• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard function

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A Study on the Accident Scenarios Analysis and Hazard Analysis for Railway Staffs (철도종사자의 직무사고 시나리오 개발 및 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park Chan-Woo;Wang Jong-Bae;Cho Yun-ok
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.246-251
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    • 2005
  • Accident scenarios analysis is a course to understand, analyze, and describe a process of an accident and behavior pattern of the parties to an accident. The method of accident scenarios is that we described patterns represented between accidents and hazardous conditions, and then provide data to prevent the accident. We have carried out scenarios analysis in various fields so far, but it was not taking account of system. In this research, we made a study on technology of accident scenarios analysis using QFD (Quality Function Deployment) to analyze systematically and evaluate quantitatively types of hazards and scenarios of railway accident. And we analyses accident scenarios of a subject of work-related fatality accident to railway employee and conducted risk assessment for different scenarios. Also we defined relation between unsafe events and hazardous conditions caused to work-related fatality accident, and attempted to quantitatively assess work-related fatality accident and the parties to accidents. The results of this research will be used in analyzing for important causes and contributing factors of work-related fatality accidents at the step of risk assessment of railway system, and quantitatively assessing frequency of work-related accidents and risk.

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Metro Telecommunication Basis Facilities Standardization and Functional Improvement Research (도시철도 구내정보통신 기반설비 표준화 및 기능 향상방안)

  • Kim Moon-Tae;Yoon In-Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.964-968
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    • 2005
  • The standardization of information communication is doing a Internal each other connection and each other characteristic stability operation security in objective. From the low-speed network of the subway operation beginning currently it changes with the superhigh speed digital information transmission communication service environment which is a quality service, the hazard which plans the quality improvement of the efficient communication service use which hits to here and passenger service the standardization of the technical standard which stands and the improvement which hits to an engineering standard and facility must come to accomplish. The facility which existing is been old or the enclosure communication equipments which are insufficient. it improves, establishment itexpands efficiently, like this facilities it is stabilized and it is economic and rationally use maintenance it manages with the plan for the inside and outside of the country information communication relation technical standard and engineering standard service feature improvement and future expandability and economical efficiency, the possibility of having a pliability in order to be, rational technical standard and standard it takes a triangular position, efficient characteristic security of information communication service there is a place objective which promises the rational development of course city railroad communication system with character. Function improvement of enclosure communication base equipment, against an improvement and standardization plan it described trom the prosecution which it sees.

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Simulation of 1993 East Sea Tsunami by Parallel FEM Model (병렬 FEM 모형을 이용한 1993년 동해 지진해일 시뮬레이션)

  • Hong, Sung-Jin;Choi, Byung-Ho;Pelinovsky, Efim
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.3 s.49
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2006
  • The simulation of tsunami using detailed bathymetry and topography is required to establish the countermeasure of disaster mitigation and the tsunami hazard map. In this study, a simulation of the 1993 tsunami event in the East Sea using parallel finite element model, which is possible to simulate with suitable accuracy by the Beowulf parallel computation method, is performed to produce detailed features of coastal inundation. Results of simulation are compared with measured data. The evolution of statistic distribution of tsunami heights is studied numerically and the distribution functions of tsunami heights show a tendency to the log-normal curve along coastal area.

FAULT TREE ANALYSIS OF KNICS RPS SOFTWARE

  • Park, Gee-Yong;Koh, Kwang-Yong;Jee, Eunk-Young;Seong, Poong-Hyun;Kwon, Kee-Choon;Lee, Dae-Hyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.397-408
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    • 2008
  • This paper describes the application of a software fault tree analysis (FTA) as one of the analysis techniques for a software safety analysis (SSA) at the design phase and its analysis results for the safety-critical software of a digital reactor protection system, which is called the KNICS RPS, being developed in the KNICS (Korea Nuclear Instrumentation & Control Systems) project. The software modules in the design description were represented by function blocks (FBs), and the software FTA was performed based on the well-defined fault tree templates for the FBs. The SSA, which is part of the verification and validation (V&V) activities, was activated at each phase of the software lifecycle for the KNICS RPS. At the design phase, the software HAZOP (Hazard and Operability) and the software FTA were employed in the SSA in such a way that the software HAZOP was performed first and then the software FTA was applied. The software FTA was applied to some critical modules selected from the software HAZOP analysis.

Detection Performance and THD Analysis of Active Frequency Drift for Anti-Islanding (단독운전 방지를 위한 능동적 주파수 변환 기법의 검출 성능 및 THD 분석)

  • Jo, Yeong-Min;Choi, Ju-Yeop;Song, Seung-Ho;Choy, Ick;Lee, Young-Kwoun
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2015
  • Islanding is a phenomenon that EPS(Electric Power System) is continuously energized by PV PCS(Photovoltaic Power Conditioning System) even when EPS is isolated from the grid. Unintentional islanding will result in safety hazard, power quality degradation and many other issues. So, islanding protection of grid-connected PV PCS is a key function for standards compliance. Nowadays, many anti-islanding schemes are researched. But existing anti-islanding schemes used in PV PCS have power quality degradation and non-detection zone issues. This paper analyses not only detection performance of existed anti-islanding schemes using active frequency drift but also THD of PCS output current according to each value disturbance for anti-islanding. In addition, the lowest value of disturbance in each scheme was tabulated under guarantee of anti-islanding condition.

Tail dependence of Bivariate Copulas for Drought Severity and Duration

  • Lee, Tae-Sam;Modarres, Reza;Ouarda, Taha B.M.J.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.571-575
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    • 2010
  • Drought is a natural hazard with different properties that are usually dependent to each other. Therefore, a multivariate model is often used for drought frequency analysis. The Copula based bivariate drought severity and duration frequency analysis is applied in the current study in order to show the effect of tail behavior of drought severity and duration on the selection of a copula function for drought bivariate frequency analysis. Four copula functions, namely Clayton, Gumbel, Frank and Gaussian, were fitted to drought data of four stations in Iran and Canada in different climate regions. The drought data are calculated based on standardized precipitation index time series. The performance of different copula functions is evaluated by estimating drought bivariate return periods in two cases, [$D{\geq}d$ and $S{\geq}s$] and [$D{\geq}d$ or $S{\geq}s$]. The bivariate return period analysis indicates the behavior of the tail of the copula functions on the selection of the best bivariate model for drought analysis.

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A Study on the Position Error of the Aids to Navigation as a Safety Factor at Sea (선박 안전항행을 위한 항로표지의 위치오차 분석)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Dong;Kim, Woong-Gyu;Lee, Joo-Hyung;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.226-234
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    • 2006
  • Aids to Navigation is one of the most important facility for safety at sea. However, in terms of position there always exists discrepancy in inventory by media and/or organizational body who maintains the facility which may result in incredibility for navigator's position fixing or hazard avoidance. This paper suggests two major factors as the causes of the position error when they design, install and survey the aids to navigation. One is the function of direction of tide and water depth which makes swinging circle. The other is a variable value by time resulting from multiple coordination of satellites in contact. This paper aims to minimize inaccuracy by verifying its reason through numerical analysis over inherent position error.

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A Reliability Analysis of a Guyed Tower (Guyed Tower의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Tae-B.,Ha;Hang-S.,Choi
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 1987
  • As offshore activities move into deeper ocean, conventional fixed-base platforms drastically increase in size and cost, One of alternatives available is a guyed tower, in which environmental loads are supported by guylines instead of structural members. The guying system of the guyed tower is designed on one hand to be stiff enough to limit the structural displacement in normal operations, but on the other hand to be soft enough to permit large slow sways during the presence of design-level storms. This compliancy provides an efficient means of withstanding harsh environment so that the disproportionate increase in size of deep water platforms can be kept to a rational limit. Novel configurations contain always some degrees of potential risks mainly due to the lack of experience. The most critical hazard inherent to a guyed tower may be the pullout of anchor piles. Once it happens, the guyline fails to function and it may eventually lead to the total collapse of the system. It is the aim of this paper to discuss and quantify the anchor-pullout risk of a guyed tower. A stochastic analysis is made for evaluating the first-upcrossing probability of the tension acting on anchor piles over the uplift capacity. Nonlinearities involved in the mooring stiffness and hydrodynamics are taken into account by using time-domain analysis. A simplified two dimensional dynamic model is developed to exemplify the underlying concept. Real hurricane data in the Gulf of Mexico spanning over 70 years are incorporated in a numerical example of which result clearly indicates highly potential risk of anchor pullout.

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THE WEIBULL MARSHALL-OLKIN LOMAX DISTRIBUTION WITH APPLICATIONS TO BLADDER AND HEAD CANCER DATA

  • KUMAR, DEVENDRA;KUMAR, MANEESH;ABD EL-BAR, AHMED M.T.;LIMA, MARIA DO CARMO S.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.5_6
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    • pp.785-804
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    • 2021
  • The proposal of new families has been worked out by many authors over recent years. Many ways to generate new families have been developed as the methods of addition, linear combination, composition and, one of the newer, the T-X family of distributions. Using this latter method, Korkmaz et al. (2018) proposed a new class called Weibull Marshall-Olkin-G (WMO-G) family. In the present work, we propose a new distribution, based on the WMO-G family, using the Lomax distribution as baseline, called Weibull Marshall-Olkin Lomax (WMOL) distribution. The hazard rate function of this distribution can be increasing, decreasing, bathtub-shaped, decreasing-increasing-decreasing and unimodal. Some properties of the proposed model are developed. Besides that, we consider method of maximum likelihood for estimating the unknown parameters of the WMOL distribution. We provide a simulation study in order to verify the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimates. The applicability of the new distribution to modeling real life data is proved by two real data sets.

A dynamic reliability approach to seismic vulnerability analysis of earth dams

  • Hu, Hongqiang;Huang, Yu
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.661-668
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    • 2019
  • Seismic vulnerability assessment is a useful tool for rational safety analysis and planning of large and complex structural systems; it can deal with the effects of uncertainties on the performance of significant structural systems. In this study, an efficient dynamic reliability approach, probability density evolution methodology (PDEM), is proposed for seismic vulnerability analysis of earth dams. The PDEM provides the failure probability of different limit states for various levels of ground motion intensity as well as the mean value, standard deviation and probability density function of the performance metric of the earth dam. Combining the seismic reliability with three different performance levels related to the displacement of the earth dam, the seismic fragility curves are constructed without them being limited to a specific functional form. Furthermore, considering the seismic fragility analysis is a significant procedure in the seismic probabilistic risk assessment of structures, the seismic vulnerability results obtained by the dynamic reliability approach are combined with the results of probabilistic seismic hazard and seismic loss analysis to present and address the PDEM-based seismic probabilistic risk assessment framework by a simulated case study of an earth dam.