• 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국태양에너지학회 2008년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
• /
• pp.304-310
• /
• 2008

Currently energy use planning council system is mandatory especially for the urban development project planned on a specified scale or more. The goal of existing demand prediction was to calculate the maximum load by multiplying energy load per unit area by building size. The result of this method may be exaggerated and has a limit in the information of period load. The paper suggests a new forecasting process based on standard unit household in order to upgrade the limit in demand prediction method of multi-family housing complex. The new process was verified by comparing actual using amount of multi-family housing complex to forecasting value of energy use plan.

• 한국주거학회논문집
• /
• 제25권3호
• /
• pp.63-72
• /
• 2014

This study examined the special features and domestic status of the shared-house from the increasing number of single-person households, and also studied demand characteristics of the shared-house targeting young single-person household. Moreover, it found affecting factors of residential inclination on the shared-house with the binary logic model. Some of field research and interviews for the survey were conducted, and the analyzed result from this study as follows: Firstly, the domestic shared-house, introduced between the end of 2012 and early 2013, has been rapidly increased and has some features such as decreasing in housing expenses and increasing in social interaction. Secondly, the demand for shared-house by residential experience of single-person household differs according to the demographic characteristics. Thirdly, the factors that affect residential inclination of shared-house are character types, community life experience, awareness, and need for shared house.

• 한국인구학
• /
• 제8권1호
• /
• pp.65-86
• /
• 1985

Korean population is ecpected to reach about 50 million by year 2000. And per capita GNP might attain the $5,000 level. This is bound to have profound impact on housing. For one thing, population and income growth will accelerate new household formation thus increasing new housing needs. On the other, changes in the housing preference function in association with income growth and new way of life would mean increasing demand for better dwelling environment. In addition, by year 2000, there will be many more elderly households necessitating new approaches to housing. The question is whether or not Korea could cope with new housing perspectives. If Korean housing has made in the past some progress in housing quality, it has not been able to tackle the mounting housing shortage. This is attributable to the concentration of effective housing demand in the hands of upper income groups in association with skewed income distribution and sustained dwelling price hike. Korea needs some basic changes in housing policy. The public sector should produce much more small dwellings either for sales or renting. Second, mortgage loans should be expanded so as to increase the access to housing. Third, every thing must be done to cut down the dwelling price through tax cut, relaxation of some requlations, cyclical stabilization of dwelling construction and loan subsidies.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
• /
• 제12권5호
• /
• pp.35-45
• /
• 2011

최근 한국 주택시장의 혼재하고 있는 문제점으로 인해 공급기반 강화 전략이 중요한 화두가 되고 있다. 특히, 2008년 이후 금융시장 불안으로 인한 주택시장의 침체로 미분양주택 해소 및 서민주거안정을 위한 정책이 요구되고 있다. 그러나 이들은 주택공급조절과 주택공급확대라는 서로 상반된 목표를 갖고 있기 때문에 정책결정에 어려움을 발생시킨다. 따라서 본 연구는 미분양해소 및 서민주거확대를 위한 주택정책 적용 시 주택시장을 구성하는 다양한 변수 간 관계들의 구조적 변화를 파악함으로써 정책 실효성을 분석하는 시스템다이내믹스 모델을 개발한다. 개발된 모텔에 다양한 정책 시나리오를 적용함으로써 가능한 정책대안들을 평가하고, 문제해결을 위한 정책을 제안한다. 연구 결과, 민간을 배제한 공공 주도의 공급정책 및 미분양주택 해결을 위한 민간 주택건설 규제는 건설시장의 자율조절기능을 위축시키는 요소로 작용할 수 있다. 따라서 민간 주택건설의 자율적 조절기능을 지원하는 정책을 마련해야 민간 주택시장의 공급체계 안정화 및 수요-공급 조절기능의 정상화를 이룰 수 있다.

• 한국주거학회논문집
• /
• 제10권4호
• /
• pp.31-40
• /
• 1999

This study examines changes of internal structure and the ratios of room sizes of flat-type apartment housing and residents' demand of housing alteration. The main results are follows: First, the auxiliary space, such as multi-purpose room, storage ＆ receiving space, becomes an important component of flat-type apartment housing. Second, apartment housings should be supplied to residents focusing on functions of space rather than the number of rooms. Third, the ratios of living room and storage space sizes have been increased as living space increases. Since the current apartment housings do not meet residents' needs, we suggest that residents' age, number of family, and economic status must be considered when apartment space are planned.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
• /
• 제6권3호
• /
• pp.144-155
• /
• 2005

1950년대 이후 주택수요의 급격한 증가와 낮은 주택투자로 인한 만성적 주택부족 사태는 정부 주도의 주택공급정책에 의존해 오고 있다. 주택시장이 수요와 공급에 의한 자율적 가격결정구조를 가지지 못하고 정부 정책에 따라 인위적으로 움직임으로써 주택가격은 폭등과 폭락을 반복하고, 아파트 미분양 등에 의한 건설사의 수익성 악화나 중소건설업체의 부도와 같은 문제점들이 발생하고 있다. 이는 건설기업이 주택시장의 구조적 문제점을 파악하고 정부의 정책에 시기 적절히 대처하지 못함으로써 주택시장적응력을 상실한 결과라 할 수 있다. 또한 정부도 주택시장의 가격에 의존한 단기적 정책 효과만을 의존함으로써 주택시장의 가격결정시스템을 약화시키는 결과를 초래한 것이다. 즉, 주택시장의 동태적 환경시스템이라는 숱을 보지 못하고 정부 정책에 의한 단기적 영향요인이라는 나무만을 봄으로써 나타난 결과라 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 주택 시장을 주택수요 영향변수와 주택공급 영향변수 그리고 그에 영향을 미치는 거시 환경적 영향변수들을 분류하고, 이들 간의 상호작용을 시스템 사고와 전통적 소비자 선택이론에 입각하여 연결함으로써 이에 의해 구성되는 인과순환구조를 구축하도록 한다. 이를 통해 주택시장이 가지는 동태성의 장기적인 형태를 피드백 루프의 존재를 통해 확인해 줌으로써 주택시장의 역동적 변화 원인을 규명하고자 한다.

• 대한지리학회지
• /
• 제32권2호
• /
• pp.245-263
• /
• 1997

주택특성별 주택공급과 가구별 사회경제적 지위에 따른 주거선택시 차별적 접근성에 의한 주택수요에 의해 주택시장은 분절화된다. 더욱이 소규모 거주지역으로서의 근린은 주택공급과 주택수요의 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인으로서 주택시장 분절화를 심화시키는 기능을 한다. 분절화된 주택시장은 그 메커니즘이 서로 다른 특색을 지니는 바. 기존의 거주지 분화 및 주택시장에 관한 많은 연구들은 대도시의 주택시장을 단일의 주택 시장으로 가정함으로써 하위주택시장간 특성의 차이를 간과하였다고 할 수 있다. 거주지 분화 개념이 생태적 접 근 이후의 공간적 패턴에 주로 초점을 둔 개념인 반면에. 하위주택시장 개념은 공간적 패턴 형성 이면의 과정부터 고찰함으로써 도시 거주 공간구조의 형성 과정을 설명하는데 시사하는 바가 크다. 또한 하위주택시장 분석을 통해 이주시 가구의 거주지 선택 과정에서의 사회경제적 제약과 주택기회의 차별성을 살펴 볼 수가 있어 기존의 행태적 접근의 단점을 보완할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 서울 근교 신도시(분당ㆍ일산)를 연구 대상 지역으로하여 하위주택시장과 이주과정의 여러 특색들을 살펴 보았다.

• 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
• /
• 제35권7호
• /
• pp.45-52
• /
• 2019

In recent years, there has been a demand for a residential supply model that can actively and flexibly cope with various housing demands in the changing paradigm of public rental housing. This study focuses on the two-step supply system that has been studied in Japan. It was used to examine and analyze cases to recommend a supply plan that can be used for domestic public rental housing. In more detail, the literature review of the two-step supply system discloses that four types by supply methods (A-1, A-2, B-2, and C-2) and four types of relationship (construction and management combine entities type, management entity type, construction entity type, a separated entity type) can be categorized. In addition, from the actual case study, it revealed that the way of linking and supplying activities among the entity can have a great influence on "ease of supply (supply)", "diversity of housing demand (diversity)," and "quality of construction (construction)". "Ease of supply (supply)" refers to whether the construction entity is separated, and the owner is a manager. "Diversity" refers to whether the management subject is separated, and if the owner is also the constructor or the manager. "Construction" is whether the management entity is connected and managed by the management entity and can be evaluated in "Good", "Middle", and "Bad" level. As a summary, even if the existing public rental housing in Korea can be separated into a skeleton and infill system, the result suggested that it has a limitation on response to residential demand. In addition, the paper was able to propose an improved plan to make the infill as a secondary operator.

• 한국디지털건축인테리어학회논문집
• /
• 제12권1호
• /
• pp.89-98
• /
• 2012

While the housing transaction price of Seoul tends to be stagnant or declining in line with the housing market recession since 2007, the jeonse price keeps continual increase. Such flow of jeonse price change has a serious influence on ordinary person's housing stability seriously. Therefore, it is very meaningful in terms of social policy to analyze the trend of recent jeonse price change. This study aims to have an empirical analysis of structural characteristics of the trend of recent jeonse price change. After the review of various previous studies, this study selected housing jeonse price index, non-sold house quantity, jeonse vs. transaction price rate, and housing construction performance as analytical variables, and employed monthly time series resources from January 2007 to April 2011. As a result, when the housing supply reduced, the potential quantity for jeonse market reduced that occurred unbalance of supply and demand in jeonse market. In turn, it caused the increase of jeonse price. And, in case of jeonse vs. transaction price rate change, the rate increased which means the increase of required rate of return of invested demand. As such, the increase of market risk degenerates the investment sentiment which caused the reduction of quantity for jeonse market as a submarket.

• 유통과학연구
• /
• 제13권8호
• /
• pp.61-71
• /
• 2015

Purpose - Before the year 2000, the housing prices in Korea were increasing every decade. After 2000, for the first time, Korea experienced a decrease in housing prices, and the repetitive cycle of price fluctuation started. Such a "boom and bust cycle" is a worldwide phenomenon. The current study proposes a mathematical model to explain price fluctuation cycles based on the theory of consumer psychology. Specifically, the model incorporates the effects of buyer expectations of future prices on actual price changes. Based on the model, this study investigates various independent variables affecting the amplitude of price fluctuations in housing markets. Research design, data, and methodology - The study provides theoretical analyses based on a mathematical model. The proposed model uses the following assumptions of the pricing mechanism in housing markets. First, the price of a house at a certain time is affected not only by its current price but also by its expected future price. Second, house investors or buyers cannot predict the exact future price but make a subjective prediction based on observed price changes up to the present. Third, the price is determined by demand changes made in previous time periods. The current study tries to explain the boom-bust cycle in housing markets with a mathematical model and several numerical examples. The model illustrates the effects of consumer price elasticity, consumer sensitivity to price changes, and the sensitivity of prices to demand changes on price fluctuation. Results - The analytical results imply that even without external effects, the boom-bust cycle can occur endogenously due to buyer psychological factors. The model supports the expectation of future price direction as the most important variable causing price fluctuation in housing market. Consumer tendency for making choices based on both the current and expected future price causes repetitive boom-bust cycles in housing markets. Such consumers who respond more sensitively to price changes are shown to make the market more volatile. Consumer price elasticity is shown to be irrelevant to price fluctuations. Conclusions - The mechanism of price fluctuation in the proposed model can be summarized as follows. If a certain external shock causes an initial price increase, consumers perceive it as an ongoing increasing price trend. If the demand increases due to the higher expected price, the price goes up further. However, too high a price cannot be sustained for long, thus the increasing price trend ceases at some point. Once the market loses the momentum of a price increase, the price starts to drop. A price decrease signals a further decrease in a future price, thus the demand decreases further. When the price is perceived as low enough, the direction of the price change is reversed again. Policy makers should be cognizant that the current increase in housing prices due to increased liquidity can pose a serious threat of a sudden price decrease in housing markets.