• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrologic estimation

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A Study on the Optimization of Parameters for Muskingum Routing Method (Muskingum 홍수 추적방법의 매개변수 최적화에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hyeon-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2008
  • This study presents techniques for the estimation of parameters in flood routing method of natural channel.. The Muskingum routing method is the most widely used method of hydrologic stream channel routing. In this paper, Genetic Algorithm and Fletcher-Powell method is applied to determine parameters(K and x) of the Muskingum routing method. The results of the approach shows that Genetic Algorithm method can be one of methods to determine parameters of the Muskingum routing method. Based on the analysis for estimated parameters and the comparison with the results from observed data, the applicability of Genetic Algorithm is verified.

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A Stochastic Nonlinear Analysis of Daily Runoff Discharge Using Artificial Intelligence Technique (인공지능기법을 이용한 일유출량의 추계학적 비선형해석)

  • 안승섭;김성원
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 1997
  • The objectives of this study is to introduce and apply neural network theory to real hydrologic systems for stochastic nonlinear predicting of daily runoff discharge in the river catchment. Back propagation algorithm of neural network model is applied for the estimation of daily stochastic runoff discharge using historical daily rainfall and observed runoff discharge. For the fitness and efficiency analysis of models, the statistical analysis is carried out between observed discharge and predicted discharge in the chosen runoff periods. As the result of statistical analysis, method 3 which has much processing elements of input layer is more prominent model than other models(method 1, method 2) in this study.Therefore, on the basis of this study, further research activities are needed for the development of neural network algorithm for the flood prediction including real-time forecasting and for the optimal operation system of dams and so forth.

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Estimation of the Available Amount of Groundwater in South Korea: 1. Development of the Method (우리나라 지하수 개발가능량 추정: 1. 개념 정립과 기법의 개발)

  • 박창근
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 1996
  • The potential and the available amount of groundwater are defined precisely based on the hydrologic concept, of which terms are prescribed but not defined in the groundwater law. A simple method to estimate the available amount of groundwater is proposed by the comparison and analysis of the previous methods. The proposed method is based on separations of the groundwater components from the hydrograph for the recession period and the recharge period, and may be applied to the hydrograph analysis consistently.

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Improvement of Hydrologic Accuracy for Radar-derived Rainfall Estimation in Urban Watershed (도시유역에서의 레이더 추정강수의 수문학적 정확도 개선)

  • Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1958-1962
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 레이더 추정강수를 도시유역의 수문학적 분석에 활용하고자 레이더 추정강수의 정확도를 개선을 위한 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 WPMM(Window Probability Matching Method)과 Least-Square Fitting 방법을 적용하여 2003년 6월 $11{\sim}12$일의 강우사례에 대해 레이더 강수를 산정하였으며, 산정된 결과에 편차보정기법을 적용하여 레이더 추정강수를 보정하였다. 또한 이를 이용하여 도시하천인 중랑천 유역의 시단위 유역평균 강우량을 산정하고, 도시유출 모형인 SWMM모형을 이용하여 수문학적 적용성 및 정확도 개선현황을 살펴보았다. 그 결과, 도시유출해석에 있어서 WPMM 방법을 통해 유출모의를 수행한 결과가 AWS 관측강우를 적용한 것보다 좋은 결과를 보였으며, 특히 실시간 보정된 WPMM의 레이더 추정강수를 이용한 유출모의를 수행한 결과 관측유량과 유사하게 모의를 수행하여 실시간 보정된 레이더 강우의 유출 활용성이 좋은 것으로 판단되었다.

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Runoff Analysis of Urban Small Watershed (도시 소유역의 유출변화 분석)

  • 이기춘;박승우;최진규
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 1989
  • The hydrologic model FESHM was introduced and its applicability was investigated in an attempt to analyze the rainfall-runoff relationships of urban small watersheds and to hereafter predict the envi-ronmental changes. Basic data on rainfall, water level, geomorphological characterisitics and land use were obtained from Yeonwha stream watershed located in Chonju-si Dukjin-dong. WL-5 for simulation o subshed WS# 1(136.7 ha) with urban district and WL-1 for total watershed WS#5 (278.78 ha) we'e selected as gaging points. The main results gained through applications were summarized as follows. 1. Direct runoff ratio caalculated from a simple separation method for WS#5 WS# 1 was 2O~39%, 38~62%, respectively. 2. Simulations for the runoff estimation were carried out for each watershed using 5 rainfall events, the simulation errors had the range of 2~ 30%, O~ 63% and O 120 minutes for the runoff volume, peak flow and peak time, respectively. 3. The effect of landuse change by urbanization was tested to WS# 1, runoff volume before development was estimated as from tenth to twentieth against after development.

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Runoff Analysis using Spatially Distributed Rainfall Data (공간 분포된 강우를 이용한 유출 해석)

  • Lee, Jong-Hyeong;Yoon, Seok-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 2005
  • Accurate estimation of the spatial distribution of rainfall is critical to the successful modeling of hydrologic processes. The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of spatially distributed rainfall data. Spatially distributed rainfall was calculated using Kriging method and Thiessen method. The application of spatially distributed rainfall was appreciated to the runoff response from the watershed. The results showed that for each method the coefficient of determination for observed hydrograph was $0.92\~0.95$ and root mean square error was $9.78\~10.89$ CMS. Ordinary Kriging method showed more exact results than Simple Kriging, Universal Kriging and Thiessen method, based on comparison of observed and simulated hydrograph. The coefncient of determination for the observed peak flow was 0.9991 and runoff volume was 0.9982. The accuracy of rainfall-runoff prediction depends on the extent of spatial rainfall variability.

A Study on Rainfall-Sediment-Runoff Estimation Using a Distributed Hydrologic Model (분포형 수문모형을 이용한 강우-유사-유출량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Wan-Sik;Lee, Gi-Ha;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.38-42
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    • 2010
  • 기후변화에 의해 집중호우의 빈도 및 강도가 증가하고 지속적인 유역개발에 따른 토지이용의 증가는 토양침식 및 토사유출로 인한 재해 및 환경문제를 야기한다. 현재 광범위하게 사용되고 있는 토양침식량 산정기법은 대부분 대상유역내의 평균 토양침식량을 산출하는 총량적 개념의 경험식이므로 호우기간동안의 유역 침식/퇴적의 시 공간적 변화양상을 모의할 수 없다는 한계를 지니고 있다. 따라서 보다 합리적인 유역규모의 강우-유사-유출 메카니즘 해석을 위해서는 집중형(lumped) 모의기법을 대체하고 다양한 기상학적/지형학적 디지털 정보를 활용할 수 있는 물리적 기반의 분포형 모형이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 사면의 지표 및 지표하 흐름을 고려한 유출모의 모듈과 단위수류력(Unit Stream Power)이론을 기반으로 유사유출 모의모듈을 결합한 분포형 강우-유사-유출 모형을 개발하고, 용담댐 상류부의 천천유역에 적용하여 개발된 모형의 재현성 평가를 수행하였다.

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Development and Application of Paddy Storage Estimation Model During Storm Periods (홍수기 논의 저류량 산정모형 개발 및 적용)

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Kim, Sun-Joo;Yoon, Chun-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Park, Geun-Ae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.901-910
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    • 2003
  • The hydrologic behavior of paddy field depends largely on the irrigation and levee height management by farmers. The storage and drainage amount of paddy for storm events certainly influences the stream discharge. To understand the paddy storage effect during storm periods, a daily paddy water balance model embedding farmer's water management was developed by using 4 years (1996, 1997, 2001, 2002) field experimental data at 2 locations (Suwon and Yeoju) From the modeling, it was possible to simulate the daily ponding depth of paddy by treating paddy levee height and threshold pending depth indicating irrigation time as 10 days average parameters of the model. The storage amount(306.9 mm to 343.6 mm) showed little deviation to rainfall amount(425.1 mm to 850.8 mm).

Estimation for application of the Runoff Analysis using TOPMODEL at an ungaged watershed (미계측유역에 대한 TOPMODEL의 적용성 평가)

  • Kang, Sung-Jun;Park, Young-Gi
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1458-1464
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    • 2011
  • This study is on the application of TOPMODEL-topographic based hydrologic model-to the runoff analysis, The test area was the ssang-chi watershed which is mountainous catchment located in the upstream of the sumjin-gang basin and the watershed area is $126.7km^2$. The six's hourly runoff and precipitation data was selected in the 2006 ~ 2009 year. And the model parameters are calibrated using observed runoff data by Pattern Search method. The topographic index of the ssang-chi catchment was produced by digital elevation model(DEM) of 100m grid. As a results of the analysis, the parameters of model, a decay facter(m), transmissivity(T0), and the unsaturated zone delay(TD) are sensible to hydrologic response, and the simulated runoff data are in good agreement with observed runoff data.

Improvement and Application of the ArcGIS-based Model to Estimate Direct Runoff (직접유출량 모의를 위한 ArcGIS 기반의 모형 개발 및 개선)

  • Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Engel, Bernie;Cha, Sang Sun;Park, Chan-Gi;Park, Youn Shik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.6
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2018
  • The Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model is a quick and straightforward analysis tool to estimate direct runoff and nonpoint source pollution. L-THIA was originally implemented as a spreadsheet application. GIS-based versions of L-THIA have been developed in ArcView 3 and upgraded to ArcGIS 9. However, a major upgrade was required for L-THIA to operate in the current version of ArcGIS and to provide more options in runoff and NPS estimation. An updated L-THIA interfaced with ArcGIS 10.0 and 10.1 has been developed in the study as an ArcGIS Desktop Tool. The model provides a user-friendly interface, easy access to the model parameters, and an automated watershed delineation process. The model allows use of precipitation data from multiple gauge locations for the watershed when a watershed is large enough to have more than one precipitation gauge station. The model estimated annual direct runoff well for our study area compared to separated direct runoff in the calibration and validation periods of ten and nine years. The ArcL-THIA, with a user-friendly interface and enhanced functions, is expected to be a decision support model requiring less effort for GIS processes or to be a useful educational hydrology model.