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http://dx.doi.org/10.14578/jkfs.2011.100.2.17

Vulnerability Assessment of Forest Distribution by the Climate Change Scenarios  

Lee, Sangchul (Division of Environment Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University)
Choi, Sungho (Division of Environment Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University)
Lee, Woo-Kyun (Division of Environment Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University)
Park, Taejin (Division of Environment Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University)
Oh, Suhyun (Department of Climatic Environment, Korea University)
Kim, Su-Na (Division of Environment Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science / v.100, no.2, 2011 , pp. 256-265 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study was aiming at assessing the vulnerability of forest distribution by the A2 and B1 climate change scenarios of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The vulnerability of forest distribution was assessed using its sensitivity and adaptation to climate change with the help of the simulations of Korean-specific forest distribution model, so-called the Thermal Analogy Group (TAG), and the Plant Functional Type (PFT) defined in the HyTAG (Hydrological and Thermal Analogy Groups) model. As a result, the vulnerable area occupied 30.78% and 2.81% of Korea in A2 and B1 scenario, respectively. When it comes to the administrative districts, Pusan in A2 and Daegu in B1 appeared the most vulnerable area. This study would be employed into preparation of adaptative measures for forest in future in terms of using climate change scenarios reflecting different future development conditions.
Keywords
climate change scenario; forest distribution; sensitivity; adaptation; vulnerability;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
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