• Title/Summary/Keyword: IRR(Internal Rate of Return)

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Do NPV and IRR Measure the Profitability of Investment Opportunities? Conditions as Measures of Profitability (NPV와 IRR은 투자기회들의 수익성을 측정하는가? 수익성 척도로서 조건들)

  • Jinwook Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2022
  • Investors must adopt profitable investment opportunities to maximize their wealth. Almost all investment, finance, engineering economics textbooks explain that net present value (NPV) measures the profitability (or value) of investment opportunities in absolute size, and internal rate of return (IRR) measures the profitability of investment opportunities in relative proportions. However, NPV is a measure of the relative size of the return on investment opportunity to do-nothing alternative. Moreover, IRR can occur in multiple investment opportunities and may not exist. To make matters worse, IRR and NPV also have conflicting problems in accept-or-reject decisions. In this study, the reason why NPV and IRR cannot accurately measure the profitability of investment opportunities is identified, and fundamental characteristics that investment opportunity profitability measures should have are presented.

Understanding of a Rate of Return Analysis using an IRR (내부수익률을 이용한 수익률분석법에 대한 이해)

  • 김진욱;이현주;차동수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2002
  • A capital investment problem is essentially one of determining whether the anticipated cash inflows from a proposed project are sufficiently attractive to invest funds in the project. The net present value(NPV) criterion and internal rate of return(IRR) criterion are widely used as means of making investment decisions. A positive NPV means the equivalent worth of the inflows is greater than the equivalent worth of outflows, so, the project makes profit. Business people are familiar with rates of return because they all borrow money to finance ventures, even if the money they borrow is their own. Thus they are apt to use the IRR in preference to the NPV. The IRR can be defined as the discount rate that causes the net present value of a cash flow to equal zero. Why the project are accepted if the project's IRR is greater than the investor's minimum attractive rate of return\ulcorner Against the NPV, the definition cannot distinctly explain the concept of the IRR as decision criterion. We present a new definition of the IRR as the ratio of profit on the invested capital.

An Economic Analysis with the Productive Rate of Return (생산투자수익률을 적용한 생산투자사업의 경제성 분석)

  • Kim, Jin Wook;Son, Immo;Shin, Jaiwook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.50-56
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    • 2017
  • The IRR (internal rate of return) is often used by investors for the evaluation of engineering projects. Unfortunately, it is widely known that it has serial flaws. Also, External rate of returns (ERRs) such as ARR (Average Rate of Return) or MIRR (MIRR, Modified Internal Rate of Return) do not differentiate between the real investment and the expenditure. The PRR (Productive rate of return) is faithful to the conception of the return on investment. The PRR uses the effective investment instead of the initial investment. In this paper, we examined two cases of the engineering project. the one is a traditional engineering project with financing activity, another is the project with R&D. Although the IRR has only one value, it overestimates or underestimate profitabilities of Engineering Projects. The ARR and the MARR assume that a returned cash reinvest other projects or assets instead of the project currently executing. Thus they are only one value of a project's profitability, unlike the IRR. But the ARR does not classify into the effective investment and non-investment expenditure. It only accepts an initial expenditure as for an investment. The MIRR also fails to classify into the investment and the expenditure. It has an error of making a loss down as the investment. The IRR works as efficiently as a NPW (Net Present Worth). It clearly expresses a rate of return in respect of an investment in an engineering project with a loan. And it shows its ability in an engineering project with a R&D investment.

A Study on Rate of Returns in Engineering Projects (실물투자분석에서 수익률분석법의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Wook;Lee, Choon-Shik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.74-79
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    • 2008
  • The reinvestment assumption of the internal rate of return(IRR) method may not be valid in an engineering economy study. This situation, coupled with the computational demands and possible multiple interest rate associated with the IRR method, has given rise to other rate of return methods, such as the external rate of return(ERR) method, that can remedy some of these weaknesses. But ERRs are not used generally. We present another rate of return including all attributes of the minimum attractive rate of return(MARR).

A Method of Evaluating Profitability and Risk of Multiple Investments Applying Internal Rate of Return

  • Mizumachi, Tadahiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2010
  • In today's uncertain economic environment, economic risk is inherent in making large investments on manufacturing facilities. It is, therefore, practically meaningful to divide investment over multiple periods, reducing the risk of investment. Then, the cash-flow over the entire planning horizon would comprise positive inflow and negative outflow. In this case, in general, evaluation by internal rate of return (IRR) is not feasible, because multiple IRRs are involved. This paper deals with a problem of evaluating profitability, as well as risk, of investment alternatives made in multiple times of investment over the entire horizon. Typically, an additional investment is required after the initial one, for expanding manufacturing capacity or other reasons. The paper pays attention to a unit cash-flow over two periods, decomposing the total cash-flow into a series of unit cash-flow patterns. It is easy to evaluate profitability of a unit cash-flow by using IRR. The total cash-flow can be decomposed into the series of two types of unit cash-flows: an investment type one (negative-positive) and the borrowing type one (positive-negative). This paper, therefore, proposes a method in which only the borrowing type unit cash-flow is eliminated in the series by converting total cash-flow using capital interest rate. Then, a unique IRR can be obtained and the profitability is evaluated. Thus, the paper extends the method of IRR so that it may help decision making in complicated cash-flow pattern observed in practice.

A New Definition of an IRR (내부수익률의 새로운 정의)

  • Jin Wook Kim;Hyun joo Lee;Dong Soo Cha
    • Proceedings of the Society of Korea Industrial and System Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2002
  • A capital investment problem is essentially one of determining whether the anticipated cash Inflows from a proposed project are sufficiently attractive to invest funds in the project. The net present value(NPV) criterion and internal rate of return(IRR) criterion are widely used as means of making investment decisions. A positive NPV means the equivalent worth of the inflows is greater than the equivalent worth of outflows, so, the project makes profit. Business people are familiar with rates of return because they all borrow money to finance ventures, even If the money they borrow is their own. Thus they are apt to use the IRR in preference to the NPV. The IRR can be defined as the discount rate that causes the net present value of a cash flow to equal zero. Why the project are accepted if the project's IRR is greater than the investor's minimum attractive rate of return. Against the NPV, the definition cannot distinctly explain the concept of the IRR as decision criterion. We present a new definition of the IRR as the ratio of profit on the invested capital.

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Reclaiming Multifaceted Financial Risk Information from Correlated Cash Flows under Uncertainty

  • Byung-Cheol Kim;Euysup Shim;Seong Jin Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.602-607
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    • 2013
  • Financial risks associated with capital investments are often measured with different feasibility indicators such as the net present value (NPV), the internal rate of return (IRR), the payback period (PBP), and the benefit-cost ratio (BCR). This paper aims at demonstrating practical applications of probabilistic feasibility analysis techniques for an integrated feasibility evaluation of the IRR and PBP. The IRR and PBP are concurrently analyzed in order to measure the profitability and liquidity, respectively, of a cash flow. The cash flow data of a real wind turbine project is used in the study. The presented approach consists of two phases. First, two newly reported analysis techniques are used to carry out a series of what-if analyses for the IRR and PBP. Second, the relationship between the IRR and PBP is identified using Monte Carlo simulation. The results demonstrate that the integrated feasibility evaluation of stochastic cash flows becomes a more viable option with the aide of newly developed probabilistic analysis techniques. It is also shown that the relationship between the IRR and PBP for the wind turbine project can be used as a predictive model for the actual IRR at the end of the service life based on the actual PBP of the project early in the service life.

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Analysis on the Profitability of Cultivating Acer mono (고로쇠나무 재배의 수익성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jae Sung;Jung, Byung Heon;Bae, Sang Won;Kim, Eui Gyeong;Kim, Hyeon Geun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.4
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    • pp.585-590
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research is to suggest economic feasibility of cultivating Acer Mono by using profitability analysis to forest owners. To achieve this research objective, forest owner household survey with intensive cultivating has been conducted about a sap production on its age of tree. And input costs and sap production costs are calculated with silvicultural system from plant to regeneration cutting. Total income is the sum of its sap sales and thinning and regeneration cutting. The method of profitability analysis was used on the NPV(Net Present Value) and IRR(internal rate of return). Finally, when 3% discount rate is applied, NPV is about 59,436 thousand won and IRR value is 9.22% at this point. This result, therefore, proves that cultivating Acer Mono is economical feasibility to forest owners.

Feasibility Study of Forestry Project in Sarawak State, Malaysia

  • Woo, Heesung;Turner, Paul;Kang, Byongrho;Jang, Jaeyoung;Woo, Jongchoon
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2018
  • This research paper investigates available options for implementing clean development mechanism (CDM) project in Sarawak state, Malaysia. To investigate economic feasibility, data was collected using survey and field research methods. Also, economic analysis was estimated using net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and payback period (PBP) during the 30 years CDM: afforestation and reforestation periods. The result of economic analysis indicated that, the payback period was estimated at 9 years with 18 percent of internal rate of return (IRR). This study also highlighted that CDM biomass supply project have a lot of challenges due to the reduction and exclusion of bio-Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF), supply and demand scenario, and impact of restriction of illegal logging in Malaysia. This study results demonstrate the methodology and guideline for future CDM investment and projects.

Economic Evaluations for the Carbon Dioxide-involved Production of High-value Chemicals (이산화탄소를 활용한 고부가화합물 제조기술의 경제성 평가연구)

  • Lee, Ji Hyun;Lee, Dong Woog;Gyu, Jang Se;Kwak, No-Sang;Lee, In Young;Jang, Kyung Ryoung;Choi, Jong Shin;Shim, Jae-Goo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 2014
  • Economic evaluation of the manufacturing technology of high-value chemicals through the carbonation reaction of carbon dioxide contained in the flue gas was performed, and analysis of the IRR (Internal Rate of Return) and whole profit along the production plan of the final product was conducted. Through a carbonation reaction with sodium hydroxide that is generated from electrolysis and by using carbon dioxide in the combustion gas that is generated in the power plant, it is possible to get a high value products such as sodium bicarbonate compound and also to reduce the carbon dioxide emission simultaneously. The IRR (Internal Rate of Return) and NPV (Net Present Value) methods were used for the economic evaluation of the process which could handle carbon dioxide of 100 tons per day in the period of the 20 years of plant operation. The results of economic evaluation showed that the IRR of baseline case of technology was 67.2% and the profit that obtained during the whole operation period (20 years) was 346,922 million won based on NPV value. When considering ETS due to the emissions trading enforcement that will be activated in 2015, the NPV was improved to a 6,000 million won. Based on this results, it could be concluded that this $CO_2$ carbonation technology is an cost-effective technology option for the reduction of greenhouse gas.