• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard analysis

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Development of New Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis and Seismic Coefficients of Korea Part II: Derivation of Probabilistic Site Coefficients (신(新) 확률론적 지진분석 및 지진계수 개발 Part II: 확률론적 지진계수 도출)

  • Kwak, Dong-Yeop;Jeong, Chang-Gyun;Lee, Hyunwoo;Park, Duhee
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.111-115
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    • 2009
  • In Korea, the probabilistically developed seismic hazard maps are used with deterministically derived seismic site coefficients in developing the design response spectrum of a specific site. Even though the seismic hazard maps and seismic site coefficients are incompatible, the current design code ignores such incompatibility. If the seismic hazard map and seismic coefficients are both developed in identical probabilistic framework, such problems can be solved. Unfortunately, the available method cannot be use to derive "true" probabilistic site coefficients. This study uses the ground motion time histories, which were developed as the result of a new probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in the companion paper, as input motions in performing one-dimensional equivalent linear site response analyses, from which the uniform hazard response spectra are generated. Another important characteristic of the hazard response spectra are that the uncertainties and randomness of the ground properties are accounted for. The uniform hazard spectra are then used to derive probabilistic site coefficients. Comparison of probabilistic and deterministically site coefficients demonstrate that there is a distinct discrepancy between two coefficients.

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Highway flood hazard mapping in Thailand using the Multi Criteria Analysis based the Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • Budhakooncharoen, Saisunee;Mahadhamrongchai, Wichien;Sukolratana, Jiraroth
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.236-236
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    • 2015
  • Flood is one of the major natural disasters affecting millions of people. Thailand also, frequently faces with this type of disaster. Especially, 2011 mega flood in Central Thailand, inundated highway severely attributed to the failure of national economic and risk to life. Lesson learned from such an extreme event caused flood monitoring and warning becomes one of the sound mitigations. The highway flood hazard mapping accomplished in this research is one of the strategies. This is due to highway flood is the potential risk to life and limb, and potential damage to property. Monitoring and warning therefore help reducing live and property losses. In this study, degree of highway flood hazard was assessed by weighting factors for each cause of the highway flood using Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). These weighting factors are the essential information to classify the degree of highway flood hazard to enable pinpoint on flood monitoring and flood warning in hazard areas. The highway flood causes were then investigated. It was found that three major factors influence to the highway flood are namely the highway characteristics, the hydrological characteristics and the land topography characteristics. The weight of importance for each cause of the highway flood in the whole country was assessed by weighting 3 major factors influence to the highway flood. According to the result of MCA analysis, the highway, the hydrological and the land topography characteristics were respectively weighted as 35, 35 and 30 percent influence to the cause of highway flood. These weighting factors were further utilized to classify the degree of highway flood hazard. The Weight Linear Combination (WLC) method was used to compute the total score of all highways according to each factor. This score was later used to categorize highway flood as high, moderate and low degree of hazard levels. Highway flood hazard map accomplished in this research study is applicable to serve as the handy tool for highway flood warning. However, to complete the whole warning process, flood water level monitoring system for example the camera gauge should be installed in the hazard highway. This is expected to serve as a simple flood monitor as part of the warning system during such extreme or critical event.

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Preparation of Landslide Hazard Map Using the Analysis of Historical Data and GIS Method (GIS 기법 및 발생자료 분석을 이용한 산사태 위험지도 작성)

  • Yun, Hong-Sik;Lee, Dong-Ha;Suh, Yong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we performed a GIS-based landslide hazard analysis by employing historical landslide data in Korea, coupling with geomorphological, geological, climatic and rainfall data. Based on 596 landslide data from 2001 to 2003, the correlations between landslide occurrence and various factors (elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, soil type and rainfall) that affect the occurrence were estimated by the statistical analysis, zonal statistics. The weights and hazard indices of 6 raster layers were derived from the estimated correlations in order to generate a landslide hazard map by applying raster calculation technique. As a result of this study, GIS technique can be used effectively to incorporate the landslide hazard contributions from various data sets simultaneously.

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Development of Disaster Prevention Information System using Disaster Prevention Map Based on Digital Image (수치영상 기반의 방재지도를 활용한 방재정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Joon-Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2011
  • As global warming and has caused the number of abnormal changes, much damage has occurred recently in Korean Peninsula from natural disaster. To prevent and cope with these annually repeated natural hazards, scientific analysis are needed in Disaster Management, including systematic management. In this study, As part of scientific disaster prevention measures, digital image based hazard map for solution to overcome the existing hazard map with schematic representation was constructed. which was combined digital image, digital map and hazard information, and than hazard information system was developed using the hazard map. The hazard information map and hazard information system are able to provide great service to the public and to support quick decision making for hazard management and analysis of natural hazard damage.

The Prediction of Hazard Area Using Raster Model (Raster 모델을 이용한 재해위험지 예측기법)

  • Kang, In-Joon;Choi, Chul-Ung;Cheong, Chang-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.2 no.2 s.4
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 1994
  • GSIS(geo-spatial information system), particularly when utilized in hazard management decision, is one of hazard analysis tool. Data of GSIS input from digitizing or scanning of map or aerial photos. This paper focuses upon the hazard prediction in GSIS and RS analysis to assess map, aerialphotos, satellite imagery and soil map. This study found computation of hazard area analysis. the results is formed as raster data model of quadtree. Authors knew more accurate results of overlay. This paper shows building up integrated data base as well as search of hazard area in aerial photographs.

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Seismic hazard assessment for two cities in Eastern Iran

  • Farzampour, Alireza;Kamali-Asl, Arash
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.681-697
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    • 2015
  • Iran as one of the countries located on the Alpine-Himalayan seismic belt has recently experienced a few number of catastrophic earthquakes. A well-known index of how buildings are affected by earthquakes is through assessment of probable Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and structures' response spectra. In this research, active faults around Kerman and Birjand, two major cities in eastern parts of Iran, have been considered. Seismic catalogues are gathered to categorize effects of surrounding faults on seismicity of the region. These catalogues were further refined with respect to time and space based on Knopoff-Gardner algorithm in order to increase statistical independency of events. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) has been estimated for each of cities regarding 50, 100, 200 and 500 years of structures' effective life-span. These results subsequently have been compared with Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis (DSHA). It has been observed that DSHA not necessarily suggests upper bound of PSHA results. Furthermore, based on spectral Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs), Uniform Hazard Spectra (UHS) and spectral acceleration were provided for 2% and 10% levels of probability of exceedance. The results show that increasing source-to-site distance leads to spectral acceleration reduction regarding each fault. In addition, the spectral acceleration rate of variation would increase if the source-to-site distance decreases.

Seismic risk assessment of intake tower in Korea using updated fragility by Bayesian inference

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.69 no.3
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2019
  • This research aims to assess the tight seismic risk curve of the intake tower at Geumgwang reservoir by considering the recorded historical earthquake data in the Korean Peninsula. The seismic fragility, a significant part of risk assessment, is updated by using Bayesian inference to consider the uncertainties and computational efficiency. The reservoir is one of the largest reservoirs in Korea for the supply of agricultural water. The intake tower controls the release of water from the reservoir. The seismic risk assessment of the intake tower plays an important role in the risk management of the reservoir. Site-specific seismic hazard is computed based on the four different seismic source maps of Korea. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) method is used to estimate the annual exceedance rate of hazard for corresponding Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA). Hazard deaggregation is shown at two customary hazard levels. Multiple dynamic analyses and a nonlinear static pushover analysis are performed for deriving fragility parameters. Thereafter, Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used to update the fragility parameters by integrating the results of the analyses. This study proves to reduce the uncertainties associated with fragility and risk curve, and to increase significant statistical and computational efficiency. The range of seismic risk curve of the intake tower is extracted for the reservoir site by considering four different source models and updated fragility function, which can be effectively used for the risk management and mitigation of reservoir.

A Process Hazard Analysis using HAZOP (HAZOP을 이용한 공정위험성 평가)

  • 이동형;배기웅;남소영;남경돈;이준열
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2000
  • Hazard and operability Review(HAZOP) is widely used as a process safety analysis which systematically identifies potential process deviations and settles the problems. In this paper, we carried out a process hazard analysis using HAZOP in K chemical plant. As a result, we showed that the plant could be operated more safely and be saved a lot of money by eliminating several existing hazardous factors through the change of processes and designs.

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A Process Hazard Analysis using HAZOP in K Chemical Plant (HAZOP에 의한 K화학공장의 공정위험성 평가)

  • 이동형;배기웅;남소영;남경돈;이준열
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2000
  • Hazard and operability Review(HAZOP) is widely used as a process safety analysis which systematically identifies potential process deviations and settles the problems. In this paper, we carried out a process hazard analysis using HAZOP in K chemical plant. As a result, we showed that the plant could be operated more saftly and be saved a lot of money by eliminating several existing hazardous factors through the change of processes and designs.

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Development of Probabilistic Site Coefficient (확률론적 지진계수 개발)

  • Kwak, Dong-Yeop;Jeong, Chang-Gyun;Park, Du-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.03a
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    • pp.707-714
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    • 2009
  • The design response spectrum generally used in Korea is decided by the site coefficients determined by deterministic methodology, while it is based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. The design response spectrum has to be made using probabilistic method which includes uncertainties of ground motions and ground properties for coincide with probabilistic methodology of seismic hazard analysis. In this study probabilistic site coefficients were developed, which were defined by the results of site response analysis using a set of ground motion that was compatible with present seismic hazard map. The design response spectrum defined by probabilistic seismic coefficients resulted in lower spectrum in long period area and larger spectrum in short period area. Also, the maximum spectral accelerations in site class D and site class E were lower than one in site class C while in the previous design response spectrum the maximum spectral acceleration increased from site class A to E.

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