• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gradient Boosting Regression

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Performance Comparison of Machine-learning Models for Analyzing Weather and Traffic Accident Correlations

  • Li Zi Xuan;Hyunho Yang
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 2023
  • Owing to advancements in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and artificial-intelligence technologies, various machine-learning models can be employed to simulate and predict the number of traffic accidents under different weather conditions. Furthermore, we can analyze the relationship between weather and traffic accidents, allowing us to assess whether the current weather conditions are suitable for travel, which can significantly reduce the risk of traffic accidents. In this study, we analyzed 30000 traffic flow data points collected by traffic cameras at nearby intersections in Washington, D.C., USA from October 2012 to May 2017, using Pearson's heat map. We then predicted, analyzed, and compared the performance of the correlation between continuous features by applying several machine-learning algorithms commonly used in ITS, including random forest, decision tree, gradient-boosting regression, and support vector regression. The experimental results indicated that the gradient-boosting regression machine-learning model had the best performance.

A gradient boosting regression based approach for energy consumption prediction in buildings

  • Bataineh, Ali S. Al
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes an efficient data-driven approach to build models for predicting energy consumption in buildings. Data used in this research is collected by installing humidity and temperature sensors at different locations in a building. In addition to this, weather data from nearby weather station is also included in the dataset to study the impact of weather conditions on energy consumption. One of the main emphasize of this research is to make feature selection independent of domain knowledge. Therefore, to extract useful features from data, two different approaches are tested: one is feature selection through principal component analysis and second is relative importance-based feature selection in original domain. The regression model used in this research is gradient boosting regression and its optimal parameters are chosen through a two staged coarse-fine search approach. In order to evaluate the performance of model, different performance evaluation metrics like r2-score and root mean squared error are used. Results have shown that best performance is achieved, when relative importance-based feature selection is used with gradient boosting regressor. Results of proposed technique has also outperformed the results of support vector machines and neural network-based approaches tested on the same dataset.

Dynamic Caching Routing Strategy for LEO Satellite Nodes Based on Gradient Boosting Regression Tree

  • Yang Yang;Shengbo Hu;Guiju Lu
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.131-147
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    • 2024
  • A routing strategy based on traffic prediction and dynamic cache allocation for satellite nodes is proposed to address the issues of high propagation delay and overall delay of inter-satellite and satellite-to-ground links in low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite systems. The spatial and temporal correlations of satellite network traffic were analyzed, and the relevant traffic through the target satellite was extracted as raw input for traffic prediction. An improved gradient boosting regression tree algorithm was used for traffic prediction. Based on the traffic prediction results, a dynamic cache allocation routing strategy is proposed. The satellite nodes periodically monitor the traffic load on inter-satellite links (ISLs) and dynamically allocate cache resources for each ISL with neighboring nodes. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed routing strategy effectively reduces packet loss rate and average end-to-end delay and improves the distribution of services across the entire network.

Investment, Export, and Exchange Rate on Prediction of Employment with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Models (투자와 수출 및 환율의 고용에 대한 의사결정 나무, 랜덤 포레스트와 그래디언트 부스팅 머신러닝 모형 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.281-299
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.

Android Malware Detection Using Permission-Based Machine Learning Approach (머신러닝을 이용한 권한 기반 안드로이드 악성코드 탐지)

  • Kang, Seongeun;Long, Nguyen Vu;Jung, Souhwan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.617-623
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    • 2018
  • This study focuses on detection of malicious code through AndroidManifest permissoion feature extracted based on Android static analysis. Features are built on the permissions of AndroidManifest, which can save resources and time for analysis. Malicious app detection model consisted of SVM (support vector machine), NB (Naive Bayes), Gradient Boosting Classifier (GBC) and Logistic Regression model which learned 1,500 normal apps and 500 malicious apps and 98% detection rate. In addition, malicious app family identification is implemented by multi-classifiers model using algorithm SVM, GPC (Gaussian Process Classifier) and GBC (Gradient Boosting Classifier). The learned family identification machine learning model identified 92% of malicious app families.

Using Machine Learning Technique for Analytical Customer Loyalty

  • Mohamed M. Abbassy
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.190-198
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    • 2023
  • To enhance customer satisfaction for higher profits, an e-commerce sector can establish a continuous relationship and acquire new customers. Utilize machine-learning models to analyse their customer's behavioural evidence to produce their competitive advantage to the e-commerce platform by helping to improve overall satisfaction. These models will forecast customers who will churn and churn causes. Forecasts are used to build unique business strategies and services offers. This work is intended to develop a machine-learning model that can accurately forecast retainable customers of the entire e-commerce customer data. Developing predictive models classifying different imbalanced data effectively is a major challenge in collected data and machine learning algorithms. Build a machine learning model for solving class imbalance and forecast customers. The satisfaction accuracy is used for this research as evaluation metrics. This paper aims to enable to evaluate the use of different machine learning models utilized to forecast satisfaction. For this research paper are selected three analytical methods come from various classifications of learning. Classifier Selection, the efficiency of various classifiers like Random Forest, Logistic Regression, SVM, and Gradient Boosting Algorithm. Models have been used for a dataset of 8000 records of e-commerce websites and apps. Results indicate the best accuracy in determining satisfaction class with both gradient-boosting algorithm classifications. The results showed maximum accuracy compared to other algorithms, including Gradient Boosting Algorithm, Support Vector Machine Algorithm, Random Forest Algorithm, and logistic regression Algorithm. The best model developed for this paper to forecast satisfaction customers and accuracy achieve 88 %.

Predicting Gross Box Office Revenue for Domestic Films

  • Song, Jongwoo;Han, Suji
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2013
  • This paper predicts gross box office revenue for domestic films using the Korean film data from 2008-2011. We use three regression methods, Linear Regression, Random Forest and Gradient Boosting to predict the gross box office revenue. We only consider domestic films with a revenue size of at least KRW 500 million; relevant explanatory variables are chosen by data visualization and variable selection techniques. The key idea of analyzing this data is to construct the meaningful explanatory variables from the data sources available to the public. Some variables must be categorized to conduct more effective analysis and clustering methods are applied to achieve this task. We choose the best model based on performance in the test set and important explanatory variables are discussed.

Crop Yield and Crop Production Predictions using Machine Learning

  • Divya Goel;Payal Gulati
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2023
  • Today Agriculture segment is a significant supporter of Indian economy as it represents 18% of India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and it gives work to half of the nation's work power. Farming segment are required to satisfy the expanding need of food because of increasing populace. Therefore, to cater the ever-increasing needs of people of nation yield prediction is done at prior. The farmers are also benefited from yield prediction as it will assist the farmers to predict the yield of crop prior to cultivating. There are various parameters that affect the yield of crop like rainfall, temperature, fertilizers, ph level and other atmospheric conditions. Thus, considering these factors the yield of crop is thus hard to predict and becomes a challenging task. Thus, motivated this work as in this work dataset of different states producing different crops in different seasons is prepared; which was further pre-processed and there after machine learning techniques Gradient Boosting Regressor, Random Forest Regressor, Decision Tree Regressor, Ridge Regression, Polynomial Regression, Linear Regression are applied and their results are compared using python programming.

Analysis of Factors Related To Elderly Pedestrian Traffic Accients : Centered on Seoul Metropolitan City (노인보행자교통사고 요인 분석 : 서울특별시 중심으로)

  • Seong, Je Min;Yoon, Byoung-Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.261-262
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    • 2023
  • 보행자 교통사고는 보행자와 운행 중인 차량 간 발생한 충돌사고로 도로 및 주변 환경 등에 영항을 받는다. 이 연구에서는 2018년부터 2022년까지 서울특별시에서 발생한 노인 보행자 교통사고 자료를 수집하여 보행자 교통사고의 사고 요인을 분석하였다. 분석에 있어서 고려된 연구모형은 랜덤포레스트, Gradient Boosting regression(GBR)이다. 분석 결과 서울특별시의 지리적 특성과 교통 통행 패턴을 반영하여 교통약자를 대상으로 하는 교통정책을 보완하고, 보행 안전을 강화하는 것이 필요하다.

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Forecasting daily PM10 concentrations in Seoul using various data mining techniques

  • Choi, Ji-Eun;Lee, Hyesun;Song, Jongwoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.199-215
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    • 2018
  • Interest in $PM_{10}$ concentrations have increased greatly in Korea due to recent increases in air pollution levels. Therefore, we consider a forecasting model for next day $PM_{10}$ concentration based on the principal elements of air pollution, weather information and Beijing $PM_{2.5}$. If we can forecast the next day $PM_{10}$ concentration level accurately, we believe that this forecasting can be useful for policy makers and public. This paper is intended to help forecast a daily mean $PM_{10}$, a daily max $PM_{10}$ and four stages of $PM_{10}$ provided by the Ministry of Environment using various data mining techniques. We use seven models to forecast the daily $PM_{10}$, which include five regression models (linear regression, Randomforest, gradient boosting, support vector machine, neural network), and two time series models (ARIMA, ARFIMA). As a result, the linear regression model performs the best in the $PM_{10}$ concentration forecast and the linear regression and Randomforest model performs the best in the $PM_{10}$ class forecast. The results also indicate that the $PM_{10}$ in Seoul is influenced by Beijing $PM_{2.5}$ and air pollution from power stations in the west coast.