• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제36권6호
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• pp.568-580
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• 2020

Calibrating a conceptual hydrologic model necessitates selection of a calibration period that produces the most reliable prediction. This often must be chosen randomly, however, since there is no objective guidance. Observation plays the most important role in the calibration or uncertainty evaluation of hydrologic models, in which the key factors are the length of the data and the hydro-climate conditions in which they were collected. In this study, we investigated the effect of the calibration period selected on the predictive performance and uncertainty of a model. After classifying the inflows of the Hapcheon Dam from 1991 to 2019 into four hydro-climate conditions (dry, wet, normal, and mixed), a conceptual hydrologic partitioning model was calibrated using data from the same hydro-climate condition. Then, predictive performance and post-parameter statistics were analyzed during the verification period under various hydro-climate conditions. The results of the study were as follows: 1) Hydro-climate conditions during the calibration period have a significant effect on model performance and uncertainty, 2) calibration of a hydrologic model using data in dry hydro-climate conditions is most advantageous in securing model performance for arbitrary hydro-climate conditions, and 3) the dry calibration can lead to more reliable model results.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제29권6호
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• pp.56-61
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• 2009

The effects of design parameters for small scale hydro power(SSHP) plants due to climate change have been studied. The model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is used in this study. The results from analysis far rainfall conditions based on KIER model show that the capacity and load factor of SSHP site had large difference between the period. Especially, the hydrologic performance of SSHP site due to rainfall condition of recent period varied in design flowrate sensitively. However climate change gave small effect in load factor of existing SSHP plant. And also, the methodology represented in this study can be used to decide the primary design specifications of SSHP sites.

• 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.267-272
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• 2009

The effects of design parameters for small scale hydro power(SSHP) plants due to rainfall condition have been studied. The model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is used in this study. The results from analysis for rainfall conditions based on KIER model show that the capacity and load factor of SSHP site had large difference between the period. Especially, the hydrologic performance of SSHP site due to rainfall condition of recent period varied in design flowrate sensitively. And also, the methodology represented in this study can be used to decide the primary design specifications of SSHP sites.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.39-43
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• 2009

The variation of inflow at stream and hydrologic performance for small scale hydro power(SSHP) plants due to climate change have been studied. The model, which can predict flow duration characteristic of stream, was developed to analyze the variation of inflow caused from rainfall condition. And another model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is established. Monthly inflow data measured at Andong dam for 32 years were analyzed. The existing SSHP plant located in upstream of Andong dam was selected and analyzed hydrologic performance characteristics. The predicted results from the developed models show that the data were in good agreement with measured results of long term inflow at Andong dam and the existing SSHP plant. Inflow and ideal hydro power potential had increased greatly in recent years, however, these did not lead annual energy production increment of existing SSHP plant. As a results, it was found that the models represented in this study can be used to predict the primary design specifications and inflow of SSHP plants effectively.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제48권3호
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• pp.433-446
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• 2021

In this study, the future flood inundation changes under a climate change were simulated in the Tonle Sap basin in Cambodia, one of the countries with high vulnerability to climate change. For the flood inundation simulation using the rainfall-runoff-inundation (RRI) model, globally available geological data (digital elevation model [DEM]; hydrological data and maps based on Shuttle elevation derivatives [HydroSHED]; land cover: Global land cover facility-moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer [GLCF-MODIS]), rainfall data (Asian precipitation-highly-resolved observational data integration towards evaluation [APHRODITE]), climate change scenario (HadGEM3-RA), and observational water level (Kratie, Koh Khel, Neak Luong st.) were constructed. The future runoff from the Kratie station, the upper boundary condition of the RRI model, was constructed to be predicted using the long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Based on the results predicted by the LSTM model, a total of 4 cases were selected (representative concentration pathway [RCP] 4.5: 2035, 2075; RCP 8.5: 2051, 2072) with the largest annual average runoff by period and scenario. The results of the analysis of the future flood inundation in the Tonle Sap basin were compared with the results of previous studies. Unlike in the past, when the change in the depth of inundation changed to a range of about 1 to 10 meters during the 1997 - 2005 period, it occurred in a range of about 5 to 9 meters during the future period. The results show that in the future RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the variability of discharge is reduced compared to the past and that climate change could change the runoff patterns of the Tonle Sap basin.

• International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.199-213
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• 2017

Chloride penetration is among the main causes of corrosion initiation in reinforced concrete (RC) structures producing premature degradations. Weather and exposure conditions directly affect chloride ingress mechanisms and therefore the operational service life and safety of RC structures. Consequently, comprehensive chloride ingress models are useful tools to estimate corrosion initiation risks and minimize maintenance costs for RC structures placed under chloride-contaminated environments. This paper first presents a coupled thermo-hydro-chemical model for predicting chloride penetration into concrete that accounts for realistic weather conditions. This complete numerical model takes into account multiple factors affecting chloride ingress such as diffusion, convection, chloride binding, ionic interaction, and concrete aging. Since the complete model could be computationally expensive for long-term assessment, this study also proposes model simplifications in order to reduce the computational cost. Long-term chloride assessments of complete and reduced models are compared for three locations in France (Brest, Strasbourg and Nice) characterized by different weather and exposure conditions (tidal zone, de-icing salts and salt spray). The comparative study indicates that the reduced model is computationally efficient and accurate for long-term chloride ingress modeling in comparison to the complete one. Given that long-term assessment requires larger climate databases, this research also studies how climate models may affect chloride ingress assessment. The results indicate that the selection of climate models as well as the considered training periods introduce significant errors for mid- and long- term chloride ingress assessment.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.91-97
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• 2009

It is undertaken systematization of results of satellite and ground observation parameters characterizing a current condition and climatic variability of two selected geographical areas. One of them covers territory of Azerbaijan and another covers a wide area of Caspian See region. Average values and mean square deviations of following values are investigated: outgoing long wave radiation during a day and night (in nebulosity and cloudless). absorbed within a day of the stream of a sunlight of the system in "a terrestrial surface-atmosphere". degree of a covering by clouds of the selected areas during a day and at night, ground temperature values of air. pressure and speed of a wind. Monthly average values of corresponding parameters create a basis of suggested investigations. It has been presented features of a time course of investigated parameters for each month and year in the whole due to the continuously observations since 1982-2000. The scientific problem consists that there are no existed models which authentically would be cover the main aspects of a realities specified changes: they are identified by economic activities. growth of the population and other features of development of a human society or internal fluctuations of biogeophysical/climatic system. Possibilities of predictability of biosphere and climate changes depend on available timely supervision. adequacy of construction of appropriate models. understanding of mechanisms of direct and feedback influences in such complicated systems.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제29권1B호
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• pp.47-62
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• 2009

지구가 온난화됨에 따라서 발생되는 기후변화는 증발과 같은 수문순환과정에 직접적인 영향을 주는 것으로 보고된 바 있다(IPCC, 2001). 또한 지역특성에 따른 기후변화가 증발에 미치는 영향을 파악하는 것은 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 지리지형적 특성을 고려하면서, 연별 pan 증발량을 모의하기 위한 6개 증발식들의 적용성을 비교 검토하였다. 이를 위하여, 전국 56개 연구지역을 지리지형적 특성(도시화율, 해안근접성, 지역 평균경사, 수역면적)에 따라서 분류하고, 기존에 제안된 증발식(Penman, Kohler-Nordenson-Fox(KNF), DeBruin-Keijman, Priestley-Taylor, Hargreaves, Rohwer)을 적용하여 pan 증발량과 비교 검토하였다. 또한 Penman 증발식의 풍속함수를 보정하고 보정된 식의 적용성을 검증하였다. 연구결과에서 KNF식은 가장 pan 증발량과 유사한 결과를 보여서 8.72%의 상대오차를 보였고, 그 다음으로 Penman 식은 8.75%의 상대오차를 보였으며, 반면에 질량이동에 근거한 Rohwer 식이 기장 큰 상대오차(33.47%)를 보였다. 그리고 풍속함수와 풍속과의 상관관계가 높게 나타나는 경우 Penman 식의 풍속함수 보정을 통하여 증발량 산정의 정확도를 높일 수 있었다.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.33-44
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• 2010

These days, the use of alternative energy is recognized as one of countermeasures to rising oil prices and climate-change agreements. Especially, it is regarded as a main element to realize 'Low-Carbon Green Growth', one of the key policies of MB government. However, though alternative energy, renewable energy, is a main policy issue of the present administration, there are many problems to solve: the lack of recognition of its energy, the low level of its technology, its expert's shortage, and its limited application fields. Therefore, to stimulate the use of alternative energy in Korea and to change the recognition of this energy, it is needed to utilize it to urban street furniture that many people visit and use. In particular, if alternative energy is first applied to street furniture that needs energy for its management, the effect of publicity and energy saving will be so great. In this study, for the basic research to introduce and promote various alternative energy sources such as solar power, wind power, small hydro power, and human power, we analyzed the present condition of development of Korean and foreign street furniture items. Furthermore, we evaluated the level of development of these street furniture products and the design types of them and from these evaluations suggested the design direction that can solve problems in development and improve the possibility of application of these energy sources to these street furniture items. Through these analyses, this study aims to enhance the image of future environment-friendly city and make new index for the application of alternative energy.

• 지질공학
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.105-119
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• 2023

기후 변화에 따라 용수 공급량은 줄어들고 있으며, 해안 및 도서지역은 지하수의 의존도가 높아 활용 가능한 용수의 양이 줄어들고 있다. 지속 가능한 해안 도서 지역의 물 공급을 위해 현재의 상태를 정확히 진단하고 효율적인 용수의 배분 및 관리가 필요하다. 해안 도서 지역의 지하수 흐름의 정밀한 분석을 위해 제주 동부의 성산유역을 대상으로 해안 담지하수 유출량을 산정하였다. 중요 매개변수인 담수층의 두께의 산정은 다심도 관측공에서 측정되는 전기전도도를 이용하여 수직적인 보간을 통해 추정하는 방법과 Ghyben-Herzberg의 이론적인 비율을 이용하여 추정하는 방법을 사용하였다. Ghyben-Herzberg의 비율을 사용한 값은 변화하는 담-염수 경계면의 정밀한 추정이 불가능하며, 전기전도도로 분석한 값은 담-염수 경계면의 현재 상태를 나타낼 수 있다. 매개변수는 가상의 격자에 분포시키고, 각각의 격자에 대한 해안 담지하수 유출 유량의 평균을 유역 대표 유량으로 결정하였다. 유역 규모의 연도별 해안 담지하수 유출량 산정과 유량 분포를 나타냈으며, 2018년에서 2020년까지의 해안 담지하수 유출량은 전기전도도로 추정한 담수층의 두께를 적용한 방법은 6.27 × 10⁶ m³/year, Ghyben-Herzberg의 비율을 적용한 방법은 10.87 × 10⁶ m³/year로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 나타낸 결과는 해안 도서지역의 정밀한 물수지 분석 등을 이용하여 지속가능한 용수의 공급을 결정하는 정책의 근거 자료로 활용할 수 있다.