provides the nominal risk coefficients related to radiation exposure, which can be extrapolated using the excess relative risk and excess absolute risk obtained from the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki with the dose and dose-rate effectiveness factor (DDREF). Materials and Methods: Since it is impossible to directly estimate the radiation risk at doses less than approximately 100 mSv only from epidemiological knowledge and data, support from radiation biology is absolutely imperative, and thus, several national and international bodies have advocated the importance of bridging knowledge between biology and epidemiology. Because of the accident at the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)'s Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station in 2011, the exposure of the public to radiation has become a major concern and it was considered that the estimation of radiation risk should be more realistic to cope with the prevailing radiation exposure situation. Results and Discussion: To discuss the issues from wide aspects related to radiological protection, and to realize bridging knowledge between biology and epidemiology, we have established a research group to develop low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation risk estimation methodology, with the permission of the Japan Health Physics Society. Conclusion: The aim of the research group was to clarify the current situation and issues related to the risk estimation of low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation exposure from the viewpoints of different research fields, such as epidemiology, biology, modeling, and dosimetry, to identify a future strategy and roadmap to elucidate a more realistic estimation of risk against low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation exposure.

Uncertainty Estimation of Single-Channel Temperature Estimation Algorithm for Atmospheric Conditions in the Seas around the Korean Peninsula (한반도 주변해역 대기환경에 대한 싱글채널 온도추정 알고리즘의 불확도 추정)

  • Jong Hyuk Lee;Kyung Woong Kang;Seungil Baek;Wonkook Kim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 2023
  • Temperature of the Earth's surface is a crucial physical variable in understanding weather and atmospheric dynamics and in coping with extreme heat events that have a great impact on living organismsincluding humans. Thermalsensors on satellites have been a useful meansfor acquiring surface temperature information for wide areas on the globe, and thus characterization of its estimation uncertainty is of central importance for the utilization of the data. Among various factors that affect the estimation, the uncertainty caused by the algorithm itself has not been tested for the atmospheric environment of Korean vicinity. Thisstudy derivesthe uncertainty of the single-channel algorithm under the local atmospheric and oceanic conditions by using reanalysis data and buoy temperature data collected around Korea. Atmospheric profiles were retrieved from two types of reanalysis data, the fifth generation of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis of the global climate and weather (ERA5) and Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications-2 (MERRA-2) to investigate the effect of reanalysis data. MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission (MODTRAN) was used as a radiative transfer code for simulating top of atmosphere radiance and the atmospheric correction for the temperature estimation. Water temperatures used for MODTRAN simulations and uncertainty estimation for the single-channel algorithm were obtained from marine weather buoyslocated in seas around the Korean Peninsula. Experiment results showed that the uncertainty of the algorithm varies by the water vapor contents in the atmosphere and is around 0.35K in the driest atmosphere and 0.46K in overall, regardless of the reanalysis data type. The uncertainty increased roughly in a linear manner as total precipitable water increased.

On the assessment of modal nonlinear pushover analysis for steel frames with semi-rigid connections

  • Zarfam, Panam;Mofid, Massood
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.383-398
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    • 2009
  • Applying nonlinear statistical analysis methods in estimating the performance of structures in earthquakes is strongly considered these days. This is due to the methods' simplicity, timely lower cost and reliable estimation in seismic responses in comparison with time-history nonlinear dynamic analysis. Among nonlinear methods, simplified to be incorporated in the future guidelines, Modal Pushover Analysis, known by the abbreviated name of MPA, simply models nonlinear behavior of structures; and presents a very proper estimation of nonlinear dynamic analysis using lateral load pattern appropriate to the mass. Mostly, two kinds of connecting joints, 'hinge' and 'rigid', are carried out in different type of steel structures. However, it should be highly considered that nominal hinge joints usually experience some percentages of fixity and nominal rigid connections do not employ totally rigid. Therefore, concerning the importance of these structures and the significant flexibility effect of connections on force distribution and elements deformation, these connections can be considered as semi-rigid with various percentages of fixity. Since it seems, the application and implementation of MPA method has not been studied on moment-resistant steel frames with semi rigid connections, this research focuses on this topic and issue. In this regard several rigid and semi-rigid steel bending frames with different percentages of fixity are selected. The structural design is performed based on weak beam and strong column. Followed by that, the MPA method is used as an approximated method and Nonlinear Response History Analysis (NL-RHA) as the exact one. Studying the performance of semi-rigid frames in height shows that MPA technique offers reasonably reliable results in these frames. The methods accuracy seems to decrease, when the number of stories increases and does decrease in correlation with the semi-rigidity percentages. This generally implies that the method can be used as a proper device in seismic estimation of different types of low and mid-rise buildings with semi-rigid connections.

Application of Regression Tree Model for the Estimation of Groundwater Use at the Agricultural (Dry-field Farming and Rice Farming) Purpose Wells (농업용(전작 및 답작용) 지하수 이용량 추정을 위한 회귀나무 모형의 적용)

  • Kim, yoo-Bum;Hwang, Chan-Ik
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.417-425
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    • 2019
  • Agricultural groundwater use accounts for 51.8% of total groundwater use, so accurate estimation of groundwater use is important for efficient groundwater management. The purpose of this study is to develop a method for estimating the groundwater use of agricultural (rice farming and dry-field farming) wells using regression tree model based on the measured data of 370 wells. Three input variables of the model were evaluated as being significant: well depth, pipe diameter, and pump capacity, and the importance of each variable was 75% for well depth, 17% for pipe diameter, and 8% for pumping capacity. The daily usage of agricultural (rice farming and dry-field farming) wells by the regression tree model was estimated to be very similar to the actual usage, compared to the previous estimation method proposed by the Ministry of Construction and Transportation. In the future, it is expected that the reliability of the usage statistics will be improved if additional observed data is secured and this classification method is modified.

A Study on Performance Evaluation of Various Kriging Models for Estimating AADT (연평균 일교통량 산정을 위한 다양한 크리깅 방법의 성능 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung Ah;Oh, Sei-Chang;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2014
  • Annual average daily traffic(AADT) serves as important basic data in the transportation sector. AADT is used as design traffic which is the basic traffic volume in transportation planning. Despite of its importance, at most locations, AADT is estimated using short term traffic counts. An accurate AADT is calculated through permanent traffic counts at limited locations. This study dealt with estimating AADT using various models considering both the spatial correlation and time series data. Kriging models which are commonly used spatial statistics methods were applied and compared with each model. Additionally the External Universal kriging model, which includes explanatory variables, was used to assure accuracy of AADT estimation. For evaluation of various kriging methods, AADT estimation error, proposed using national highway permanent traffic count data, was analyzed and their performances were compared. The result shows the accuracy enhancement of the AADT estimation.

A Study On Developing Weapon System CERs With Considering Various Data Characteristics (다양한 데이터 특성을 고려한 무기체계 비용추정관계식 개발 연구)

  • Jung, Won-Il;Kim, Dong-Kyu;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 2010
  • Recently, the acquisition environment of the Korean defense weapon system is emphasizing more the importance of cost analysis in terms of efficient execution for defense acquisition budget. While cost analysis, however, is emphasized in law and process, its infrastructures are still insufficient We have been using computerized cost models to obtain an estimate at early phase of project. But those models have been developed by foreign companies, and so they have many limitations when using in Korean defense environment. For this reason, it began to sympathize that we need the development of the Korean version cost estimation model suitable for our defense industry environment, and now many studies are proceeding. In this study, we suggest Cost Estimating Relationships(CERs) developing methodologies which is key logics of Korean version cost estimation model. Especially, we proposed a new CER's development process depending upon data characteristics such as, multicolinearity, outlier, small samples and heteroscedasticity. Also, we presented a case study for artillery weapon system using these methods we developed. We find that these CERs could be verified through theoretical methods.

Carrying Capacity Estimation and Management Planning of the Seonjeong Royal Tomb(I) -Soil Environment and Vegetation Analysis- (선정릉의 적정수용능력 추정 및 관리방안(I) -토양환경 및 식생분석-)

  • 이경재;오구균;권영선
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.33-45
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    • 1987
  • The Seonjeong royal tomb is one of many historic sites in and around Seoul city and its natural environment and landscape have born damaged seriously by heavy use. So conservation planning with an estimation of reasonable carrying capacity shall be required In aspect of not only historic site conservation, but also urban forest and nature park management. Eight sites were sampled with clumped sampling method during July of 1986 and five quadrats were examined in each site. Environmental factors, actual vegetation, and environmental impact grade were investigated in field and vegetational structure was analyzed by estimation of importance value, species diversity, similarity index, DBH class distribution, etc. The result of this study can be summarized as follows. 1. Damage on soil and vegetation of middle and lower layer increased according to amount of users'impact. 2. Semi - natural vegetation covered 63% of the total area(22.2 ha) and its major species were Pinus densiflora, Quercus aliena, Q mongolica, Sorbus alnifolia, etc. Pinus densiflora was a dominant species in heavy impact area. 3. Environmental impact grade 3, 4 and 5 area covered 51% of the seminatural vegetation, Especially, the area of impact grade 4 and 5 should be restored because self-refair seemed to be impossible. 4. The semi-natural vegetation was classified with four plant communities; two P.densiflora comm., Q. mongolica-P. densiflora comm. and Q. aliena comm. One of the P. densifolra comm. was destroyed seriously with no younger trees in middle and lower layer by overuse impact and would be bareland soon. But Q. aliena comm.in light impact area showed just completion of plant succession from P. densiflora comm.

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Estimation of groundwater inflow into an underground oil storage facility in granite

  • Wang, Zhechao;Kwon, Sangki;Qiao, Liping;Bi, Liping;Yu, Liyuan
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.1003-1020
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    • 2017
  • Estimation of groundwater inflow into underground opening is of critical importance for the design and construction of underground structures. Groundwater inflow into a pilot underground storage facility in China was estimated using analytical equations, numerical modeling and field measurement. The applicability of analytical and numerical methods was examined by comparing the estimated and measured results. Field geological investigation indicated that in local scale the high groundwater inflows are associated with the appearance of open joints, fractured zone or dykes induced by shear and/or tensile tectonic stresses. It was found that 8 groundwater inflow spots with high inflow rates account for about 82% of the total rate for the 9 caverns. On the prediction of the magnitude of groundwater inflow rate, it was found that could both (Finite Element Method) FEM and (Discrete Element Method) DEM perform better than analytical equations, due to the fact that in analytical equations simplified assumptions were adopted. However, on the prediction of the spatial distribution estimation of groundwater inflow, both analytical and numerical methods failed to predict at the present state. Nevertheless, numerical simulations would prevail over analytical methods to predict the distribution if more details in the simulations were taken into consideration.

A Diamond Web-grid Search Algorithm Combined with Efficient Stationary Block Skip Method for H.264/AVC Motion Estimation (H.264/AVC 움직임 추정을 위한 효율적인 정적 블록 스킵 방법과 결합된 다이아몬드 웹 격자 탐색 알고리즘)

  • Jeong, Chang-Uk;Choi, Jin-Ku;Ikenaga, Takeshi;Goto, Satoshi
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2010
  • H.264/AVC offers a better encoding efficiency than conventional video standards by adopting many new encoding techniques. However, the advanced coding techniques also add to the overall complexity for H.264/AVC encoder. Accordingly, it is necessary to perform optimization to alleviate the level of complexity for the video encoder. The amount of computation for motion estimation is of particular importance. In this paper, we propose a diamond web-grid search algorithm combined with efficient stationary block skip method which employs full diamond and dodecagon search patterns, and the variable thresholds are used for performing an effective skip of stationary blocks. The experimental results indicate that the proposed technique reduces the computations of the unsymmetrical-cross multi-hexagon-grid search algorithm by up to 12% while maintaining a similar PSNR performance.

Remote Estimation Models for Deriving Chlorophyll-a Concentration using Optical Properties in Turbid Inland Waters : Application and Valuation (분광특성을 이용한 담수역 클로로필-a 원격 추정 모형의 적용과 평가)

  • Lee, Hyuk;Kang, Taegu;Nam, Gibeom;Ha, Rim;Cho, Kyunghwa
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.272-285
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    • 2015
  • Accurate assessment of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations in inland waters using remote sensing is challenging due to the optical complexity of case 2 waters. and the inherent optical properties (IOPs) of natural waters are the most significant factors affecting light propagation within water columns, and thus play indispensable roles on estimation of Chl-a concentrations. Despite its importance, no IOPs retrieval model was specifically developed for inland water bodies, although significant efforts were made on oceanic inversion models. So we have applied and validated a recently developed Red-NIR three-band model and an IOPs Inversion Model for estimating Chl-a concentration and deriving inland water IOPs in Lake Uiam. Three band and IOPs based Chl-a estimation model accuracy was assessed with samples collected in different seasons. The results indicate that this models can be used to accurately retrieve Chl-a concentration and absorption coefficients. For all datasets the determination coefficients of the 3-band models versus Chl-a concentration ranged 0.65 and 0.88 and IOPs based model versus Chl-a concentration varied from 0.73 to 0.83 respectively. and Comparison between 3-band and IOPs based models showed significant performance with decrease of root mean square error from 18% to 33.6%. The results of this study provides the potential of effective methods for remote monitoring and water quality management in turbid inland water bodies using hyper-spectral remote sensing.