• 제목/요약/키워드: Impact energy prediction

검색결과 138건 처리시간 0.023초

소규모 분산에너지자원의 효율적인 관리를 위한 전력중개거래시스템 (The Power Brokerage Trading System for Efficient Management of Small-Scale Distributed Energy-Resources)

  • 양수영;김요한;이우;김원중
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.735-742
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    • 2021
  • 최근 정부에서 역점 적으로 추진하고 있는 '재생에너지 3020', '그린뉴딜', '2050 탄소중립', 'K-RE100' 정책에 의해 재생에너지 관련 발전설비들이 급증하고 있다. 재생에너지 설비들은 대부분 소규모이고, 분산되어 있어서 효율적인 관리가 어렵고, 1MW 미만의 소규모 분산자원은 판매량 제한, 거래회피 등으로 시장참여에 큰 어려움을 겪고 있다. 특히, 재생에너지의 간헐성 때문에 전력망의 안정성 저하에도 큰 영향을 끼치고 있다. 정부에서는 '소규모 분산자원 중개거래'를 통해서 변동성 및 간헐성 문제를 해결하고, 이종의 대량 소규모 분산자원들의 계통 자원화와 수용성 확대를 추구하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 AI에 기반한 발전량 예측 모델을 분산자원 중개거래 시스템에 적용하여 최적의 운영 솔루션을 제시하고, 에너지신사업 시장 개척의 기반 플랫폼으로 활용될 수 있도록 하고자 한다.

On the use of spectral algorithms for the prediction of short-lived volatile fission product release: Methodology for bounding numerical error

  • Zullo, G.;Pizzocri, D.;Luzzi, L.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.1195-1205
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    • 2022
  • Recent developments on spectral diffusion algorithms, i.e., algorithms which exploit the projection of the solution on the eigenfunctions of the Laplacian operator, demonstrated their effective applicability in fast transient conditions. Nevertheless, the numerical error introduced by these algorithms, together with the uncertainties associated with model parameters, may impact the reliability of the predictions on short-lived volatile fission product release from nuclear fuel. In this work, we provide an upper bound on the numerical error introduced by the presented spectral diffusion algorithm, in both constant and time-varying conditions, depending on the number of modes and on the time discretization. The definition of this upper bound allows introducing a methodology to a priori bound the numerical error on short-lived volatile fission product retention.

Impact of Hull Condition and Propeller Surface Maintenance on Fuel Efficiency of Ocean-Going Vessels

  • Tien Anh Tran;Do Kyun Kim
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2023
  • The fuel consumption of marine diesel engines holds paramount importance in contemporary maritime transportation and shapes energy efficiency strategies of ocean-going vessels. Nonetheless, a noticeable gap in knowledge prevails concerning the influence of ship hull conditions and propeller roughness on fuel consumption. This study bridges this gap by utilizing artificial intelligence techniques in Matlab, particularly convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to comprehensively investigate these factors. We propose a time-series prediction model that was built on numerical simulations and aimed at forecasting ship hull and propeller conditions. The model's accuracy was validated through a meticulous comparison of predictions with actual ship-hull and propeller conditions. Furthermore, we executed a comparative analysis juxtaposing predictive outcomes with navigational environmental factors encompassing wind speed, wave height, and ship loading conditions by the fuzzy clustering method. This research's significance lies in its pivotal role as a foundation for fostering a more intricate understanding of energy consumption within the realm of maritime transport.

Electric field strength effect on bi-stability of composite thin cylindrical shell with piezoelectric layer

  • Yaopeng Wu;Nan Zheng;Yaohuan Wu;Quan Yang
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제89권6호
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    • pp.571-578
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    • 2024
  • The bistable thin cylindrical shell is developable structure with the ability to transition between its two stable configurations. This structure offers significant potential applications due to its excellent deformability. In this paper, the composite thin cylindrical shell consisting of the composite layer and the piezoelectric layer was investigated. The material and geometric parameters of the shell were found to influence its stable characteristics. The analysis model of the composite thin cylindrical shell incorporating the piezoelectric layer was developed, and the expressions for its strain energy were derived. By applying the minimum energy principle, the impact of the electric field intensity on the bi-stable behaviors of the cylindrical shell was analyzed. The results showed that the shell exhibited the bistability only under the appropriate electric field strength. And the accuracy of the theoretical prediction was verified by simulation experiments. This study provides an important reference for the application of deployable structures.

자동차용 휠(wheel)의 충격해석 신뢰도 향상을 위한 13도법 충격시험기의 강성 연구 (A Study on the Stiffness of a 13degree-type Impact Tester for Aluminum Wheels)

  • 고길주;김만섭;송현우;양창근
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2006
  • It is positively necessary to study on the stiffness of a 13degree-type impact tester in order to improve the fracture prediction of impact testing in wheels using FE(finite-element) analysis. The 13degree-type impact tester consists of an impact striker, a wheel fixer, a steel plate, and four cylindrical rubbers. Important parts of the tester are the steel plate and four cylindrical rubbers which play a role of absorbing impact energy during impact testing. Because of these buffers, the RF(reaction force) variation of the lower part in the 13degree-type impact tester showed the tendency like a damped harmony oscillation during impact testing. In order to investigate the stiffness of a 13degree-type impact tester, this work measured each stiffness of a steel plate and cylindrical rubbers. The stiffness of a cylindrical rubber was measured using a compressive tester. On the other hand, the stiffness of a steel plate was predicted by simulating experimental method using FE analysis.

Numerical simulation of reinforced concrete nuclear containment under extreme loads

  • Tamayo, Jorge Luis Palomino;Awruch, Armando Miguel
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제58권5호
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    • pp.799-823
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    • 2016
  • A finite element model for the non-linear dynamic analysis of a reinforced concrete (RC) containment shell of a nuclear power plant subjected to extreme loads such as impact and earthquake is presented in this work. The impact is modeled by using an uncoupled approach in which a load function is applied at the impact zone. The earthquake load is modeled by prescribing ground accelerations at the base of the structure. The nuclear containment is discretized spatially by using 20-node brick finite elements. The concrete in compression is modeled by using a modified $Dr{\ddot{u}}cker$-Prager elasto-plastic constitutive law where strain rate effects are considered. Cracking of concrete is modeled by using a smeared cracking approach where the tension-stiffening effect is included via a strain-softening rule. A model based on fracture mechanics, using the concept of constant fracture energy release, is used to relate the strain softening effect to the element size in order to guaranty mesh independency in the numerical prediction. The reinforcing bars are represented by incorporated membrane elements with a von Mises elasto-plastic law. Two benchmarks are used to verify the numerical implementation of the present model. Results are presented graphically in terms of displacement histories and cracking patterns. Finally, the influence of the shear transfer model used for cracked concrete as well as the effect due to a base slab incorporation in the numerical modeling are analyzed.

내연기관엔진의 가스혼소발전 경제성 예측모델 개발 (Development of Economic Prediction Model for Internal Combustion Engine by Dual Fuel Generation)

  • 허광범;장혁준;이형원
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.380-386
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    • 2020
  • This paper represents an analysis of the economic impact of firing natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil mixtures in diesel engine power plants. The objects of analysis is a power plant with electricity generation capacity (300 kW). Using performance data of original diesel engines, the fuel consumption characteristics of the duel fuel engines were simulated. Then, economic assessment was carried out using the performance data and the net present value method. A special focus was given to the evaluation of fuel cost saving when firing natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil mixtures instead of the pure diesel firing case. Analyses were performed by assuming fuel price changes in the market as well as by using current prices. The analysis results showed that co-firing of natural gas/diesel and natural gas/by-product oil would provide considerable fuel cost saving, leading to meaningful economic benefits.

A Novel Second Order Radial Basis Function Neural Network Technique for Enhanced Load Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Systems

  • Farhat, Arwa Ben;Chandel, Shyam.Singh;Woo, Wai Lok;Adnene, Cherif
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a novel improved second order Radial Basis Function Neural Network based method with excellent scheduling capabilities is used for the dynamic prediction of short and long-term energy required applications. The effectiveness and the reliability of the algorithm are evaluated using training operations with New England-ISO database. The dynamic prediction algorithm is implemented in Matlab and the computation of mean absolute error and mean absolute percent error, and training time for the forecasted load, are determined. The results show the impact of temperature and other input parameters on the accuracy of solar Photovoltaic load forecasting. The mean absolute percent error is found to be between 1% to 3% and the training time is evaluated from 3s to 10s. The results are also compared with the previous studies, which show that this new method predicts short and long-term load better than sigmoidal neural network and bagged regression trees. The forecasted energy is found to be the nearest to the correct values as given by England ISO database, which shows that the method can be used reliably for short and long-term load forecasting of any electrical system.

급속 충전에서 탱크 내부의 수소 온도 변화에 관한 이론 연구 (A Theoretical Study on the Hydrogen Temperature Evolution Inside the Tank under Fast Filling Process)

  • 이길초;이길강;허항;최병철;권정태
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.608-614
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    • 2023
  • The fast filling process of high-pressure hydrogen has an important impact on the filling efficiency and safety. In this paper, a specific study is carried out on the thermophysical phenomena during the fast filling process. Starting from the gas state equation of hydrogen, the change law of the hydrogen storage temperature is obtained, and then the temperature rise prediction is constructed. The model can clarify the relationship between the filling parameters and the temperature rise during the fast filling process, thereby revealing the flow and heat transfer laws of the fast charging process. To improve the theoretical research basis for the evaluation of vehicle-mounted hydrogen fast charging capacity, temperature prediction and optimization of hydrogenation methods.

Reliability sensitivity analysis of dropped object on submarine pipelines

  • Edmollaii, Sina Taghizadeh;Edalat, Pedram;Dyanati, Mojtaba
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.135-155
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    • 2019
  • One of the safest and the most economical methods to transfer oil and gas is pipeline system. Prediction and prevention of pipeline failures during its assessed lifecycle has considerable importance. The dropped object is one of the accidental scenarios in the failure of the submarine pipelines. In this paper, using Monte Carlo Sampling, the probability of damage to a submarine pipeline due to a box-shaped dropped object has been calculated in terms of dropped object impact frequency and energy transfer according to the DNV-RP-F107. Finally, Reliability sensitivity analysis considering random variables is carried out to determine the effect intensity of each parameter on damage probability. It is concluded that impact area and drag coefficient have the highest sensitivity and mass and add mass coefficient have the lowest sensitivity on probability of failure.