• 제목/요약/키워드: Growth S Curve

검색결과 383건 처리시간 0.033초

기술성장곡선을 활용한 생존모형 개발 (Development of Survivor Models Using Technological Growth Models)

  • 오현승;조진형
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2010
  • Recent competitive and technological changes during the past decade have accelerated the need for better capital recovery methods. Competition and technology have together shortened the expected lives of property which could not have been forecasted several years ago. Since the usage of technological growth models has been prevalent in various technological forecasting environments, the various forms of growth models have become numerous. Of six such models studied, some models do significantly better than others, especially at low penetration levels in predicting future levels of growth. A set of criteria for choosing an appropriate model for technological growth models was developed. Two major characteristics of an S-shaped curve were elected which differentiate the various models; they are the skewness of the curve and underlying assumptions regarding the variance of error structure of the model.

A new Bayesian approach to derive Paris' law parameters from S-N curve data

  • Prabhu, Sreehari Ramachandra;Lee, Young-Joo;Park, Yeun Chul
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제69권4호
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    • pp.361-369
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    • 2019
  • The determination of Paris' law parameters based on crack growth experiments is an important procedure of fatigue life assessment. However, it is a challenging task because it involves various sources of uncertainty. This paper proposes a novel probabilistic method, termed the S-N Paris law (SNPL) method, to quantify the uncertainties underlying the Paris' law parameters, by finding the best estimates of their statistical parameters from the S-N curve data using a Bayesian approach. Through a series of steps, the SNPL method determines the statistical parameters (e.g., mean and standard deviation) of the Paris' law parameters that will maximize the likelihood of observing the given S-N data. Because the SNPL method is based on a Bayesian approach, the prior statistical parameters can be updated when additional S-N test data are available. Thus, information on the Paris' law parameters can be obtained with greater reliability. The proposed method is tested by applying it to S-N curves of 40H steel and 20G steel, and the corresponding analysis results are in good agreement with the experimental observations.

MEAN LOAD EFFECT ON FATIGUE OF WELDED JOINTS USING STRUCTURAL STRESS AND FRACTURE MECHANICS APPROACH

  • Kim, Jong-Sung;Kim, Cheol;Jin, Tae-Eun;Dong, P.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2006
  • In order to ensure the structural integrity of nuclear welded structures during design life, the fatigue life has to be evaluated by fatigue analysis procedures presented in technical codes such as ASME B&PV Code Section III. However, existing fatigue analysis procedures do not explicitly consider the presence of welded joints. A new fatigue analysis procedure based on a structural stress/fracture mechanics approach has been recently developed in order to reduce conservatism by erasing uncertainty in the analysis procedure. A recent review of fatigue crack growth data under various mean loading conditions using the structural stress/fracture mechanics approach, does not consider the mean loading effect, revealed some significant discrepancies in fatigue crack growth curves according to the mean loading conditions. In this paper, we propose the use of the stress intensity factor range ${\Delta}K$ characterized with loading ratio R effects in terms of the structural stress. We demonstrate the effectiveness in characterizing fatigue crack growth and S-N behavior using the well-known data. It was identified that the S-N data under high mean loading could be consolidated in a master S-N curve for welded joints.

한우 거세 및 비거세우의 성장곡선 특성 (Growth Curve Characteristics of Bull and Steer of Hanwoo(Korean Cattle))

  • 김내수;주종철;송만강;정정수;최양일;박철진
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제44권5호
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    • pp.519-522
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    • 2002
  • 농협 한우 개량부에서 시험 사육한 거세우 및 비거세우 각각 60두의 자료를 근거로 곰페르츠 방정식에 의한 성장곡선을 추정한 결과 비거세우의 성장곡선 방정식은 $W_t$ = 906.1.exp{-3.956.exp(-0.0034t)}이었으며, 거세우의 성장곡선 방정식은 $W_t$ = 823.1.exp{-3.301.exp(-0.0027t}이었다. 이 추정식에 의한 성숙체중은 과거에 추정한 식보다 높게 추정되었는데 이는 사양조건의 차이에 의한 것으로 사료된다. 비거세우에 대한 거세우의 체중비는 19.5개월까지는 급격히 감소하여 79.2% 정도에 이르렀으나, 이후 격차는 서서히 줄어들어 성숙시에는 90.8%에 이르렀다. 추정식은 생시 체중이 거세우의 경우 과다하게 그리고 비거세우의 경우 과소하게 추정되었으며, 실제 체중의 변이는 비거세우가 거세우에 비해 큰 경향을 보였다.

기술 성장 및 대체 곡선 관점에서의 CES 출품 Digital TV의 특성 분석 (An Analysis for the Characteristics of Digital TVs in CES in the View of Technology Growth and Substitution Curves)

  • 김도관;신성윤;진찬용
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2013년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.96-98
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 역대 CES에 출품된 디지털 TV의 특성을 기술의 수요곡선과 대체곡선의 관점에서 분류하여 살펴봄으로써 스마트 환경으로 진화하는 차세대 멀티미디어에 대한 예측을 제공하고자 하였다. 분석결과 초기 디지털 TV의 형태에서 기기 간 연결성(connected)을 키워드로 하는 2013년 등장한 스마트 형 디지털 TV에 이르기까지 디지털 TV는 기술 수요 곡선을 따라 진화를 거듭해왔으며, 현재 상품으로서의 수명주기의 성숙기에 이르는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 2013년 출품된 디지털 TV는 TV라는 단일 제품의 범위를 넘어서 다기능 멀티미디어 환경을 지원, 곡선형 또는 flexible 디스플레이 형태로 이미 과거의 디지털 TV의 기술 수요곡선을 넘어서 대체곡선의 도입기에 이르고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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성장장애(成長障碍)를 주소(主訴)로 내원(來院)한 환아(患兒) 200례(例)에 대(對)한 임상적(臨床的) 관찰(觀察) (A Clinical Inquiry into 200 Cases of Children Coming to the Clinic Due to the Symptom of Growth Deficiency)

  • 나동규
    • 혜화의학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.609-620
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    • 1999
  • Over the period between January 1997 and December 1998, herbal medicine was more than three times administered to the patients coming to Na dong gyu's Oriental Medical Clinic on account of the symptom of growth deficiency. According to radiological opinions about the patients providing cooperation for measuring their height and weight as well as their bone age every three months, it was found that the growth plates were not closed. A research was conducted for 200 children randomly selected of patients in prepuberty (they grew by less than 5cm a year before treatment at a age of 12years for female children and 14years for male children). As a result, the following conclusion was drawn: 1. The randomly selected subjects were made up of 116 male and 84 female children in terms of gender. The age direstribution was most 10 to 12 years in 86 children(34.00%), followed by 8-10 years(27.50%) and 12 to 14 years(19.50%). 2. Considering the distribution of sick children's parental height, the fathers of 141 children(70.50%) measured less than 170cm high, the subaverage height, while the mothers of 172 children(86%) measured less than 160cm high, the subaverage height. It was shown that sick childen's height was genetically influenced by their parents. 3. Children patients's weight at a time of birth was most 3.1-3.5kg for 85 children(44%) and less than 2.5kg which came under the range of growth dificiency for 19 children(9.5%). 4. The highest proportian of the children patients with growth dificiency(56.33%) had the symptom of digestive disorders, of which 77 children patients(18.78%) had anorexia, 16.59% of children patients had the high level of respiratory disorders. Both the digestive disorder and the respiratory disorder put together, they had the high rate of 72.92%. Therefore, this indicates that both the digestive disorder and the respiratory disorder have a great effect on children's growth dificiency. 10.74% of chilren patients were shown to have allergic disorders, which indicates that they also exert an effect on growth deficiency. Specifically, 7.07% of the children patients had the high level of obesity, which shows that an excessive uptake of nutrition may rather induce children to have growth dificiency though an appropriate amount of nutritional uptake is necessary. 5. Comparing their bone age and their chronological age, 58 children patients(29.00%) showed that they were the same at the highest percent. 79 children patients(39.50%) showed that thier bone age was lower than their chronological age. And 63 children patients(31.50%) showed that their bone age was higher than their chronological age. 6. As regards the prescription administered to children patients for treating their growth dificiency, Growth tang A related to the kidney, the congenital factor, of the causes for growth dificiency in traditional Oriental Medicine was administered to 108 children patients(54%), whereas the Growth tang B related to the spleen, the acquired factor, was administered to 92 children patients(46%). 7. 116 male children patients with growth dificiency had the average value of growth for one year before treatment, 4.39cm, while 84 female children patients had the average value of growth for one year before treatment, 4.24cm. A total of 200 children had the average value of growth for one year before treatment, 4.33cm. The annual average value of growth in growth curve surveyed by the Korea Pediatrics Society was 5.79cm. Compared to this value, the one year average value of growth for 108 male and female children patients taking Growth tang A was shown be 8.44cm, which indicates a greater growth by 4.12cm(95.37%) in comparison with the average value of growth before treatment, 4.32cm, and a greater growth by 2.65cm(45.77%) compared to 5.79cm, the average value of growth in growth curve surveyed by the Korea Pediatrics Society. Also, the average value of growth before treatment for 92 male and female children patients taking Growth tang B was shown to be 8.47cm, which indicates a greater increase by 4.15cm(96.06%) compared to 4.32cm, the average value of growth before treatment and a greater increase by 2.67cm(46.29%) in comparison with 5.79cm, the average value of growth in growth curve surveyed by the Korea Pediatrics Society. Considering the average value of growth for male and female children patients taking Growth tang A and B, it was shown to be 8.46cm, which indicates a greater increase by 4.14cm(95.81%) compared to 4.32cm, the average value of growth before treatment, and a greater increase by 2.67cm(46.11%) compared to 5.79cm, the average value of growth in growth curve surveyed by the Korea Pediatrics Society.

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성장장애(成長障碍)를 주소(主訴)로 내원(來院)한 환아(患兒)의 치료(治療) 효과(效果)에 대한 고찰(考察) (The Effects of oriental medical care on Growth Deficiency Children)

  • 이동현;김덕곤
    • 대한한방소아과학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.145-162
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of oriental medical care on growth deficiency children. These cases were collected to investigate the effects of oriental medical care on growth deficiency children. So the cases were divided into 5 groups. The growth velocity was compared to a normal growth curve, and the results are as follows: 1. Oriental medical care was efficient when the epiphysial plates were not closed. 2. In female middle school beyond 1st grade students and in male middle school 3rd grade students who had almost closed epiphysial plates, the oriental medical care was not efficient and did not promote growth velocity. endothelium were used for the experiment using organ bath. 3. In the cases where the parent were very short, the effects of the oriental medical care to promote growth velocity was not efficient. 4. when we treated children of normal height, their growth velocity was over the normal growth curve. 5. In preschool aged children, oriental medical care was very efficient to promote children's growth. 6. The principle oriental medical care was to make balanced their body and digestive organs by using herb medicines that have the capability to promote the growth of the bones, and build strong muscles.

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작은 표면균열의 성장특성에 의한 수명예측 (A Fatigue Life Prediction by Growth Characteristics of a Small Surface Crack)

  • 서창민;임창순;강용구
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.617-617
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    • 1989
  • This paper deals with a fatigue life prediction of a surface crack based on the experimentally obtained relationship between surface crack length ratio $a/a_{f}$ and cycle ratio $N/N_{f}$ using micro computer. Firstly $a/a_{f}$-$N/N_{f}$ curves obtained from experimental tests, were assumed as three curves UC(the upper limit curve), LC(the lower limit curve) and MC(the middle curve), and these were utilized to predict the fatigue life. Comparing the calculated values which represent the characteristics of crack growth behaviors from the three assumed curves with the experimental ones, it has been found that in the stable crack growth region, they coincide reasonably well each other. And the differences between the fatigue lives obtained from the assumed curves and the experimental fatigue life did not exceed 20%. Using the characteristics of $a/a_{f}$-$N/N_{f}$ curves, it is possible to predict the da/dN-Kmax curves and the S-$N_{f}$ curves.

작은 표면균열의 성장특성에 의한 수명예측 (A Fatigue Life Prediction by Growth Characteristics of a Small Surface Crack)

  • 서창민;임창순;강용구
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.108-117
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    • 1989
  • This paper deals with a fatigue life prediction of a surface crack based on the experimentally obtained relationship between surface crack length ratio $a/a_{f}$ and cycle ratio $N/N_{f}$ using micro computer. Firstly $a/a_{f}$-$N/N_{f}$ curves obtained from experimental tests, were assumed as three curves UC(the upper limit curve), LC(the lower limit curve) and MC(the middle curve), and these were utilized to predict the fatigue life. Comparing the calculated values which represent the characteristics of crack growth behaviors from the three assumed curves with the experimental ones, it has been found that in the stable crack growth region, they coincide reasonably well each other. And the differences between the fatigue lives obtained from the assumed curves and the experimental fatigue life did not exceed 20%. Using the characteristics of $a/a_{f}$-$N/N_{f}$ curves, it is possible to predict the da/dN-Kmax curves and the S-$N_{f}$ curves.

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Isolation and Identification of Noble Lactic Acid Bacteria

  • Yeo, Han-Cheol;Jang, Jin-Young;Park, Hyeong-Jun;Min, Byung-Tae;Yoo, Min
    • Quantitative Bio-Science
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2018
  • In this study, noble strains of lactic acid bacteria were isolated and identified by genetic analysis of 16s rRNA. Also, pH-dependent growth curve, cholesterol assimilation ability and sugar production efficiency were measured. Lactic acid bacteria were identified to inhabit in the milks from various animals. Results of sequence analysis showed that there were differences in 16S rRNA sequence among strains and part of gene deletion was also recognized. Growth rates were varied, too, depending on the pH of the medium. Lactobacillus rhamnosus LOCK908 isolated from cow milk showed the highest growth rate and high cholesterol assimilation ability. Results of sugar fermentation tests were relatively consistent with the sequencing results. So, we propose newly isolated Lactobacillus rhamnosus LOCK908 as useful candidate for a starter of fermented beverage and probiotics. Results of this study will contribute to the isolation and identification of noble Lactic acid bacteria and to the public health.