• 제목/요약/키워드: Gross income

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로지스틱 회귀모형과 머신러닝 모형을 활용한 주요산업의 부산 지역총생산 및 고용 효과 예측 (Prediction on Busan's Gross Product and Employment of Major Industry with Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Model)

  • 이재득
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

투자 및 육성지원이 지역내총생산에 미치는 영향에 관한 빅 데이터 실증분석 (Big Data Empirical Analysis on the Impact of Investment and Nurturing Support on Gross Regional Product)

  • 안동규;신충호
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 빅데이터를 활용하여 투자 및 육성지원이 지역내총생산에 미치는 영향력을 다중회귀분석을 이용하여 분석하였다. 지역내총생산(GRDP)은 각 지역의 생산규모·지출수준·소득수준·산업구조 등을 집약적으로 내포하고 있는 지수로써, 지역경제 분석 및 국가의 정책수립에 활용하는 중요한 자료이다. 국가의 주요 국정과제를 올바르게 수행하기 위해서는 지역경제를 정확히 파악하는 것이 선행되어야 하는데, 이로 인해 최근 지역내총생산에 대한 관심이 급격히 증가하고 있다. 특히 해외투자는 투자유치국의 경제에 미치는 영향력이 상당하여, 이에 대한 많은 실증분석이 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 해외투자 및 국내육성지원이 지역내총생산에 미치는 영향력을 상관분석과 다중회귀분석을 실시하였으며, 그 결과 전체적으로 투자와 지원이 지역내총생산에 긍정적인 영향을 미친다는 결론을 도출하였다.

도시동태모델을 이용한 경주 지역사회변화 예측 (Forecasting a Gyeongju's Local Society Change Using Urban Dynamics Model)

  • 이영찬
    • 경영과학
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2008
  • This study analyzes the changes of Gyeongju local society because of setting up low and intermediate level radioactive waste disposal site by using urban dynamics model. Specifically, after examining 'Gyeongju Long-Term Development Plan' announced in 2007, I establish the number of industries, population, gross local product, residents' income, and the long term employment condition as essential change-causing factors in Gyeongju local society based on the Big3 government project, and forecast it by using 'Gyeongju long-Term Development Plan' and all sorts of statistical data. In this stage, I assume 3 scenarios(basic, optimistic, and pessimistic view) to estimate the changes of local society more exquisitely, and scenarios are composed through mediation about variables of a growth rate and an inflow or outflow rate. The result shows that Gyeonaju local society would have growing changes by 2020. The essential change-causing factors are as follows. The case of population is estimated that it starts going down at the level of approximately 270 thousand by 2009, starts going up continuously after 2009, the year of completion of low and intermediate level radioactive waste disposal site, and increases from the level of about 300 thousand as minimum to 340 thousand as maximum in 2020. The estimates of other cases are made that the number of Industries has about 10 thousand increases, gross local product has almost 6 trillion increases, nominal gross national income doubles, as well as residences have approximately 280 thousand increases, and also made that employment condition also improves continuously, and diffusion ratio of house starts going up but the amount of supplies is a little bit insufficient in the long view.

KTB212선물에서 시중은행의 투자성과에 대한 실증분석 (An Empirical Study of The General Bank's Investment Performance in the KTB212 Futures)

  • 신연수
    • 정보학연구
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.75-90
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    • 2005
  • In this paper I examined trades of general bank In KTB212 Futures for patterns which are best described by the behavioral finance literature. I reported the statistics for traders of profit or loss traders, number of traders, total trader gross trading income, revenue per contract. Thess results are acquired from the revenue scale and the trade contract scale. When traders are ranked on the basis of performance, successful winning traders are short positions in the KTB212. This result appears more faithful to large scale traders. The evidence suggests that large traders are able to act on the information flow. The measure of success is as total income, and the relationship between position holding and success is clear.

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어가소득분포에 관한 조사연구 (Survey on the Income Distribution of Fishing Households in Korea)

  • 이강우
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 1982
  • This paper first makes a survey of fishing household economy which possess fishing boats under 10 gross Tons by a questionnaire, and makes a comparative study of major indicators of fishing household economy between Korea and Japan, and finally suggests some policies for the fisheries management. Major indicators are the status of fishery household members, number of fishing boats which possess, fisheries incomes, fishing household incomes, side business incomes of fishing household, disposal incomes, living expenses, sufficient degree of living cost, average propensity to consumption and so on. Some policies for improvement in fishing household incomes are suggested in the paper as follows: ⑴ Form a policy similar to a project aiming for increasing the income of fishermen so that the side business income will also increase. ⑵ The point of view in tracing origin of low productivity. ⑶ It has drawn up a plan to encourage saving after analyzing the cause of high propensity to consumption. ⑷ The paper is aimed to collect basic statistical materials for fisheries administration.

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딸기영농기술(營農技術)의 지역간(地域間) 차별성(差別性)과 영향요인(影響要因)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study on the Regional Difference in Strawberry Farming Technology and its Causal Factors)

  • 권용대
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.231-243
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    • 1995
  • This paper aims to study regional difference in strawberry farming technology and its causal factors based on the survey of controlled strawberry farmers in three major strawberry cultivating regions, which are Nonsan county of Chungnam Province, Damyang County of Junnam Province and Guchang County of Kyungnam Province. There are differences in variety adoption, packaging and grading method which cause the farming income gap among these regions. Farmers of Guchang County, who adopt new variety Yeobong and packing system, raised highest gross receipts but ranked next to Damyang in terms of net income because of high packing cost. Farmers of Nonsan County earned lowest income because of poor quality and low price in spite of adopting packing cost saving method. Therefore, results of this study shows that successful farming technology depend on whether or not farmers adopt market oriented technology. It is suggested that direction of strawberry farming technology should focus on adopting new varieties which can contribute to increasing farmers' paid price and developing technology of reducing cost such as labor saving and packing machine.

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PERFORMANCE OF SMALL SCALE LIVESTOCK/CROP DEMONSTRATION-CUM-TRAINING FARMS IN SRI LANKA

  • de Jong, R.;Kuruppu, L.G.;Jayawardena, Q.W.;Ibrahim, M.N.M.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.571-582
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    • 1994
  • Three livestock/crop demonstration-cum-training farms have been established on plots of half, one and two acres, typical of the "Kandyan Forest Garden System" Vegetables, bananas, pepper, coffee, coconut and fruit trees are widely spaced, for intercropping with grass, and have been surrounded with live fences that also provide fodder for livestock to increase the family income. Each unit is operated by a selected employee and his family under a monthly incentive scheme based upon the gross margin. On these farms the technical parameters in dairying are better than elsewhere in the Mid-Country. Economic performance over 1985-1992 showed that dairying contributed most to the total gross margin of the half, one and two acre units, i.e. 31, 63 and 69%, respectively. Next came crops (29%, 37% and 19%), poultry (22%, 0% and 9%), and goats (18%, 0% and 3%). In the three farms the cash income per Sri Lankan Rupee spent was 1.5, 4.6 and 2.1, respectively. The overall ratio was 3.2 for dairying, 1.1 for poultry, 4.5 for goats and 9.9 for crops. Actual family labour in the three farms was 548, 548 and 639 days, compared to the 270, 330 and 440 days anticipated in the initial feasibility study. The average incentive payments, which were 20% (half acre), 61% (one acre) and 133% (two acres) of the parastatal salary of the employee, were only insufficient for the extra labour applied in the half acre unit. Dairying and goats proved to be attractive cash earners with a domestic fuel were important benefits. Poultry did little to improve farm income.

Effect of Real Estate Holding Type on Household Debt

  • KIM, Sun-Ju
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study aims to provide implications for the government's housing supply policy by analyzing the factors that determine the type of real estate holding and household debt. This study started from the awareness that the determinants of household debt differ depending on the type of real estate holding. Research design, data and methodology: Real estate ownership type was classified and analyzed into 4 models: model 1 (1 household 1 house and self-resident), model 2 (1 household multiple real estate ownership and self-resident), model 3 (1 household 1 house and rent residence), model 4 (1 household holds a large number of real estate and rent residence). The analysis method used multiple regression analysis. The dependent variable was household total debt. As independent variables, household debt, annual gross household income, financial assets, real estate net assets, annual repayment, demographic & residential characteristics were used. Results: 1) Model 4 has the highest household debt and the highest gross income, Model 2 has the most real estate mortgage loans and real estate net asset, and Model 1 has the highest real estate mortgage payments. 2) The positive factor of common household debt determinants is real estate net assets, and the negative factor is financial assets. 3) It was the net assets of real estate that acted as a positive factor in common for the four models. In other words, the more financial assets, the less household debt. It was analyzed that the more net assets of real estate, the more household debt. The annual repayment of financial liabilities had no influence on household debt, while the annual repayment of loan liabilities and household debt had a positive relationship. Conclusions: 1) It is necessary to introduce benefits and systems that can increase the proportion of household financial asset. Specific alternatives include tax benefits and reduced fees for financial asset investment. 2) In the case where a homeless person prepares one house for one household, it is necessary to prepare various support measures according to the income level. The specific alternative is to give additional points for pre-sale or apply an interest rate cut incentive for mortgage loans.

Does the Gap between Domestic and International Gold Price Affect Money Demand?: Evidence from Vietnam

  • TUNG, Le Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to investigate the impact of the gap between domestic and international gold price on money demand in Vietnam, an emerging economy in the Asian region. We use a quarterly database collected from the first quarter of 2004 to the fourth quarter of 2016. The time-series database includes 52 observations. The money demand is represented by M2; Domestic income is the Gross domestic product at the constant prices of 1994; Inflation rate is calculated by the Customer Price Index from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam. The result confirms the existence of a long-term cointegration relationship between the money demand and the gap between domestic and international gold price as well as some variables including domestic income, inflation, and real exchange rate. The regression results also show that the gap between domestic and international gold price has a positive impact on money demand in the Vietnamese economy. Besides, the domestic income and international gold price have positive impacts on money demand while the inflation and real exchange rate are negatively related in the long run. This proves that the gap between the domestic and international gold price really has a positive impact on money demand in Vietnam during the study period.

임업생산(林業生産)이 국민소득(國民所得)에 미치는 영향(影響) (The Effect of Forest Production on National Income)

  • 이승윤
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 1969
  • 우리나라의 산림면적(山林面積)은 국토(國土)의 약(約)68%를 차지하고 있으나 그의 생산(生產)은 미미(微微)하여 국민총생산액(國民總生產額)에 대(對)하여 약(約)2%, 제(第)1차산업생산(次產業生產)에서 차지하는 비중(比重) 또한 5%정도(程度)에 불과(不過)하다. 그러나 이는 임업생산중(林業生產中) 직접소득(直接所得)만을 가지고 말한 것이며 임산물(林產物)의 대부분(大部分)은 원재료(原材料)로서 타(他) 관련산업(關聯產業)에 이용(利用)됨으로써 그의 우회적(迂回的) 생산과정(生產過程)을 통(通)해 얻어지는 부가가치(附加價値) 즉(卽) 간접소득(間接所得)이 더욱 중요(重要)하다. 그러나 이때까지 임업생산(林業生產)을 논(論)할때에는 목재생산(木材生產) 즉(卽) 직접생산(直接生產)만 가지고 논급(論及)하였지 이 간접생산(間接生產)에 대(對)하여는 하등(何等) 계산(計算)된 바 없다. 그러므로 한국은행(韓國銀行)에서 조사발표(調査發表)된 1963년도(年度)와 1966년도(年度) 양년분(兩年分)의 산업연관표(產業聯關表)를 가지고 물재구입율법(物財購入率法)을 써서 임업(林業)의 간접소득(間接所得)을 계산(計算)해 보았다. 그결과(結果) 직접소득(直接所得)은 1963년도(年度)가 14,361백만(百萬)원, 1966년도(年度)에는 17,709백만(百萬)원이던 것이, 간접소득(間接所得)은 1963년도(年度)가 42,688백만(百萬)원, 1966년도(年度)는 74,790백만(百萬)원으로서 임업소득합계(林業所得合計)는 1963년도(年度)가 57,049백만(百萬)원 1966년도(年度)는 92,499만(百萬)원이 된다. 따라서 국민총생산액중(國民總生產額中) 임업소득(林業所得)이 차지하는 비율(比率)은 1963년도(年度)가 8.23%, 1966년도(年度)에는 10.12%라는 고율(高率)을 차지하고 있다. 물론(勿論) 여기에는 한수해방지(旱水害防止) 토사유출방지(土砂流出防止)등(等) 국토보전(國土保全)과 풍치(豊致)등(等) 소위(所謂) 산림(山林)의 간접적효용(間接的効用)이 주는 무형적(無形的) 소극(所得)은 계산(計算)에 넣지 않었다. 이와 같이 임업(林業)에서는 그의 생산물(生產物)의 대부분(大部分)이 원재료(原材料)로서 타산업(他產業)에 이용(利用)됨으로써 직접소득(直接所得)보다 간접소득(間接所得)이 차지하는 비중(比重)이 대단(大端)히 높아 관련산업(關聯產業)의 발전(發展) 성장(成長)에 크게 기여(寄與)하고 있다. 그러므로 산업간(產業間)의 중요도판정(重要度判定)에서 임업(林業)은 결(決)코 경시(輕視)되어서는 아니 된다고 본다.

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