• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gravity Trade Model

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The Impact of Korean Wave on the Distribution of Consumer Goods Exports

  • KIM, Hun;KIM, Hyeob;CHANG, Byeng-Hee;PARK, Jiseob
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide a basis for establishing a policy to promote the export of Korean goods through the economic ripple effect of the Korean Wave. From 2001 to 2017, cultural goods exports and consumer goods exports data to 102 countries were used to estimate the effect of cultural goods exports on domestic consumer goods exports. Research design, data and methodology: Based on the Gravity Model, we analyzed the effects of domestic film, publishing, music, broadcasting, clothing, cosmetics, processed food, IT products, and automobiles on the export of consumer goods. Results: The empirical analysis estimated the trade creation effect of exports of cultural products driving exports of consumer goods and found that a 1% increase in exports of cultural products increased 0.136% in exports of consumer goods. Conclusions: The average rate of change in consumer goods exports due to changes in cultural product exports was 22.44, which could be interpreted as an increase of $2,244 in exports of consumer goods such as IT products, cosmetics, clothing, and processed foods. According to the analysis of export-driven effects of each consumer item by dividing cultural products by sector, the effects of export of processed foods, clothing, cosmetics, IT products, and film, music, publishing exports were statistically significant.

A Study on the Effect of Myanmar ODA's Aids on Exports through Panel Analysis (공적개발원조(ODA)가 수출에 미치는 영향 분석: 미얀마 사례를 중심으로)

  • Park, Hyun-Yong;Choi, Young-Jun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 2016
  • This studies the relationship between ODA and export performance of donor countries in Myanmar. This study analyzes 19 donor countries from 2002 to 2014 by using gravity model. The results show that ODA improves the export performance of donor countries in Myanmar in the period. The larger the amount of ODA, the larger the exports in Myanmar. And the rate of increase of ODA is also important in determining the export performance. These imply that ODA increases donor's export directly as well as indirectly by improving the relationship between donors and receivers. These results are important for Korea that is increasing ODA into Myanmar. Korea should search for a mode of ODA supporting as well as the amount of ODA.

The Effects of Export Insurance on Korea's Exportation before and after 2008 Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기에 따른 수출보험이 한국의 수출에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Mun-Seong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.297-315
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we explore the effects of export insurance on the Korea's export by using the gravity model with the data of 112 countries that Korea exports on years of 2005 and 2009. For this model, we used the Korea export as a dependent variables and real GDP, distance between the two nations, export insurance, country credit rating of the Korea's counterpart countries and FTA were used as an independent variables. The results show that the underwriting performance of the export insurance and the sovereign credit rating of the export counterpart countries have the positive impact on Korea's export. Also, the impact of the export insurance is more increasing to the Korea exportation but the importance of the economy size of the export counterpart countries decreased after 2008 global financial crisis. Particularly, the influence to the export by the sovereign credit rating has diminished in that period and this seems to be due to the export insurance has increased. These results imply that the export insurance plays an important role to promote the Korea's exportation since 2008 global recession. Especially, if the recession continues, then there will be more crippling impact to the small-mid size companies rather than large size companies. Therefore, Korea government should do their best to continuously expand the export insurance for the purpose of increasing Korea exportation, expecially to the small-mid size companies.

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Analysis of the ODA impact that Donor's Exports - Focus on Korean Technology Cooperation ODA (ODA가 공여국의 수출에 미치는 영향 분석 - 한국의 기술협력 ODA를 중심으로)

  • Byun, Sejun;Choi, Jaeyoung
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.99-122
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    • 2019
  • ODA (Official Development Assistance) aims for practicing international humanitarianism in developing countries. However, ODA donors also seek to find convincing evidence meeting the national economic & political interests in the international community. In this regards, precise & unbiased estimation of the policy effects of ODA aid on the donors' exports to the recipient countries has recently become one of the primary concerns of the ODA donors, especially developing countries including Korea of which economy structure heavily relies on exports for economic growth. Based on the basic gravity model, this study empirically analyzes the effects of technical cooperation ODA delivering skills, knowledge and technical know-how on Korea's exports to the ODA recipient countries using 10-year panel data from 2007 to 2016. Specifically, by incorporating major variables affecting trade such as GDP, distance, FDI etc, the effect of technical cooperation ODA on Korea's exports to the ODA recipient countries is estimated with various kinds of panel models. As a result, technical cooperation ODA has a statistically significant impact on Korea's exports to ODA recipient countries, especially in the exports of intermediate goods. And the detail process of this black-boxed mechanism is scrutinized through case studies on Uzbekistan, The Philippines, and Morocco.

Decomposition Analysis of Regional Governments in Foreign Direct Investment Increase or Decrease (우리나라 지방자치단체의 외국인직접투자 증감요인 분해 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Chun;Kim, Yoon-Sun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.159-183
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    • 2012
  • Promoted in places like Korea, the central government and the local governments that can provide information on which to base investment policy to attract foreign direct mutation-specific gravity model (Shift-Share Model) In this study, the decrease of foreign direct investment performance using factors looked up in the industry. The sample period of 2009, 2010, 2011 nationwide (metropolitan and non-metropolitan separated) of foreign direct investment performance for Industry Standard Industrial Classification (Division) was conducted. Factors to look at the results of the National Growth Effect(NS), the industrial structure effect (IM), local allocation effect(RS) to decrease foreign direct investment in 2010 and 2011 non-metropolitan, metropolitan national growth effect(RS) is negative(-) has a value. Because it appears to be the aftermath of the global recession, the impact on the domestic economy Metropolitan area and the Industrial Mix Effect(IM) to the development of education, culture, business, and transportation, etc. in the development of service industries than in non-metropolitan valid environment. In the sector of services (food accommodation, business services, entertainment), We did it, was able to find the function. However, the Regional Share Effect(RS) be competitive in the manufacturing sector in metropolitan areas in the metal and chemical sectors have been identified. These results seems to enhance the competitiveness of the region, such as the metropolitan area's excellent workforce. Shift-Share analysis technique based on competitive factors of the region, to find the failure has limitations.

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