• Title/Summary/Keyword: Housing Transaction Price

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An Analysis of the Key Factors Affecting Apartment Sales Price in Gwangju, South Korea (광주광역시 아파트 매매가 영향요인 분석)

  • Lim, Sung Yeon;Ko, Chang Wan;Jeong, Young-Seon
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.62-73
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    • 2022
  • Researches on the prediction of domestic apartment sales price have been continuously conducted, but it is not easy to accurately predict apartment prices because various characteristics are compounded. Prior to predicting apartment sales price, the analysis of major factors, influencing on sale prices, is of paramount importance to improve the accuracy of sales price. Therefore, this study aims to analyze what are the factors that affect the apartment sales price in Gwangju, which is currently showing a steady increase rate. With 6 years of Gwangju apartment transaction price and various social factor data, several maching learning techniques such as multiple regression analysis, random forest, and deep artificial neural network algorithms are applied to identify major factors in each model. The performances of each model are compared with RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and R2 (coefficient of determination). The experiment shows that several factors such as 'contract year', 'applicable area', 'certificate of deposit', 'mortgage rate', 'leading index', 'producer price index', 'coincident composite index' are analyzed as main factors, affecting the sales price.

The Effects of Complex Commercial Facility on the Prices of Nearby Apartments (복합상업시설이 인근 아파트 가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Yen-Uk;Chun, Hae-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 2022
  • This study empirically analyzed the effect of complex commercial facilities on the price of nearby apartments in a Hedonic price model. The spatial range of this study was the walking area of H Department Store located in Pangyo among the second new towns suburb of Seoul, and the time range was 2020. The dependent variable was the real transaction price of the apartment, and independent variable were the characteristics of the housing, the characteristics of the complex, and the characteristics of the region. As a result of the analysis, the area of exclusive use space, the transaction floor, and the highway accessibility had a positive effect on the price of the apartment, and the elapsed year had a negative effect on the price of the apartment. However, the size of the apartment had little effect on apartment prices, and the distance from the complex commercial facilities was shown to be related to apartment prices, indicating that apartment prices declined as it moved away from the complex commercial facilities. Therefore, this is much more influential than the influence of distance from subway stations on apartment price. This confirms that the effect factors of apartment prices and the size of their influence appear differently in the new town area and the existing metropolitan area.

An Analysis of Price Determinants of Rental Housing for Expatriates Working at Foreign Firms in Seoul (서울 외국기업 주재원 임대주택의 가격결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Won-Joong;Lee, Hyun-Seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.168-178
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of the study is to present an analysis of the expatriate leasing market for highly-paid professionals residing in Seoul. The effects of physical and locational attributes, range of amenities along with expat's national and industrial attributes on housing rents are being empirically evaluated based on transactions. Using lease transaction data for the period of 1994 through 2013, the results show that physical and locational attributes which have been proved to affect conventional housing value are also confirmed to affect leasing housing rent for expatriate. Also this study finds the following results. First, housing rent is found to be influenced by foreign residents' occupation. Therefore banking, petrochemical, insurer and pharmaceutical company affect positively on housing rent while mechanic firms influenced negatively to rent. Second, housing rent is found to be affected by foreign residents' nationalities. The results indicate USA and the United Kingdom have a positive effect while French has a negative effect on rent.

A Effect Analysis of the Housing Policy on the Housing Price (주택 ${\cdot}$ 부동산정책이 주택가격에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Noh, Jin-Ho;Han, Suk-Hee;Kim, Bong-Sik;Ko, Hyun;Kwon, Yong-Ho;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.665-668
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    • 2006
  • After foreign exchange trouble, Korean government became effective an economy-invigorating policy that to raise the housing demand and transaction. In result, the rate economic growth kept up a high growth rate and the market recovered. But an economy-invigorating policy of continuance caused an excessive boom of housing market in the second half of 2001. Therefore Korean government enforced a speculation-restraint policy. But it caused a instability of economics. This study is to analyze the effect between the housing policy and the housing cost and is to apply the basis data of the next housing policy.

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Shifting Trend from Chonsei to Monthly-Rent and Rental Housing Policies (월세화 추세와 전월세 대책)

  • Suh, Seong Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.63-77
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    • 2015
  • Effects of shifting trend from Chonsei to monthly-rent and the changes in rental housing prices upon the welfare of tenants has been analyzed. In 2014, welfare of tenants has been found to be decreased by 660 billion Korean Won due to the change in rental housing prices. From the point of view of the welfare of tenants, it has been found that monthly-rent stabilizing policies are 1.47 times more effective than Chonsei price stabilizing policies. The effect of monthly-rent stabilizing policies has been found to be increased with the increase in the proportion of monthly-rent transaction, the decrease in the speed of the shifting trend from Chonsei to monthly-rent, the decrease in interest rate, the decrease in the proportion of variable deposit in monthly-rent, the decrease in the proportion of debt in Chonsei deposit. These findings indicate that the relative importance of monthly-rent stabilizing policies will be increased in the future.

Geographic Expansion of the Leverage Cycle Theory: Focusing on the Subprime Real Estate Investor in the Depressed Housing Market (레버리지 주기 이론의 지리적 확장: 불황 주택시장의 서브프라임 부동산 투자자를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hoobin
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.592-609
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    • 2019
  • This study attempts to expand the leverage cycle theory using the subprime real estate investors. The leverage cycle theory has demonstrated asset price fluctuations irrelevant to changes in fundamentals through the restructuring of transaction composition centered on optimistic buyers. However, it needs to understand how this theory works in the depressed housing market with low-income residential regions to explain the geographic origins of the financial crisis. In the depressed housing market, the subprime real estate investors focused on low-income residential regions. Through this spatial focus, the low-income residential regions solely have real estate investor-oriented composition of new purchase transactions in the depressed housing market. The discovery of the subprime real estate investors as new actors lays the foundation for applying the leverage cycle theory to the depressed housing market which has been a underserved area for capital investment. This attempt illustrates how the geographical reinterpretation of an economic theory reestablishes spatio-temporal context of economic phenomena.

A Geographically Weighted Regression on the Effect of Regulation of Space Use on the Residential Land Price - Evidence from Jangyu New Town - (공간사용 규제가 택지가격에 미치는 영향에 대한 공간가중회귀분석 - 장유 신도시지역을 대상으로-)

  • Kang, Sun-Duk;Park, Sae-Woon;Jeong, Tae-Yun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.27-47
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we examine how land use zoning affects the land price controlling other variables such as road-facing condition of the land, land form, land age after its development and land size. We employ geographically weighted regression analysis which reflects spatial dependency as methodology with a data sample of land transaction price data of Jangyu, a new town, in Korea. The results of our empirical analysis show that the respective coefficients of traditional regression and geographically weighted regression are not significantly different. However, after calculating Moran's Index with residuals of both OLS and GWR models, we find that Moran's Index of GWR decreases around 26% compared to that of OLS model, thus improving the problem of spatial autoregression of residuals considerably. Unlike our expectation, though, in both traditional regression and geographically weighted regression where residential exclusive area is used as a reference variable, the dummy variable of the residential land for both housing and shops shows a negative sign. This may be because the residential land for both housing and shops is usually located in the level area while the residential exclusive area is located at the foot of a mountain or on a gentle hill where the residents can have good quality air and scenery. Although the utility of the residential land for both housing and shops is higher than its counterpart's since it has higher floor area ratio, amenity which can be explained as high quality of air and scenery in this study seems to have higher impact in purchase of land for housing. On the other hand, land for neighbourhood living facility seems to be valued higher than any other land zonings used in this research since it has much higher floor area ratio than the two land zonings above and can have a building with up to 5 stories constructed on it. With regard to road-facing condition, land buyers seem to prefer land which faces a medium-width road as expected. Land facing a wide-width road may have some disadvantage in that it can be exposed to noise and exhaust gas from cars and that entrance may not be easy due to the high speed traffic of the road. In contrast, land facing a narrow road can be free of noise or fume from cars and have privacy protected while it has some inconvenience in that entrance may be blocked by cars parked in both sides of the narrow road. Finally, land age variable shows a negative sign, which means that the price of land declines over time. This may be because decline of the land price of Jangyu was bigger than that of other regions in Gimhae where Jangyu, a new town, also belong, during the global financial crisis of 2008.

A Study on the Quality Requirements of Administrative Data Using Statistical Purposes (행정정보의 통계적 활용을 위한 품질요건에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, On-Soon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to improve the openness of administrative data and to make extensive use of it in the academic and policy development, analyzing the quality requirements as the users' view of administrative data using statistical purposes. Conducted the exploratory analysis on the case of the Transaction-based Price Index of Housing, applying the administrative data of Realestate Transaction Management System in Korea, based on Denmark's 7 quality indicators for the statistical use of administrative data. According to the results of this study, the administrative data could improve the efficacy of the policy by facilitating the collection of the statistical data which help analyzing the actual market situations. On the other hand, the data have some constraints in adding the required items to producing the statistics, or improving the timeliness problem, due to the characteristics focused on the civil service.

Analysis of Short-Term Impact of Tax Policy on Housing Purchase Price in Small and Medium-sized Cities in Korea (세금정책이 중소도시의 공동주택 매매가격에 미치는 단기 영향분석)

  • Oh, Kwon-Young;Jeong, Jin-Won;Lee, Donghoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2022
  • With apartment purchase prices rising, small and medium-sized cities have been highlighted as areas in which real estate speculation is overheated, and thus designated as target districts for adjustment. In addition, tax policy is constantly being adjusted in an attempt to stabilize real estate prices. The purpose of this study is to analyze the basic effect of tax policy on the purchase price of apartments in small and medium-sized cities. This study selected apartments in the Daejeon area that were constructed between 1990 and 2015. In addition, tax policy was divided into regulatory policy and easing policy based on tax increase and tax cut. This study analyzes the short-term difference of one year before and after the change in the purchase price of apartment houses. In addition, this study set the time when real estate policy was implemented and the actual transaction price of apartments in Daejeon as the analysis targets, and analyzed the correlation between tax policy and apartment sales prices through the NPV technique and T-test results. Through the study, it was found that most tax policies changed apartment purchase prices in the short term.

Estimating Land Assets in North Korea: Framework Development & Exploratory Application (북한지역 토지자산 추정에 관한 연구: 프레임워크 개발 및 탐색적 적용)

  • Lim, Song
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.71-123
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we present a methodology and model to estimate land prices and the value of land assets in North Korea in the absence of any data about land characteristics from North Korean authorities. Using this framework, we experimentally make market price-based estimates for land assets across the entire urban area of North Korea. First, we estimate the determinants of land prices in South Korea using data on market prices of land from the late 1970s, when it was estimated that the income level gap between South Korea and North Korea wasn't relatively large, and from the early 1980s, when urbanization levels in both of them were similar. Second, we calculate land prices and their relative ratios for each city and urban area in North Korea around 2015 by substituting proxy variables of determinants of land prices derived through a geographic information analysis of North Korea into the function of land prices that we have already estimated. Finally, we estimate the value of land assets in urban areas across North Korea by combining the ratio of housing transaction prices surveyed in several cities in North Korea with the relative prices estimated in this research. As a result, land prices in urban areas in North Korea, looking at the relative ratio of price by city, are estimated to be the highest, at 100.00, in Tongdaewon district of Pyongyang, and to be the lowest, at 1.70, in Phungso county, Ryanggang Province. Meanwhile, the value of land assets in urbanized areas was estimated at $21.6 billion in 2015, which was 1.2 to 1.3 times the GDP of North Korea that year. This ratio is similar to South Korea's in the 1978-1980 period, when the South Korean economy grew at an average rate of 6%. Considering North Korea's growth rate of about 1% in the 2013-2014 period, its ratio of land assets to GDP appears very high.