• 대기
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.331-344
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• 2012

The changes in the Hadley circulation during the second half of the 20th century were examined using observations and the 20C3M (Twentieth Century Climate in Coupled Models) simulations by the 21 IPCC AR4 models. Multi-model ensemble (MME) mean shows that the mean features of the Hadley circulation, such as the intensity, magnitude, and the seasonal variations, are very realistically reproduced, compared to the ERA40 reanalysis. But the long-term trends of the Hadley circulation in 20C3M MME are quite different to those of observations. The observed intensity of the Hadley cell is persistently enhanced, particularly during boreal winter. In comparison, the meridional overturning circulations reproduced in the MME mean remains invariant in time, and even weakened in boreal summer. This discrepancy between the ERA40 and 20C3M MME is consistently shown in the overall structure of the Hadley circulations, such as mass streamfunction, the velocity potential, the vertical shear of meridional wind, and the vertical velocity in the tropical region. This results indicate that the current climate models are skill-less to capture the long-term trend of Hadley circulation yet, and should be improved in simulation of the large-scale features to enhance the confidence level of future climate change projection.

• 대기
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.665-672
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• 2016

In this study, we examine future changes in the Hadley cell (HC) strength using CMIP5 climate change simulations. The current study is an extension of a previous study by Seo et al. that used all 30 available models. Here, we select 18-23 well-performing models based on their significant internal sensitivity of the interannual HC strength variation to the latitudinal temperature gradient variation. The model projections along with simple scaling analysis show that the inter-model variability in the HC strength change is a result of the inter-model spread in the meridional temperature gradient across the subtropics for both DJF and JJA, not by the tropopause height or gross static stability change. The HC strength is expected to weaken significantly during DJF, while little change is expected in the JJA HC strength. Compared to the calculations with all model members, selected model statistics increase the linear correlation between the changes in HC strength and meridional temperature gradient by 13~23%, confirming the robust sensitivity of the HC strength to the meridional temperature gradient. Two scaling equations for the selected models predict changes in HC strength better than all-member predictions. In particular, the prediction improvement in DJF is as high as 30%. The simple scaling relations successfully predict both the ensemble-mean changes and model-to-model variations in the HC strength for both seasons.

• 대기
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.377-387
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• 2013

Projections of changes in the low latitude atmospheric circulation under global warming are investigated using the results of the CMIP5 ensemble mean. For this purpose, 30-yr periods for the present day (1971~2000) and the end of the $21^{st}$ century (2071~2100) according to the RCP emission scenarios are compared. The wintertime subtropical jet is projected to strengthen on the upper side of the jet due to increase in meridional temperature gradient induced by warming in the tropical upper-troposphere and cooling in the stratosphere except for the RCP2.6. It is also found that a strengthening of the upper side of the wintertime subtropical jet in the RCP2.6 due to tropical upper-tropospheric warmings. Model-based projection shows a weakening of the mean intensity of the Hadley cell, an upward shift of cell, and poleward shift of the Hadley circulation for the winter cell in both hemispheres. A weakening of the Walker circulation, which is one of the most robust atmospheric responses to global warming, is also projected. These results are consistent with findings in the previous studies based on CMIP3 data sets. A weakening of the Walker circulation is accompanied with decrease (increase) in precipitation over the Indo-Pacific warm pool region (the equatorial central and east Pacific). In addition, model simulation shows a decrease in precipitation over subtropical regions where the descending branch of the winter Hadley cell in both hemispheres is strengthened.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.203-211
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• 2019

대기 대순환을 결정하는 주요 인자로는 남북방향 온도 경도와, 지구 자전으로 인한 코리올리 힘이 있다. 남북방향 온도 경도에 따른 경압성 차이로 인한 대기 대순환의 변화는 지금까지 많이 연구되어 왔으나, 자전속도에 따른 대기 대순환의 반응은 크게 연구되어 오지 않았다. 때문에 본 연구에서는 현 지구보다 느리거나 빠른 자전속도 범위를 모두 포괄하여 이에 따른 해들리 순환과 제트의 변화를 확인하였다. 이 연구에서 우리는 지구의 자전속도가 빨라질수록 해들리 순환 경계와 제트의 위치가 적도에 가까워지고, 제트와 해들리 순환의 세기가 약해진다는 것을 발견하였다. 해들리 순환 경계와 제트의 위치는 자전속도가 매우 빠르거나 느린 경우를 제외하면 준선형적인 관계를 가졌다. 특히, 해들리 순환 경계는 자전속도가 현재보다 1/8에서 8배의 자전속도 범위에서 자전속도보다 그 제곱근에 더 잘 반비례하는 경향성을 보였다. 단, 이러한 자전속도에 따른 변화는 해들리 순환 세기와 제트의 세기에 대해서는 뚜렷하지 않았다. 이는 대기 대순환의 위치 구조 변화는 지구 자전속도와 관련이 큰 반면, 세기의 변화는 자전속도로 설명되지 않음을 의미한다.

• 대기
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.523-540
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• 2016

The effects of satellite observations on large-scale atmospheric circulations in the reanalysis data are investigated by comparing the latest Japanese Meteorological Association's reanalysis data (JRA-55) and its family data, JRA-55 Conventional (JRA-55C). The latter is identical to the former except that satellite observations are excluded during the data assimilation process. Only conventional datasets are assimilated in JRA-55C. A simple comparison revealed a considerable difference in temperature and zonal wind fields in both the stratosphere and troposphere. Such differences are particularly large in the Southern Hemisphere and whole stratosphere where conventional ground-based measurements are limited. The effects of satellite observations on the zonal-mean tropospheric circulations are further examined in terms of the Hadley cell, eddy-driven jet, and mid-latitude storm tracks. In both hemispheres, JRA-55C exhibits slightly weaker and narrower Hadley cell than JRA-55. This is consistent with a weaker diabatic heating in JRA-55C. The eddy-driven jet shows a small difference in its latitudinal location only in the Southern Hemisphere. Likewise, while the Northern-Hemisphere storm tracks are quantitatively similar in the two datasets, Southern-Hemisphere storm tracks are relatively weaker in JRA-55C than in JRA-55. Their difference is comparable to the uncertainty between reanalysis datasets, indicating that satellite data assimilation could yield significant corrections in the zonal-mean circulation in the Southern Hemisphere.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.177-187
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• 2006

현재 고등학교 지구과학실험 중 가시화가 어렵고, 재현성이 떨어지는 편서풍 파동장치를 개선한 유체실험장치를 개발하였다. 실험장치는 기존 실험장치의 문제점을 파악하고, 수조내 온도 차이를 명확히 하기 위한 열전도성이 높은 소재로 개발되었으며, 디지털 가시화 장치를 설치하여 기록과 분석을 용이하게 하였다. 그리고 이 장치를 통하여 편서풍파동의 이론적인 상사성과 재현성을 살펴보았다. 본 장치는 감온 액정 시트지를 이용해 유체 흐름의 가시화뿐만 아니라 유체의 온도분포와 상층기류와 하층기압골의 위치관계도 파악할 수 있다. 그리고 본 실험장치에서 재현된 편서풍 파동은 실제 대기의 편서풍 파동과 잘 상사됨을 확인하였으며, 현직 교사들을 대상으로 한 리커드 척도 평가에 의해 편서풍 파동장치의 효율성을 입증하였다.