• Title/Summary/Keyword: Historical data

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The Express-Assessment of Main Monetary Indicators of Russia and the Countries of CIS

  • Vyborova, Elena Nikolaevna
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study is to analyze indicators characterizing the monetary turnover and its determining factors. Also this paper looked at the evolution of monetary aggregates of the Russian Federation, Australian, Sweden, Denmark, countries of CIS at the present stage of development and in the historical context. Research design, data, and methodology - The scale of research on Russia: to be analyzed the amount of data from the 2011 by 2016. In the historical context of the estimated data in the 1900-2011. On Belarus - the 2007-2017, on Tajikistan - the 2000 - 2017, on Kazakhstan - the 2000-2017, on Kyrgyzstan - the 2000-2017, on Australian - the 1959-2017, on Sweden - the 2009-2017, on Denmark - the 1999-2017. Results - Hypothesis 1. In Russian Federation the monetary stock has the steady tendency to growth. The dynamics of money supply in Russia is largely determined by historical events. Hypothesis 2. The dynamics of money supply the leading countries-partners has the tendency to grow. The monetary amount of countries-partners are analyzed is largely determined by external debt, GDP, the exports, the imports, the international reserves. Conclusions - The dynamics of monetary stock of Russia is determined by the historical events in many respects. The Russian Federation maintains a steady and the liquid economic position in the case of considerable amount of monetary stock and the high degree of its surplus. In most of the countries studied, the monetary supply has a significant volume exceeding the needs of the economy. If the distribution of monetary mass is adequate and there is a vertical of financial control, this will not have a negative impact on the country's economic stability and the development.

An Overview to the History of Social Forestry in Overcoming Poverty and Forest Conservation in Java's Colonial Period

  • Hum, Warto M.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2022
  • The Dutch colonial government introduced social forestry at the end of the 19th century with a commitment to controlling forest resources in the Dutch East Indies. This program was a response to the rampant deforestation which had resulted in forest degradation and poverty of the population around the forest. This study examined the practice of social forestry in the late colonial period which had not been done much. From a historical perspective, social forestry practices in Indonesia before independence could be explained more comprehensively. This study uses a historical method which includes four stages: heuristic, source criticism, interpretation, and historiography (composing historical stories). Sources of information were explored through studies of archival documents and contemporary artefacts, especially official colonial government reports and contemporary newspapers/magazines. Data from various sources are then compared and tested for validity to obtain data validity. The next stage is to build facts based on data obtained and then interpreted using the social science theories. Finally, compiling a historical (historiographical) story about social forestry during the late colonial period. The results showed that colonial forestry during the colonial period was still limited in terms of area and method, namely in the area of teak forest and involving villagers through the intercropping system. Farmers involved in these activities are called pesanggem who earn income from forest land being rejuvenated. However, the relationship between pesanggem and the forestry service has not been well institutionalized, consequently the pesanggem is often disadvantaged. Including certainty of ownership and ownership of forest land never gained clarity and even became a source of conflict.

Application of the Large-scale Climate Ensemble Simulations to Analysis on Changes of Precipitation Trend Caused by Global Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 강수 특성 변화 분석을 위한 대규모 기후 앙상블 모의자료 적용)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Son, Minwoo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2022
  • Recently, Japan's Meteorological Research Institute presented the d4PDF database (Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change, d4PDF) through large-scale climate ensemble simulations to overcome uncertainty arising from variability when the general circulation model represents extreme-scale precipitation. In this study, the change of precipitation characteristics between the historical and future climate conditions in the Yongdam-dam basin was analyzed using the d4PDF data. The result shows that annual mean precipitation and seasonal mean precipitation increased by more than 10% in future climate conditions. This study also performed an analysis on the change of the return period rainfall. The annual maximum daily rainfall was extracted for each climatic condition, and the rainfall with each return period was estimated. In this process, we represent the extreme-scale rainfall corresponding to a very long return period without any statistical model and method as the d4PDF provides rainfall data during 3,000 years for historical climate conditions and during 5,400 years for future climate conditions. The rainfall with a 50-year return period under future climate conditions exceeded the rainfall with a 100-year return period under historical climate conditions. Consequently, in future climate conditions, the magnitude of rainfall increased at the same return period and, the return period decreased at the same magnitude of rainfall. In this study, by using the d4PDF data, it was possible to analyze the change in extreme magnitude of rainfall.

A Travel Time Estimation Algorithm using Transit GPS Probe Data (Transit GPS Data를 이용한 링크통행시간 추정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Keechoo;Hong, Won-Pyo;Choi, Yoon-Hyuk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.739-746
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    • 2006
  • The bus probe-based link travel times were more readily available due to bus' fixed route schedule and it was different from that of taxi-based one in its value for the same link. At the same time, the bus-based one showed less accurate information than the taxi-based link travel time, in terms of reliability expressed by 1-RMSE(%) measure. The purpose of this thesis is to develop a heuristic algorithm for mixing both sources-based link travel times. The algorithm used both real-time and historical profile travel times. Real-time source used 4 consecutive periods' average and historical source used average value of link travel time for various congestion levels. The algorithm was evaluated for Seoul urban arterial network 3 corridors and 20 links. The results based on the developed algorithm were superior than the mere fusion based link travel times and the reliability amounted up to 71.45%. Some limitation and future research agenda have also been discussed.

Extraction of Expert Knowledge Based on Hybrid Data Mining Mechanism (하이브리드 데이터마이닝 메커니즘에 기반한 전문가 지식 추출)

  • Kim, Jin-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.764-770
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a hybrid data mining mechanism to extract expert knowledge from historical data and extend expert systems' reasoning capabilities by using fuzzy neural network (FNN)-based learning & rule extraction algorithm. Our hybrid data mining mechanism is based on association rule extraction mechanism, FNN learning and fuzzy rule extraction algorithm. Most of traditional data mining mechanisms are depended ()n association rule extraction algorithm. However, the basic association rule-based data mining systems has not the learning ability. Therefore, there is a problem to extend the knowledge base adaptively. In addition, sequential patterns of association rules can`t represent the complicate fuzzy logic in real-world. To resolve these problems, we suggest the hybrid data mining mechanism based on association rule-based data mining, FNN learning and fuzzy rule extraction algorithm. Our hybrid data mining mechanism is consisted of four phases. First, we use general association rule mining mechanism to develop an initial rule base. Then, in the second phase, we adopt the FNN learning algorithm to extract the hidden relationships or patterns embedded in the historical data. Third, after the learning of FNN, the fuzzy rule extraction algorithm will be used to extract the implicit knowledge from the FNN. Fourth, we will combine the association rules (initial rule base) and fuzzy rules. Implementation results show that the hybrid data mining mechanism can reflect both association rule-based knowledge extraction and FNN-based knowledge extension.

Development of Outage Data Management System to Calculate the Probability for KEPCO Transmission Systems (한전계통의 송전망 고장확률 산정을 위한 상정고장 DB 관리시스텀(ezCas) 개발)

  • Cha S. T.;Jeon D. H.;Kim T. K.;Jeon M. R.;Choo J. B.;Kim J. O.;Lee S .H
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.88-90
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    • 2004
  • Data are a critical utility asset. Collecting correct data on site leads to accurate information. Data, when gathered with foresight & properly formatted, are useful to both existing database and easily transferable to newer, more comprehensive historical outage data. However, when investigating data items options, the task, can be an arduous one, often requiring the efforts of entire committees. This paper firstly discusses the KEPCO's past 10 years of historical outage data which include meterological data, and also by several elements of the National Weather Service, failure rate, outage duration, and probability classification, etc. Then, these collected data are automatically stored in an Outage Data Management System (ODMS), which allows for easy access and display. ODMS has a straight-forward and easy-to-use interface. It lets you to navigate through modules very easily and allows insertion, deletion or editing of data. In particular, this will further provide the KEPCO that not only helps with probabilistic security assessment but also provides a platform for future development of Probability Estimation Program (PEP).

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Database Design of Mediterranean Historical Archives Based-on Tag (태그 기반 지중해 역사기록물 데이터베이스 설계)

  • Kang, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Jung-Ha
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.753-762
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    • 2019
  • It is very important to use the raw material in a particular field of research or education. Research without raw materials are difficult to prove and often remain hypothesis. The use of the raw material is also important in area studies that study specific areas. However, research of area studies, especially Western history, raw material and historical archives are very important data, but it is difficult to obtain and refer to these data due to physical or spatial constraints. In order to solve this problem, there is a method of collecting and providing historical archives, but it is currently difficult to find a case of providing overseas historical archives as a web system in Korea. Accordingly, in this paper proposes the necessity of collecting historical archives, the method of collection, and the method of digital archiving of collected data structurally and systematically. In this regard, investigate the existing research cases on the archive system and database design, and it description the differentiation between the existing systems and the modeling method proposed in this study. Also, to improve the efficiency of the search, it proposes a method of adding a tag table when database modeling.

A Study on the Construction of Computerized Algorithm for Proper Construction Cost Estimation Method by Historical Data Analysis (실적자료 분석에 의한 적정 공사비 산정방법의 전산화 알고리즘 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Chun Jae-Youl
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.192-200
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    • 2003
  • The object of this research is to develop a computerized algorithm of cost estimation method to forecast the total construction cost in the bidding stage by the historical and elemental work cost data. Traditional cost models to prepare Bill of Quantities in the korea construction industry since 1970 are not helpful to forecast the project total cost in the bidding stage because the BOQ is always constant data according to the design factors of a particular project. On the contrary, statistical models can provide cost quicker and more reliable than traditional ones if the collected cost data are sufficient enough to analyze the trends of the variables. The estimation system considers non-deterministic methods which referred to as the 'Monte Carlo simulation. The method interprets cost data to generate a probabilistic distribution for total costs from the deficient elemental experience cost distribution.

Statistical Testing of the Randomness and Estimation of the Degree of for the Concentration Earthquake Occurrence in the Korean Peninsula (한반도 지진발생의 무작위성에 대한 통계적 검정과 집중도 추정)

  • Kim, Sung-Kyun;Baek, Jang-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2000
  • We tested the randomness and estimated the degree of concentration for the earthquake occurrence in the Korean Peninsula by using the statistical methods for spatial data. For the randomness test, we applied both of the test statistics based method and the empirical distribution based method to the both of historical and instrumental seismicity data. It was found that the earthquake occurrences for historical and instrumental seismicity data are not random and clustered rather than scattered. A nonparametric density estimation method was used to estimate the concentration degree in the Peninsula. The earthquake occurrences show relatively high concentration on Seoul, Choongnam, Chonbook and Kyungbook areas for the historical seismicity data. Also,'L" shaped concentrations connecting Whanghaedo -the coast of Choongnam -the inland of Kyungbook area are revealed for the instrumental seismicity data.

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Preparation of Landslide Hazard Map Using the Analysis of Historical Data and GIS Method (GIS 기법 및 발생자료 분석을 이용한 산사태 위험지도 작성)

  • Yun, Hong-Sik;Lee, Dong-Ha;Suh, Yong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we performed a GIS-based landslide hazard analysis by employing historical landslide data in Korea, coupling with geomorphological, geological, climatic and rainfall data. Based on 596 landslide data from 2001 to 2003, the correlations between landslide occurrence and various factors (elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, soil type and rainfall) that affect the occurrence were estimated by the statistical analysis, zonal statistics. The weights and hazard indices of 6 raster layers were derived from the estimated correlations in order to generate a landslide hazard map by applying raster calculation technique. As a result of this study, GIS technique can be used effectively to incorporate the landslide hazard contributions from various data sets simultaneously.

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