• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard ratio

Search Result 833, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Small Sample Study of Kernel Hazard Ratio Estimator

  • Choi, Myong-Hui
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-74
    • /
    • 1994
  • The hazard ratio may be useful as a descriptive measure to compare the hazard experience of a treatment group with that of a control group. In this paper, we propose a kernel estimator of hazard ratio with censored survival data. The uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are proved by using counting process approach. In order to assess the performance of the proposed estimator, we compare the kernel estimator with Cox estimator and the generalized rank estimators of hazard ratio in terms of MSE by Monte Carlo simulation.

  • PDF

A Kernel Estimator of Hazard Ratio (위험비(危險比)의 커널추정량(推定量))

  • Choi, Myong-Hui;Lee, In-Suk;Song, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.79-90
    • /
    • 1992
  • We consider hazard ratio as a descriptive measure to compare the hazard experience of a treatment group with that of a control group with censored survival data. In this paper, we propose a kernel estimator of hazard ratio. The uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of a kernel estimator are proved by using counting process approach via martingale theory and stochastic integrals.

  • PDF

Kernel Estimation of Hazard Ratio Based on Censored Data

  • Choi, Myong-Hui;Lee, In-Suk;Song, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.125-143
    • /
    • 2001
  • We, in this paper, propose a kernel estimator of hazard ratio with censored survival data. The uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are proved by using counting process approach. In order to assess the performance of the proposed estimator, we compare the kernel estimator with Cox estimator and the generalized rank estimators of hazard ratio in terms of MSE by Monte Carlo simulation. Two examples are illustrated for our results.

  • PDF

Associations of Serum Lipid Profiles with Incidence of Ischemic Heart Diseases in Korean Adults: Retrospective Cohort Study (우리나라 성인에서 혈청 지질성분비가 허혈성 심장질환 발생에 미치는 위험도 평가: 코호트 연구)

  • Shin, Sook-Hee;Lee, Tae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.2219-2231
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study conducted to investigate incidence rate and association of serum lipid profiles with incidence of ischemic heart disease. Study subjects consisted of 417,642 adults aged 30 years and over, who underwent physical examination and responded to questionnaire from health examination center of 19 university general hospitals. Hazard ratio of risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD) were calculated by Cox's proportional hazard regression model adjusted for ages, BMI and lifestyle (drinking, smoking and exercising). For TC/HDL ratio, hazard ratio of IHD in male increased from 1.21 times to 1.84 times increase with TC/HDL ratio, and that in female also increased from 1.26 times to 1.86 times. For TG/HDL ratio, hazard ratio of IHD in male increased from 1.17 times to 1.49 times increase with TG/HDL ratio, and that in female also increased from 1.42 times to 1.97 times. For LDL/HDL ratio, hazard ratio of IHD in male increased from 1.26 times to 1.82 times increase with LDL/HDL ratio, and that in female also increased from 1.26 times to 1.68 times. In conclusion serum lipid indexes are the significant risk factors for cardiovascular diseases. The higher the concentration of TC, LDL and TG is, the lower the concentration of HDL is, hazard ratio for IHD increased. Ratio of TC/HDL, TG/HDL and LDL/HDL were also verified to be significant risk factors for IHD.

Estimating causal effect of multi-valued treatment from observational survival data

  • Kim, Bongseong;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.675-688
    • /
    • 2020
  • In survival analysis of observational data, the inverse probability weighting method and the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used when estimating the causal effects of multiple-valued treatment. In this paper, the two kinds of weights have been examined in the inverse probability weighting method. We explain the reason why the stabilized weight is more appropriate when an inverse probability weighting method using the generalized propensity score is applied. We also emphasize that a marginal hazard ratio and the conditional hazard ratio should be distinguished when defining the hazard ratio as a treatment effect under the Cox proportional hazards model. A simulation study based on real data is conducted to provide concrete numerical evidence.

A Case Study on the Seismic Hazard Classification of Domestic Drinking Water Earthfill Dams Using Zero Seismic Failure Probability Curve (지진파괴확률 영곡선 활용 국내 식수전용 흙댐의 지진 위험도 분류 사례 연구)

  • Ha, Ik-soo
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.173-180
    • /
    • 2022
  • Most of the drinking water dams managed by the local governments in Korea are earthfill dams, and these dams have almost no geotechnical property information necessary for seismic performance evaluation. Nevertheless, in the rough planning stage for improving seismic safety for these dams, it is necessary to classify their relative seismic hazard against earthquakes and conduct an additional ground investigation. The zero seismic failure probability curve is a curve suggested in this study in which the probability of failure due to an earthquake becomes '0' regardless of the geotechnical properties of the earthfill dam. By examining the method and procedure for calculating failure probability due to an earthquake suggested in previous researches, the zero seismic failure probability curves for an earthquake in 1,000-year and 2,400-year return periods in Korea were presented in the form of a hyperbola on the plane of the dam height versus freeboard ratio (ratio of freeboard to dam height), respectively. The distribution characteristics of the dam height and the freeboard ratio of 81 Korean earthfill dams were presented. The two proposed zero seismic failure probability curves are shown on the plane of the dam height versus freeboard ratio, and the relative seismic hazard of 81 dams can be classified into three groups using these curves as boundaries. This study presented the method of classifying the relative seismic hazard and the classification result.

Probabilistic earthquake risk consideration of existing precast industrial buildings through loss curves

  • Ali Yesilyurt;Seyhan O. Akcan;Oguzhan Cetindemir;A. Can Zulfikar
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.37 no.6
    • /
    • pp.565-576
    • /
    • 2024
  • In this study, the earthquake risk assessment of single-story RC precast buildings in Turkey was carried out using loss curves. In this regard, Kocaeli, a seismically active city in the Marmara region, and this building class, which is preferred intensively, were considered. Quality and period parameters were defined based on structural and geometric properties. Depending on these parameters, nine main sub-classes were defined to represent the building stock in the region. First, considering the mean fragility curves and four different central damage ratio models, vulnerability curves for each sub-class were computed as a function of spectral acceleration. Then, probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed for stiff and soft soil conditions for different earthquake probabilities of exceedance in 50 years. In the last step, 90 loss curves were derived based on vulnerability and hazard results. Within the scope of the study, the comparative parametric evaluations for three different earthquake intensity levels showed that the structural damage ratio values for nine sub-classes changed significantly. In addition, the quality parameter was found to be more effective on a structure's damage state than the period parameter. It is evident that since loss curves allow direct loss ratio calculation for any hazard level without needing seismic hazard and damage analysis, they are considered essential tools in rapid earthquake risk estimation and mitigation initiatives.

Inundation Hazard Zone Created by Large Lahar Flow at the Baekdu Volcano Simulated using LAHARZ

  • Park, Sung-Jae;Lee, Chang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.34 no.1
    • /
    • pp.75-87
    • /
    • 2018
  • The Baekdu volcano (2,750 m a.s.l.) is located on the border between Yanggando Province in North Korea and Jilin Province in China. Its eruption in 946 A.D. was among the largest and most violent eruptions in the past 5,000 years, with a volcanic explosivity index (VEI) of 7. In this study, we processed and analyzed lahar-inundation hazard zone data, applying a geographic information system program with menu-driven software (LAHARZ)to a shuttle radar topography mission 30 m digital elevation model. LAHARZ can simulate inundation hazard zones created by large lahar flows that originate on volcano flanks using simple input parameters. The LAHARZ is useful both for mapping hazard zones and estimating the extent of damage due to active volcanic eruption. These results can be used to establish evacuation plans for nearby residents without field survey data. We applied two different simulation methods in LAHARZ to examine six water systems near Baekdu volcano, selecting weighting factors by varying the ratio of height and distance. There was a slight difference between uniform and non-uniform ratio changes in the lahar-inundation hazard zone maps, particularly as slopes changed on the east and west sides of the Baekdu volcano. This result can be used to improve monitoring of volcanic eruption hazard zones and prevent disasters due to large lahar flows.

Intensity measure-based probabilistic seismic evaluation and vulnerability assessment of ageing bridges

  • Yazdani, Mahdi;Jahangiri, Vahid
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.19 no.5
    • /
    • pp.379-393
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to first evaluate the seismic behavior of ageing arch bridges by using the Intensity Measure - based demand and DCFD format, which is referred to as the fragility-hazard format. Then, an investigation is performed for their seismic vulnerability. Analytical models are created for bridges concerning different features and these models are subjected to Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) analysis using a set of 22 earthquake records. The hazard curve and results of IDA analysis are employed to evaluate the return period of exceeding the limit states in the IM-based probabilistic performance-based context. Subsequently, the fragility-hazard format is used to assess factored demand, factored capacity, and the ratio of the factored demand to the factored capacity of the models with respect to different performance objectives. Finally, the vulnerability curves are obtained for the investigated bridges in terms of the loss ratio. The results revealed that decreasing the span length of the unreinforced arch bridges leads to the increase in the return period of exceeding various limit states and factored capacity and decrease in the displacement demand, the probability of failure, the factored demand, as well as the factored demand to factored capacity ratios, loss ratio, and seismic vulnerability. Finally, it is derived that the probability of the need for rehabilitation increases by an increase in the span length of the models.