• 제목/요약/키워드: Goodness-of-fitness

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3변수 Weibull 분포형의 형상매개변수 및 극치값 가중치를 고려한 EDF 검정에 대한 연구 (A Study on Empirical Distribution Function with Unknown Shape Parameter and Extreme Value Weight for Three Parameter Weibull Distribution)

  • 김태림;신홍준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2013
  • 적절한 확률분포형을 결정하고 그에 따른 확률수문량을 산정하는 것은 빈도해석에서 가장 중요한 절차이며, 이를 수행하기 위해서는 경험적 확률분포에서 얻어지는 자료와 가정한 확률분포에서 얻어지는 자료의 일치 정도를 판별하는 적합도 검정을 거쳐야 한다. 지금까지 일반적으로 적용된 적합도 검정 방법은 분포형의 전체적인 적합정도를 판별하여 최근의 기상이변으로 인한 극치 사상에 대하여는 충분히 고려하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 분포형의 극치 사상에 가중치를 주는 modified Anderson-Darling(AD) 검정 방법을 3변수 Weibull 분포형에 적용하여 검정통계량 한계값과 기각력을 살펴보았으며 이를 실제자료에 적용한 결과, modified AD 검정 방법이 다른 기존의 적합도 검정보다 더 우수한 기각력을 가지고 있음을 확인하였다. 이는 앞으로 3변수 Weibull 분포형을 이용한 극치 수문량 선정에 있어 modified AD 방법이 하나의 기준으로 작용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

추진장약 수락시험시 포구속도 확률분포에 기준탄이 미치는 영향 (Effects of Calibration Rounds on the Statistical Distribution of Muzzle Velocity in Acceptance Test of Propelling Charge)

  • 박성호;김재훈
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.204-212
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of calibration rounds on the statistical distribution of the muzzle velocity in acceptance test of propelling charge. It is shown that the normal distribution fits best among statistical distributions from goodness-of fit test. The 3p-Weibull distribution is also acceptable because the shape of the probability density function curve is similar to that of normal distribution and it also has near zero skewness value. Muzzle velocities of test rounds uncompensated by calibration rounds showed high variation and had comparatively higher skewness. Because the skewness of normal distribution is defined to be zero, calibration rounds make the normality of data higher.

간호조직내의 팔로워십[Followership]이 조직유효성에 미치는 영향 (The Impact of the Followership Style on the Organizational Effectiveness in Nursing Organization)

  • 한지영;김미예
    • 간호행정학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.233-243
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purposes of the study were to examine whether nurses' followership style influence organizational effectiveness and to test the model of organizational effectiveness including the factors of nursing organizational culture, leadership style, and followership style. Methods: Data were collected from July 10th to september 20th in 2006 from 451 nurses working in four acute care hospitals. Data analysis were performed by Chi-square test, ANOVA, Duncan test, Pearson Correlation, and maximum likelihood estimation, using the SAS and LISREL 8.30 program. Results: The findings showed that the types of nurses' followership were classified as passive (21.1%), alienated (8.2%), conformist (16.4%), pragmatist (35.9%), and effective style (18.4%). There was significant difference in the organizational effectiveness among the nurses with different followership styles. In testing the path model, transformational, transactional leadership directly influenced followership style. Followership directly influenced organizational effectiveness. Conclusion: The overall fitness of the model was good, evidenced by general fitness index (GFI)=.94, adjusted goodness of fitness index (AGFI)=.82, and root mean square residual (RMSEA)=.06. Based on the findings, it is recommended to develop a program for enhancing effective followership in nursing organization.

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수산자원량 추정을 위한 생물경제 모델의 적합성평가 (Determining Appropriate Bioeconomic Models for Stock Assessment of Aquatic Resources)

  • 표희동
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.75-98
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    • 2002
  • As a contribution to developing fishery stock assessment, optimum sustainable yield and its international standards such as MSY, MEY, and dynamic MEY for six recommended fisheries are developed using bio-economic models. For selecting the appropriate model, five models - Schaefer, Schnute, Walters and Hilborn, Fox, and CY&P models are tested in effort and catch data of six species. Surprisingly all the models except the CY&P model failed to satisfy statistical standards such as goodness-of-fitness and reliability. Generally, the CY&P model holds good fitness and statistically significant level for all of six fisheries. However, the CY&P model for squid, where the intrinsic growth rate is high, could not explain MSY, MEY, and dynamic MEY appropriately. This study makes a contribution to develop the modified model for the intrinsic growth rate of 1. The reformulated model represents the results reasonably even though the estimated equation has not good fitness. Although most of the CY&P models appear to have good fits and validated results for some cases, these models also seem to be quite sensitive to parameters which means a more stable model should be developed and data should carefully be handled. In particular biological and technical interactions such as multispecies, predator prey relationship, age structure and mortality should be taken into account. In addition, economic factors and fishing efforts such as price, cost, technical change and a reasonable function of fishing input should simultaneously be considered.

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고등학생용 정신건강 및 문제행동 선별질문지(AMPQ)의 타당도 및 신뢰도 검증 (Test of Validity and Reliability of the Adolescent Mental Problem Questionnaire for Korean High School Students)

  • 김수진;이정숙;권영란;오미라;김보영
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.700-708
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: This study was done to test the validity and reliability of the Adolescent Mental Problem Questionnaire (AMPQ) for Korean high school students. Methods: The AMPQ was designed to assess adolescents', mental health status and problem behavior (Ahn, 2006). A methodological study design was used with exploratory factor analysis, Pearson's correlation coefficients, and a fitness of the modified model for validity. Also, Cronbach's alpha coefficients and alternative-form method for reliability were used. AMPQ was tested with a sample of 36,313 high school students. The participants consisted of 18,701 males and 17,612 females. Results: Seven factors were extracted through factor analysis: 'Psychiatric problems', 'Delinquency', 'Academic troubles', 'Family problems', 'Hazardous behavior', 'Harmful circumstance', 'Eating problems'. These factors explained 51.1% of the total variance. The fitness of the modified model was good ($X^2$=38,413.76, Goodness of Fit Index [GFI]=.94, Adjusted Goodness of Fit Index [AGFI]=.93, Comparative Fit Index [CFI]=.95, Root Mean Square Error of Approximation [RMSEA]=.05), and concurrent validity with Korea-Youth Self-Report [K-YSR] was .63. Cronbach's alpha coefficient of the 31 items was .85. Conclusion: The results of present study suggest that the modified AMPQ instrument may be useful for efficiently assessing mental health status and problem behavior in late adolescent, high school students.

Multivariate design estimations under copulas constructions. Stage-1: Parametrical density constructions for defining flood marginals for the Kelantan River basin, Malaysia

  • Latif, Shahid;Mustafa, Firuza
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.287-328
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    • 2019
  • Comprehensive understanding of the flood risk assessments via frequency analysis often demands multivariate designs under the different notations of return periods. Flood is a tri-variate random consequence, which often pointing the unreliability of univariate return period and demands for the joint dependency construction by accounting its multiple intercorrelated flood vectors i.e., flood peak, volume & durations. Selecting the most parsimonious probability functions for demonstrating univariate flood marginals distributions is often a mandatory pre-processing desire before the establishment of joint dependency. Especially under copulas methodology, which often allows the practitioner to model univariate marginals separately from their joint constructions. Parametric density approximations often hypothesized that the random samples must follow some specific or predefine probability density functions, which usually defines different estimates especially in the tail of distributions. Concentrations of the upper tail often seem interesting during flood modelling also, no evidence exhibited in favours of any fixed distributions, which often characterized through the trial and error procedure based on goodness-of-fit measures. On another side, model performance evaluations and selections of best-fitted distributions often demand precise investigations via comparing the relative sample reproducing capabilities otherwise, inconsistencies might reveal uncertainty. Also, the strength & weakness of different fitness statistics usually vary and having different extent during demonstrating gaps and dispensary among fitted distributions. In this literature, selections efforts of marginal distributions of flood variables are incorporated by employing an interactive set of parametric functions for event-based (or Block annual maxima) samples over the 50-years continuously-distributed streamflow characteristics for the Kelantan River basin at Gulliemard Bridge, Malaysia. Model fitness criteria are examined based on the degree of agreements between cumulative empirical and theoretical probabilities. Both the analytical as well as graphically visual inspections are undertaken to strengthen much decisive evidence in favour of best-fitted probability density.

생활한복의 구매동기에 관한 연구 -부산지역을 중심으로- (A Study on the Consumer's Purchasing Motives toward Casual Hanbok - in the areas of Pusan -)

  • 최은경
    • 복식
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    • 제45권
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 1999
  • This study was to identify the dimensions of consumer's purchasing motives and purchasing delay reasons toward casual hanbok. Other objective was to examine relationship between these variables and future purchasing intention. Th 22 purchasing motive questions and 19 purchasing delay reasons were selected through the result of self-questionnaire analysis. 302 purchaser and 297 consumers who delay for particular reasons in Pusan responsed to the second questionnaire of purchasing motives and purchasing delay reasons toward casual Hanbok. The results as follows: 1. For factor analysis 22 purchasing motive questions were subjected to the principle component analysis with orthogonal rotation after extraction of 6 major factors. Six dimensions are consciousness of nation goodness of design conformity with fashion charming apperance relaxation fo body and mind nation goodness of design conformity with fashion charming appearance relaxation of body and mind and pursuit of individuality. These factors explained 62.0% of total variables. 2. Consumer's purchasing motives such as consciousness of nation goodness of design charming appearance and relaxation of body and mind has predicting power to the re-purchasing intention of casual hanbok 3. For factor analysis 19 delay reason question were subjected to the principle component analysis with orthogonal rotation after extraction of 5 major factors. Five dimensions are non-fitness for occasion and body shape unsatisfaction with design unsatisfaction with price need of information search for better product and preference for traditional hangok. These factors explained 60.4% of total variables. 4. Delay reasons of unsatisfaction with design and price were positively related to the future purchasing intention. This delay reason is caused by forces external to the consumer and the consumer has engaged in information search. This result explained this type of consumer has the strong future purchasing intention.

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로짓모형에 있어서 다중공선성의 영향에 관한 연구 (Effects of Multicollinearity in Logit Model)

  • 류시균
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.113-126
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    • 2008
  • 비확률변수간 선형관계로 정의되는 다중공선성은 설명변수간 선형방정식으로 표현되는 회귀모형의 신뢰도를 저하시키기 때문에 회귀모형의 구축과정에서는 세심한 검토와 대응이 이루어진다. 본 연구에서는 구조화된 수치실험을 통해서 로짓모형에 대한 다중공선성의 영향을 규명하였다. 효용함수를 구성하는 설명변수들간 상관관계의 정도에 따라서 추정된 모형의 적합도 지표와 계수의 신뢰도 지표가 어떻게 변동하는 지를 추적함으로써 다음과 같은 시사점을 확인할 수 있었다. 첫째, 설명변수의 추가를 통해서 모델의 적합도 개선이 가능한 회귀모형과 달리, 로짓모형에서는 효용함수에 설명변수를 추가하는 경우 로짓모형의 적합도가 개선될 수도, 역으로 저하될 수도 있음이 확인되었다. 둘째, 공통의 계수를 갖도록 모델을 구성하면 제네릭 변수간 상관관계가 높아짐에 따라 모델의 적합도가 저하됨을 확인하였다. 셋째, 설명 변수간 상관관계가 높은 경우 선택행동에 대한 설명변수의 기여도가 과대평가될 가능성을 확인하였다. 넷째, 설명변수간 상관관계가 높으면 추정된 계수의 신뢰도가 저하됨을 확인하였다. 결론적으로 본 연구를 통해서 그동안 로짓모형의 구축과정에서는 주목받지 못했던 다중공선성이 실제로는 세심한 배려와 적절한 대응을 통해서 제어되어야 함이 규명되었다.

미취학 자녀를 둔 취업여성의 건강관련 삶의 질 구조분석 (Structural Analysis of the Health Related Quality of Life in Working Women with Preschool Children)

  • 이혜경;김선희
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to construct a model that describes the health related quality of life in working women with preschool children and to verify the goodness of fitness of the model. Methods: The data were collected with a structured self-report questionnaire from 483 working women with preschool children. Results: The modified model showed a reasonable fitness to the data. Social support, job satisfaction, parenting stress, sense of coherence and depression accounted for 78% of the health related quality of life in working women with preschool children. Conclusion: This study suggests that the health related quality of life in working women with preschool children can be improved by reducing parenting stress and depression level, and by increasing social support, job satisfaction, and sense of coherence. Depression can also be managed by reducing parenting stress and by increasing job satisfaction and sense of coherence. Based on the results of this study, it is necessary to develop intervention programs to increase the health related quality of life or to decrease depression in working women.

크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석 (Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel)

  • 김재갑;김재훈
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.