• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global Precipitation

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SSP Climate Change Scenarios with 1km Resolution Over Korean Peninsula for Agricultural Uses (농업분야 활용을 위한 한반도 1km 격자형 SSP 기후변화 시나리오)

  • Jina Hur;Jae-Pil Cho;Sera Jo;Kyo-Moon Shim;Yong-Seok Kim;Min-Gu Kang;Chan-Sung Oh;Seung-Beom Seo;Eung-Sup Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2024
  • The international community adopts the SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) scenario as a new greenhouse gas emission pathway. As part of efforts to reflect these international trends and support for climate change adaptation measure in the agricultural sector, the National Institute of Agricultural Sciences (NAS) produced high-resolution (1 km) climate change scenarios for the Korean Peninsula based on SSP scenarios, certified as a "National Climate Change Standard Scenario" in 2022. This paper introduces SSP climate change scenario of the NAS and shows the results of the climate change projections. In order to produce future climate change scenarios, global climate data produced from 18 GCM models participating in CMIP6 were collected for the past (1985-2014) and future (2015-2100) periods, and were statistically downscaled for the Korean Peninsula using the digital climate maps with 1km resolution and the SQM method. In the end of the 21st century (2071-2100), the average annual maximum/minimum temperature of the Korean Peninsula is projected to increase by 2.6~6.1℃/2.5~6.3℃ and annual precipitation by 21.5~38.7% depending on scenarios. The increases in temperature and precipitation under the low-carbon scenario were smaller than those under high-carbon scenario. It is projected that the average wind speed and solar radiation over the analysis region will not change significantly in the end of the 21st century compared to the present. This data is expected to contribute to understanding future uncertainties due to climate change and contributing to rational decision-making for climate change adaptation.

Global Occurrence of Harmful Cyanobacterial Blooms and N, P-limitation Strategy for Bloom Control (유해 남조류의 세계적 발생현황 및 녹조제어를 위한 질소와 인-제한 전략)

  • Ahn, Chi-Yong;Lee, Chang Soo;Choi, Jae Woo;Lee, Sanghyup;Oh, Hee-Mock
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2015
  • Increased harmful algal blooms by cyanobacteria are threatening public health and limiting human activities related with freshwater ecosystems. Phosphorus (P) has long been suggested as a critical nutrient for cyanobacterial bloom through field research in Canada during the 1970s, proposing a P-based freshwater management guideline. However, recently, nitrogen (N) has also been highlighted as an impacting nutrient on cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (CyanoHABs). Due to the intensive and frequent observation of Microcystis, this kind of paradigm shift from P limitation to season-dependent N or P limitation has an important implication for a dual nutrient management strategy in eutrophic freshwaters. Through recent international researches, general strategies to control CyanoHABs in lakes and reservoirs are as follows: a dual nutrient (N & P) reduction, wastewater collection and treatment, pre-treatment of influent water in buffer zones, dredging of sediment, reduction of residence time, algal collection, and precipitation and flocculation of cyanobacteria. In addition, sustainable and integrative freshwater algae management should be carried out, based on the ecological aspect, because cyanobacteria are not the target organism to be eradicated, but an essential microbial member in the freshwater ecosystem.

A Study on Oxidative Decomposition of CFC-113 over TiO2-SiO2 Catalysts Prepared by the Sol-Gel Method (솔-젤법으로 제조된 TiO2-SiO2 촉매상에서 CFC-113의 산화분해반응에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Won-Chul;Lee, Doo-Hyoung;Lee, Tae-Jin
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.963-968
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    • 1999
  • The global environmental problems have been caused by the release of CFCs. Therefore, methods for safe destruction of recoverd CFCs will be eventually needed. The objective of this study was to develop and test a catalyst operating at a mild condition for the decomposition of CFC-113. In this work, catalytic oxidative decomposition of CFC-113 was carried out over aerosol $TiO_2/SiO_2(ATS)$ catalysts prepared by the sol-gel method. All ATS catalysts(Ti/Si mol ratio=1, 2, 2.33, 4) showed high initial activity. However, the deactivation of ATS catalysts was found that more remarkable due to an attack of fluorine and the destruction of ATS structure(Si-F reaction) from analyses of SEM-EDX, XRD than $TiO_2/SiO_2(ATS)$ catalyst prepared by the precipitation method. ATS catalysts prepared by more acidic prehydrolysis condition were found to have still more activity and longer life-time by increasing of acidity. The activity of ATS catalyst also depend on the content of $TiO_2$. There was reason that the acidity of the ATS catalyst was increased with the increased content of $TiO_2$ from 50 to 80 mol %. Solid superacid catalyst ($ATX/SO_4{^{2-}}$) modified with $H_2SO_4$ solution was prepared for high activity and lower deactivation. The reaction of $ATS/SO_4{^{2-}}$ catalyst also exhibited even higher activity and lower deactivation than the original ATS catalyst. It is suggested that the addition of the sulphate species clearly inhibit the deactivation.

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Coupled Model Development between Groundwater Recharge Quantity and Climate Change Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 기후변화 연동 지하수 함양량 산정 모델 개발 및 검증)

  • Lee, Moung-Jin;Lee, Joung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2011
  • Global climate change is disturbing the water circulation balance by changing rates of precipitation, recharge and discharge, and evapotranspiration. Groundwater, which occupies a considerable portion of the world's water resources, is related to climate change via surface water such as rivers, lakes, and marshes. In this study, the authors selected a relevant climate change scenario, A1B from the Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) which is distributed at Korea Meteorological Administration. By using data on temperature, rainfall, soil, and land use, the groundwater recharge rate for the research area was estimated by periodically and embodied as geographic information system (GIS). In order to calculate the groundwater recharge quantity, Visual HELP3 was used as main model, and the physical properties of weather, temperature, and soil layers were used as main input data. General changes to water circulation due to climate change have already been predicted. In order to systematically solve problems of ground circulation system, it may be urgent to recalculate the groundwater recharge quantity and consequent change under future climate change. The space-time calculation of changes of the groundwater recharge quantity in the study area may serve as a foundation to present additional measures to improve domestic groundwater resource management.

Analyzing Spatial and Temporal Variation of Ground Surface Temperature in Korea (국내 지면온도의 시공간적 변화 분석)

  • Koo Min-Ho;Song Yoon-Ho;Lee Jun-Hak
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.39 no.3 s.178
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    • pp.255-268
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    • 2006
  • Recent 22-year (1981-2002) meteorological data of 58 Korea Meteorological Adminstration (KMA) station were analyzed to investigate spatial and temporal variation of surface air temperature (SAT) and ground surface temperature (GST) in Korea. Based on the KMA data, multiple linear regression (MLR) models, having two regression variables of latitude and altitude, were presented to predict mean surface air temperature (MSAT) and mean ground surface temperature (MGST). Both models showed a high accuracy of prediction with $R^2$ values of 0.92 and 0.94, respectively. The prediction of MGST is particularly important in the areas of geothermal energy utilization, since it is a critical parameter of input for designing the ground source heat pump system. Thus, due to a good performance of the MGST regression model, it is expected that the model can be a useful tool for preliminary evaluation of MGST in the area of interest with no reliable data. By a simple linear regression, temporal variation of SAT was analyzed to examine long-term increase of SAT due to the global warming and the urbanization effect. All of the KMA stations except one showed an increasing trend of SAT with a range between 0.005 and $0.088^{\circ}C/yr$ and a mean of $0.043^{\circ}C/yr$. In terms of meteorological factors controlling variation of GST, the effects of solar radiation, terrestrial radiation, precipitation, and snow cover were also discussed based on quantitative and qualitative analysis of the meteorological data.

Monitoring of the Estuary Sand Bar Related with Tidal Inlet in Namdaecheon Stream using Landsat Imagery (Landsat 위성 영상을 활용한 강원도 양양군 남대천 연안 하구사주 갯터짐 환경 모니터링)

  • Jang, Jiwon;Eom, Jinah;Cheong, Daekyo;Lee, Changwook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_1
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    • pp.481-493
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    • 2017
  • Estuary sand bar of Namdaecheon Stream is located in Yangyang-gun, Gangwon-do in Korea. This unique place is situated between end of Namdaecheon Stream and East Sea. It is an important environment area of the global ecosystem from the transition zone of land and marine environments by forming a variety of coastal circumstance. Some endemic species should be protected which is appearing in the Namdaecheon Stream because of preservation for future generations. Especially, the salmon return to this stream as adults in order to breed which is more than 70 % of the salmon in Korea peninsular. The monitoring of estuary sand bar is need to analyze ecological environment and sustainable development with time. First of all we represents a different shape of estuary sand bar of Namdaecheon Stream from 1984 to 2015 using Landsat satellite imagery series. Particularly movement of the "tidal inlet" is most important factor to investigate the condition of the change for estuary sand bar. The location of tidal inlet is compared with precipitation, height of tide and oceanic current data according to time variation.

Effect of By-Product Gypsum Fertilizer on Methane Gas Emissions and Rice Productivity in Paddy Field

  • Park, Jun-Hong;Sonn, Yeon-Kyu;Kong, Myung-Suk;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Park, Sang-Jo;Won, Jong-Gun;Lee, Suk-Hee;Seo, Dong-Hwan;Park, So-Deuk;Kim, Jang-Eok
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.30-35
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    • 2016
  • Rice cultivation in paddy field affects the global balance of methane ($CH_4$) as a key greenhouse gas. To evaluate a potential use of by-product gypsum fertilizer (BGF) in reducing $CH_4$ emission from paddy soil, $CH_4$ fluxes from a paddy soil applied with BGF different levels (0, 2, 4 and $8Mg\;ha^{-1}$) were investigated by closed-chamber method during rice cultivation period. $CH_4$ flux significantly decreased (p<0.05) with increasing level of BGF application. $8Mg\;ha^{-1}$ of BGF addition in soil reduced $CH_4$ flux by 60.6% compared to control. Decreased soil redox potential (Eh) resulted in increasing $CH_4$ emission through a $CO_2$ reduction reaction. The concentrations of dissolved calcium (Ca) and sulfate ion (${SO_4}^{2-}$) in soil pore water were significantly increased as the application rate of BGF increased and showed negatively correlations with $CH_4$ flux. Decreased $CH_4$ flux with BGF application implied that ${SO_4}^{2-}$ ion led to decreases in electron availability for methanogen and precipitation reaction of Ca ion with inorganic carbon including carbonate and bicarbonate as a source of $CH_4$ formation under anoxic condition. BGF application also increased rice grain yield by 16% at $8Mg\;ha^{-1}$ of BGF addition. Therefore, our results suggest that BGF application can be a good soil management practice to reduce $CH_4$ emission from paddy soil and to increase rice yield.

Estimation of Quantitative Daily Precipitation Forecasting for Integrated Real-time Basin Water Management System (실시간 물관리를 위한 정량적 강수예측기법에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jai-Ho;Kim, Jin-Young;Kang, Bu-Sick;Jeong, Chang-Sam;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1488-1491
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 실시간 통합 물관리 시스템의 일환으로 월별 일강수량 예측 시스템에 관한 연구를 실시하였다. 선행시간 2일 예측에 대해서는 기상청 생성 수치모의 RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System)를 기반으로 강수진단모형인 QPM (Quantitative Precipitatiom Model)을 이용하여 지형효과를 보정하였으며, 선행시간 2일에서 8일까지의 예측에 대해서는 GDAPS (Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System) 모의결과를 QPM을 이용하여 보정하였고, 선행시간 10일 이후의 예측값은 통계적 기법을 이용한 자료를 활용하였다. 통계적 기법으로는 과거 20년간의 관측된 강수경향을 이용하여 시스템을 구축하였다. 강수진단모형 (QPM)은 Misumi et al. (2001), Bell (1978), Collier (1975)등이 제안한 바 있는 Collier-type의 모형으로서 이들 모형은 소규모 지형 효과를 고려한 강수량을 산출하는 진단 모형이다. QPM은 중규모 예측 모형으로부터 계산된 수평 바람, 고도, 기온, 강우 강도, 그리고 상대습도 등의 예측 자료를 이용하고, 중규모 예측 모형에서는 잘 표현되지 않는 소규모 지형 효과를 고려함으로써 중규모 예측 모형에서 생산된 상대적으로 성긴 격자의 강수량 예측 값을 상세 지역의 지형을 고려한 강수량 예측 값으로 재구성하게 된다. QPM은 중규모 모형으로부터 나온 자료를 초기 자료로 이용하고 3 km 간격의 상세 지형을 반영하는 모형으로 소규모 지형 효과를 표현함으로써 상세 지역에서의 강수량 산출과 지형에 따른 강수량의 분포 파악이 용이할 뿐 아니라, 계산 효율성을 개선시킬 수 있다.착능이 높은 것으로 사료되었다.X>${\mu}_{max,A}$는 최대암모니아 섭취률을 이용하여 구한 결과 $0.65d^{-1}$로 나타났다.EX>$60%{\sim}87%$가 수심 10m 이내에 분포하였고, 녹조강과 남조강이 우점하는 하절기에는 5m 이내에 주로 분포하였다. 취수탑 지점의 수심이 연중 $25{\sim}35m$를 유지하는 H호의 경우 간헐식 폭기장치를 가동하는 기간은 물론 그 외 기간에도 취수구의 심도를 표층 10m 이하로 유지 할 경우 전체 조류 유입량을 60% 이상 저감할 수 있을 것으로 조사되었다.심볼 및 색채 디자인 등의 작업이 수반되어야 하며, 이들을 고려한 인터넷용 GIS기본도를 신규 제작한다. 상습침수지구와 관련된 각종 GIS데이타와 각 기관이 보유하고 있는 공공정보 가운데 공간정보와 연계되어야 하는 자료를 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 효율적으로 관리하기 위해서는 단계별 구축전략이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 상습침수구역관련 정보를 검색, 처리 및 분석할 수 있는 상습침수 구역 종합정보화 시스템을 구축토록 하였다.N, 항목에서 보 상류가 높게 나타났으나, 철거되지 않은 검전보나 안양대교보에 비해 그 차이가 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다.의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주

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Study on Characteristics of Snowfall and Snow Crystal Habits in the ESSAY (Experiment on Snow Storms At Yeongdong) Campaign in 2014 (2014년 대설관측실험(Experiment on Snow Storms At Yeongdong: ESSAY)기간 강설 및 눈결정 특성분석)

  • Seo, Won-Seok;Eun, Seung-Hee;Kim, Byung-Gon;Ko, A-Reum;Seong, Dae-Kyeong;Lee, Gyu-Min;Jeon, Hye-Rim;Han, Sang-Ok;Park, Young-San
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2015
  • Characteristics of snowfall and snow crystal habits have been investigated in the campaign of Experiment on Snow Storms At Yeongdong (ESSAY) using radiosonde soundings, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), and a digital camera with a magnifier for taking a photograph of snowfall crystals. The analysis period is 6 to 14 February 2014, when the accumulated snowfall amount is 192.8 cm with the longest snowfall duration of 9 days. The synoptic situations are similar to those of the previous studies such as the Low pressure system passing by the far South of the Korean peninsula along with the Siberian High extending to northern Japan, which eventually results in the northeasterly or easterly flows and the long-lasting snowfall episodes in the Yeongdong region. In general, the ice clouds tended to exist below around 2~3 km with the consistent easterly flows, and the winds shifted to northerly~northwesterly above the clouds layer. The snow crystal habits observed in the ESSAY campaign were mainly dendrite, consisting of 70% of the entire habits. The rimed habits were frequently captured when two-layered clouds were observed, probably through the process of freezing of super-cooled droplets on the ice particles. The homogeneous habit such as dendrite was shown in case of shallow clouds with its thickness of below 500 m whereas various habits were captured such as dendrites, rimed dendrites, aggregates of dendrites, plates, rimed plates, etc in the thick cloud with its thickness greater than 1.5 km. The dendrites appeared to be dominant in the condition of cloud top temperature specifically ranging $-12{\sim}-16^{\circ}C$. However, the association of snow crystal habits with temperature and super-saturation in the cloud could not be examined in the current study. Better understandings of characteristics of snow crystal habits would contribute to preventing breakdown accidents such as a greenhouse destruction and collapse of a temporary building due to heavy snowfall, and traffic accidents due to snow-slippery road condition, providing a higher-level weather information of snow quality for skiers participating in the winter sports, and estimating more accurate snowfall amount, location, and duration with the fallspeed of solid precipitation.

Low Frequency Relationship Analysis between PDSI and Global Sea Surface Temperature (PDSI와 범지구적 해수면온도와의 저빈도 상관성 분석)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Kim, Seong-Sil;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2010
  • Drought is one of disaster causing factors to produce severe damage in the World because drought is destroyed to the ecosystem as well as to make difficult the economy of the drought area. This study, using Palmer Drought Severity Index carries out correlation analysis with sea surface temperatures. Comparative analysis carries out by calculated Palmer Drought Severity Index and past drought occurrence year. Result of comparative analysis, PDSI indexes were in accord with the past drought. Cluster analysis for correlation analysis carries out using precipitation and temperature that is input datas palmer drought severity index, and the result of cluster analysis was classified as 6. Also, principal component carries out using result of cluster analysis. 14 principal component analyze out through principal component analysis. Using analyzed 14 principal component carries out correlation analysis with sea surface temperature that is delay time from 0month until 11month. Correlation analysis carries out sea surface temperatures and calculated cycle component of the low frequency through Wavelet Transform analysis form principal component. Result of correlation analysis, yang(+) correlation is bigger than yin(-) correlation. It is possible to check similar correlation statistically the area of sea surface temperature with sea surface temperature in the Pacific. Forecasting possibility of the future drought make propose using sea surface temperature.