• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.203-209
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• 2009

Frailty models are useful for the analysis of correlated and/or heterogeneous survival data. However, the inferences of fixed parameters, rather than random effects, have been mainly studied. The prediction (or estimation) of random effects is also practically useful to investigate the heterogeneity of the hospital or patient effects. In this paper we propose how to extend the prediction method for random effects in HGLMs (hierarchical generalized linear models) to log-normal semiparametric frailty models with nonparametric baseline hazard. The proposed method is demonstrated by a simulation study.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.15-22
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• 2010

Chloride-induced corrosion of steel bars in concrete exposed to marine environments has become one of the major causes of deterioration in many important facilities made of reinforced concrete. A study on chloride penetration in concrete has developed through long period exposure test along seawater, assesment of chloride ion diffusion by electrochemical techniques and so on. However, reasonable and exclusive chloride penetration model considering concrete material properties with mixture, degree of hydration, binding capacity has not been established. Therefore, in this paper, chloride penetration analysis of non-steady state is accomplished with material properties of concrete. Comparing with the results of analysis and chloride ponding test, we could accept the effect of binding capacity on chloride penetration in concrete and these results could be applied to a service life prediction of R.C. structures submerged in seawater. Therefore, there are 20~40% differences of service life to SHRP prediction.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.57-64
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• 2009

This study intends to evaluate of the characteristics of pavement deformation and develop the model for prediction model in the asphalt layer using a regression analysis. In test, there are two different asphalt binders and 5 different aggregate types. The air voids of hot mix asphalt are 6% and 10% for target value. Repeated triaxial compression test with 3 different confining pressures was used for test at 3 different test temperatures. It is going to verify the main parameters for permanent deformation of HMA and to develop the distress model. This paper is to figure out the factor affecting the pavement deformation, and then to develop model the pavement deformation for asphalt mixture. Also, the reliability of prediction model has been studied. The permanent deformation prediction model for asphalt mixtures with temperature, loading time, and air voids has been developed and the proposed permanent deformation prediction model has been validated by using the multiple regression approach which is called Statistical Package for the Social Sciences(SPSS).

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.127-132
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• 2011

In this study, calculation results of sediments yield prediction models were compared with the amount of dredging data for the Inje, Gangwon mountain region of Korea. MSDPM and LADMP were used as a sediments prediction model which was calibrated and modified to calculate the sediments yield of Korean mountain region. Both sediments yield prediction models were modified by using Threshold Maximum Rainfall Intensity and Total Minimum Rainfall Intensity and correction coefficient. After comparing with the amount of dredging, it was found that results of MSDPM is more accurate than the results of LADMP. Difference of results of MSDPM and the amount of dredging is 27.6% and difference of results of LADMP and the amount of dredging is 50.6%. Both sediments yield prediction models which were calibrated in this study can be used to calculate the sediments yield for the Korean mountain region.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.02b
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• pp.111.2-111.2
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• 2009

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.02b
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• pp.67.2-67.2
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• 2009

• Fire Protection Technology
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• s.10
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• pp.19-26
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• 1991

This reoprt intended to apprehend the principle for combustible phenomena in the environments and the prediction of its hazard in the virtual fire. So we first explained the basic machanism for the combustion, and discovered the tendency of the conbustion in the condition of the environmental factors(Humidity, Wind, Temperature) by means of some sxperiments about the wood as example.

• Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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• 2019.08a
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• pp.187-187
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• 2019

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.141-157
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• 2014

The Conditional Mean Spectrum represents a powerful link between the seismic hazard information and the selection of strong ground motion records at a particular site. The scope of the paper is to apply for the city of Bucharest for the first time the method to obtain the Conditional Mean Spectrum (CMS) presented by Baker (2011) and to select, on the basis of the CMS, a suite of strong ground motions for performing elastic and inelastic dynamic analyses of buildings and structures with fundamental periods of vibration in the vicinity of 1.0 s. The major seismic hazard for Bucharest and for most of Southern and Eastern Romania is dominated by the Vrancea subcrustal seismic source. The ground motion prediction equation developed for subduction-type earthquakes and soil conditions by Youngs et al. (1997) is used for the computation of the Uniform Hazard Spectrum (UHS) and the CMS. The disaggregation of seismic hazard is then performed in order to determine the mean causal values of magnitude and source-to-site distance for a particular spectral ordinate (for a spectral period T = 1.0 s in this study). The spectral period of 1.0 s is considered to be representative for the new stock of residential and office reinforced concrete (RC) buildings in Bucharest. The differences between the Uniform Hazard Spectrum (UHS) and the Conditional Mean Spectrum (CMS) are discussed taking into account the scarcity of ground motions recorded in the region of Bucharest and the frequency content characteristics of the recorded data. Moreover, a record selection based on the criteria proposed by Baker and Cornell (2006) and Baker (2011) is performed using a dataset consisting of strong ground motions recorded during seven Vrancea seismic events.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.54-66
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• 2006

Korea Forest Service made the landslide hazard map for all mountainous districts over the country in May 2005. In this study, we selected landslide areas occurred in Jeonbuk from 02 August 2005 to 03 August 2005 as the study area. We extracted landslide areas using images taken by PKNU 3 System, which was developed by PE&RS Laboratory in Dept. of Satellite Information Sciences, Pukyong National University and verified the accuracy of landslide hazard map by overlaying landslide hazard areas extracted by PKNU 3 images. And we analyzed characteristics of an altitude, a gradient, an inclined direction, a flow length, a flow accumulation for landslide areas using mountainous terrain analysis and Stream Network analysis of ArvView 3.3. As a result of this study, it is necessary to adjust the unitage(%) by the class and to modify and improve the score table for prediction of landslide-susceptible area forming the foundation of making the landslide hazard maps.