• Title/Summary/Keyword: Historical data

Search Result 1,671, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Evaluation for Risk Priority Number of Railway Power System Facility using Fuzzy Theory (퍼지이론을 이용한 철도 전력 설비의 Risk Priority Number 산정)

  • Lee, Yun-Seong;Byeon, Yoong-Tae;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Hyung-Chul;Lee, Jun-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.12 no.6
    • /
    • pp.921-926
    • /
    • 2009
  • The RPN provides information which includes the risk level and the priority order of maintenance tasks for components. However, if there is no sufficient historical failure data, the historical failure data from other sources can be applied to the target system. And if we use historical data from other sources without any process, there will be concomitant problems according to a discord of each system characteristic, a difference between the present and the date of failure data, etc. In this paper, a new methodology is proposed to model the failure rate as a fuzzy function to resolve these problems. Taking advantage of this result, the RPN can be calculated by using the fuzzy operation. The proposed method is applied to the substation system.

Study on the Classification Methodology for DSRC Travel Speed Patterns Using Decision Trees (의사결정나무 기법을 적용한 DSRC 통행속도패턴 분류방안)

  • Lee, Minha;Lee, Sang-Soo;Namkoong, Seong;Choi, Keechoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper, travel speed patterns were deducted based on historical DSRC travel speed data using Decision Tree technique to improve availability of the massive amount of historical data. These patterns were designed to reflect spatio-temporal vicissitudes in reality by generating pattern units classified by months, time of day, and highway sections. The study area was from Seoul TG to Ansung IC sections on Gyung-bu highway where high peak time of day frequently occurs in South Korea. Decision Tree technique was applied to categorize travel speed according to day of week. As a result, five different pattern groups were generated: (Mon)(Tue Wed Thu)(Fri)(Sat)(Sun). Statistical verification was conducted to prove the validity of patterns on nine different highway sections, and the accuracy of fitting was found to be 93%. To reduce travel pattern errors against individual travel speed data, inclusion of four additional variables were also tested. Among those variables, 'traffic condition on previous month' variable improved the pattern grouping accuracy by reducing 50% of speed variance in the decision tree model developed.

Historical Control Data from 4-week Repeated Toxicity Studies in Crj:CD (SD) Rats

  • Lee, Jung-Min;Lee, Min-Ah;Do, Hyeon-Nam;Bae, Re-Ji-Na;Lee, Mi-Ju;Kim, Myoung-Jun;Jang, Ho-Song;Park, Sun-Hee;Lee, Hye-Yeong;Kang, Jin-Seok;Kang, Jong-Koo
    • Biomedical Science Letters
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.268-275
    • /
    • 2012
  • Reference ranges of standard experimental parameters are useful for comparisons in toxicology. The aim of this study was to collect data from 4-week repeated toxicity studies in Crl:CD (SD) rats, a strain widely used for toxicity and efficacy research, for establishing domestic reference values. Data on body weight, food consumption; urinalysis, hematological, and blood biochemical parameters; and organ weights were collected from 16 toxicity studies in 220 Crl:CD (SD) rats (110 males and 110 females). The studies had been performed at a single testing facility over the last 3 years and involved animals sourced from a single breeder. The findings were collated as means, standard deviations, percentages, and ranges. Urine volume, uterus weight, eosinophil, and basophil counts, and triglyceride, total bilirubin, and gammaglutamyl transpeptidase levels showed standard deviations of 30% or more. These historical control data would help to interpret the effects of test substances in routine toxicity and efficacy studies.

A Study on Calibration of PRICE Model Using Historical Cost Data (실적자료를 활용한 PRICE 모델의 보정방안 연구)

  • Jung, Tae-Kyun;Lee, Yong-Bok;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-38
    • /
    • 2010
  • In Korea weapon system acquisition processes, it's required a cost estimation report obtained from a commercial cost model. The PRICE model is generally used as a cost estimation model in Korea. However, the model uses American historical R&D data and it's output cost component is different from our cost component of defense accounting system. Also, we found that estimating results show about 10% of difference when we comparing with actual costs in 44 finished weapon acquisition projects. There are some limitations in calibration to increase an accuracy of the PRICE model because it's difficult obtain good real input data, detailed cost and technical data in low level WBS. So, only 8% of the defense R&D projects are calibrated and validation of calibration results is more difficult. Therefore, we studied the standard calibration process and performed the calibration about the MCPLXS/E parameters of the PRICE model based on actual cost data. In order to obtain a good calculation result, we collected the actual material costs from the defense industry companies. Our results can be used for an reference in similar weapon system R&D and production cost estimation cases.

Volatility Computations for Financial Time Series: High Frequency and Hybrid Method (금융시계열 변동성 측정 방법의 비교 분석: 고빈도 자료 및 융합 방법)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1163-1170
    • /
    • 2015
  • Various computational methods for obtaining volatilities for financial time series are reviewed and compared with each other. We reviewed model based GARCH approach as well as the data based method which can essentially be regarded as a smoothing technique applied to the squared data. The method for high frequency data is focused to obtain the realized volatility. A hybrid method is suggested by combining the model based GARCH and the historical volatility which is a data based method. Korea stock prices are analysed to illustrate various computational methods for volatilities.

A Study on Developing a CER Using Production Cost Data in Korean Maneuver Weapon System (한국형 기동무기체계 양산비 비용추정관계식 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Doo-Hyun;Kim, Gak-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.51-61
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper, we deal with developing a cost estimation relationships (CER) for Korean maneuverable weapons systems using historical production cost. To develop the CER, we collected the historical data of the production cost of four tanks and five armored vehicles. We also analyzed the Required Operational Capability (ROC) of the weapons systems and chose cost drivers that can compare operational capabilities of the weapons systems We used Forward selection, Backward selection, Stepwise Regression and $R^2$ selection as the cost drivers which have the greatest influence with the dependent variables. And we used Principle Component Regression, Robust Regression and Weighted Regression to deal with multicollinearity and outlier among the data to develop a more appropriate CER. As a result, we were able to develop a production cost CER for Korean maneuverable weapons systems that have the lowest cost errors. Thus, this research is meaningful in terms of developing a CER based on Korean original cost data without foreign data and these methods will contribute to developing a Korean cost analysis program in the future.

A Stochastic Generation of Synthetic Monthly Flow by Disaggregation Model (Disaggregation 모형에 의한 월유량의 추계학적 모의발생)

  • 박찬영;서병하
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.167-180
    • /
    • 1986
  • Disaggregation model has recently become a major technique in the field of synthetic generation and the model is possibly one of the most widely acepted tools in stochastic hydrology. The application of disaggregation model is evaluated with the streamflow data at the Waegwan and Hyunpung stage gaugin station on the main stem of the Nakdong River. The disaggregation process of annual streamflow data and the method of parameter estimation for the model is reviewed and the statistical analysis of the generated monthly streamflows such as a computation of moment estimation of covariance and correlogram analysis is made. The results, disaggregated monthly streamflow, obtained by Disaggregation Basic Model for single site are compared with the historical streamflow data and also with the other model, Thomas-Fiering Model. The generated monthly streamflow data by two models have been investigated and verified by comparision of mean and standard deviation between the historical and generated data.

  • PDF

AI-Based Project Similarity Evaluation Model Using Project Scope Statements

  • Ko, Taewoo;Jeong, H. David;Lee, JeeHee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
    • /
    • 2022.06a
    • /
    • pp.284-291
    • /
    • 2022
  • Historical data from comparable projects can serve as benchmarking data for an ongoing project's planning during the project scoping phase. As project owners typically store substantial amounts of data generated throughout project life cycles in digitized databases, they can capture appropriate data to support various project planning activities by accessing digital databases. One of the most important work tasks in this process is identifying one or more past projects comparable to a new project. The uniqueness and complexity of construction projects along with unorganized data, impede the reliable identification of comparable past projects. A project scope document provides the preliminary overview of a project in terms of the extent of the project and project requirements. However, narratives and free-formatted descriptions of project scopes are a significant and time-consuming barrier if a human needs to review them and determine similar projects. This study proposes an Artificial Intelligence-driven model for analyzing project scope descriptions and evaluating project similarity using natural language processing (NLP) techniques. The proposed algorithm can intelligently a) extract major work activities from unstructured descriptions held in a database and b) quantify similarities by considering the semantic features of texts representing work activities. The proposed model enhances historical comparable project identification by systematically analyzing project scopes.

  • PDF

The History of Tourism Distribution Channels and Future Prospects in the Tourism Service Industry

  • Moon-Jeong KIM;Woo-Je CHO
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.107-114
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose: The current research investigates historical and future trends of tourist distribution channels in the tourism services business. The research examines historical patterns, current shifts, and new technologies in electricity distribution to offer insight into the distribution dynamics and advice for companies and regulators. Research design, data and methodology: The research in this case specifically employed the PRISMA approach when it comes to the data collection and research methodology. (PRISMA). The process is specifically made up of four steps, such as (1) Identification of Relevant Studies, (2) Screening and Selection Procedures, (3) Data Synthesis and Analysis, and (4) Reporting of Findings. Results: The fast-changing technology offers all opportunities to innovate the sector of tourism services. These upcoming technologies are not just reconstructing the way customers interact and operate but they are also creating room for development. Besides "the utilization of new technologies such as artificial intelligence, augmented reality, virtual reality, and blockchain, the current state of tourism distribution channels also implies some other possible consequences. Conclusions: These research results show that we should not be reluctant about adopting new technologies, we should expand direct booking systems, promote eco-friendly tourism, and use data analytics in order to provide personalized experiences.

Study on how to vitalize the historical record management of the provinces (지방의 역사기록관리 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Sohn, Dong-you
    • The Korean Journal of Archival Studies
    • /
    • no.28
    • /
    • pp.155-180
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study presents how to vitalize the record management of the provinces by investigating the current issues and by identifying the universality and the distinctiveness of the record management in local agencies. However, it only deals with the system of the record management, focusing on the history of the provinces. Although the related projects conducted by the provinces of Korea consist of various types, including publishing the local history, creating the activities of local cultural institutes, and collecting and organizing the historical records, these have not been active in many regions with insignificant achievements. In this regard, local self-governing bodies need to actively fulfill the duty of the management not only for the administrative archives but also for the historical archives by aggressively interpreting the associated parts suggested by the Act on the Management of Public Archives. Ultimately, it is proper to integrate theses two functions. Moreover, an effective collection is the core part of the record management of history. Therefore, a 'committee' with experts should provide in-depth views from planning to post-processing stages. Meanwhile, a consensus on the importance and the necessity of the historical archive management between owners and concerned parties should be formed during the collection process. In conclusion, each local autonomous entity should make sure of the active record management of history through establishing their own mid to long-term development plans, securing experts in archive management, as well as providing the service for record contents.