• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrologic impact

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Application of Monthly Water Balance Models for the Climate Change Impact Assessment (기후변화 영향평가를 위한 월 물수지모형의 적용성 검토)

  • Hwang, Jun-Shik;Jeong, Dae-Il;Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.2 s.175
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2007
  • This study attempted to determine a suitable hydrologic model for assessing the impact of climate change on water resources, and to assess the accuracy of streamflow scenarios simulated by the selected hydrologic model using the meteorological scenarios of the Seoul National University Regional Climate Model(SNURCM). Comparison of four water balance models and two daily conceptual rainfall-runoff models for the simulation capability of the Daecheong Dam inflow indicated that the abcd model performs the best among the tested water balance models and performs as well as SSARR that is popular as a daily rainfall-runoff model in Korea. Parameters of the abcd model were then estimated for 12 ungauged subbasins of the Geum River by the regionalization method. The model parameters were first calibrated at nine multi-purpose dams and were then regionalized using catchment characteristics for another four multi-purpose dams, which were assumed to be ungauged sites. The model efficiency(ME) coefficients of the simulated inflows for these four dams were at least 87%. The MEs of the hindcasted meteorological rainfall scenarios of the 12 subbasins of the Geum River were more than 60%. Moreover, the ME of the Daecheong Dam inflow simulated by the abcd model using the SNURCM rainfall scenarios was more than 80%. Therefore, this research concluded that the abcd model coupled with the SNU-RCM meteorological scenarios can be used for impact assessment studies of climate change on water resources.

HYDROLOGIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF LAND COVER CHANGES BY 2002 TYPHOON RUSA USING LANDSAT IMAGES AND STORM RUNOFF MODEL

  • Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.539-542
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    • 2006
  • To investigate the streamflow impact of land cover changes by a typhoon, WMS HEC-1 storm runoff model was applied by using land cover information before and after the typhoon. The model was calibrated with three storm events of 1985 to 1988 based on 1985 land cover condition for a 192.7 $km^2$ watershed in northeast coast of South Korea. After the model was tested, it was run to estimate impacts of land cover change by the typhoon RUSA occurred in 2002 (31 August - 1 September) with 897.5 mm rainfall. The land covers before and after the typhoon were prepared using Landsat 7 ETM+ of September 11 of 2000 and Landsat 5 TM of September 29 of 2002 respectively. For the 6.9 $km^2$ damaged area (3.6 % of the watershed), the peak runoff and total runoff by the changed land cover condition increased 12.5 % and 12.7 % for 50 years rainfall frequency and 1.4 % and 1.8 % for 500 years rainfall frequency respectively based on AMC (Antecedent Moisture Condition)-I condition.

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Hydrologic Impact Assessment of land Cover Changes by 2002 Typhoon RUSA Using Landsat Images and Storm Runoff Model

  • Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.407-413
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    • 2006
  • To investigate the streamflow impact of land cover changes by a typhoon, HEC-l storm runoff model was applied by using land cover information before and after the typhoon. The model was calibrated with three storm events of 1985 to 1988 based on 1985 land cover condition for a $192.7km^{2}$ watershed in northeast coast of South Korea. After the model was tested, it was run to estimate impacts of land cover change by the typhoon RUSA occurred in 2002 (31 August-1 September) with 897.5 mm rainfall. The land covers before and after the typhoon were prepared using Landsat 7 ETM+ of September 11 of 2000 and Landsat 5 TM of September 29 of 2002 respectively. For the $6.9km^{2}$ damaged area (3.6 % of the watershed), the peak runoff and total runoff by the changed land cover condition increased 12.5 % and 12.7 % for 50 years rainfall frequency and 1.4 % and 1.8 % for 500 years rainfall frequency respectively based on AMC (Antecedent Moisture Condition)-I condition.

Uncertainty Analysis in Hydrologic and Climate Change Impact Assessment in Streamflow of Upper Awash River Basin

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeonjun;Jang, Cheolhee;Park, Sanghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2019
  • The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

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Water cycle evaluation of Bioretention based on hydrologic model (수문모형을 기반으로 한 식생저류지 물순환 평가)

  • Kim, Jae Moon;Baek, Jong Seok;Jang, Young Su;Shin, Hyun Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.290-290
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    • 2021
  • 급격한 도시화 및 기후변화로 인한 물순환체계가 왜곡됨에 따라 자연수재해 피해가 급증하고 있어 대응방안으로 저영향개발(Low Impact Development, LID) 기법이 대두되고 있다. LID 요소 기술 중 하나인 식생저류지는 도시 유역내에서 발생하는 유출수를 저류 및 침투하여 우수유출수와 비점오염원으로 인한 오염저감 효과를 지니고 있는 LID 요소이다. 본 연구에서는 식생저류지의 우수유출수의 정량적 저감효과를 분석하기 위해 수문해석 프로그램인 K-LIDM(Korea Low Impact Development Model)을 이용하여 유역 내 식생저류지 배열과 저류용량에 따른 유출저감 효과를 분석하였다. 강우시나리오는 부산지점의 10년, 30년 발생빈도에 대하여 60분, 120분, 180분 확률강우시나리오를 선정하여 적용하였다. 모델링 분석결과 식생저류지 배치에 따라 5 ~ 15 % 이상의 유출저감효과가 산정되었으며, 식생저류지 저류용량에 따라 20 % 이상의 유출저감 효과가 산정되었다. 첨두유출 도달시간은 1.13 ~ 1.86배를 지연하는 결과가 산정되었다. 결과를 통해 식생저류지의 배열과 저류용량에 따라 유출량 저감효과와 첨두유출 도달시간에 영향을 미침을 알 수 있었다. 추후에 다른 매개변수인 식생저류지의 저류깊이, 지반의 침투능 및 유출부의 직경 등 여러 매개변수들을 고려한 연구를 수행한다면 식생저류지의 정량적 물순환 평가가 수행될것으로 사료된다.

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Analysis of outflow reduction effect of bioretention in small watersheds during short-term rainfall (단기강우 시 소유역내 식생저류지의 유출량 저감성능 분석)

  • Kim, Jaemoon;Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Byungsung;Kwon, Soonchul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.12
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    • pp.855-869
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    • 2023
  • Low Impact Development (LID) technology has been attracting attention as a countermeasure to solve frequent flood damage in urban areas. LID involves recovery of the natural circulation system based on infiltration and storage capacity at the site of rainfall runoff, to protect the aquatic ecosystem from the effects of urbanization. Bioretention as an element of LID technology reduces outflow through storage and infiltration of storm water runoff, and minimizes the effects of non-point pollutants. Although LIDs are being studied extensively, the amount of quantitative research on small watersheds with bioretention has been inadequate. In this study, a bioretention model was constructed in a small watershed using Korea-Low Impact Development Model (K-LIDM), which was conducted quantitative hydrologic analysis. We anticipate that the results of the analysis will be used as reference data for future bioretention research related to watershed characteristics, vegetation type, and soil condition.

Hydrologic variability in the Sumjin river dam basin according to typhoon genesis pattern (한반도 영향 태풍의 경로 유형에 따른 섬진강댐 유역의 수문변동 특성분석)

  • Kang, Ho-Yeong;Choi, Ji-Hyeok;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we analyzed typhoon affecting Korean Peninsula and runoff characteristic changes according to the typhoon based on Sumjin river dam, a representative multi-purpose dam. We quantified typhoon flow by applying the typhoon domain, and will provide base data for climate change adaptation and counterstrategy through correlation analysis of the change of typhoon statistical data and Indicators of Hydrologic Alterations (IHA). Korean Peninsula impact typhoon has a great effect on the scale of peak flow and the change of occurrence time. The occurrence frequency and duration of the peak flow were analyzed to be relatively unrelated to the typhoon affected by the Korean peninsula. These changes were also confirmed in the correlation analysis results. Correlation coefficient between the peak flow (0.41) and peak flow occurrence time (correlation coefficient = 0.83) was positively correlated with the Korean peninsula influenced typhoon.

Spatial Analysis of Nonpoint Source Pollutant Loading from the Imha dam Watershed using L-THIA (L-THIA를 이용한 낙동강수계 임하댐유역 비점오염원의 공간적 분포해석)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Cha, Daniel K.;Choi, Donghyuk;Kim, Tae-Dong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2013
  • Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model which is a distributed watershed model was applied to analyze the spatial distribution of surface runoff and nonpoint source pollutant loading from Imha watershed during 2001~2010. L-THIA CN Calibration Tool linked with SCE-UA was developed to calibrate surface runoff automatically. Calibration (2001~2005) and validation (2006~2010) of monthly surface runoff were represented as 'very good' model performance showing 0.91 for calibration and 0.89 for validation as Nash-Sutcliffe (NS) values. Average annual surface runoff from Imha watershed was 218.4 mm and Banbyun subwatershed was much more than other watersheds due to poor hydrologic condition. Average annual nonpoint source pollutant loading from Imha wateshed were 2,295 ton/year for $BOD_5$, 14,752 ton/year for SS, 358 ton/year for T-N, and 79 ton/year for T-P. Amount of pollutant loading and pollutant loading rates from Banbyun watershed were much higher than other watersheds. As results of analysis of loading rate from grid size ($30m{\times}30m$), most of high 10 % of loading rate were generated from upland. Therefore, major hot spot area to manage nonpoint source pollution in Imha watershed is the combination of upland and Banbyun subwatershed. L-THIA model is easy to use and prepare input file and useful tool to manage nonpoint source pollution at screening level.

Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Highland Agricultural Watershed Hydrologic Cycle and Water Quality under RCP Scenarios using SWAT (SWAT모형을 이용한 RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 고랭지농업유역의 수문 및 수질 평가)

  • Jang, Sun Sook;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study were to evaluate the effect of best management practices (BMPs) of Haean highland agricultural catchment ($62.8km^2$) under future climate change using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). Before future evaluation, the SWAT was setup using 3 years (2009~2011) of observed daily streamflow, suspended solid (SS), total nitrogen (T-N), and total phosphorus (T-P) data at three locations of the catchment. The SWAT was calibrated with average 0.74 Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency for streamflow, and 0.78, 0.63, and 0.79 determination coefficient ($R^2$) for SS, T-N, and T-P respectively. Under the HadGEM-RA RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the future precipitation and maximum temperature showed maximum increases of 8.3 % and $4.2^{\circ}C$ respectively based on the baseline (1981~2005). The future 2040s and 2080s hydrological components of evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and streamflow showed changes of +3.2~+17.2 %, -0.1~-0.7 %, and -9.1~+8.1 % respectively. The future stream water quality of suspended solid (SS), total nitrogen (T-N), and total phosphorus (T-P) showed changes of -5.8~+29.0 %, -4.5~+2.3 %, and +3.7~+17.4 % respectively. The future SS showed wide range according to streamflow from minus to plus range. We can infer that this was from the increase of long-term rainfall variability in 2040s less rainfalls and 2080s much rainfalls. However, the results showed that the T-P was the future target to manage stream water quality even in 2040s period.

Analysis of the Characteristics of NPS Runoff and Application of L-THIA model at Upper Daecheong Reservoir (대청호 상류 유역의 비점오염원 유출특성 분석 및 L-THIA 모형 적용성 평가)

  • Shin, Min-Hwan;Lee, Jae-An;Cheon, Se-Uk;Lee, Yeoul-Jae;Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Choi, Joong-Dae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • Generation and transportation of runoff and pollutant loads within watershed generated eutrophication at Daecheong reservoir. To improve water quality at Daecheong reservoir, the best management practices should be developed and applied at upper watersheds for water quality improvement at downstream areas. In this study, two small watersheds of upper Daecheong reservoir were selected. The Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model has been widely used for the estimation of the direct runoff worldwide. To apply the L-THIA ArcView GIS model was evaluated for direct runoff and water quality estimation at small watershed. And the Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT) was used for direct runoff separating from total flow. As a result, the $R^2$ (Coefficient of determination) value and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value for direct runoff comparison at An-nae watershed were 0.81 and 0.71, respectively. And the $R^2$ value and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value at Wol-oe were 0.95 and 0.93. The $R^2$ value of BOD, TOC, T-N and T-P at An-nae watershed were BOD 0.94, TOC 0.81, T-N 0.94 and T-P 0.89. And the $R^2$ value of BOD, TOC, T-N and T-P at Wol-oe watershed were BOD 0.80, TOC 0.93, T-N 0.86 and T-P 0.65. The result that estimated pollutant loadings using the L-THIA ArcView GIS model reflected well the measured pollutant loadings except for T-P in Wol-oe watershed. With L-THIA ArcView GIS model, the direct runoff and non-point pollutant (NPS) loadings in the watershed could be analyzed through simple input data such as daily rainfall, land uses, and hydrologic soil group.