• Title/Summary/Keyword: IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

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The expectation of future climate change in relation to buildings and renewable energy (건물 및 재생에너지에 관한 미래의 기후변화 예측)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2008
  • According to the Fourth Assessment Report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) Working Group III, climate change is already in progress around the world, and it is necessary to execute mitigation in order to minimize adverse impacts. This paper suggests future climate change needs, employing IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios(SRES) to predict temperature rises over the next 100 years. This information can be used to develop sustainable architecture applications for energy efficient buildings and renewable energy. Such climate changes could also affected the resent supplies of renewable energy sources. This paper discusses one recent Fourth Assessment Report of IPPC (Mitigation of Climate Change) and the Hadley Centre climate simulation of relevant data series for South Korea.

Survey Study on Basic Procedures for Establishment of National Greenhouse Gas Inventory (IPCC Guidelines) (국가온실가스 인벤토리 구축 기본절차(IPCC 지침)에 대한 조사 연구)

  • Paik, Chun-Hyun;Yoo, Jong-Hun;Kim, Ho-Gyun
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.317-328
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    • 2009
  • For a comprehensive understanding of human impact on a change of the global climate, it is necessary to obtain reliable information on man-induced fluxes of greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines (IPCC 1996, IPCC 2000, IPCC2006) provide the methods and procedures of estimating the national GHG emission inventories. Particularly, IPCC 2006 contains new chapter of key conceptions uncertainties, including the types of uncertainties and assessment methods of uncertainties in GHG emission inventories. In this paper, a compact and clear survey on volume 1 of IPCC 2006, which contains the general information on inventory compilation, uncertainty and guidance on the choice of methods, and QC/QA, is given with emphasis on uncertainty analysis.

IPCC 4차보고서 내용과 의미

  • Sin, Bu-Nam
    • The Science & Technology
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    • no.3 s.454
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    • pp.68-69
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    • 2007
  • 세계 과학자들의 국제모임인 '기후변화 정부간 패널'(IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)이 지난 2월 2일 프랑스 파리에서 지구온난화 최종 보고서'를 발표하면서 지구온난화와 기후변화의 주범으로 '인간의 활동'을 꼽고, 어느 때보다도 심각한 환경 재앙을 경고하고 나섰다. 본지에서는 보고서의 내용과 각국 움직임, 그리고 대응 기술개발 현황에 대해 알아보았다.

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Progresses of Climate Change Sciences in IPCC Assessment Reports (IPCC WGI 평가보고서 주요내용 비교를 통한 기후변화에 관한 과학적 진보)

  • Kwon, Won-Tae;Koo, Gyo-Sook;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.483-492
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to describe scientific progresses in understanding of climate change in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment reports, contributed by Working group I. Since 1988, IPCC's four assessment reports showed significant improvements in understanding of observed climate change, drivers of climate change, detection and attribution of climate change, climate models, and future projection. The results are based on large amounts of observation data, sophisticated analyses of data, improvements of climate models and the simulations. While the First Assessment Report (FAR) in 1990 reported that a detectable anthropogenic influence on climate has little observational evidence, the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) reported that warming of the climate system is unequivocal and is very likely due to human influences. It is also noted that anthropogenic warming and sea level rise would continue for centuries due to the time scales associated with climate processes and feedbacks, even if greenhouse gas were to be stabilized.

Estimation of Economics thorough Prediction of Methane Generation using IPCC Guideline from C Sanitary Landfill (IPCC가이드라인을 이용한 중소도시 C위생매립장의 메탄가스 발생량 예측을 통한 경제성 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo;Park, Seo-Yun;Chang, In-Soo;Kang, Byung-Wook;Park, Sang-Chan;Yeon, Ik-Jun
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.189.1-189.1
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    • 2011
  • Global warming effect was intensified due to rapid growth of fossil fuel consumption caused by urbanization and industrialization. Various efforts was being done to solve the problems leading to anomaly climate such as flood, downpour, heavy snow. As a results of international efforts for management of global warming, Kyoto Protocol, which was passed in Kyoto, Japan in 1997, designated $CO_2$, $CH_4$, $N_2O$, HFCs, PFCs, $SF_6$ as a global warming gases. And IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) suggested IPCC guideline for systematic establishment of national greenhouse gas inventory. Among five categories in IPCC guideline, the representative emission source of waste category is SWDS(solid waste disposal site). The concentrative research should progress for effective management of greenhouse gas related with waste. In this study, Tier1 and Tier2 methods which was suggested by 2006 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) guideline, was used to predict methane generation from C sanitary landfill located in Chungju area. To predict methane generation from C sanitary landfill, all factors were defaults values that were provided by 2006 IPCC guideline and Korea emission factors for Tier1 and Tier2 method. And economics of generated methane was estimated. From the predicted result using IPCC guideline, the methane generation was persistingly increased over a 9-year period(2000 ~ 2008). Aggregated amount of methane generation was about 3,017ton and 3,170ton predicted by Tier1 and Tier2, respectively. From the results of estimated economic value gained by generated methane from the C sanitary landfill for ten years from now(2010 ~ 2020), the profit was about 2.39 ~ 2.76 hundred million won.

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Impact of climate change scenarios in the Building Sector (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 건물부분의 영향)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.64-69
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    • 2013
  • According to the Fourth Assessment Report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) Working Group III, climate change is already in progress around the world, and it is necessary to execute mitigation in order to minimize adverse impacts. This paper suggests future climate change needs, employing IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios(SRES) to predict temperature rises over the next 100 years. This information can be used to develop sustainable architecture applications for energy efficient buildings and renewable energy. Such climate changes could also affected the present supplies of renewable energy sources. This paper discusses one recent Fourth Assessment Report of IPCC (Mitigation of Climate Change) and the Hadley Centre climate simulation of relevant data series for South Korea. Result of this research may improve consistency and reliability of simulation weather data or climate change in order to take advantage of SRES and PRECIS QUMP. It is expected that these calculated test reference years will be useful to the designers of solar energy systems, as well as those who need daily solar radiation data for South Korea. Also, those results may contribute zero carbon and design of sustainable architecture establishing future typical weather data that should be gone ahead to energy efficient building design using renewable energy systems.

Vulnerability Assessment of Forest Distribution by the Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 산림분포 취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Sangchul;Choi, Sungho;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Park, Taejin;Oh, Suhyun;Kim, Su-Na
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.2
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    • pp.256-265
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    • 2011
  • This study was aiming at assessing the vulnerability of forest distribution by the A2 and B1 climate change scenarios of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The vulnerability of forest distribution was assessed using its sensitivity and adaptation to climate change with the help of the simulations of Korean-specific forest distribution model, so-called the Thermal Analogy Group (TAG), and the Plant Functional Type (PFT) defined in the HyTAG (Hydrological and Thermal Analogy Groups) model. As a result, the vulnerable area occupied 30.78% and 2.81% of Korea in A2 and B1 scenario, respectively. When it comes to the administrative districts, Pusan in A2 and Daegu in B1 appeared the most vulnerable area. This study would be employed into preparation of adaptative measures for forest in future in terms of using climate change scenarios reflecting different future development conditions.

Road O&M Cost Prediction Model with the Integration of the Impacts of Climate Change using Binomial Tree Model (기후변화 영향을 고려한 도로시설 유지관리 비용변동성 예측 이항분석모델)

  • Kim, Du Yon;Kim, Byungil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1165-1171
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    • 2015
  • Due to the increasing trend of operation and maintenance cost (O&M cost) of infrastructure, the accurate estimation of O&M cost is crucial part to the government. Recent literatures pointed out that gradual climate changes such as average temperature changes, average precipitation changes, and etc. have significant impact on infrastructure O&M cost. This research is intended to develop a long-term O&M cost prediction model of road facilities by considering the impacts of average temperature changes. For this end, the climate change scenarios of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s $5^{th}$ report are adopted to structure the impact of average temperature changes by using binomial lattice model. The proposed framework is expected to regional government in supporting decisions for road O&M cost.

The Evaluation of Sediment Yield of Dam-basin considering Future Climate Change in GIS Environment (미래 기후변화를 고려한 GIS 기반의 댐유역 유사량 평가)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Choi, Yun-Woong;Cho, Gi-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.383-385
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the change of flowout and suspend solid in Andong and Imha basin according to the climate change to develop evaluation index about turbid water occurrence possibility and to support the countermeasures for turbid water management using GIS-based Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT). MIROC3.2 hires model values of A1B climate change scenario that were supplied by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) were applied to future climage change data. Precipitation and temperature were corrected by applying the output value of 20th Century Climate Coupled Model (20C3M) based on past climate data during 1977 and 2006 and downscaled with Change Factor (CF) method. And future climate change scenarios were classified as three periods (2020s, 2050s, 2080s) and the change of flowout and suspended solid according to the climate change were estimated by coupling modeled value with SWAT model.

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The Present Status and Development Plan in the Field of Climate Change Science in Korea analyzed by the IPCC-IV Reports (IPCC-IV 국가 보고서 분석에 의한 한국의 기후변화과학 분야의 현황과 발전방향)

  • Chung, Yun-Ang;Chung, Hyo-Sang;Ryu, Chan-Su
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2011
  • The recent global warming may be estimated to give lots of impacts to the human society and biosphere of influencing climate change included by the natural climate variations through the human activity which can directly and/or indirectly play a major role of total atmospheric composition overall. Therefore it currently appears evidences such as hot wave, typhoon, and biosphere disturbance, etc. over the several regions to be influenced by global warming due to increasing the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere through inducing forest destruction, fossil fuel combustion, greenhouse gases emission, etc. since industrial revolution era. Through the working group report of IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) for climate change was analyzed by the individual country's current status and figure out the important issues and problems related to the future trend of climate change science with advanced countries preparedness and research, In this study, the first working group report of IPCC focuses on those aspects of the current understanding of the physical science of climate change that are judged to be most relevant to policymakers. As this report was assessed and analyzed by including the progress of climate change science, the role of climate models and evolution in the treatment of uncertainties. This consists of the changes in atmospheric constituents(both aerosols and gases) that affect the radiative energy balance in the atmosphere and determine the Earth's climate, considering the interaction between biogeochemical cycles that affect atmospheric constituents and climate change, including aerosol/cloud interactions, the extensive range of observations snow available for the atmosphere and surface, for snow, ice, and frozen ground and for the oceans, respectively and changes in sea level, the paleoclimate perspective and assessment of evidence for past climate change and the extension, the ways in which physical processes are simulated in climate models and the evaluation of models against observed climate, the development plans and methods of improving expert and building manpower urgently and R&D fund expansion in detail for climate change science in Korea will be proposed.